Land Use Policy最新文献

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Land-use conversion from agricultural production areas to built-up areas in the Philippines for decades 2000–2020: Spatial analysis and policy implications 菲律宾2000-2020年从农业生产区到建成区的土地利用转换:空间分析和政策影响
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107874
Arnan B. Araza , Wesley Gagarin , Ma. Christina Corales , Chad Patrick Osorio , Marlo D. Mendoza , Rico Ancog
{"title":"Land-use conversion from agricultural production areas to built-up areas in the Philippines for decades 2000–2020: Spatial analysis and policy implications","authors":"Arnan B. Araza ,&nbsp;Wesley Gagarin ,&nbsp;Ma. Christina Corales ,&nbsp;Chad Patrick Osorio ,&nbsp;Marlo D. Mendoza ,&nbsp;Rico Ancog","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107874","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107874","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid urban expansion in the Philippines has intensified the pressure on agricultural lands, raising concerns about national food security and environmental sustainability. This study presents a national-scale spatial analysis of agricultural land conversion to built-up areas between 2003 and 2019, using high-resolution Earth Observation (EO) maps. The map validation based on expert-labeled reference data yielded 81% user accuracy, while correlation and bivariate mapping revealed a strong relationship (<em>r</em> <span><math><mo>=</mo></math></span> 0.89) between cropland loss (ha) and built-up expansion (ha), with hotspots identified in Central and Southern Mindanao, and Central Luzon. Conversions showed a moderate association with agricultural land area (<em>r</em> <span><math><mo>=</mo></math></span> 0.38), which may correspond to provinces with large areas for high-value crop production with intact economic value. Around 31% (3,228 out of 10,397 ha) of converted cropland to built-up fell within legally protected zones under the Network of Protected Areas for Agriculture and Agro-Industrial Development (NPAAAD), indicating possible governance and enforcement gaps. Almost 80% of the conversions within NPAAAD are mostly agro-industrial and alluvial lands characterized as high-value and road-accessible, thus being vulnerable also to urban and industrial projects. The findings underscore the urgency of enacting the National Land Use Act (NaLUA) to institutionalize spatial planning and safeguard agricultural lands from unregulated conversion. The findings of this study alongside mapping of specific land-uses following the conversions nationwide are deemed helpful inputs for mandated local land use planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107874"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145732705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Urban land use prediction and construction effectiveness assessment supporting SDG 11.3.1 and regional planning goals 支持可持续发展目标11.3.1和区域规划目标的城市土地利用预测与建设效益评价
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107893
Ze Zhang , Weiguo Jiang , Ziyan Ling , Xudong Guo , Jie Song , Zhijie Xiao , Xiaogan Yin
{"title":"Urban land use prediction and construction effectiveness assessment supporting SDG 11.3.1 and regional planning goals","authors":"Ze Zhang ,&nbsp;Weiguo Jiang ,&nbsp;Ziyan Ling ,&nbsp;Xudong Guo ,&nbsp;Jie Song ,&nbsp;Zhijie Xiao ,&nbsp;Xiaogan Yin","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107893","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107893","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban land use serves as the fundamental foundation for human survival and development, providing essential natural resources. Simulation is an important tool for assessing the impacts of urban planning and construction new urban. To support policy implementation for the development of the Xiongan New Area and promote sustainable urban management, we use the \"Data-Information-Knowledge-Wisdom\" (DIKW model) as a framework for predicting future land spatial changes considering sustainable development of urban planning. We developed a novel New Urban Multi-objective Land Use Prediction (NUMLUP) method, integrating a Genetic Algorithm (GA), Multi-Objective Planning (MOP), and the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small Region Extent (CLUES) model. Using this approach, we obtained urban land spatial distribution data for three scenarios. Urban land spatial distribution data for the Historical Continuation Scenario (HCS), Policy Planning Scenario (PPS), and Planned Sustainable development scenario (PSDS) were obtained. To evaluate Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11.3.1 and Regional Planning Goals (RPGs), we assessed 19 consecutive years of construction effectiveness—covering both past (2017–2023) and future (2023–2035) periods under the three scenarios. The dataset achieved a multi-year overall accuracy (OA) exceeding 0.87 and a kappa index above 0.83, demonstrating strong integration of the NUMLUP model. The area of built up gradually increased, and the wetland was mainly dominated by Baiyangdian, which declined significantly from 2017 to 2023. In the three scenarios, from 2023 to 2035, the expansion of the built-up slows down, and the degree of change in the HCS area is minimal. Under the PPS, forest and wetland areas underwent the most drastic changes, with overall improvement rates ranked as PPS &gt; PSDS &gt; HCS. In contrast, the PSDS led to a significant increase in grassland. Under PSDS, grassland increased significantly. The construction of the three scenarios from 2017 to 2035 has achieved certain results. While PPS and PSDS closely aligned with planning targets, the HCS would fail to meet the 2035 requirements. The PSDS also prompted adjustments in the regional policy’s spatial layout. There were adjustments to the spatial layout of the policy as a result of PSDS. The LCRPGR is consistently greater than 1 from 2023 to 2035, reflecting a rational and comfortable urban plan that provides land use to meet population growth and demand.Furthermore, the PSDS introduced reasonable modifications to the regional plan’s spatial configuration. Our research provides robust support for monitoring sustainable urban development and implementing regional policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107893"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145689506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unraveling the impacts of free trade zones on urban innovation intensity: Evidence from China 自由贸易区对城市创新强度的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107901
Qixuan Wang , Jie Ren , Hangying Su , Zirui Chen , Mi Diao
{"title":"Unraveling the impacts of free trade zones on urban innovation intensity: Evidence from China","authors":"Qixuan Wang ,&nbsp;Jie Ren ,&nbsp;Hangying Su ,&nbsp;Zirui Chen ,&nbsp;Mi Diao","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107901","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107901","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land use efficiency of urban innovation is critical for sustainable development in transition economies with land constraints. In this context, Free Trade Zones (FTZs) have emerged as a key policy instrument for enhancing innovation performance. Drawing on a panel dataset from 284 Chinese cities between 2010 and 2020, this study investigates the impacts of FTZs on urban innovation intensity, measured by innovation output per unit of construction land, using a difference-in-differences (DID) framework. To mitigate endogeneity concerns, we apply propensity score matching to construct balanced treatment and control groups for the spatial DID models, enabling estimation of both direct and spillover effects of FTZs. The results show that FTZs significantly enhance innovation intensity in host cities, but generate negative spatial spillover effects on their neighboring cities. These findings are robust across a series of robustness tests. Heterogeneity analysis further reveals that the effects vary across regions, FTZ sizes, and administrative levels of cities. Mechanism analysis indicates that FTZs promote innovation through both government-led interventions and market-driven mechanisms. The findings highlight the need for policymakers to not only promote the diffusion of FTZ benefits within host cities but also mitigate the widening regional innovation disparities through coordinated planning and intercity policy alignment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107901"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conservation policies effectiveness in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve: Insights from GLM-based forest cover change 阿拉斯巴兰生物圈保护区保护政策的有效性:基于glm的森林覆盖变化的见解
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107908
Hadi Beygi Heidarlou , David Lopez-Carr , Stelian Alexandru Borz
{"title":"Conservation policies effectiveness in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve: Insights from GLM-based forest cover change","authors":"Hadi Beygi Heidarlou ,&nbsp;David Lopez-Carr ,&nbsp;Stelian Alexandru Borz","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107908","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107908","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines forest cover changes and the role of governance and policy in shaping land use dynamics in the ecologically sensitive Arasbaran forests of northwest Iran. We compare two land governance regimes: protected areas (PR) under the Department of Environment (DoE) since 1971, and previously unprotected areas (PUPR) managed by the Natural Resources Organization until their reclassification as protected in 2013. Using Landsat satellite imagery, we assess forest cover changes over two time periods (1984–2013 and 2013–2024) and apply Generalized Linear Models (GLM) to evaluate the socio-environmental drivers of deforestation and forest recovery. Findings reveal a net forest expansion in both areas, with PR showing gradual improvement across the two periods and PUPR recovering 2446.96 ha post-2013. While PUPR experienced significant deforestation before 2013 due to weaker enforcement, the transition to DoE management and associated policy reforms led to marked improvements in forest cover. Deforestation was closely associated with proximity to settlements and forest edges, indicating human pressure as a key factor. The improved model performance after the policy-driven governance shift highlights the critical role of institutional capacity and regulatory frameworks in shaping land use outcomes. These results underscore the importance of long-term, well-enforced conservation policies in reversing deforestation trends. The study offers actionable insights for evidence-based policymaking, forest governance, and land use planning in protected and transitioning areas. More broadly, it contributes to global discussions on how policy interventions and institutional change can enhance forest resilience and support sustainable development goals in biodiversity-rich landscapes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107908"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145760371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The new perspective of future multi-scenario analysis: Decoding impact pathways of land use dynamics on sustainable development goals 未来多情景分析的新视角:解读土地利用动态对可持续发展目标的影响路径
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107892
Hongjiao Qu , Weiyin Wang , Chen-Chieh Feng , Luo Guo
{"title":"The new perspective of future multi-scenario analysis: Decoding impact pathways of land use dynamics on sustainable development goals","authors":"Hongjiao Qu ,&nbsp;Weiyin Wang ,&nbsp;Chen-Chieh Feng ,&nbsp;Luo Guo","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107892","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107892","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is often challenged by escalating land use conflicts and climate change. Existing research has overlooked the mediating effects of climatic factors and the nonlinear relationships between land use changes and SDGs, leading to gaps in understanding the synergistic mechanisms of these interactions. This study incorporates key climatic variables into a time-series forecasting framework for SDGs using a transformer-based model, with the goal to systematically revealing the relationships between land use dynamics and SDGs in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), as well as the impact mechanisms of different land use structures on SDGs. Predictions based on the Transformer model indicate that the spatial distribution of SDGs exhibits persistent heterogeneity in YREB in 2030. Land use dynamic changes exert nonlinear impacts on SDGs under different scenarios. The strongest nonlinear relationship is observed under the Sustainable Development scenario (P<sub>non–linear</sub> = 0.0003, P<sub>overall</sub> &lt; 0.001). The impact of built-up land on SDGs exhibits varying effects under different scenarios: 0.649 (p &lt; 0.001) in the Economic Priority scenario; −0.702 (p &lt; 0.001) and −0.549 (p &lt; 0.001) in the Natural Development and Farmland Protection scenarios, respectively. This study demonstrates a framework for forecasting SDGs incorporating the influence of climatic variables, emphasizing the need to formulate scenario-specific policies to achieve synergies between land use change and SDGs against the backdrop of climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107892"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145657190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Conflict in land acquisition for cooperative housing development in Woldia, Ethiopia” [Land Use Policy, 154 (2025) 107575] “埃塞俄比亚Woldia合作住房开发的土地征用冲突”的更正[土地使用政策,154 (2025)107575]
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107886
Nibret Sefiw , Arragaw Alemayehu , Belaynesh Kebede
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Conflict in land acquisition for cooperative housing development in Woldia, Ethiopia” [Land Use Policy, 154 (2025) 107575]","authors":"Nibret Sefiw ,&nbsp;Arragaw Alemayehu ,&nbsp;Belaynesh Kebede","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107886","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107886","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107886"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145760370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Challenges of soil health restoration in Tunisian cereal production systems: an analysis through the social-ecological systems framework (SES) 突尼斯谷物生产系统中土壤健康恢复的挑战:通过社会生态系统框架(SES)的分析
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107909
Aya Khamassi , Maria Helena Guimarães , Fraj Chemak , Amélie Bourceret , Mélanie Requier-Desjardins , Stelios Rozakis
{"title":"Challenges of soil health restoration in Tunisian cereal production systems: an analysis through the social-ecological systems framework (SES)","authors":"Aya Khamassi ,&nbsp;Maria Helena Guimarães ,&nbsp;Fraj Chemak ,&nbsp;Amélie Bourceret ,&nbsp;Mélanie Requier-Desjardins ,&nbsp;Stelios Rozakis","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107909","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107909","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Soil health is essential for sustainable and resilient agricultural systems, supporting food production and maintaining vital ecosystem services. In the Mediterranean region, including Tunisia, it is seriously threatened by both natural and anthropogenic factors, such as erosion, loss of organic matter, intensive agricultural practices, and inadequate land management. In this context, adopting farming practices that can preserve and restore soil health is crucial, but such a transition is far from straightforward. To explore what this transition entails, we applied the Socio-Ecological Systems (SES) framework as the guiding structure for our methodological approach. Data was collected through a literature review, eleven semi-structured interviews, a multi-actor workshop involving twenty participants, and a multi-criteria analysis. Results reveal a combination of technical, political, institutional, economic, and socio-cultural barriers that hinder the adoption of practices that can secure soil health. The most critical include (1) the absence of agricultural policies supporting transition, (2) limited communication and cooperation among actors, and (3) high implementation costs. The study concludes by emphasizing the need for a coordinated national strategy that fosters cross-sectoral collaboration and provides effective support for farmers transitioning toward sustainable soil management in Tunisia’s cereal systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107909"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145785811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The significance of food-water-land-ecosystem nexus to management decisions of national nature reserves 食物-水-土地-生态系统关系对国家级自然保护区管理决策的意义
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107905
Xianglong Xing , Peng Zhang , Shouzheng Tong , Mingye Zhang , Yuan Xin , Yu An , Geng Cui , Walian Du , Zhuo Yang
{"title":"The significance of food-water-land-ecosystem nexus to management decisions of national nature reserves","authors":"Xianglong Xing ,&nbsp;Peng Zhang ,&nbsp;Shouzheng Tong ,&nbsp;Mingye Zhang ,&nbsp;Yuan Xin ,&nbsp;Yu An ,&nbsp;Geng Cui ,&nbsp;Walian Du ,&nbsp;Zhuo Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107905","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107905","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The coupling relationship within the food-water-land-ecosystem (FWLE) nexus is critical for the sustainable development of national nature reserves (NNRs). However, there is limited understanding of the trade-offs and synergies within this nexus. Consequently, the challenge of establishing a coordinated FWLE nexus has become increasingly urgent. This study takes the Momoge National Nature Reserve (MNNR) as a case study, utilizing past-present-future land use data, combined with the InVEST model and statistical data, to explore the dynamic evolution, driving factors and interrelationships within the FWLE nexus. The findings reveal significant transformations in land use patterns, including fluctuations observed in grassland and barren land areas, contrasted with a deceleration in the rate of forest and wetland reduction. Notably, the impervious land expanded by 10,463 ha, leading to a decline in habitat quality (HQ) and an increase in water yield (WY). Meanwhile, cropland areas exhibit annual fluctuations but consistently record increasing crop yields. Human activities are identified as the primary driver behind these changes. In scenarios emphasizing future ecological protection and restoration, both crop production (CP) increase, while the percentage of areas with great HQ reaches 39 % and 56 %, respectively, representing ideal FWLE nexus trends. Conversely, in scenarios prioritizing economic development, CP reaches its peak, but this progress coincides with a corresponding decline in HQ, reducing the proportion of areas with favorable HQ to 27 %. Based on these findings, we have constructed a robust FWLE implementation framework that emphasizes effective control of human activities within the protected area and improves ecological quality through measures such as hydrological connectivity and ecological restoration. The insights gleaned from this research hold significant implications for the formulation of management policies governing these invaluable conservation areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107905"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145732706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial evolution characteristics and driving factors of urban forms in the Colombo Metropolitan Area (CMA), Sri Lanka: A geo-informatics approach 斯里兰卡科伦坡都市圈城市形态空间演化特征及驱动因素:地理信息学方法
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107900
Dilnu Chanuwan Wijesinghe , Pingjun Sun , Zhigao Liu
{"title":"Spatial evolution characteristics and driving factors of urban forms in the Colombo Metropolitan Area (CMA), Sri Lanka: A geo-informatics approach","authors":"Dilnu Chanuwan Wijesinghe ,&nbsp;Pingjun Sun ,&nbsp;Zhigao Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107900","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107900","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the development patterns of urban form is crucial for efficient planning in expanding metropolitan areas. This study examines the spatial evolution of urban form in the Colombo Metropolitan Area (CMA) from 1995 to 2024, utilizing Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing technology. Key metrics include the expansion index, landscape index, compactness index, center-of-gravity shift, and standard deviation ellipse (SDE). Logistic regression was applied to identify influencing factors, while FRAGSTAT assessed landscape metrics. The Findings indicated that CMA’s urban form developed by 292.96 km<sup>2</sup>, with an annual growth rate (AGR) of 3.75 %, signifying rapid development. Spatial evolution extended beyond the core city, with edge expansion accounting for 95.03 % of new development (127.57 km²) between 2014 and 2024. While infill development increased, urban sprawl remained dominant. Landscape fragmentation fluctuated, reflecting dynamic spatial changes. SDE analysis revealed significant expansion in 2014, followed by a slight contraction by 2024, with continued northeastern expansion. The urban center shifted from the northwest to the northeast, marking a transition from the core city to other urban areas, such as Sri Jayewardenepura Kotte and Kaduwela. A logistic regression model identified six key drivers of urban form spatial evolution, highlighting the interplay among socioeconomic, physical, and environmental factors. Moreover, the Colombo Port City has emerged as a key catalyst for urban form transformation, significantly enhancing connectivity and extending its influence across the CMA. The findings support efficient infrastructure development, sustainable land use planning, and a well-rounded approach to urban form and spatial development in the CMA.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107900"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145705007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Urban climate adaptation planning in Windhoek, Namibia: Gaps, challenges, and opportunities for Nature based Solutions 纳米比亚温得和克城市气候适应规划:基于自然的解决方案的差距、挑战和机遇
IF 5.9 1区 社会学
Land Use Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107877
B. Hansen Gaby , A. Breed Christina
{"title":"Urban climate adaptation planning in Windhoek, Namibia: Gaps, challenges, and opportunities for Nature based Solutions","authors":"B. Hansen Gaby ,&nbsp;A. Breed Christina","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107877","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107877","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Nature based Solutions (NbS) for urban climate adaptation remain underexplored in arid Sub-Saharan African (SSA) cities such as Windhoek, Namibia. This study investigates how national climate adaptation policies translate into local action, identifying gaps, challenges, and opportunities for embedding NbS in urban planning. A qualitative case study combined a review of policy documents with semi-structured stakeholder interviews. Findings reveal that while national policies and the Windhoek Integrated Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan (WICCSAP) set ambitious goals, they lack contextually derived measures and practical NbS targets, such as community-driven resilience or integrated locally tailored dryland strategies, or ecosystem-based water management, leaving the city reliant on grey infrastructure and short-term disaster risk responses. This omission exacerbates urban heat islands, flood risks, and constrains socio-ecological resilience. At the same time, both community-driven practices and municipal champions illustrate alternative pathways. Such initiatives signal early steps toward transformative adaptation where long-term systemic shifts in governance and practice are required. Locally grounded initiatives, including permaculture dryland gardens, rainfall monitoring, and the “Brown is Beautiful” campaign, demonstrate how culturally resonant NbS can integrate water conservation, ecological design, and social cohesion in Windhoek’s deprived, arid context. Within the municipality, individual planners and officials also advocate for NbS, seeking to move beyond grey solutions despite institutional barriers. Realising these opportunities requires capacity building, cross-sectoral coordination, and partnerships to institutionalise NbS in urban governance. The study makes two key contributions: first, it identifies the systemic neglect of NbS in Windhoek and Namibia’s climate policy frameworks; second, it highlights both bottom-up innovations and emerging top-down drivers that can bridge the policy implementation gap. Windhoek’s experience could offer transferable lessons for other rapidly urbanising, water-scarce cities across Sub-Saharan Africa.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"162 ","pages":"Article 107877"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145658872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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