{"title":"Adaptation of Capacity Expansion Optimization Models to Study Impacts of Electrification of Heat Supply and Transport on the Low-Carbon Development of the Power Sector","authors":"A. Khorshev, A. Solyanik","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934382","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934382","url":null,"abstract":"The possible ways to improve capacity expansion optimization models for planning the development of power systems to study the optimal scale of electrification of the end-use sector under strict climatic restrictions are considered. The approach to modeling the electricity and capacity balances taking into account the long-term elasticity of demand through the technologies of centralized electric heating and automobile electric transport is shown as well.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116528799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Problem of Automating Economic Modelling","authors":"I. Kamenev, Zhukova Aleksandra","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934575","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934575","url":null,"abstract":"In the article we describe the problem of automating the modeling of complex systems based on agent models. Diffi-culties arising in the description of agency tasks, their matching and research are discussed. We substantiate the necessity of automating checks with feedback on arising errors. We propose the general algorithm for automated processing of agents' models.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132913799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maksim B. Polyakov, V. Ivashchenko, Konstantin I. Shuvalov
{"title":"Model for Predicting the Main Indicators of Road Transport System Safety","authors":"Maksim B. Polyakov, V. Ivashchenko, Konstantin I. Shuvalov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934121","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934121","url":null,"abstract":"This article considers a set of mathematical models based on the system-dynamic approach. We have developed a set of interrelated models of system dynamics, which makes it possible to predict the leading indicators of road safety in Russia. We selected indicators based on regulatory documents of the State Traffic Inspectorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia. The results will be used to improve the software for traffic control systems.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133292165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessments the Impact of the Central Bank Decisions on the Factors of Economic Activity Using Expert Data","authors":"V. Gusev, N. Isaeva","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934765","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934765","url":null,"abstract":"We considered the procedures and results of the expert analysis of the mutual influence of the factors of the monetary policy of the Central Bank and the indicators of economic activity. A set of primitive relationships considered the estimates of which expert means set in order to obtain impact estimates. Indirect influences we evaluated using the transitive closure of primitive connections, performed by the reflexive procedures that use recalculation operations.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125285618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comparative Analysis of Control Strategies for a Mathematical Model of Glioma Drug","authors":"Olga Tkacheva, M. Vinogradova, A. Utkin","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934718","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934718","url":null,"abstract":"The paper considers a mathematical model of drug therapy for glioma without taking into account spatial diffusion. For the glioma model, two control strategies are compared: re-duction to a canonical controlled form, feedback linearization as a control, and application of a block approach using discontinuous controls.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132542338","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On Some Problems in the Investment Sphere","authors":"E. Vinogradova","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934295","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934295","url":null,"abstract":"The article summarizes some data from authoritative sources on the problems of investment activity, both primary and specific, characteristic of certain types of investments.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133686994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sanctions and Modeling of the Financial Stability of Companies","authors":"V. Akinfiev","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934397","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934397","url":null,"abstract":"The problem of modeling the consequences of economic sanctions for companies is considered. The introduction of economic sanctions against the economy of a country leads to a sharp change in the conditions of economic activity and business of companies. Companies have to adapt to the “new reality”, make non-standard management decisions and support measures. Under these conditions, the task of studying the impact of sanctions on the financial stability and solvency of companies becomes relevant. Another important task is to model and evaluate the effects of various countermeasures aimed at maintaining financial stability. It is shown that in the context of the application of sanctions, the direct method based on dynamic modeling of the company's financial indicators and cash flows is preferable to the indirect method based on the calculation of a set of coefficients using statistical data. The article describes software tools for building a production and financial model of a company based on the TEO-INVEST software package. An illustrative example shows the methodology for using it to predict the dynamics of the financial performance of an enterprise and the choice of management decisions.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133766963","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Non-finite methods of Reconstructions of Non-Classical Propositional Logic Variants based on the Theory of Structures in Control Problems of Complex Systems","authors":"A. V. Titov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934565","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934565","url":null,"abstract":"The report explores the problem of developing a common base of mathematical support for the problem of modeling control systems for objects of great complexity. The problem of reconstructing variants of propositional logic based on structures whose elements are considered as truth values of formulas of reconstructed variants of propositional logic is considered. The reconstruction is based on the assumption that there is a homomorphism from the algebra of logic to the algebra of truth values. In the proposed version of the semantic approach to the classification of formal logical calculus as a result of the interaction of various logical moments, this interaction takes the form of an interconnection of algebraic structures on which the values of “judgments” take values, different types of measures on these structures and equivalence relations associated with them.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133509522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Selection of the Comparative Evaluation Method of the Effectiveness of the Insurance Company Branches","authors":"A. Kozlov, N. Noga","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934192","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934192","url":null,"abstract":"The authors propose the comparative analysis of the various ranking methods usage to determine the effectiveness of the branches of an extensive insurance company. In turn, the effectiveness of the branches is considered in terms of dependence on various indicators of the insurance company activity.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"59 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115289323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mathematical Model of the Neurocomputer Interface Based on the Activity Paradigm","authors":"Ya. A. Turovskii, S. Borzunov, A. Vakhtin","doi":"10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934519","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9934519","url":null,"abstract":"Under the system of human-machine interaction (we will further designate it by the word “system”), we will understand the totality of three interconnected components: a person (computer user), a computer and an BCI. The BCI includes a software and hardware complex (SHC) and information coming from the brain, most often in the form of electrical signals - electroencephalograms (EEG). The SHC currently operates mainly on the principle of “stimulus - reaction”, the stimulus is a signal coming from the user, in response to it, the software of the SHC provides the generation of a certain reaction. This procedure corresponds to the reactivity paradigm. At the same time, in the vast majority of cases, when the SHC was replaced by a human expert, the interface operation turned out to be more efficient. Therefore, it can be assumed that the use of the paradigm used by experts in the system contributes to improving the results of its work.","PeriodicalId":295604,"journal":{"name":"2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116565848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}