PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)最新文献

Longer Parental Time and Lower Fertility Rate 育儿时间长生育率低

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3897020

Tianyu Sun, Sichao Wei

{"title":"Longer Parental Time and Lower Fertility Rate","authors":"Tianyu Sun, Sichao Wei","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3897020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3897020","url":null,"abstract":"The fertility rates in high-income countries have been lower than the replacement level for decades. We argue that the rising parental time plays an essential role in this fertility rate decline. To this end, we construct an indicator named the parental time share, which links the time use survey data and the opportunity cost of child-rearing, and modify the model of de Silva & Tenreyro (2020) by introducing endogenous parental time share. The modified model analytically shows that the increase in the parental time share depresses the fertility rate and pulls up human capital investment. The quantitative results fit the dynamics of fertility rates, human capital investments, and parental time share in the high-income countries since 1965, confirming the importance of the parental time share in shaping the demographic changes. We also extend the basic model to account for countries at all income levels, presenting a demography opportunity set that describes all the combinations of fertility rates, human capital investments, and parental time shares.div.abstract {font-size: small;margin-top: 0.7ex;margin-bottom: 0.7ex;margin-left: 3ex;margin-right: 3ex;text-align: left;}span.abstract_label {font-weight: bold;font-size: large;text-align: center;}div.abstract {margin: 4ex;}div.abstract_item {font-size: small;padding-top: 1ex;}div.abstract_label {font-weight: bold;","PeriodicalId":306953,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126391123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Association between Poverty and Mortality 贫困与死亡率之间的关系

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.20955/es.2021.26

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

引用次数: 0

Work, Leisure, and Family: From the Silent Generation to Millennials 工作、休闲和家庭:从沉默的一代到千禧一代

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.20955/r.103.385-424

George-Levi Gayle, Prasanthi Ramakrishnan, Mariana Odio Zúñiga

{"title":"Work, Leisure, and Family: From the Silent Generation to Millennials","authors":"George-Levi Gayle, Prasanthi Ramakrishnan, Mariana Odio Zúñiga","doi":"10.20955/r.103.385-424","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20955/r.103.385-424","url":null,"abstract":"This article analyzes the changes in family structure, fertility behavior, and the division of labor within the household from the Silent generation (cohort born in 1940-49) to the Millennial generation (cohort born in 1980-89). Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, this article documents the main trends and life-cycle profiles for each generation. The main findings are that (i) the wage-age profile has been shifting down over generations, especially for Millennial men; (ii) the returns to a four-year college degree or higher for men have increased for all generations; (iii) Millennials enjoy a higher level of leisure than previous generations; (iv) the housework hours for women have clearly declined over generations, while the housework hours for Millennial men are higher than those of the previous generations of men; (iv) less-educated individuals have retreated from marriage, especially Millennials, while more-educated individuals have delayed marriage; (v) divorce rates have risen, with Millennials most likely to divorce, but the longer a couple is married, the likelihood of divorce has decreased over generations; and (vi) the Millennials' completed fertility rate is likely to be the lowest among all generations.","PeriodicalId":306953,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130444216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Intrinsic and Momentum Components of World Population Growth: 1950-2020 世界人口增长的内在因素和动量因素:1950-2020

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-06-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3874699

A. Chaurasia

引用次数: 1

Cracking under Pressure? Gender Role Attitudes toward Maternal Employment in Times of a Pandemic 在压力下崩溃?大流行时期对产妇就业的性别角色态度

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3873157

Natalia Weißhaar, Mathias Huebener, C. Spieß, A. Pape, N. Siegel, Gert G. Wagner

引用次数: 8

Estimating the Population of Papua New Guinea in 2020 估计2020年巴布亚新几内亚的人口

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-01-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3770356

M. Bourke, B. Allen

引用次数: 5

зменения демографической ситуации в Российской Федерации: причины и влияние на социально экономическое развитие страны (Changes in the Demographic Situation in the Russian Federation: Causes and Impact on the Socio-Economic Development of the Country)

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2021-01-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3889027

A. Aganbegyan, L. Kleeva, N. Krotova

{"title":"зменения демографической ситуации в Российской Федерации: причины и влияние на социально экономическое развитие страны (Changes in the Demographic Situation in the Russian Federation: Causes and Impact on the Socio-Economic Development of the Country)","authors":"A. Aganbegyan, L. Kleeva, N. Krotova","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3889027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3889027","url":null,"abstract":"Russian Abstract:исследование посвящено формированию научного подхода к исследованию факторов и причин изменения демографической ситуации в России и возврата к депопуляции, а также его социально-экономических последствий с целью выработки новой государственной политики для обеспечения стабилизации и роста численности населения в новых демографических условиях. English Abstract:The study is devoted to the formation of a scientific approach to the study of the factors and causes of changes in the demographic situation in Russia and the return to depopulation, as well as its socio-economic consequences in order to develop a new state policy to ensure the stabilization and growth of the population in the new demographic conditions.","PeriodicalId":306953,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)","volume":"130 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121183940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Modernization Before Industrialization: Cultural Roots of the Demographic Transition in France 工业化之前的现代化:法国人口转型的文化根源

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3702670

G. Blanc

{"title":"Modernization Before Industrialization: Cultural Roots of the Demographic Transition in France","authors":"G. Blanc","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3702670","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3702670","url":null,"abstract":"This research identifies the origins of the early demographic transition in eighteenth-century France. A turning point in history and an essential condition for development, the demographic transition first took hold in France more than a hundred years before any other country—and this event remains one of the ''big questions of history'' because of its timing and limited data availability. My results suggest that secularization accounts for the decline in fertility. I document an important and early process of dechristianization with never-before-used data on religious beliefs across time and space. Using census data, I show a strong association between religiosity and the timing of the transition. Finally, I draw on a novel dataset crowdsourced from publicly available genealogies to study individuals at the time. In order to establish a causal interpretation, I control for time-varying unobservables with fixed effects, study the effect of religiosity before and after secularization with difference-in-differences, and exploit the choices of second-generation migrants to account for unobserved institutional factors. These findings reveal that changes in preferences and the transition away from tradition may shape development.","PeriodicalId":306953,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)","volume":"86 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124090101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 20

Covid-19 Surgical Abortion Restriction Did Not Reduce Visits to Abortion Clinics Covid-19手术流产限制并未减少堕胎诊所的访问量

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.3386/w28058

M. Andersen, Sylvia Bryan, David J. G. Slusky

引用次数: 12

Intergenerational Consequences of Births to Unmarried Women 未婚妇女生育的代际影响

PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-06-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3628844

D. W. Rasmussen

{"title":"Intergenerational Consequences of Births to Unmarried Women","authors":"D. W. Rasmussen","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3628844","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3628844","url":null,"abstract":"Births to unmarried women have increased 10-fold, from about four percent in 1960 to 40 percent in 2018. Apart from teenagers, women of every age, race and ethnic group, and education level have contributed to this trend. A substantial literature reveals that children raised in two parent households fare better in life than those in any other household configuration. Many unmarried mothers inadvertently raise disadvantaged children, which is partly the product of low income that is common in non-traditional households. Exacerbating the effects of low income for these households are problems associated with family stress, household instability, and fewer parenting resources. The result is a tragedy for the children which also imposes high social costs. In 2020 about 20 percent of the prime age labor force, aged 25-54, was born to an unmarried woman. By 2050 it will be almost 40 percent. Their lower productivity undermines the social safety net that supports older Americans and is likely to increase the poverty rate when they retire even if Social Security benefits are sustained at the current level. High quality pre-school education programs that might improve the life chances of these children are explored as are vocational education and apprenticeship programs that target teens and young adults. Improving the marriage market might reduce the incidence of births to unmarried women. The corona-19 pandemic revealed how widespread economic insecurity is in the United States. Institutional reform that guarantees medical care, standard housing, and high quality day care for all citizens could relieve this insecurity with substantial benefits to children raised in non-traditional households.","PeriodicalId":306953,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Population & Family Planning (Topic)","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121390908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1