Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019)最新文献

On Making a Decision to Correct the Learner Behavior Based on the Signals of their Electroencephalograms When Organizing Interaction with an Anthropomorphic Teacher-Assistant Robot 组织与拟人助教机器人互动时，基于脑电图信号的学习者行为纠正决策

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.013

M. Stepanov, V. Musatov, I. Egorov, S. Pchelintzeva, A. V. Stepanov

引用次数: 1

Random Graph Models and Their Application to Twitter Network Analysis 随机图模型及其在Twitter网络分析中的应用

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.016

Kirill Shaposnikov, I. Sagaeva, A. Grigoriev, A. Faizliev, A. Vlasov

引用次数: 2

Risk Management of a Commercial Bank’s Project Portfolio through Simulation 基于模拟的商业银行项目组合风险管理

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.011

Z. Usmanova, A. Khanova

{"title":"Risk Management of a Commercial Bank’s Project Portfolio through Simulation","authors":"Z. Usmanova, A. Khanova","doi":"10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.011","url":null,"abstract":"The authors build a simulation model focused on the risk management of a commercial bank’s project portfolio with a detailed description of the relevant methodology. The paper explores the logic of the simulation algorithm which is the logical structure of the system functioning model. It obtains insights into the structure and interrelations of submodels in the simulation model of a commercial bank’s project portfolio. The authors analyze the identified stochastic factors. The research selects probability distributions for each of the chosen random factors and explores the core processes of the simulation model for the project portfolio of a commercial bank. It describes the components forming the submodels using various presentation methods. The results of the research work are: determined relationships between banking project risk types (input parameters) and the cumulative risk of a commercial bank’s project portfolio (resultant indicator), calculation of the cumulative risk in a commercial bank’s project portfolio through simulation, completed experiments with the model based on the factorial design.","PeriodicalId":287734,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019)","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114777173","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Mechanism and Model for Decision-Making in Credit Risk Management 信用风险管理决策机制与模型

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.007

E. Orlova

引用次数: 0

System Approach and Simulation Modeling for Innovative Projects Efficiency 创新项目效率的系统方法与仿真建模

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.005

E. Orlova

引用次数: 0

Students’ Wage Expectations. Dynamic Analysis 学生的工资预期。动态分析

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.008

Marina Telezhkina, A. Maksimov, Nataliya V. Maksimova

引用次数: 0

Simulation of the Structure of Bond Issuer’s Obligations Fulfillment: A Case of Sub-Federal Bonds 债券发行人义务履行结构的模拟:以次级联邦债券为例

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.003

Yulia Semernina, A. Yakunina, E. Ermakova, S. Yakunin, E. V. Zhegalova, E. Korobov

引用次数: 0

Computer Modeling Algorithm Development of the Innovative Project Effectiveness Evaluation 创新项目有效性评价的计算机建模算法开发

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.010

E. Makarova, A. Firsova

{"title":"Computer Modeling Algorithm Development of the Innovative Project Effectiveness Evaluation","authors":"E. Makarova, A. Firsova","doi":"10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.010","url":null,"abstract":"The main purpose of this research is to develop methodological support and economic and mathematical tools for managing and evaluating the effectiveness of innovative projects based on binomial models of real options. The subject of the study is a computer program algorithm for using the binomial model of real options and a model for phased risk assessment of innovative projects portfolios on this basis. The scientific hypothesis of the research is based on the need for the economic and mathematical toolkit developed for the innovative project and allows increasing the accuracy of the assessment when analyzing projects, which is very important when it comes to innovative projects with a high degree of uncertainty. The novelty of the approach consists of the possibility for the consideration of innovative projects from the perspective of multi-stage and multi-scenarios, as well as the use of binomial models using the theory of real options and a phased risk assessment model for innovative project portfolios and their implementation as a software product. The authors proposed technical and economic project efficiency evaluation of the market potential of the project results with a high level of probability in the form of a software package. The results of the study have empirical value for the research results, and application in practice of analyzing investment projects will help improve the accuracy of estimates and justify the feasibility of investor participation in innovative projects.","PeriodicalId":287734,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130706339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Software and Hardware Complex of Anthropomorphic Type Robot as an Assistant for a Teacher. Decision-Making Subsystem Using Multiscale Entropy Analysis of EEG Signals 拟人型机器人作为教师助手的软硬件综合体。基于多尺度熵分析的脑电信号决策子系统

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.014

T. V. Yakovleva, I. E. Kutepov, A. Krysko, M. Stepanov, T. Y. Yaroshenko, N. P. Erofeev, O. Saltykova, M. Zhigalov, I. Papkova, V. Krysko, N. M. Yakovlev, A. Karas

{"title":"Software and Hardware Complex of Anthropomorphic Type Robot as an Assistant for a Teacher. Decision-Making Subsystem Using Multiscale Entropy Analysis of EEG Signals","authors":"T. V. Yakovleva, I. E. Kutepov, A. Krysko, M. Stepanov, T. Y. Yaroshenko, N. P. Erofeev, O. Saltykova, M. Zhigalov, I. Papkova, V. Krysko, N. M. Yakovlev, A. Karas","doi":"10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.014","url":null,"abstract":"The paper presents research on the use of the results of the analysis of signals of brain activity of students for decisionmaking in educational robotics. Signals of brain activity were obtained using electroencephalograms (EEG). Assessment of the state of the student was carried out on the basis of the multiscale entropy. The object of the study was a man aged 17 years who was diagnosed with focal (structural) epilepsy, mesial sclerosis on the left and focal cortical dysplasia of the left temporal lobe and a control group. Comparison of the results of entropy estimates was carried out in the form of topographic images. Topographic images of the surface of the head are obtained on the basis of a spherical spline. The study showed that multiscale entropy of EEG signals can be a useful tool in the classification of patients with epilepsy and the control group. It is anticipated that such an analysis will be useful for early detection of neurological changes. The use of multiscale entropy in educated robotics as a means of obtaining objective information will help increase objectivity in decision-making in the choice of educational technologies to improve the quality of the educational process.","PeriodicalId":287734,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019)","volume":"31 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114012774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Statistics of Individual Tests for Market Graph Identification in Market Network 市场网络中市场图识别的个体检验统计

Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Computer Modelling in Decision Making (CMDM 2019) Pub Date : 2019-12-12 DOI: 10.2991/ahcs.k.191206.009

P. Koldanov

引用次数: 1