Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-19DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02135-6
Tongshuo Bai, Yi Wang, Jun Deng, Yunpeng Qiu, Haotian Zhang, Steven J. Hall, Yi Zhang, Shuijin Hu
{"title":"Trade-offs between soil inorganic and organic carbon driven by multiple global environmental changes","authors":"Tongshuo Bai, Yi Wang, Jun Deng, Yunpeng Qiu, Haotian Zhang, Steven J. Hall, Yi Zhang, Shuijin Hu","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02135-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02135-6","url":null,"abstract":"Dryland ecosystems store large amounts of both soil organic and inorganic carbon, yet the responses of soil inorganic carbon to global environmental change remain largely overlooked despite the potential vulnerability of this carbon pool. Here we aim to determine how soil inorganic and organic carbon respond to multiple global change drivers (warming, reactive nitrogen input and altered precipitation) using an 8-year field manipulation experiment in a semi-arid grassland and a meta-analysis based on 44 observations. We found that altered precipitation has no effect on soil inorganic carbon, but warming and nitrogen input interactively affect it. Specifically, nitrogen input alone does not affect soil inorganic carbon, but it increases soil inorganic carbon loss (~9.1%) when combined with climate warming. This inorganic carbon loss co-occurs with enhanced microbial nitrogen mineralization and nitrification, suggesting that enhancement of proton production due to nitrification controls soil inorganic carbon dissolution and persistence. Furthermore, both the field study and meta-analysis show that nitrogen input and/or warming induce contrasting changes in soil inorganic and organic carbon, suggesting a trade-off between soil inorganic and organic carbon under these two major global change drivers. These results highlight the need to account for the vulnerability of soil inorganic carbon when predicting dryland carbon dynamics under future climate change scenarios.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149218127","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-16DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02123-w
C. Y. Fu,M. B. Osman,M. A. Aquino-López
{"title":"Palaeoclimate constraints narrow uncertainty in future Arctic winter sea ice projections","authors":"C. Y. Fu,M. B. Osman,M. A. Aquino-López","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02123-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02123-w","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Arctic sea ice decline has been observed across all seasons and is projected to continue in the future. Relative to historical observations, climate models show their largest biases and uncertainties during winter, when ice cover strongly regulates air–sea heat exchange, ocean mixing and atmospheric circulation. Palaeoclimate records offer opportunities to evaluate model performance beyond the historical period, but applications have remained largely qualitative. Here we compile an Arctic-wide database of mid-Holocene (5–7 thousand years ago) biomarkers to assess sea ice simulations of this past warm period. Using a recently developed proxy system model, we present a Bayesian palaeoclimate model weighting scheme that refines the multi-model mean winter sea ice extent through fully quantitative proxy-model comparisons, accounting for model interdependence and non-stationary proxy seasonality. We demonstrate that, by adjusting the contribution of each model to the ensemble mean based on proxy evidence, model weights can eliminate biases and reduce uncertainties by 85%, to the level of interannual variability. Weighted projections using the same climate models indicate that future winter sea ice extent may be nearly 1 million km 2 lower than prior estimates across forthcoming decades and possible emissions scenarios, with broad implications for Arctic ecosystems, mid-latitude weather, and cryosphere stability.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-14DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02119-6
Hugo Moreira,Emilie Bruand,Craig Storey,James Darling,Mike Fowler,Marine Cotte,Fleurice Parat,Lorraine Tual,Bruno Dhuime
{"title":"Progressive oxidative weathering raised sub-arc mantle fugacity on the Archaean Earth","authors":"Hugo Moreira,Emilie Bruand,Craig Storey,James Darling,Mike Fowler,Marine Cotte,Fleurice Parat,Lorraine Tual,Bruno Dhuime","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02119-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02119-6","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In the modern Earth, sub-arc mantle oxygen fugacity is intrinsically associated with addition of sulfur species by slab fluids. However, it is unclear to what extent recycling of volatiles controlled redox changes of the sub-arc mantle in the early Earth. Here we use sulfur K-edge micro-X-ray absorption near-edge structure spectroscopy to measure the relative abundances of S 6+ , S 4+ and S 2− in apatite inclusions hosted by geochemically characterized and dated zircons from sub-arc sanukitoid magmas that span 3.4 billion years of Earth’s geological history. The sub-arc mantle shows marked increase in oxygen fugacity between 3.4 and 3.0 billion years ago (Ga). It is substantially more oxidized than unaltered ambient upper mantle, a characteristic that cannot be explained by fractionation, degassing or intrinsic mantle processes. We propose that progressive oxidative weathering enhanced the proportion of oxidized sulfur recycled to mantle wedge sources, establishing feedback between subduction of surface materials and incrementally oxidized arc magmatism. Early subduction involving inorganic oxidation and ‘whiffs’ of oxygen between 3.4 and 2.7 Ga may have regulated an early increase in fugacity of the sub-arc mantle before the Great Oxidation Event, matching similar conditions to the modern Earth by 2.1 Ga.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"185 23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-12DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02125-8
Jinling Piao,Jong-Seong Kug,Wen Chen,Mi-Kyung Sung,Shangfeng Chen,Zhikai Wang,Qingyu Cai,Danbi Lee
{"title":"An abrupt shift towards a hotter and drier climate regime in the Western Eurasian Steppe","authors":"Jinling Piao,Jong-Seong Kug,Wen Chen,Mi-Kyung Sung,Shangfeng Chen,Zhikai Wang,Qingyu Cai,Danbi Lee","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02125-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02125-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02121-y
Antonio B. Rodriguez,Justin T. Ridge,Molly C. Bost,Naomi Nice,Eve Eisemann,Yasamin Sharifi,Joshua D. Himmelstein,F. Joel Fodrie
{"title":"Sea level-induced oyster reef accretion causes minimal net carbon burial change","authors":"Antonio B. Rodriguez,Justin T. Ridge,Molly C. Bost,Naomi Nice,Eve Eisemann,Yasamin Sharifi,Joshua D. Himmelstein,F. Joel Fodrie","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02121-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02121-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149091456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02111-0
Benjamin Petrick
{"title":"Rethinking Agulhas Leakage impacts on Atlantic circulation","authors":"Benjamin Petrick","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02111-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41561-026-02111-0","url":null,"abstract":"The Agulhas Leakage is a set of currents that carry salty water from the Indian to the Atlantic Ocean around the southern tip of Africa. It helps drive modern Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, but evidence suggests this link wasn’t present in the Pliocene.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"19 10","pages":"1142-1143"},"PeriodicalIF":20.6,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149090556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02109-8
Milena Corcos
{"title":"Ice clouds born from Martian waves","authors":"Milena Corcos","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02109-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41561-026-02109-8","url":null,"abstract":"Water-ice clouds are common across the Solar System, but their formation typically requires pre-existing dust particles to coax water vapour into ice. Atmospheric simulations now suggest that gravity waves over a Martian volcano can bypass the need for dust, generating ice clouds through spontaneous nucleation of water vapour.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"19 10","pages":"1140-1141"},"PeriodicalIF":20.6,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149090549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02089-9
J. Hernández-Bernal, A. Määttänen, A. Spiga, F. Forget
{"title":"Homogeneous ice nucleation from water vapour suggested by elongated clouds on Mars","authors":"J. Hernández-Bernal, A. Määttänen, A. Spiga, F. Forget","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02089-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41561-026-02089-9","url":null,"abstract":"It is widely accepted that water ice cloud particles below the triple point of water form by heterogeneous nucleation (with the aid of a pre-existing particle). Clouds formed from water vapour by homogeneous ice nucleation (without a pre-existing particle) have been shown to be theoretically possible for mesospheric clouds on Earth and Venus, but they have never been observed in nature, and this process is not typically considered viable under real atmospheric conditions on any planet, as it requires high levels of supersaturation. Here, we use a model of homogeneous ice nucleation from water vapour in a meteorological model of Mars and show that this successfully reproduces the unique characteristics of the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud, a water ice cloud that occurs recurrently on Mars and that had remained difficult to reproduce in a model under conventional cloud microphysics. This finding strongly suggests that homogeneous ice nucleation from water vapour occurs on Mars, challenging some current assumptions about cloud formation processes for certain clouds on Earth and potentially on other planets. The Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud on Mars probably forms by homogeneous ice nucleation, with implications for other planets including Earth and Venus, according to a model of homogeneous ice nucleation from water vapour in a meteorological model of Mars.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"19 10","pages":"1213-1217"},"PeriodicalIF":20.6,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149090551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02120-z
Fang Qian,Yi Wang,Kassandra M. Costa,Sarah Shackleton,Sophia K. V. Hines,Ingrid L. Hendy,Sune G. Nielsen
{"title":"Transient variability in global oceanic oxygen during the Last Interglacial Period","authors":"Fang Qian,Yi Wang,Kassandra M. Costa,Sarah Shackleton,Sophia K. V. Hines,Ingrid L. Hendy,Sune G. Nielsen","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02120-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02120-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":18.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149091455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nature GeosciencePub Date : 2026-10-07DOI: 10.1038/s41561-026-02097-9
Alix M. Ehlers, Elizabeth C. Thompson
{"title":"Where in the world is whitlockite","authors":"Alix M. Ehlers, Elizabeth C. Thompson","doi":"10.1038/s41561-026-02097-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41561-026-02097-9","url":null,"abstract":"Whitlockite can trace ancient impacts in space, human activity at archaeological sites, and may even be a tool for detecting early-stage breast cancer, as Alix Ehlers and Elizabeth Thompson explain.","PeriodicalId":19053,"journal":{"name":"Nature Geoscience","volume":"19 10","pages":"1144-1144"},"PeriodicalIF":20.6,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149090550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}