Economics Ecology Socium最新文献

{"title":"Analysis and Assessment of Human Capital in the Regions of Slovakia","authors":"Olena Plaksiuk, Oleksandr Yakushev, Oksana Yakusheva, Larysa Moisieienko","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-2","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The human capital of any country is a priority factor of national wealth and well-being, as it creates the necessary potential in knowledge, experience and skills of people. It also accelerates intellectual and technical progress in society and strengthens a country's international competitiveness. The international experience in human capital formation confirms the importance of intellectual potential, education quality, and the need to accumulate it. The major reason for concentrating the human capital is the growing role of the population`s social protection and providing favourable conditions for personal and overall country development.
 Aim and tasks. The aim of the study is to develop a comprehensive approach to the analysis and evaluation of human capital by identifying its main components in the Slovakian regions. The average multivariate method was used for the research, considering the dynamics of the economic development indicator.
 Results. Based on the proposed algorithm for human capital analysis, an assessment of the human capital development level in Slovakian regions was carried out using the average multivariate method, considering intellectual, educational, physical, science, and innovative capital. The calculations and comparative graphic analysis for the period 2018-2020 revealed a close connection between the dynamics of GDP and human capital development, which can be traced in each region of Slovakia. The change in GDP in the calculation period is proportional to the change in human capital assessment indicators. The synchronicity in the graph`s dynamics of the average multidimensional indicators of GDP and human capital in Slovakia for the period 2018-2020 is graphically substantiated. This confirms that the indicators selected for analysis and evaluation indicate a stable connection between investments in the individual components of human capital and the country's economic development.
 Conclusions. The analysis and assessment show that Slovakia has significant reserves for human capital development, which must be realized by implementing institutional changes both at the national and regional levels. This can be realized through the implementation of state programs to support youth, increase the level of funding, develop a business incentive system, and activate people’s creative potential. The methodology of the analysis and the proposed measures will help improve the level of human capital in the country. A set of measures to improve the efficiency of the use and development of a country's human capital was proposed.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136247771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Strategy Selection of Healthcare Sector Development and Risk Management of its Implementation","authors":"Іhor Shyshka, Sholpan Shalbayeva","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-7","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The topic of this study is the necessity to implement all stages of strategic planning for health sphere development, such as analysis of the internal and external environment, selection of a specific strategy for further development, and identification and management of risks associated with the implementation of the chosen strategy.
 Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to justify a comprehensive strategy for health sphere development based on the results of SWOT analysis, the characteristics of its main components, the identification of fundamental and specific risks of its implementation, and the development of their minimization directions.
 Results. The study offers an application of recovery, restructuring, and reengineering strategies based on a SWOT analysis of the health sector in Ukraine. It offers cost management and risk management strategies as additional strategies. This study analyzes the fundamental and specific risks of health sector strategic development based on expert assessments. It determines that socio-political (weighted score of 7.28 points), personnel (7.94 points), and production and financial risks (7.67 points) pose the greatest threat in 2023. In addition, social and political risks tend to increase during the next two years to 7.67 points, personnel risks to 8.12 points, and production and financial risks could decrease to 6.39 points.
 Conclusions. The strategy of functioning of socio-economic system could be chosen under both favorable and unfavorable external and internal conditions; the implementation of the recovery strategy is appropriate for solving the problem of unsatisfactory regulatory and legal support for functioning of industry; restructuring strategy envisages the implementation of organizational, economic, technological and social transformations aimed at improving quality of medical services and managing the assets of medical institutions; the implementation of reengineering strategy creates the necessary prerequisites for a fundamental rethinking of essence, tasks, techniques and methods of marketing activity of medical institutions in general, as well as the development of effective solutions for the formation and implementation of their assortment, communication and service policy in particular.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Management of Cryptocurrency Transactions from Accounting Aspects","authors":"Andrii Makurin, Andrii Maliienko, Olena Tryfonova, Lyudmyla Masina","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-3","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. An analysis of approaches to accounting for transactions with cryptocurrency states that the development of digital technologies and virtual markets has revealed a lack of readiness for the accounting display of such assets because there is no single approach to accounting for cryptocurrency transactions. Various regulatory documents have proposed considering cryptocurrency as an object that can be stocks, financial investments, monetary means, or intangible assets. Therefore, there is a need to determine exactly what cryptocurrency should be considered and which financial accounts should be displayed in the future.
 Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to identify the main characteristics of cryptocurrencies, which will help identify them as accounting objects. Based on this, it is necessary to study the main approaches to the display of such assets on financial accounts and to determine in which operations cryptocurrency can be used, and how to identify it.
 Results. It is established that the generation of cryptocurrency is affected by the approach of the miner, as he can generate new cryptocurrency, and all incurred costs are included in the cost price and form the initial value of the mined coin. However, if a miner can mine cryptocurrency using already existing technology, then the initial value must be capitalized on account 154 “Purchase (creation) of intangible assets” to form the initial value (cost). The identification criteria are as follows: receiving economic benefits, the sale operation will be completed, according to which cryptocurrency can be considered as reserves. The content of the operations (increase or decrease in exchange rate, formation of reports, etc.) for which cryptocurrency should be revalued on the relevant balance sheet date is given.
 Conclusions. Cryptocurrency can be considered a stock or an intangible asset. Modern blockchain technology affects accounting science by using triple rather than double recordings. This adds a level of entry, a cryptographic stamp with all transactions, and proves, however, that the interested parties (accountant, client, tax authorities, and auditor) will have an identical copy of the “ledger”. After achieving cryptocurrency price stability, such an asset can be used during international transactions, as it is more often used for speculative gains.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Branch Structure of the National Economy and Directions of its Optimization in the Post-War Period","authors":"Olha Khaietska, Оlena Holovnia, Tetiana Pavlyuk, Larysa Osipova","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-1","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The war in Ukraine caused significant damage to the economy, but also provided many new opportunities, made adjustments to the paradigm of post-war economic development, in particular, in view of the need to rebuild industries and ensure the reliability of their operation in the future, the variability of logistics supply routes. The complexity of post-war reconstruction is aggravated by the fact that Ukraine must modernize the defense industry and, at the same time, reduce the country's budget deficit, which requires an increase in budget revenues. The radical changes necessary for this will require optimization of the sectoral structure of the country's economy.
 Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to create a methodological approach to the sectoral optimization of the national economy in the post-war period and, for this, to develop a structural-mathematical model, determine priority areas of development of branches, and mechanisms of structural optimization of branch development.
 Results. A methodological approach to sectoral optimization of the national economy in the post-war period was developed, in which a structural-mathematical model was implemented. To optimize the industry structure, the use of a \"trigger\" mechanism is proposed: when the stimulation of the development of individual projects in high-tech industries leads to the rapid development of adjacent sectors of the economy, The need for comprehensive use of intensive and extensive mechanisms of post-war economic restructuring is indicated due to the specifics of the development of industries, the significant industry differentiation of damages and losses, and the need for expenses for the transformation and restructuring of industries. A diversification approach with the selection of short-, medium-, and long-term industry strategies was proposed.
 Conclusions. The developed mathematical model allows for the combination of sectoral optimization strategies of the economy and optimization coordination of sectoral strategies at the national level. An assessment of the costs of reconstruction and industry transformation was carried out, and the application of internal financing mechanisms, in particular, an increase in the level of added value, was substantiated. The mathematical model illustrates the possibility of maximizing the added value. Considering this, directions for industry optimization and prerequisites for restoration, reconstruction, and optimization of the industry structure in the post-war period are proposed. The given areas of industry-wide impact of the trigger mechanism indicate the prospects of its introduction.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Management of the Behaviour of the Company’s Personnel Based on Corporate Culture","authors":"Jing Zhao, Alina Brychko","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-6","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. A high degree of integration of management activities with information systems enables the use of corporate culture’s potential. Due to the multifactorial nature of external and internal influences and the significant dynamics of changes in factors to increase the effectiveness of managing the behavior of the company's personnel based on corporate culture, management needs specialized information systems for support and decision-making. The effectiveness of the implementation of such systems largely depends on their mathematical core and the efforts of management to adapt the staff to the conscious use of all the opportunities provided by information technologies by the staff.
 Aim and tasks. The aim of the study is to develop a mathematical model of personnel management behavior based on corporate culture and the stratification of personnel by local groups for the subsequent stratification of assessment factors and management tools.
 Results. A mathematical model of personnel behavior management based on corporate culture has been developed to stratify personnel by local groups and, on this basis, stratification of evaluation factors and tools for managing the behavior of these groups of employees was carried out. The results of the mathematical model implementation were stratified. Factors that contribute to the effectiveness of managing the behavior of a company's personnel were identified. Informal methods and tools for moral motivation have also been identified. This indicates that a sudden decrease in the level of interactive communication among personnel might be a sign of their passive resistance to management actions. The fragmentation of the level of interactive communication by local teams is proposed as an indicator of a decrease in the effectiveness of managing the behavior of personnel in interdisciplinary teams.
 Conclusions. The developed mathematical model avoids management decisions that contradict the principles of corporate culture, resulting in a negative result from their implementation. The mathematical formalization of management decisions will contribute to the awareness of these decisions by the team as objective decisions, and can be used for the moral motivation of the staff. This allows employees to specify themselves as members of a single team and evaluate their career opportunities in a relevant manner.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Theoretical and Empirical Models of Organizational Learning Processes in Knowledge Management","authors":"Aryna Frumkina","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-5","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. This study undertakes a comprehensive exploration of existing instructional organizational models, spanning various disciplines within contemporary educational theory and knowledge management practice. The core objective is to propose an all-encompassing model tailored specifically to the preparation of future educational managers. This model places a significant emphasis on integrated educational strategies, further enriched by the integration of organizational learning processes in the context of knowledge management.
 Aim and tasks. This study critically examines established models of organizational learning processes with the goal of developing a tailored model for training future educational managers. The goal is to equip aspiring educational managers with integrated didactic skills based on analyses of existing educational models that include concept analysis, model evaluation, and theoretical framework establishment.
 Result. Organizational learning principles drive data-driven refinement, collaborative cross-disciplinary strategies, and leadership development. Sharing best practices enhances strength, whereas iterative feedback processes mitigate its limitations. This dynamic framework encourages adaptable education, fostering continuous improvement in teaching methods, curricula, and managerial training for a sustained educational evolution. Leveraging insights from existing models, the primary aim is to establish an instructional framework that seamlessly integrates a diverse range of content. Notably, the suggested model for training educational managers integrates teaching methodologies, character development, and methodological support for cultivating cultural learning skills, all underpinned by organizational learning processes within the domain of knowledge management. Furthermore, this integrated model incorporates progressive learning objectives that progressively increase in complexity and span the methodologies and resources employed to ensure effective learning outcomes based on comprehensive feature assessment techniques that gauge understanding and competencies.
 Conclusions. This study navigates the landscape of models, culminating in the proposal of an integrated framework that caters to comprehensive aspiring training. This model facilitates the harmonious amalgamation of various subjects, and proficiencies introduce organizational learning processes within the domain of knowledge management. By fostering a multidisciplinary and holistic approach, this model equips future educators with the multifaceted demands of modern primary education while adequately managing knowledge within their organizational contexts.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344883","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessment of Compliance to the Market Environment of the Institutional Economic Mechanism of Maritime Transport Operation","authors":"Andrey Grimalyk, Sergiy Salenko, Nadezhda Tsvetkova, Viktor Koval","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-4","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. When analyzing the dynamics of the current situation, it is important to consider the institutional cycle, which is clearly manifested in the long-term economic development of maritime transport and international trade. Owing to the institutional nature of this cycle, an institutional-economic mechanism that is adequate for one of its phases may be inadequate for another historical phase. Therefore, for an objective assessment of the compliance of the institutional-economic mechanism of maritime transport in general economic situations, full consideration of the specific historical stage of the institutional cycle is of fundamental importance.
 Aim and tasks. This study aims to combine the neo-institutional approach with a fundamental analysis of the processes of globalization and localization to develop a scientific basis for an objective assessment of the compliance of the institutional-economic mechanism of sea transport with the economic situation.
 Results. The methodology of the transactional approach was used to examine informational influence on the economic choice of subjects in the maritime transportation market through an organized search for alternative options for market operations. The application of macro-marketing in the field of maritime transport made it possible to determine the possibility of reducing the level of information costs of economic entities in this field by 35–40% and the overall level of transaction costs by 2-3% and significantly increasing the profits of companies.
 Conclusions. The assessment of the compliance of the institutional and economic mechanism of sea transport in general economic situations is related to both the neo-institutional version of the transactional analysis and the theory and practice of macro-marketing, in accordance with the new historical conditions associated with the crisis of globalization and the tendency to localize production. Application of the transactional approach to the informational influence on the economic choice of subjects of the maritime transport market testified that not so much market prices for transport services in themselves can become a tool for indirect control through prices, but information about them as a basis for optimizing the functioning of the entire economic system of maritime transport due to the relative reduction of uncertainty.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135426123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Development Management of Interbank Competition in the Corporate Lending Market","authors":"D. Kretov, Olena Mindova, Bakytbek Aitaliev, Artem Koldovskyi","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-7","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The effective functioning of the banking sector is a prerequisite for the economy development   and one of the main sources of providing monetary resources for economic activity of entrepreneurship, regardless of ownership forms and spheres of management. The urgent problem of business development today is the lack of own financial resources for economic activity and a significant reduction in corporate bank lending. Therefore, it is relevant to study and solve the problems of renewing lending by banks to the corporate sector at the present time, taking into account the prevention of the increase in the level of credit risk. \u0000Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to manage the development of interbank competition in the corporate lending market based on a study of the bank lending state to corporate clients and further prospects in the absence of an accurate forecast of the economic situation in Ukraine. \u0000Results. The analysis of the dynamics of the bank lending total volume to business in 2022-2023 and the structure of the provided corporate loans showed that since mid-2022 there has been a tendency to decrease the volume of loans to entrepreneurship, which is caused by a decrease in demand from borrowers and an increase in the cost of credit from banks. In addition, more than 70% of the loans provided are concentrated in five larger banks in Ukraine, including 4 state-owned ones, preferential lending to businesses with state support prevails. To further assess the development of corporate bank lending, a prediction of lending volumes for 2023 was carried out, which made it possible to establish that lending volumes by banks of non-financial corporations have a forecast downward trend. \u0000Conclusions.  Recommendations for improving corporate bank lending processes are proposed, namely: development of credit policy directions that will prevent a new crisis of confidence in banks and the banking system; development of measures that will prevent the curtailment of preferential targeted lending programs; developing measures to reduce the level of non-performing loans and solving the problem of lowering the cost of financing sources.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76619314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analysis of the Economic and Environmental Policy of Ukrainian Defence Industry Enterprises","authors":"O. Zakharchenko, N. Shmatko, I. Chmutova, Lesia Votiakova","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-8","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The regulation of economic and environmental impacts of the entire military-industrial complex is a cross-sectoral and international problem. At the same time, research in this area is rather fragmented, which reduces the effectiveness of systematic reviews of the security and defence sector in the context of the green economy. The relevance of the issue of greening the defence industry is significantly enhanced by the need to regulate and operate domestic defence industries in the context of the country's military operations. \u0000Aim and tasks. The aim of the study is to substantiate the economic mechanism for regulating the greening of enterprises of the defence industry of Ukraine. \u0000Results. The economic and environmental security requirements for defence industry enterprises are studied, as the activity of polluting sources of enterprises, including defence enterprises in Ukraine, has generally decreased, in 2021, emissions of pollutants into the atmosphere from stationary sources decreased by 9.0% compared to 2020, to almost 2.2 million tonnes, ammunition was disposed of (235.29 thousand tonnes of ammunition were disposed of from 2014 to 2020) and liquid rocket fuel (16.7 thousand tonnes of melange). In 2021, enterprises, organisations and institutions spent UAH 41.3 billion on environmental protection, compared to UAH 43.7 billion in 2020. Of the total environmental costs in 2021, 68% were current expenses and 32% were capital investments. The strategic directions of greening the defence industry enterprises have been identified, including the introduction of resource-saving technologies, environmental monitoring of environmental impact and reduction of the negative impact of the defence industry units. \u0000Conclusion. The realisation of the greening potential will help protect the country's natural resource potential under the influence of the defence industry. A system of measures should be developed to ensure the protection and restoration of natural systems at a certain cost. Given the importance of the defence industry for the country in the context of current external threats and armed conflicts in certain parts of the territory, it is necessary to develop a strategic vision of environmental security with the involvement of all relevant organisations and taking into account the degree of responsibility and motivation for eco-oriented management.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85892683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Retrospective Statistical Study of Dependencies in The Formation of Tourist Flows","authors":"L. Cherchyk, S. Begun, N. Khumarova, Ganna Kuvika","doi":"10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.2-3","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The activity of tourism establishments takes place in conditions of intense competition and changing dynamics of the tourism market influenced by various factors. The phenomenon of tourism lies in its complexity and high sensitivity to changes in the external environment. In order to determine the directions for the development of the tourism industry, it is necessary to understand the factors that influence the formation of tourist flows and forecast their changes in the defined perspective, which justifies the relevance of applying statistical research methods. \u0000Aim and tasks. The aim of the study: based on statistical information and methods of statistical analysis, to identify the dynamics of changes in tourist flows during specific periods of the new reality and to refute or confirm the hypotheses put forward in the research. Main tasks are: to identify periods of new reality characterized by special conditions of tourist flows formation; to formulate research hypotheses; to identify features of major trends in tourist flows for confirmation or refutation of the proposed hypotheses. \u0000Results. According to the developed methodology, periods were identified according to one leading feature that could form the trend of tourist activity in Ukraine for: the period of development of stabilization and economic growth (2000-2008); the period of coverage of the economic crisis and its relative overcoming (2009-2013); Anti-Terrorist Operation (ATO) period and subsequent stabilization of economic growth (2014-2019); period of the COVID-19 pandemic, economic downturn, isolation (2020-2021); martial law (since February 24, 2022). The periods identified in the study formed excellent conditions for tourism, which affected the volume of tourist flows, as a result of which the forecast indicators will not correspond to the actual ones. Domestic tourism flows are more influenced by GDP per person, while outbound tourism flows are more influenced by available income per person. \u0000Conclusions. The applied methods of mathematical forecasting allowed for the verification of the hypotheses regarding the causes that influenced or did not influence tourist flows as the resulting indicator. The general outcome of the research is the confirmation of the hypotheses proposed, which position the tourism industry as particularly susceptible to the influences of various factors that can significantly impact tourism activity both in the context of tourist flow formation and the priorities of tourism enterprises' operations.","PeriodicalId":29705,"journal":{"name":"Economics Ecology Socium","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74727464","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}