{"title":"The correlation of international trade and growth in Indonesia","authors":"Barianto Nurasri Sudarmawan","doi":"10.14203/jep.30.1.2022.31-46","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14203/jep.30.1.2022.31-46","url":null,"abstract":"Exports generate foreign exchange that can be used for economic activities. On the other hand, imports also give households and companies more choices in consuming goods. In other words, international trade provides advantages for each country. There have been many studies that attempt to empirically prove the relationship between export-import and economic growth. The aim of this study is to re-examine the relationship between exports, imports, and growth in the short run and long run in Indonesia. This study employed the Granger Causality test and VECM to find long-term and short-term respectively. This research used secondary data annually from 1980 to 2019. Result of this empirical study, we find correlating variables are GDP-Exports, GDP-Imports, and Imports-Exports in the long-term. These three long-term findings match the short-term findings explained by VECM modeling. According to these findings, the policy recommendation is Indonesia needs to import carefully because importing consumption goods is a sure way to deplete its own foreign exchange reserves. Second, based on our empirical found, importing intermediate goods can increase our export, so we suggest Indonesia should run substitution import strategy immediately","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"219 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88078398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Daniel eka bonokeling, M. Sholeh, Mispandi Mispandi
{"title":"The Effect of Investment, National Government Expenditure, Exports, and Imports on Indonesia’s Economic Growth","authors":"Daniel eka bonokeling, M. Sholeh, Mispandi Mispandi","doi":"10.14203/jep.30.1.2022.56-69","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14203/jep.30.1.2022.56-69","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to see the effect of investment, government expenditure, exports, and imports on Indonesia’s economic growth. The type of this research is quantitative. This research was conducted using secondary data published by the World Bank. The data technique used is the documentation method. The data were analyzed through the Error Correction Model (ECM). The research period was annually from 1960 to 2018. The results of this study indicate as follows. (1) in the long term, investment negatively and significantly affects Indonesia’s economic growth with a value of -0.02% with a significance value (p) < 0.05; in the short term, investment negatively and insignificantly affects Indonesia’s economic growth with a value of -0.001% with a significance value (p) < 0.05. (2) In the long term, government control positively and significantly affects Indonesia’s economic growth by 7.75% with a significance value (p) < 0.05; in the short term, government spending positively and significantly affects Indonesia’s economic growth by 7.75% with a significance value (p) < 0.05. (3) In the long run, exports negatively and insignificantly affect Indonesia’s economic growth by 0.12% with a significance value (p) < 0.05; in the short term, exports are negatively and significantly affected by -0.93% with a significance value (p) < 0.10. (4) In the long term, imports positively and significantly affect economic growth by 1.53% with a significance value (p) < 0.05; then, in the short term, imports also positively and significantly affect economic growth by 1.57% with a significance value (p) < 0.05. (5) Simultaneously, investment, government expenditure, exports, and imports positively and significantly impact Indonesia’s economic growth, with an F- statistic value of 0.0000.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"77 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76563763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regresi Ambang untuk Mendalami Pengaruh Kekuatan Pasar Nonlinier terhadap Pinjaman Bank di ASEAN-5","authors":"Mahjus Ekananda","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.07","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.07","url":null,"abstract":"Penyaluran kredit telah berkembang pesat di kawasan ASEAN dan peran perbankan masih mendominasi dibandingkan dengan lembaga keuangan lainnya. Penelitian ini mengeksplorasi efek dari berbagai perubahan rezim pertumbuhan PDB, ukuran perusahaan, dan kebijakan moneter. Obyek penelitian adalah bank-bank komersial di ASEAN-5 dari tahun 2010 hingga 2019. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode regresi ambang batas dan juga proksi tunggal untuk mengukur kekuatan pasar. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa kebijakan moneter dan kekuatan pasar memengaruhi kredit produktif. Perubahan dampak yang terjadi disebabkan perilaku bank yang tidak sama untuk peraturan yang berbeda. Selain itu, respons pelaku ekonomi berbeda pada tingkat pertumbuhan PDB dan kebijakan moneter tertentu.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81800921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analisis Implementasi Kebijakan Harga Minimum Industri Rokok di Indonesia","authors":"Khomsun Arifin, Abdillah Ahsan, Adela Miranti Yuniar","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.04","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.04","url":null,"abstract":"Perusahaan besar mempunyai kekuatan finansial untuk memainkan strategi harga sehingga dapat mengancam eksistensi perusahaan kecil dalam pasar. Dalam hal ini, Pemerintah menerapkan kebijakan harga minimum untuk melindungi pengusaha kecil dari persaingan harga yang tidak sehat. Artikel ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui korelasi implementasi kebijakan harga minimum terhadap strategi harga di industri rokok. Dengan menggunakan data panel berupa survei harga transaksi pasar DJBC periode 2015–2019 yang meliputi 199 merek rokok di 25 wilayah provinsi Indonesia dan random effect model, hasil studi ini menemukan bahwa implementasi kebijakan harga minimum (HTP 85%) secara signifikan berkorelasi positif terhadap selisih harga pada semua jenis dan golongan rokok.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85924011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Polusi Udara dalam Ruangan dan Kondisi Kesehatan: Analisis Rumah Tangga Indonesia","authors":"Indanazulfa Qurrota A’yun, Rodhiah Umaroh","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2022.02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2022.02","url":null,"abstract":"Kualitas udara dalam ruangan merupakan faktor penting bagi kesehatan manusia karena polusi udara dalam ruangan memiliki dampak yang lebih berbahaya dibandingkan polusi udara di luar ruangan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak penggunaan bahan bakar memasak sebagai penentu kualitas polusi dalam ruangan terhadap kondisi kesehatan angota rumah tangga. Penelitian ini menggunakan data Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 5 dengan mengaplikasikan metode variabel instrumen. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa penggunaan bahan bakar memasak berdampak pada penyakit batuk, demam, dan diare, terutama pada individu berusia 21 tahun ke atas.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80965148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Determinan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi ASEAN+5: Aspek Lingkungan","authors":"Kartika Sari, S. Wahyudi, Rihana Sofie Nabella","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.02","url":null,"abstract":"Aspek lingkungan merupakan persoalan vital karena erat kaitannya dengan kegiatan perekonomian yang mendorong laju pertumbuhan ekonomi. Aspek lingkungan dalam penelitian ini adalah degradasi lingkungan dan natural resource rent. Natural resource rent masih dianggap sebagai kutukan ataupun berkah bagi suatu negara. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh aspek lingkungan ditinjau dari degradasi lingkungan dan natural resource rent. Selain itu, dalam penelitian ini juga dipilih foreign direct investment dan harapan hidup untuk mengetahui pengaruhnya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian ini mengambil sampel 5 negara di kawasan ASEAN+5 dengan menggunakan analisis data panel untuk periode 1990 hingga 2018. Hasil yang diperoleh adalah degradasi lingkungan, natural resource rent, dan foreign direct investment berpengaruh positif signifikan dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Harapan hidup tidak signfikan memengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82950999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dana Desa dan Perkembangan Status Desa: Studi Kasus Kabupaten/Kota di Indonesia","authors":"Yore Isti Tosan Aji, R. M. Qibthiyyah","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.03","url":null,"abstract":"Pembangunan desa dan peningkatan status desa merupakan salah satu agenda utama Pemerintah Indonesia. Dana desa dianggap berperan penting dalam peningkatan tersebut, akan tetapi studi empiris tentang dana desa dan status desa masih terbatas. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memberikan bukti empiris dampak dana desa terhadap perkembangan status desa sesuai Indeks Pembangunan Desa (IPD) per kabupaten/kota di Indonesia. Melalui penggunaan metode First Difference dengan data tahun 2014 dan 2018, penulis menemukan bahwa dana desa berdampak secara parsial signifikan terhadap perkembangan status desa. Meskipun signifikan secara statistik, besaran koefisien regresi menunjukkan dampak yang kecil secara ekonomi.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90052632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Monica Ruth Karunia, Ahmad Komarulzaman, Ari Tjahjawandita
{"title":"Konsumsi Energi, Pembangunan Sektor Keuangan dan Emisi Karbon di Indonesia","authors":"Monica Ruth Karunia, Ahmad Komarulzaman, Ari Tjahjawandita","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.06","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.06","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian ini menyelidiki keberadaan Hipotesis EKC di Indonesia selama periode 1980–2019. Dalam kerangka EKC, penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh PDB, konsumsi energi, dan pembangunan sektor keuangan terhadap emisi karbon (CO2). Penelitian ini menggunakan Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) bound-test. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat kointegrasi antar variabel. Sementara itu, hipotesis EKC tidak divalidasi melainkan hubungan kurva berbentuk U. Turning point telah tercapai pada tahun 1987, ini menyiratkan bahwa peningkatan PDB lebih lanjut hanya akan dikaitkan dengan peningkatan emisi CO2. Selain itu, konsumsi energi meningkatkan emisi CO2 dan pembangunan sektor keuangan tampak memperbaiki kualitas lingkungan dengan menurunkan emisi CO2.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"485 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79973605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pengaruh Kerawanan Pangan, Bantuan Pangan dan Jaminan Kesehatan terhadap Keluhan Kesehatan","authors":"Ofi Ana Sari, N. D. Nachrowi","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2022.01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2022.01","url":null,"abstract":"Kesehatan penduduk Indonesia dilihat dari harapan hidup saat lahir cenderung meningkat, tetapi tidak di semua tahun dalam kondisi sehat. Kondisi kesehatan dapat dipengaruhi oleh rawan pangan serta bantuan pangan dan jaminan kesehatan. Penelitian ini mempelajari pengaruh rawan pangan, bantuan pangan, dan kepemilikan jaminan kesehatan (Jamkes) terhadap keluhan kesehatan. Data Survei Sosial Ekonomi (Susenas) dianalisis menggunakan regresi logistik multinomial. Hasil studi menunjukkan individu rawan pangan sedang/parah berisiko keluhan kesehatan dan terganggu lebih dari dua kalinya yang tahan pangan. Pemberian pangan sekaligus Jamkes BPJS PBI mengurangi probabilitas keluhan kesehatan. Intervensi pemerintah dapat difokuskan pada individu rawan pangan, lansia, dan tinggal di perdesaan.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"40 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89820605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Amalia Kusumaningrum, G. Wulandari, Achmad Kautsar
{"title":"Tuberkulosis di Indonesia: Apakah Status Sosial-Ekonomi dan Faktor Lingkungan Penting?","authors":"Amalia Kusumaningrum, G. Wulandari, Achmad Kautsar","doi":"10.21002/jepi.2023.01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2023.01","url":null,"abstract":"Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat status sosial ekonomi dan faktor lingkungan terhadap tuberkulosis di Indonesia dengan menggunakan data Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) tahun 2014. Tahap pertama, analisis karakteristik individu dengan metode regresi logistik. Tahap kedua, estimasi status sosial ekonomi dengan memasukkan koreksi dari hasil tahap pertama. Sementara itu, pada tahap ketiga menambahkan faktor kondisi lingkungan rumah dan memasukkan koreksi dari hasil tahap sebelumnya. Studi ini menemukan faktor pendapatan rumah tangga memengaruhi kejadian tuberkulosis, terutama rumah tangga yang memiliki pendapatan kurang dari Rp600.000. Selain itu, tingkat pendidikan, khususnya SMA dan perguruan tinggi, juga berpengaruh signifikan terhadap tuberkulosis. Sementara itu, faktor kondisi lingkungan rumah yang tidak layak tidak berpengaruh signifikan.","PeriodicalId":32634,"journal":{"name":"JEPI Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85405489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}