Environmental Impact Assessment Review最新文献

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Evaluating the association between heatwave vulnerability index and related deaths in Australia
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107812
Patrick Amoatey , Ralph Trancoso , Zhiwei Xu , Darsy Darssan , Nicholas J. Osborne , Dung Phung
{"title":"Evaluating the association between heatwave vulnerability index and related deaths in Australia","authors":"Patrick Amoatey ,&nbsp;Ralph Trancoso ,&nbsp;Zhiwei Xu ,&nbsp;Darsy Darssan ,&nbsp;Nicholas J. Osborne ,&nbsp;Dung Phung","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107812","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Heatwaves affect public health. Previous human heat vulnerability assessment studies, mostly focused in urban areas, suggest association with heat-related deaths. However, these associations have not been thoroughly examined in Australia. We examined the association between heatwave vulnerability index (HVI) and risk of heatwave-related deaths across Australia.</div><div>Seasonal (December–February) all-cause mortality and heatwave data across 2189 Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2s) spatial units were acquired from 2001 to 2019. We also used SA2 level heatwave vulnerability index (HVI) data estimated from 2021 national census data and heatwave data (2001–2019) across Australia. In each SA2, we calculated seasonal mortality rates using the empirical Bayes smoothing approach to account for spatial variations in deaths. We then used a quasi-Poisson regression model to quantify the mortality rates associated with SA2-specific heatwave days across Australia. Finally, we used a linear regression analysis to examine the association between HVI and heatwave-related deaths. We observed an association between HVI (β: 0.18, 95 % CI: 0.08–0.27) and increased in percentage (%) of heatwave-related deaths across the capital cities. A unit increase in HVI -associated deaths was higher under severe heatwave days (β: 0.39, 95 % CI: 0.05–0.74) compared to low-intensity heatwave days (β: 0.21, 95 % CI: 0.09–0.32). We also found that the HVI component factor formed by low education, low income, low healthcare professionals, and diabetes prevalence is strongly associated with all the heatwave-related deaths in the capital cities. In an Australia-wide analysis, we did not find an association (β: -0.06, CI: −0.17-0.05) between HVI and risk of heatwave-related death. However, there was evidence of stronger association between HVI component factor formed by Indigenous population exposed to longer heatwave days and increased % of heatwave-associated deaths. HVI is positively associated with heatwave-related deaths in Australia, particularly in capital cities. Heatwave management strategies should include HVI maps to help protect communities against heatwave-related death, and morbidity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107812"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multistakeholder sustainability assessment of housing estate regeneration schemes: Analysis of a mixed methods survey
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107805
Sahar Nava , Zaid Chalabi , Sarah Bell , Gemma Moore
{"title":"Multistakeholder sustainability assessment of housing estate regeneration schemes: Analysis of a mixed methods survey","authors":"Sahar Nava ,&nbsp;Zaid Chalabi ,&nbsp;Sarah Bell ,&nbsp;Gemma Moore","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107805","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107805","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Engaging with different stakeholders in decision making over the regeneration of housing estates is a legislative requirement in many countries. Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA) methodology and in general, Sustainability Assessment Frameworks (SAFs) are suitable tools to allow for a holistic comparison of different regeneration scenarios and their impacts. Understanding the priorities and meeting the expectations of different stakeholder groups and recognising the disablers and values of a participatory SAF are the main challenges in conducting a multistakeholder holistic sustainability assessment. Towards identifying a suitable stakeholder-driven SAF for decision-making on housing estate regeneration schemes (HERS), this paper has four aims to: 1) explore the perception of different stakeholders on their priorities concerning estate regeneration; 2) identify the barriers to participation; 3) identify the values of a holistic SAF; and 4) evaluate the effectiveness of the available SAFs. These aims have been explored through an extensive review of literature followed by a mixed-methods survey design, employing deductive and inductive approaches with stakeholders of HERS in the UK. The criteria for each section of the survey have been identified through review of literature. The inductive approach involves identifying the perceived importance of the pre-identified criteria through quantitative scoring, and the deductive approach involves qualitative analysis of open-ended questions to identify emerging new codes and themes. Thematic Analysis (TA), coding, Content Analysis (CA), and descriptive statistics were used for analysing the results. Triangulation and consolidation of the analyses reveal the importance of goal and scope definition and relevance of sustainability indicators for a participatory SAF due to the varying priorities of different stakeholder groups. Lack of meaningful engagement, transparent communication, a clear framework, and client interest are identified as the main barriers to a participatory SAF, while inclusivity, transparency, and knowledge advocacy are noted among the highest values. The findings highlighted the importance of ethical considerations and institutional barriers for stakeholder-driven decision-making for HERS, and potential of integrating participatory approaches into assessment frameworks. The participants' low perception of the current SAFs reiterates the necessity of this novel research. We recommend future research to explore these findings outside of the study sample, and further study how the identified implementation gaps can be addressed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107805"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global steel decarbonisation roadmaps: Near-zero by 2050
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107807
Matthew Rumsa, Michele John, Wahidul Biswas
{"title":"Global steel decarbonisation roadmaps: Near-zero by 2050","authors":"Matthew Rumsa,&nbsp;Michele John,&nbsp;Wahidul Biswas","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107807","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107807","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A valuable depth of knowledge has developed in the academic and grey literature as more voices have joined the conversation on decarbonising heavy industry. This paper analyses the current state of research through a critical review of global iron and steel decarbonisation roadmaps to 2050. The consensus among scenarios and modelled pathways is that the sector will achieve near-zero emissions, falling short of net-zero targets by around 10%. The key barriers identified include the availability of recycled scrap, limited availability of high-grade iron ore, de-risking technology investment, uncertain demand and cost gap, the availability, affordability, and reliability of renewable energy and hydrogen, skilled workforce shortages, weak policy signals, and the lack of certification and regulation for fair competition. The roadmaps focus on breakthrough technology pathways for steel producers, while emphasising the need for consistent improvements to yield, energy efficiency, secondary steelmaking, and carbon capture solutions. However, significant sustainability gaps exist in the largely carbon dioxide (CO2) focused plans, as discussion of social and environmental impacts from the raw mineral extraction, transport, use, and end-of-life stages of steelmaking are limited. Strategic international collaboration and shared responsibility are integral for decarbonising the steel value chain and achieving a just sustainability transition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107807"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Wind energy development in Latin America and the Caribbean: Risk assessment for flying vertebrates
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107798
Natalia Rebolo-Ifrán , Nicolás A. Lois , Sergio A. Lambertucci
{"title":"Wind energy development in Latin America and the Caribbean: Risk assessment for flying vertebrates","authors":"Natalia Rebolo-Ifrán ,&nbsp;Nicolás A. Lois ,&nbsp;Sergio A. Lambertucci","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107798","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107798","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Airspace fragmentation caused by human activity threatens wildlife. Wind turbines occupy a range of altitudes frequently used by many flying vertebrates, potentially leading to collisions and other adverse effects. Here, we review the impact of wind farms on birds and bats in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) and found that research is lacking, with just 22 available articles focusing on only six countries. Indirect effects, such as habitat fragmentation and barrier effects remain understudied, with most studies focusing on direct collision mortality. We identified more than 16,000 wind turbines in operation or being planned in LAC countries. Nearly half of the region's threatened bird and bat species inhabit areas with operating wind farms, including the densely wind farmed Isthmus of Tehuantepec in Mexico, the Guajira region in Colombia, and the Caribbean islands, among others. Passeriformes, followed by Psittaciformes, were the bird orders most frequently found in areas with wind turbines. Additionally, we found some migratory bat species, which are particularly prone to collision with wind turbines, were commonly associated with regions of high wind turbine density. Our results suggest that expansion of wind energy in Latin America and the Caribbean could affect several threatened species. Finally, we provide a map showing potential areas for future wind energy development and recommend conducting focused field studies on habitat use by local bird and bat species in these regions to avoid, minimize and mitigate impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107798"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132515","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Design and pricing of an option product for China's green electricity-carbon medium and long-term markets
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107804
Bin Ye , Hongjiang Pu , Yazhi Song , Jingjing Jiang
{"title":"Design and pricing of an option product for China's green electricity-carbon medium and long-term markets","authors":"Bin Ye ,&nbsp;Hongjiang Pu ,&nbsp;Yazhi Song ,&nbsp;Jingjing Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107804","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107804","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Promoting market-based reform of Green Electricity Trading (GET) and Carbon Emission Trading (CET) is a critical pathway to achieve China's ‘carbon peaking and carbon neutrality’ goals. While existing studies have explored the synergistic relationship between electricity trading and CET markets, limited attention has been paid to the role of financial derivatives in fostering deeper collaboration in the ‘Green Electricity-Carbon’ (GE-C) medium and long-term market. This study designed a tailor-made option product for the China's GE-C medium and long-term market, which selected the weighted spot price of Green Electricity (GE) and carbon allowances as the underlying asset. A modified Black-Scholes real options pricing model was developed to price the option, with the impacts of six key factors on the option premium analysed by using a numerical case study. The results indicate that the GE-C option product effectively reflects the environmental value of GE through incorporating carbon abatement costs, and enhancing the GE's market competitiveness and investment attractiveness. When the ratio of GE price to carbon allowance price ranges from 1:0.1 to 1:0.5, option premium pricing shows lower volatility. Among the factors impacting option premiums, the strike price shows the greatest impact, with higher strike prices resulting in lower premiums, while the risk-free rate has the least impact. This study provides a practical framework for electricity generation and grid enterprises to participate in market transactions, promoting the growth of the GE industry and strengthening the synergy between China's GE and CET markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107804"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Measurement and decomposition of green water resource utilization efficiency across multiple water use sectors in China: A perspective on water-saving potential
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107806
Yihu Ji , Qiting Zuo , Chenguang Zhao , Zhizhuo Zhang , Qingsong Wu
{"title":"Measurement and decomposition of green water resource utilization efficiency across multiple water use sectors in China: A perspective on water-saving potential","authors":"Yihu Ji ,&nbsp;Qiting Zuo ,&nbsp;Chenguang Zhao ,&nbsp;Zhizhuo Zhang ,&nbsp;Qingsong Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107806","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107806","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the context of current water resource shortages and global warming, a green and efficient water resource utilization mode that considers water-saving potential and carbon emissions is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality. In this study, using the carbon dioxide emission equivalent analysis (CEEA) method for water resource utilization behaviors (WRUBs), we constructed an input-output index system for green water resource utilization efficiency (GWRUE) across agricultural, industrial, domestic, and ecological sectors. A comprehensive measurement framework for GWRUE, incorporating the carbon emissions (absorption) of WRUBs, was proposed and applied to evaluate sector-specific GWRUE and comprehensive green water resource utilization efficiency (CGWRUE). Subsequently, changes in GWRUE were analyzed from the perspective of water-saving potential, and the driving factors influencing GWRUE were explored. Case studies were conducted at the subnational scale, covering 31 provinces and seven geographical regions in China. Results showed that: a) The average CGWRUE in the eastern region was higher than that in the western region. Furthermore, the average CGWRUE in the central and southern regions was lower than that in the north. b) Agricultural GWRUE surpassed that in other sectors in China. Industrial and domestic GWRUE levels were similar and relatively stable. The ecological GWRUE of each region was more dispersed than that in the other sectors. c) Agricultural water-saving potential generally exceeded that in the industrial and domestic sectors across the seven regions. The average CGWRUE of the four sectors decreased from the perspective of water-saving potential but increased from the perspective of resource water-saving potential perspective. d) The economic development level effect was found to considerably drive CGWRUE growth nationwide, with a contributing rate of 384.45 %. The water use scale effect predominantly led to a decline in CGWRUE, with a contribution rate of −270.26 %.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107806"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the resilience of social license to operate towards NIMBY facilities: A cloud model-based approach
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107808
Tao Jiang , Zhenchao Xu , Xinyao He , Bo Xia , Yongjian Ke , Martin Skitmore , Yong Liu
{"title":"Evaluating the resilience of social license to operate towards NIMBY facilities: A cloud model-based approach","authors":"Tao Jiang ,&nbsp;Zhenchao Xu ,&nbsp;Xinyao He ,&nbsp;Bo Xia ,&nbsp;Yongjian Ke ,&nbsp;Martin Skitmore ,&nbsp;Yong Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107808","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107808","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research aims to enhance the understanding of Social License to Operate (SLO) resilience in Not-In-My-Backyard (NIMBY) facilities. The dynamic nature of SLO acquisition is explored, and its implications for the relationship between industries and local communities in NIMBY contexts. Employing a systematic literature review, the study identifies indicators for SLO resilience, categorizes them through principal component analysis, and constructs an evaluation framework from diverse stakeholder perspectives. A cloud model approach is developed for SLO resilience evaluation, departing from traditional models. The study combines qualitative and quantitative methods, ensuring a comprehensive analysis of the chosen NIMBY facility. The research reveals that SLO resilience in NIMBY facilities is a complex system influenced by such factors as information disclosure, fairness, and community education. Government, community, and business resilience are essential components, with the study identifying specific indicators for each. A Quzhou case study provides valuable insights into the proposed evaluation model's practical application and validity. The findings offer actionable recommendations for stakeholders involved in NIMBY facility construction and operation. Emphasizing transparency, fairness, and strengthened legal frameworks for public participation, the study guides for improving the resilience of SLOs in the face of evolving community dynamics. It contributes to the existing literature by integrating resilience theory with the SLO concept, offering a novel perspective on social licensing in NIMBY facilities. Introducing a cloud model approach for SLO resilience evaluation adds a methodological contribution to the field. The research's value lies in its potential to guide governments and enterprises in managing NIMBY facility challenges and balancing the interests of diverse stakeholders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107808"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the sustainability of an innovative closed-loop process of mechanical recycling of agricultural stretch film from a life cycle perspective
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107800
Carlo Russo , Karolina Wiszumirska , Patrycja Wojciechowska , Giulio Mario Cappelletti , Giuseppe Martino Nicoletti , Hubert Klamecki , Agnieszka Pawlicka
{"title":"Assessing the sustainability of an innovative closed-loop process of mechanical recycling of agricultural stretch film from a life cycle perspective","authors":"Carlo Russo ,&nbsp;Karolina Wiszumirska ,&nbsp;Patrycja Wojciechowska ,&nbsp;Giulio Mario Cappelletti ,&nbsp;Giuseppe Martino Nicoletti ,&nbsp;Hubert Klamecki ,&nbsp;Agnieszka Pawlicka","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107800","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107800","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The agricultural industry widely uses polymer materials, primarily in the form of films, hoses, nets, plates, and more. Farmers frequently use linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE), one of many plastics, as stretch film for silage production. Unfortunately, inadequate disposal methods by farmers, such as incineration, burial in the ground, or landfilling, have contributed to significant environmental issues. While the local system for collection, segregation, and processing remains in its infancy, efforts are underway to develop a closed-loop system.</div><div>This study aims to analyze the technical feasibility, legitimacy, and environmental benefits of mechanically recycling stretch film used in silage production. The research focuses on the methodological aspects of performing a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) of recycled linear low-density polyethylene (rLLDPE) stretch film used in agriculture. The involvement of FOLGOS - a recycling company and silage film producer specializing in closed-loop processing of stretch film - is highlighted. This study proposes an innovative consequential approach to emphasize the advantages of managing and recycling used plastic materials in terms of reducing virgin material production.</div><div>Life cycle analysis highlights recycling improvements but demands system expansion, circularity, and material substitution for comprehensive sustainability assessment. The analysis identified critical areas affecting the environmental burden, such as transport, processing, and energy efficiency, as well as the benefits of using secondary raw materials with a known origin compared to virgin material production. The study's findings will facilitate the collection of high-quality, representative process data in the future, helping operators optimize process management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107800"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131805","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can command-and-control regulation reduce carbon emissions? Evidence from China
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107802
Wei Ouyang , Yang Zhou , Yan Wang
{"title":"Can command-and-control regulation reduce carbon emissions? Evidence from China","authors":"Wei Ouyang ,&nbsp;Yang Zhou ,&nbsp;Yan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107802","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107802","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Command-and-control environmental regulation (CMCER) serves as a powerful tool for developing countries to manage carbon output. However, controversy persists over the efficacy of environmental regulations, potentially due to the literature's limited consideration of the complex and possibly non-linear relationship between CMCER and carbon emissions. To address this issue, we integrate previous studies that highlight the complicated interactions between economic, political, and social processes and empirically examine an inverted U-shape relationship between CMCER and carbon emissions. Analyses are conducted using panel data from 280 prefecture-level cities in China, covering the period from 2006 to 2020, and employing the theory-driven STIRPAT model and threshold regression. Results reveal a reversed U-shaped connection of CMCER and carbon emissions, and the effect of CMCER has reached a phase of suppression. This study also identifies a singular threshold effect, indicating that the full potential of CMCER to reduce carbon emissions remains unexploited. Furthermore, CMCER is found to indirectly mitigate carbon emissions by upgrading industrial structures, promoting cleaner energy consumption, fostering low-carbon technological innovation, and limiting foreign direct investment. The non-linear impact of CMCER varies by region, city size, and the type of urban development. These findings highlight the importance of adapting environmental regulation policies to local contexts instead of a one-size-fits-all strategy for effective carbon emission mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107802"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A stochastic LCA model for estimating greenhouse gas emissions from federal highway construction projects in Brazil
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107801
Bruno Vendramini dos Santos, João Henrique da Silva Rêgo
{"title":"A stochastic LCA model for estimating greenhouse gas emissions from federal highway construction projects in Brazil","authors":"Bruno Vendramini dos Santos,&nbsp;João Henrique da Silva Rêgo","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107801","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107801","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In Brazil, the National Department of Transport Infrastructure (DNIT), responsible for the country's federal highways, lacks tools to assess and mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from its projects, which can be addressed through the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) methodology. Additionally, the scarcity of environmental data on key road materials, such as Portland cement, leads to using foreign databases in LCA studies conducted in Brazil, creating uncertainties in the results. The general objective of this research is to use national standards, LCA methodology, and uncertainty analysis techniques to evaluate the GHG emissions of a DNIT highway project with rigid concrete pavement. The research compares the use of environmental data from local Portland cement with its equivalent produced in the United States of America (USA) and Europe (EUR), using a calculation model developed in the study. The model covers the phases of material production, transport, and construction, presenting probabilistic results influenced by the quality of environmental data. The probabilistic analysis showed that using Brazilian cement led to the lowest mean global emissions and uncertainties among the results of the three scenarios. Environmental data from foreign types of cement resulted in increases of 7.38 % (EUR) and 12.93 % (USA) in the mean global emissions of the full project. However, the probabilistic approach to scenarios using European and American cement revealed that the qualitative parameters of their environmental data could lead to equivalent global emissions results, depending on the probability range considered in the analysis. The sensitivity analysis revealed that Portland cement plays a critical role in the full project results and individually in most of its disciplines, but this criticality can be altered depending on the qualitative properties of the environmental data. The disciplines of pavement (new and restored) and earthworks account for approximately 90 % of the project's global emissions in all scenarios. In conclusion, the research proposes a new approach to estimating GHG emissions in Brazilian federal highway projects, evaluating how variations in the quality of environmental data for a key road material affect the results of the LCA model. Finally, considerations are presented regarding improving and expanding the scope of the calculation model developed in this study, allowing for a more comprehensive and accurate analysis of the environmental impacts associated with the Brazilian federal road network.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107801"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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