Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering最新文献

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An innovative method to solve the maintenance task allocation and packing problem 解决维护任务分配和打包问题的创新方法
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0069
José Nogueira da Mata Filho, Antonio Celio Pereira de Mesquita, F. Abrahão, Guilherme C. Rocha
{"title":"An innovative method to solve the maintenance task allocation and packing problem","authors":"José Nogueira da Mata Filho, Antonio Celio Pereira de Mesquita, F. Abrahão, Guilherme C. Rocha","doi":"10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0069","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper aims to explore the optimization process involved in the aircraft maintenance allocation and packing problem. The aircraft industry misses a part of the optimization potential while developing maintenance plans. This research provides the modeling foundation for the missing part considering the failure behavior of components, costs involved with all maintenance tasks and opportunity costs.Design/methodology/approachThe study models the cost-effectiveness of support against the availability to come up with an optimization problem. The mathematical problem was solved with an exact algorithm. Experiments were performed with real field and synthetically generated data, to validate the correctness of the model and its potential to provide more accurate and better engineered maintenance plans.FindingsThe solution procedure provided excellent results by enhancing the overall arrangement of the tasks, resulting in higher availability rates and a substantial decrease in total maintenance costs. In terms of situational awareness, it provides the user with the flexibility to better manage resource constraints while still achieving optimal results.Originality/valueThis is an innovative research providing a state-of-the-art mathematical model and an algorithm for efficiently solving a task allocation and packing problem by incorporating components’ due flight time, failure probability, task relationships, smart allocation of common preparation tasks, operational profile and resource limitations.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139782018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spare parts management in industry 4.0 era: a literature review 工业 4.0 时代的备件管理:文献综述
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0037
Nishant Kulshrestha, Saurabh Agrawal, Deep Shree
{"title":"Spare parts management in industry 4.0 era: a literature review","authors":"Nishant Kulshrestha, Saurabh Agrawal, Deep Shree","doi":"10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0037","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeSpare Parts Management (SPM) and Industry 4.0 has proven their importance. However, employment of Industry 4.0 solutions for SPM is at emerging stage. To address the issue, this article is aimed toward a systematic literature review on SPM in Industry 4.0 era and identification of research gaps in the field with prospects.Design/methodology/approachResearch articles were reviewed and analyzed through a content-based analysis using four step process model. The proposed framework consists of five categories such as Inventory Management, Types of Spares, Circularity based on 6Rs, Performance Indicators and Strategic and Operational. Based on these categories, a total of 118 research articles published between 1998 and 2022 were reviewed.FindingsThe technological solutions of Industry 4.0 concepts have provided numerous opportunities for SPM. Industry 4.0 hi-tech solutions can enhance agility, operational efficiency, quality of product and service, customer satisfaction, sustainability and profitability.Research limitations/implicationsThe review of articles provides an integrated framework which recognizes implementation issues and challenges in the field. The proposed framework will support academia and practitioners toward implementation of technological solutions of Industry 4.0 in SPM. Implementation of Industry 4.0 in SPM may help in improving the triple bottom line aspect of sustainability which can make significant contribution to academia, practitioners and society.Originality/valueThe examination uncovered a scarcity of research in the intersection of SPM and Industry 4.0 concepts, suggesting a significant opportunity for additional investigative efforts.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2024-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139450772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Data-driven decision-making in maintenance management and coordination throughout the asset life cycle: an empirical study 资产整个生命周期维护管理与协调中的数据驱动决策:实证研究
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0038
Maren Hinrichs, Loina Prifti, Stefan Schneegass
{"title":"Data-driven decision-making in maintenance management and coordination throughout the asset life cycle: an empirical study","authors":"Maren Hinrichs, Loina Prifti, Stefan Schneegass","doi":"10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-04-2023-0038","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeWith production systems become more digitized, data-driven maintenance decisions can improve the performance of production systems. While manufacturers are introducing predictive maintenance and maintenance reporting to increase maintenance operation efficiency, operational data may also be used to improve maintenance management. Research on the value of data-driven decision support to foster increased internal integration of maintenance with related functions is less explored. This paper explores the potential for further development of solutions for cross-functional responsibilities that maintenance shares with production and logistics through data-driven approaches.Design/methodology/approachFifteen maintenance experts were interviewed in semi-structured interviews. The interview questions were derived based on topics identified through a structured literature analysis of 126 papers.FindingsThe main findings show that data-driven decision-making can support maintenance, asset, production and material planning to coordinate and collaborate on cross-functional responsibilities. While solutions for maintenance planning and scheduling have been explored for various operational conditions, collaborative solutions for maintenance, production and logistics offer the potential for further development. Enablers for data-driven collaboration are the internal synchronization and central definition of goals, harmonization of information systems and information visualization for decision-making.Originality/valueThis paper outlines future research directions for data-driven decision-making in maintenance management as well as the practical requirements for implementation.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138973890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Joint maintenance planning and production scheduling optimization model for green environment 面向绿色环境的联合维护计划和生产调度优化模型
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-05-2023-0047
A. Attia, Ahmad O. Alatwi, Ahmad Al Hanbali, Omar G. Alsawafy
{"title":"Joint maintenance planning and production scheduling optimization model for green environment","authors":"A. Attia, Ahmad O. Alatwi, Ahmad Al Hanbali, Omar G. Alsawafy","doi":"10.1108/jqme-05-2023-0047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-05-2023-0047","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis research integrates maintenance planning and production scheduling from a green perspective to reduce the carbon footprint.Design/methodology/approachA mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model is developed to study the relation between production makespan, energy consumption, maintenance actions and footprint, i.e. service level and sustainability measures. The speed scaling technique is used to control energy consumption, the capping policy is used to control CO2 footprint and preventive maintenance (PM) is used to keep the machine working in healthy conditions.FindingsIt was found that ignoring maintenance activities increases the schedule makespan by more than 21.80%, the total maintenance time required to keep the machine healthy by up to 75.33% and the CO2 footprint by 15%.Research limitations/implicationsThe proposed optimization model can simultaneously be used for maintenance planning, job scheduling and footprint minimization. Furthermore, it can be extended to consider other maintenance activities and production configurations, e.g. flow shop or job shop scheduling.Practical implicationsMaintenance planning, production scheduling and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are intertwined in the industry. The proposed model enhances the performance of the maintenance and production systems. Furthermore, it shows the value of conducting maintenance activities on the machine's availability and CO2 footprint.Originality/valueThis work contributes to the literature by combining maintenance planning, single-machine scheduling and environmental aspects in an integrated MINLP model. In addition, the model considers several practical features, such as machine-aging rate, speed scaling technique to control emissions, minimal repair (MR) and PM.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138601641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identification of optimal maintenance parameters for best maintenance and service management system in the SMEs 为中小企业的最佳维护和服务管理系统确定最佳维护参数
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0070
Velmurugan Kumaresan, S. Saravanasankar, G. Di Bona
{"title":"Identification of optimal maintenance parameters for best maintenance and service management system in the SMEs","authors":"Velmurugan Kumaresan, S. Saravanasankar, G. Di Bona","doi":"10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0070","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThrough the use of the Markov Decision Model (MDM) approach, this study uncovers significant variations in the availability of machines in both faulty and ideal situations in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The first-order differential equations are used to construct the mathematical equations from the transition-state diagrams of the separate subsystems in the critical part manufacturing plant.Design/methodology/approachTo obtain the lowest investment cost, one of the non-traditional optimization strategies is employed in maintenance operations in SMEs in this research. It will use the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to optimize machine maintenance parameters and find the best solutions, thereby introducing the best decision-making process for optimal maintenance and service operations.FindingsThe major goal of this study is to identify critical subsystems in manufacturing plants and to use an optimal decision-making process to adopt the best maintenance management system in the industry. The optimal findings of this proposed method demonstrate that in problematic conditions, the availability of SME machines can be enhanced by up to 73.25%, while in an ideal situation, the system's availability can be increased by up to 76.17%.Originality/valueThe proposed new optimal decision-support system for this preventive maintenance management in SMEs is based on these findings, and it aims to achieve maximum productivity with the least amount of expenditure in maintenance and service through an optimal planning and scheduling process.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139230875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling and solving the multi-objective energy-efficient production planning and scheduling with imperfect maintenance activities 不完美维护活动下的多目标节能生产规划与调度建模与求解
IF 1.5
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0068
I. Rastgar, J. Rezaeian, I. Mahdavi, P. Fattahi
{"title":"Modeling and solving the multi-objective energy-efficient production planning and scheduling with imperfect maintenance activities","authors":"I. Rastgar, J. Rezaeian, I. Mahdavi, P. Fattahi","doi":"10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-10-2022-0068","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe purpose of this study is to propose a new mathematical model that integrates strategic decision-making with tactical-operational decision-making in order to optimize production and scheduling decisions.Design/methodology/approachThis study presents a multi-objective optimization framework to make production planning, scheduling and maintenance decisions. An epsilon-constraint method is used to solve small instances of the model, while new hybrid optimization algorithms, including multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO), non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm, multi-objective harmony search and improved multi-objective harmony search (IMOHS) are developed to address the high complexity of large-scale problems.FindingsThe computational results demonstrate that the metaheuristic algorithms are effective in obtaining economic solutions within a reasonable computational time. In particular, the results show that the IMOHS algorithm is able to provide optimal Pareto solutions for the proposed model compared to the other three algorithms.Originality/valueThis study presents a new mathematical model that simultaneously determines green production planning and scheduling decisions by minimizing the sum of the total cost, makespan, lateness and energy consumption criteria. Integrating production and scheduling of a shop floor is critical for achieving optimal operational performance in production planning. To the best of the authors' knowledge, the integration of production planning and maintenance has not been adequately addressed.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139239065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Design of a remote assistance model for truck maintenance in the mining industry 矿山卡车维修远程辅助模型的设计
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-02-2023-0024
Rodolfo Canelón, Christian Carrasco, Felipe Rivera
{"title":"Design of a remote assistance model for truck maintenance in the mining industry","authors":"Rodolfo Canelón, Christian Carrasco, Felipe Rivera","doi":"10.1108/jqme-02-2023-0024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-02-2023-0024","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose It is well known in the mining industry that the increase in failures and breakdowns is due mainly to a poor maintenance policy for the equipment, in addition to the difficult access that specialized personnel have to combat the breakdown, which translates into more machine downtime. For this reason, this study aims to propose a remote assistance model for diagnosing and repairing critical breakdowns in mining industry trucks using augmented reality techniques and data analytics with a quality approach that considerably reduces response times, thus optimizing human resources. Design/methodology/approach In this work, the six-phase CRIPS-DM methodology is used. Initially, the problem of fault diagnosis in trucks used in the extraction of material in the mining industry is addressed. The authors then propose a model under study that seeks a real-time connection between a service technician attending the truck at the mine site and a specialist located at a remote location, considering the data transmission requirements and the machine's characterization. Findings It is considered that the theoretical results obtained in the development of this study are satisfactory from the business point of view since, in the first instance, it fulfills specific objectives related to the telecare process. On the other hand, from the data mining point of view, the results manage to comply with the theoretical aspects of the establishment of failure prediction models through the application of the CRISP-DM methodology. All of the above opens the possibility of developing prediction models through machine learning and establishing the best model for the objective of failure prediction. Originality/value The original contribution of this work is the proposal of the design of a remote assistance model for diagnosing and repairing critical failures in the mining industry, considering augmented reality and data analytics. Furthermore, the integration of remote assistance, the characterization of the CAEX, their maintenance information and the failure prediction models allow the establishment of a quality-based model since the database with which the learning machine will work is constantly updated.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136229260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A mixture non-parametric regression prediction model with its application in the fault prediction of rocket engine thrust 混合非参数回归预测模型及其在火箭发动机推力故障预测中的应用
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0070
Hao Xiang
{"title":"A mixture non-parametric regression prediction model with its application in the fault prediction of rocket engine thrust","authors":"Hao Xiang","doi":"10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-08-2023-0070","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose It is of a great significance for the health monitoring of a liquid rocket engine to build an accurate and reliable fault prediction model. The thrust of a liquid rocket engine is an important indicator for its health monitoring. By predicting the changing value of the thrust, it can be judged whether the engine will fail at a certain time. However, the thrust is affected by various factors, and it is difficult to establish an accurate mathematical model. Thus, this study uses a mixture non-parametric regression prediction model to establish the model of the thrust for the health monitoring of a liquid rocket engine. Design/methodology/approach This study analyzes the characteristics of the least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) machine . LS-SVR is suitable to model on the small samples and high dimensional data, but the performance of LS-SVR is greatly affected by its key parameters. Thus, this study implements the advanced intelligent algorithm, the real double-chain coding target gradient quantum genetic algorithm (DCQGA), to optimize these parameters, and the regression prediction model LSSVRDCQGA is proposed. Then the proposed model is used to model the thrust of a liquid rocket engine. Findings The simulation results show that: the average relative error (ARE) on the test samples is 0.37% when using LS-SVR, but it is 0.3186% when using LSSVRDCQGA on the same samples. Practical implications The proposed model of LSSVRDCQGA in this study is effective to the fault prediction on the small sample and multidimensional data, and has a certain promotion. Originality/value The original contribution of this study is to establish a mixture non-parametric regression prediction model of LSSVRDCQGA and properly resolve the problem of the health monitoring of a liquid rocket engine along with modeling the thrust of the engine by using LSSVRDCQGA.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135222157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of TPM adoption factors in manufacturing organizations using fuzzy PIPRECIA method 用模糊PIPRECIA方法评价制造企业TPM采用因素
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-11-2020-0115
None Vikas, Akanksha Mishra
{"title":"Evaluation of TPM adoption factors in manufacturing organizations using fuzzy PIPRECIA method","authors":"None Vikas, Akanksha Mishra","doi":"10.1108/jqme-11-2020-0115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-11-2020-0115","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose The aim of this paper states that total productive maintenance (TPM) is an improvement tool which employs the effective utilization of employees in order to enhance the reliability of the equipment in consideration. Design/methodology/approach This paper identifies and evaluates the factors accountable for the adoption of TPM methodology in manufacturing organizations. Twenty-four factors affecting the TPM implementation are explored and categorized into five significant categories. Afterwards, these identified TPM factors have been evaluated by using a most popular Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach namely fuzzy pivot pairwise relative criteria importance assessment (F-PIPRECIA). Findings In this paper, through application of F-PIPRECIA, “Behavioural factor” is ranked first while “Financial factor” the last. Considering the sub-factors, “Top management support and commitment” is ranked first while “Effective use of performance indices” is ranked the last. A further sensitivity analysis indicates the factors that need higher level of attention. Practical implications The result of current research work may be exploited by the top administration of manufacturing enterprises for assessing their TPM adoption status and to recognize the frail links of TPM application and improve accordingly. Moreover, significant factors of TPM can be identified and deploy them successfully in their implementation procedure. Originality/value The conclusion obtained from this research enables the management to clearly understand the significance of each considered factor on the adoption of TPM in the organization and hence, provides effective utilization of resources.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136106796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic civil facility degradation prediction for rare defects under imperfect maintenance 不完全维护条件下民用设施罕见缺陷的动态退化预测
Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/jqme-01-2023-0001
Sou-Sen Leu, Yen-Lin Fu, Pei-Lin Wu
{"title":"Dynamic civil facility degradation prediction for rare defects under imperfect maintenance","authors":"Sou-Sen Leu, Yen-Lin Fu, Pei-Lin Wu","doi":"10.1108/jqme-01-2023-0001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jqme-01-2023-0001","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose This paper aims to develop a dynamic civil facility degradation prediction model to forecast the reliability performance tendency and remaining useful life under imperfect maintenance based on the inspection records and the maintenance actions. Design/methodology/approach A real-time hidden Markov chain (HMM) model is proposed in this paper to predict the reliability performance tendency and remaining useful life under imperfect maintenance based on rare failure events. The model assumes a Poisson arrival pattern for facility failure events occurrence. HMM is further adopted to establish the transmission probabilities among stages. Finally, the simulation inference is conducted using Particle filter (PF) to estimate the most probable model parameters. Water seals at the spillway hydraulic gate in a Taiwan's reservoir are used to examine the appropriateness of the approach. Findings The results of defect probabilities tendency from the real-time HMM model are highly consistent with the real defect trend pattern of civil facilities. The proposed facility degradation prediction model can provide the maintenance division with early warning of potential failure to establish a proper proactive maintenance plan, even under the condition of rare defects. Originality/value This model is a new method of civil facility degradation prediction under imperfect maintenance, even with rare failure events. It overcomes several limitations of classical failure pattern prediction approaches and can reliably simulate the occurrence of rare defects under imperfect maintenance and the effect of inspection reliability caused by human error. Based on the degradation trend pattern prediction, effective maintenance management plans can be practically implemented to minimize the frequency of the occurrence and the consequence of civil facility failures.","PeriodicalId":16938,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136254662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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