Environmental Impact Assessment Review最新文献

{"title":"A novel dual-threshold assessment method for formulating land degradation neutrality priority governance strategies in Central Asia under SDG 15.3.1","authors":"Jiangyue Li ,&nbsp;Philippe De Maeyer ,&nbsp;Xi Chen ,&nbsp;Tim Van de Voorde ,&nbsp;Yaoming Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108116","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108116","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land degradation (LD) causes significant deterioration in ecosystem services (ESs), which in turn impedes the achievement of global sustainable development goals (SDGs). However, traditional LD assessments often rely on simplified indicators and single-threshold responses, failing to capture the complex, nonlinear dynamics among LD, ESs, and SDGs across diverse environmental contexts. In this study, we focused on the severe LD region in Uzbekistan and proposed a land degradation neutrality priority governance framework based on ESs and SDGs (ES-SDG-LDNPG). A dual-threshold detection method wasemployed to identify critical tipping points in LD responses. The results revealed that LD increased by 17 % between 2000 and 2022, with the most severe impacts occurring in the northwestern temperate desert plain (NWTP) and the southeastern plain-to-mountain transition zone (SPM). ESs decreased by 13 %, with the NWTP, the central arid desert (CAD), and the eastern temperate arid inland basin (ETAB) emerging as critical ecological vulnerability hotspots. Notably, SDG progress decreased by 26 % in the NWTP, highlighting the urgent need for targeted interventions. This study revealed distinct threshold effects of LD on ESs and SDGs across different landscape–climatic zones. When the LDI was below the first threshold A, SDGs progress exhibited negative correlations with LDI, particularly in the NWTP and CAD regions. Once the LDI exceeded the second threshold B, grain production and carbon storage declined sharply in SPM. Under the dual-threshold effect, priority restoration areas were most concentrated in the NWTP (55 %), followed by the SPM and ETAB. These findings emphasize the need for formulating targeted restoration strategies to mitigate LD and support SDG achievement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108116"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144865865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Longer global value chains, larger biodiversity loss?","authors":"Hongxia Zhang,&nbsp;Xintian Liu,&nbsp;Shuhong Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108113","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108113","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on the MRIO model framework and International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List of Threatened Species data, this study analyses the impacts of two global value chain embeddedness patterns (forward and backward) on trade-induced biodiversity footprints of 60 countries/regions between 2007 and 2021. The findings reveal that forward GVC participation, which involves exporting intermediate products, reduces biodiversity losses, mainly via technology spillovers, cost reduction, and resource misallocation mitigation. Further analysis indicates that developed countries often outsource energy-intensive production to developing countries through GVC, shifting environmental responsibilities. Enhancing a country's position in the GVC reduces biodiversity losses from trade, particularly for resource-importing countries, provided that both forward and backward participation exceed the average level. For developed countries, forward GVC participation reduces biodiversity losses in sectors like oil, chemicals, heavy metals, electrical equipment, and machinery. In contrast, in developing countries, resource-intensive sectors such as agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, and traditional services see reduced biodiversity losses in exports but experience negative effects in sectors like transport equipment, manufacturing, and recycling. These findings suggest that governments should address trade-induced biodiversity footprints by optimizing GVC participation patterns, improving their position within the GVC, and advancing energy-saving, emission-reducing technologies and clean industries, contributing to the achievement of the Aichi Targets.</div></div><div>Biodiversity is intrinsically linked to human well-being, serving as a crucial foundation for human survival and development (Girardello et al., 2019). As a result, it has garnered significant attention from the international community. A recent study conducted by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) revealed that between 1970 and 2018, the monitored populations of wildlife worldwide have decreased by 69 % (Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, 2020). Given that over half of</div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108113"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144865863","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Decarbonization and clean production in China's cement industry: Strategies from the LEAP-LCA perspective","authors":"Wei Dang ,&nbsp;Siyan Chen ,&nbsp;Bailin He ,&nbsp;Junhua Song ,&nbsp;Zhiyuan Duan ,&nbsp;Haiyan Duan ,&nbsp;Zhenhui Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108124","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108124","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The cement industry in China has led to 15 % of CO₂, 5.4 % of SO₂, 17.3 % of NO_x, and 20.9 % of PM₁₀ emissions. There is a lack of comprehensive models to quantify the energy consumption and pollution/carbon emission characteristics of each equipment and process in cement production, identify key emission sources in the cement industry, and provide targeted emission reduction targets for cleaner production and low-carbon development in the sector. Therefore, this study constructs a life cycle energy demand and long-range energy alternatives planning (LCA-LEAP) model of the cement industry. The system boundary encompasses five phases. Each comprising 24 equipment processes. According to the main phases and processes of carbon and pollution emission, six carbon reduction technologies are proposed, and three scenarios are formed through the combination of technical measures. Therefore, the effect of decarbonization and cleaner production in the cement industry can be quantified using different combination measures. The clinker calcination phase is the largest contributor to carbon emissions and pollutants throughout the life cycle. From the perspective of carbon emission sources, process emissions (54.02 %), fuel combustion (38.28 %), and electricity consumption (7.7 %) constitute the primary contributors to carbon emissions. After implementing combined emission reduction measures, carbon emissions per ton of cement decreased by 24.96 % - 57.39 % across the three scenarios, while reductions in SO₂, NO_x, and PM₁₀ ranged from 4.42 % to 24.68 %. Raw material substitution achieves the highest carbon reduction, exceeding 33 % in all scenarios. Meanwhile, end-of-pipe treatment technologies demonstrated the optimal pollutant reduction performance, contributing 53.07 %–61.49 % of the total emission abatement. These explored low-carbon and clean production pathways should serve as references for achieving low and net zero emissions in the cement industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108124"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144865862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Developing narratives for policy-relevant water-energy-food-ecosystem nexus pathways: How global and European Union drivers interact","authors":"Imen Arfa ,&nbsp;Adrián González-Rosell ,&nbsp;Kristina Govorukha ,&nbsp;Berny Bisselink ,&nbsp;Maria Blanco","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108122","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108122","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were created for socioeconomic and climate change assessments and are widely used in global environmental assessments. However, mapping SSP-RCP pathways and policies for water, energy, food and ecosystems (WEFE) remains elusive. There is uncertainty on how to integrate current European Union (EU) policies with climate and socioeconomic pathways. To address that uncertainty, we developed narratives describing possible policy-relevant WEFE nexus pathways until 2050 by collaborating with a broad range of stakeholders and experts. By mapping several SSP-RCP pathways with EU-WEFE policies, three primary policy-relevant WEFE pathways, namely “Sustainable Development,” “Weak Cooperation,” and “Global Fragmentation”, and two extreme pathways, “Emissions Neutrality” and “Global Risk,” were identified. For each of these pathways, a narrative was developed explaining how global and EU drivers interact. These narratives integrate climate, socioeconomic and governance drivers. Findings show that the Emissions Neutrality pathway would require a high level of coordination between global and EU commitments. At the other end, Global Fragmentation represents a challenging future for the EU, showing that the global trends will condition the achievement of EU-WEFE objectives and highlighting the need for global coordination. Beyond the results, these narratives contribute to a better understanding of WEFE nexus. Furthermore, they can serve as a basis to explore potential future developments and asses WEFE nexus solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108122"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144851947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Optimizing reactive maintenance intervals for the sustainable rehabilitation of chloride-exposed coastal buildings with MMC-based concrete structure","authors":"Antonio J. Sánchez-Garrido ,&nbsp;Ignacio J. Navarro ,&nbsp;Víctor Yepes","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108110","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108110","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Coastal cities face significant challenges in maintaining their infrastructure due to harsh environmental conditions, such as high humidity and airborne chlorides, which accelerate material degradation. This issue is particularly critical for reinforced concrete structures in beachfront buildings, such as hotels, where corrosion is a common and progressive problem. Timely maintenance and repair are essential to prevent structural failures caused by accidental loads, such as wind or earthquakes, which can compromise safety. Historically, the focus in construction has been on reducing environmental impact, often overlooking the importance of maintenance and end-of-life stages. This paper presents a novel, integrated methodology combining preventive design assessment with reactive maintenance optimization to study the sustainability of repair strategies for maintenance in coastal cities of buildings with reinforced concrete exposed to chloride-induced corrosion. The study focuses on structures based on Modern Methods of Construction (MMC) to minimize life cycle impact by optimizing material consumption compared to traditional construction. Twelve preventive design alternatives are evaluated, each subjected to four maintenance strategies addressing different damage levels caused by deterioration throughout the structure's service life. A FUCOM-TOPSIS model aggregates eight sustainability criteria—economic costs, life-cycle environmental burdens, and social performance indicators—to identify optimal year-by-year maintenance intervals and rank alternatives. Results reveal that the most sustainable designs involve multiresistant cement, hydrophobic anti-corrosion impregnation, and silica fume additive, achieving sustainability ratings up to 86 % higher than the baseline. This approach enhances the resilience and sustainability of coastal infrastructure, effectively addressing challenges posed by harsh environmental conditions and supporting long-term, sustainable urban development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108110"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144851946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Prospective life cycle assessment of future Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing deposition process for large-scale steel parts","authors":"Christian Spreafico ,&nbsp;Samruddha Kokare ,&nbsp;Radu Godina","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108111","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108111","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing (WAAM) is a promising approach for the sustainable production of large-scale metal components. This study presents the first prospective Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) focused on the gate-to-gate manufacturing stage of seven patented, currently immature WAAM technologies. These technologies are projected to reach industrial maturity by 2035 and are evaluated in both laboratory-scale and anticipated industrial-scale configurations. Key findings reveal that future WAAM systems may reduce environmental impacts by an average of 45 % at the lab-scale and 74 % at the industrial scale compared to current WAAM. Argon shielding gas consistently contributes to more than 70 % of the total environmental impact. Plasma-based future WAAM significantly outperforms electric arc variants, exhibiting at least 20 % lower environmental impact than current WAAM systems. Multi-axis WAAM also demonstrates environmental advantages, with a 21 % lower impact compared to planar setups at the lab scale. These sustainability improvements, which remain consistent across various future scenarios, highlight promising pathways for improving WAAM technologies, particularly favouring plasma-based and multi-axis systems for large-scale applications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108111"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144830196","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Crafting a water footprint database of foods in Spain to drive sustainable consumption","authors":"Cristina Cambeses-Franco,&nbsp;Eduardo Parejo-Ramírez,&nbsp;Sara González-García","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108120","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108120","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Food, a cornerstone of human existence, plays a central role in health, social progress and cultural identity. Despite its vital role, the production and consumption of food has a significant environmental footprint, requiring metrics such as water footprints for sustainable practices. The water footprint of a food product is the amount of water that is consumed and polluted in all of the processing stages. This paper introduces the first comprehensive database of water footprints for 158 food commodities commonly consumed in Spain. Developed using a standardized methodology, the database integrates up-to-date production and trade data (2022) with water footprint data from the global assessment by <span><span>Mekonnen and Hoekstra, 2010</span></span>, <span><span>Mekonnen and Hoekstra, 2011</span></span>, brought to the same reference year using the fast-track method. It represents a novel approach in that it covers a wide range of food categories, specific food types and varieties, while also taking into account local agricultural practices, and climatic and geographical factors, providing a highly detailed analysis of both the imported and exported water footprints associated with each. By facilitating the evaluation of the influence of dietary modifications on global water scarcity, this database provides a foundation for the formulation of evidence-based policies aimed at fostering sustainable food systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108120"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144842060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Dynamic scenario analysis and prediction of embodied carbon emissions in China's building sector: A hybrid interpretable machine learning model","authors":"Zhike Zheng,&nbsp;Qing Shuang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108119","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108119","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the rapid urbanization in China, excessive carbon emission has emerged as a primary constraint in sustainable development. Notably, the building sector accounts for a substantial portion of carbon emissions, with embodied carbon emissions particularly prominent. Under the strategies of carbon peaking by 2030 and neutrality by 2060, this study focuses on embodied carbon emissions in China's building sector. Utilizing a hybrid interpretable machine learning model, this study endeavors to predict national and provincial carbon peaking times and emission values through dynamic scenario analysis. The findings offer unique insights: First, based on the materials and resources consumed by the building sector, this study reveals a significant probability of China's embodied carbon emission peaking in 2030 at 6.58 billion tons. Second, the interpretability analysis of the model underscores the profound impacts of economic and demographic factors on national and provincial embodied carbon emissions, collectively explaining over 50 % of its variability. Third, regional heterogeneity analysis reveals the reasons for the rapid carbon peaking in coastal and developed provinces due to the varied developing conditions. These results present a novel perspective on carbon reduction and sustainable development, offering crucial guidance for global carbon mitigation efforts and specific policy recommendations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108119"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The role of polyvinyl chloride in achieving circularity in the built environment: A comprehensive review","authors":"Nirusika Rajenthiran,&nbsp;Jian Zuo,&nbsp;Daniel Oteng,&nbsp;Navodana Rodrigo","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108103","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108103","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The world is struggling with the enormous challenge of managing Plastic Waste (PW), which is over 400 million tonnes (Mt) annually and is the world's largest and most rapidly accumulating waste stream. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC), a versatile synthetic polymer, is the third most sold commodity plastic used in various industries. To promote sustainable development and implement the Circular Economy (CE) concepts, reuse, recycling, and remanufacturing have become priorities for PVC circularity. This research study examines the current trends in PVC circularity and gaps for future research directions in connecting Waste Management (WM) to achieve CE practices. Hence, the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) protocol was undertaken, and two databases, namely Scopus and Web of Science, were used. The findings from the systematic literature review show that PVC circularity research has advanced significantly in recent years, with an emphasis on chemical and mechanical recycling as well as the creation of novel methods to improve material recovery and lower toxicity. However, gaps remain in circularity-directed research and in exploring efficient recycling processes for PVC waste. Addressing these challenges will require concerted efforts to improve stakeholder collaboration, build better communication channels, and invest in infrastructure supporting circular practices. By strengthening these areas, the PVC can make significant progress toward enhancing circularity, reducing environmental impact, and contributing to broader sustainability goals. The findings suggest prioritising effective recycling methods, material flow analysis, and policy frameworks to facilitate PVC's transition to a CE, consequently minimising environmental impact and resource dependency.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108103"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144780906","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Daily construction carbon emissions and costs assessment from an interaction perspective: Integration of BIM and agent-based modeling","authors":"Qiyue Guo ,&nbsp;Shu Su ,&nbsp;Vincent J.L. Gan ,&nbsp;Chu Liu ,&nbsp;Jiahui Feng ,&nbsp;Weike Ding","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108109","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108109","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective management of construction carbon emissions and costs are important for achieving sustainable construction. The construction carbon emissions and costs are influenced by many non-design factors including worker performance, on-site management capability, and local weather conditions. However, the combined influence of these factors has not been fully considered in existing studies. Moreover, previous research typically aggregate carbon and cost results occurred at different times into single and static values, ignoring their potential dynamic changes throughout the construction process. This study integrates Building Information Modeling (BIM) with Agent-based Modeling (ABM) to establish a novel assessment model for daily construction carbon emissions and costs. The BIM model is employed to collect project data, while the ABM model simulates the interactions between workers, managers, building materials, machine equipment, and weather conditions as well as their subsequent effects on construction carbon emissions and costs. The proposed model was applied to a steel building to verify its operability. A series of targeted optimization strategies were proposed, and their carbon reduction and cost-saving potentials were quantified and compared using the BIM-ABM model. This study integrates BIM and ABM to estimate construction carbon emissions and costs, demonstrating the feasibility and operability of the integration. The proposed model not only considers the specific characteristics of the evaluated project but also presents the dynamic changes of construction carbon and costs on a daily basis, thereby significantly enhancing the accuracy and temporal resolution of results. It lays an important foundation for future studies and can promote sustainable construction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 108109"},"PeriodicalIF":11.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144771008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}