{"title":"Material and carbon implications of future mobility infrastructure expansion around the world.","authors":"André Baumgart, Gamze Ünlü, Benedikt Grammer, Aneeque Javaid, Florian Maczek, Fridolin Krausmann, Volker Krey, Dominik Wiedenhofer","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00132-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00132-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Global mobility infrastructure is expected to expand significantly, especially in the Global South, potentially requiring a substantial share of the remaining carbon budget. However, the resource use and carbon emissions associated with the anticipated expansion of roads, railways, and other mobility infrastructure, as well as the potential of mitigation measures, have so far not been explored systematically. Using high-resolution infrastructure and mobility data, we assess seven demand- and four supply-side circular economy and decarbonization measures aiming to mitigate resource use and associated embodied CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. We find that without demand reduction, infrastructure stocks could double or triple by 2060, with cumulative emissions reaching 10 to 20 GtCO<sub>2</sub>. We find that a global shift to rail would increase embodied emissions to 37 GtCO<sub>2</sub> due to carbon-intensive materials. Combining mobility reduction with enhanced recycling and industrial decarbonization can cut emissions by 63% while providing adequate global infrastructure. This would help to offset increases in emissions from public transport infrastructure expansion required to reduce operational emissions.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00132-x.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 4","pages":"1935-1949"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13451253/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148697646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Danielle Abbey, Hadi Arbabi, Danielle Densley Tingley
{"title":"Actions to decarbonize English schools: a whole life carbon stock assessment.","authors":"Danielle Abbey, Hadi Arbabi, Danielle Densley Tingley","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00027-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00027-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper we develop a whole life carbon stock model to assess the impacts of retrofit in cool-temperate climates. The developed model can explore different retrofit deployment rates to limit emissions of the existing building stock, and be used to develop different pathways which could meet carbon budgets for varying future scenarios. We illustrate the application of the model to the English school stock, comprising approximately 20,000 schools. In applying the model, we find that an estimated school carbon budget is only met with a significant increase in retrofit rates from current ambitions, alongside significant decarbonization in electricity and material sectors. When retrofit modeling is applied at scale, the aggregated impacts of material consumption are highlighted, and the most stringent carbon budget cannot be met when a whole life carbon approach is taken. Heat pumps and active ventilation systems pose a significant carbon hot-spot due to the use of carbon-intensive materials and regular replacement rates. These systems would therefore benefit from research and development to reduce their impacts. The developed model also allows for a stock level comparison of retrofit to the alternative of demolition and new construction (to different future standards). We show that retrofit provides the lowest whole life carbon solution over the 25 year study period for all buildings, compared to proposed ambitious UK whole life carbon targets.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00027-x.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 1","pages":"391-403"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13152907/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147868501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ángel Sanjuán-Ruiz, Juan Infante-Amate, Eduardo Aguilera
{"title":"The climate cost of lateness: decomposing historical drivers of CO<sub>2</sub> industrial emissions during Spanish industrialization and deindustrialization, 1890-2021.","authors":"Ángel Sanjuán-Ruiz, Juan Infante-Amate, Eduardo Aguilera","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00077-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00077-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Industry accounts for ~ 34% of global CO₂ emissions, positioning it as the largest single contributor to anthropogenic climate change. Understanding the historical trajectory is essential for effective mitigation, yet most analyses are short-term and long-term studies rarely examine industry. This article reconstructs consistent long-run series of industrial CO₂ emissions in Spain from 1890 to 2021, disaggregated by source (direct, indirect, and process-related) and by sector. Combining newly harmonized historical energy accounts with decomposition techniques (IPAT and additive LMDI), we quantify the relative contribution of value added, energy intensity of production, carbon intensity of energy use, and structural change to industrial CO<sub>2</sub> emissions trajectories. Emissions increased twenty-sevenfold between 1890 and 2007, with the sharpest rise occurring during 1950-1973. Spain's path reflects a double delay: late industrialization produced a compressed, fossil-fuel-intensive take-off, while delayed adoption of efficient and low-carbon technologies after the 1970s reinforced carbon lock-in. Improvements in energy and carbon intensity have been consistently outpaced by output growth, revealing rebound effects and the limits of relative decoupling. As a late joiner, Spain shows how delayed industrial development shaped CO₂ emissions trajectories, as the dominance of non-metallic and building-materials industries produced a volatile, non-linear decline in carbon intensity, keeping it above early-industrializer levels into the twenty-first century. Deep decarbonization therefore requires targeted interventions in a small set of structural \"hotspots,\" alongside technological upgrading and material circularity to overcome the historical legacy of late development.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00077-1.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 3","pages":"1129-1145"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13342420/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148411860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maud Lanau, Charles Gillott, Will Mihkelson, Kimberlee Zamora, Peter Berrill, Niko Heeren, Georg Schiller, Ruichang Mao, Mohit Arora, Karin Gruhler, Gang Liu, Hiroki Tanikawa, Danielle Densley Tingley
{"title":"BUD-MI: a template that optimizes material intensity data collection and utilization.","authors":"Maud Lanau, Charles Gillott, Will Mihkelson, Kimberlee Zamora, Peter Berrill, Niko Heeren, Georg Schiller, Ruichang Mao, Mohit Arora, Karin Gruhler, Gang Liu, Hiroki Tanikawa, Danielle Densley Tingley","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00044-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00044-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Mapping construction material stocks is essential for understanding socioeconomic metabolism and informing the circular economy. However, spatial material stock studies often produce coarse results owing to challenges in material intensity development. This paper introduces BUD-MI (Bottom-Up Data: Material Intensity), a material intensity data collection template designed with three core objectives: streamlining the data collection process during building sampling, supporting cumulative research while ensuring project-specific relevance, and enhancing the utility of results for the construction industry. BUD-MI aims to assist researchers, students, and construction practitioners in developing material intensity data in line with these three objectives. The development process required identifying material intensity challenges, eliciting requirements, mapping relevant domain work and creating missing ones, and assembling them all into BUD-MI. The template consists of three data input tabs, two mini-tools for data input assistance, four result generation tabs, and additional tabs for background data and ancillary information. A case study in Sheffield, UK, illustrates BUD-MI's functionalities, enabling bespoke material intensity results to be disaggregated across building elements and components. BUD-MI supports future material intensity data collection efforts, ensuring data quality, granularity, comparability, transferability, and availability, thereby advancing socioeconomic metabolism and circular economy research and practice.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00044-w.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 2","pages":"631-649"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13226353/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148156777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tamara Hoveling, Naomi Muindi, Jeremy Faludi, Conny Bakker
{"title":"Balancing trade-offs in circular medical device design: a case study on laparoscopic devices.","authors":"Tamara Hoveling, Naomi Muindi, Jeremy Faludi, Conny Bakker","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00189-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44498-026-00189-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study explores how circular design principles can be applied to single-use laparoscopic staplers to improve their carbon footprint without compromising critical requirements such as safety, performance, and financial feasibility. Using a research-through-design approach, four alternative concepts were developed: a fully recyclable device, a partially reusable device, a multifunctional device, and a manual device, aiming to reduce the carbon footprint while maintaining clinical performance of the device. Iterative design cycles incorporated feedback from Medtech professionals and from qualitative surveys with additional industry stakeholders. Fast-track life cycle assessments (LCAs) estimated environmental impact compared to the baseline device, while stakeholder feedback assessed trade-offs and synergies related to safety, usability, workflow compatibility, and regulatory compliance. Here, \"trade-offs\" refer to improvements in circularity coming with losses in other requirements, while \"synergies\" improve both circularity and other requirements together. Results revealed that each concept delivered potential carbon footprint reductions, particularly the reusable, multifunctional, and manual variants. Trade-offs included increased sterilization burden, altered surgical workflow, and reduced user familiarity; synergies included lower material and logistics costs from reuse and multifunctional design, achieved without compromising safety or usability. The findings highlight that achieving circularity in medical device design involves more than technical considerations; it requires a systems-level approach. Effective implementation depends on aligning design strategies with regulatory requirements, clinical workflows, and supply chain practices. This study provides recommendations to navigate trade-offs and identify synergies, supporting a structured approach to advancing sustainable practices in healthcare.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s44498-026-00189-8.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 5","pages":"2697-2713"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13649933/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149167535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bernhard Wortmann, Detlef Stolten, Heidi Heinrichs
{"title":"Critical iridium demands arising from global expansion of proton exchange membrane electrolysis.","authors":"Bernhard Wortmann, Detlef Stolten, Heidi Heinrichs","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00088-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00088-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Proton exchange membrane electrolysis (PEMEL) is a key technology for producing green hydrogen, but its scalability is limited by the use of scarce materials, particularly iridium. Iridium oxide, the preferred anode catalyst in PEMEL, offers exceptional stability but is produced only as a by-product of platinum mining, with annual output around 7.5 tons. This study estimates future iridium demand for PEMEL under various global deployment scenarios and technological advances. Results show that meeting net zero targets will require both significant improvements in catalyst efficiency and access to roughly 30% of global iridium production annually. Supply shortages could arise as early as 2030, earlier than previously anticipated. The analysis also reveals that long-term iridium needs beyond 2040 are significantly underestimated. These findings underscore the urgent need for innovation in material efficiency and recycling, and the importance of integrating resource constraints into energy policy and technology planning to ensure a sustainable hydrogen transition.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00088-y.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 4","pages":"1299-1314"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13451499/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148697740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yiwei Yang, Benedikt Grammer, Rafael Prieto-Curiel, David Frantz, Helmut Haberl, Dominik Wiedenhofer
{"title":"Intra-settlement scaling across the urban-rural continuum: material stocks, service provisioning, and greenhouse gas emissions in the contiguous United States.","authors":"Yiwei Yang, Benedikt Grammer, Rafael Prieto-Curiel, David Frantz, Helmut Haberl, Dominik Wiedenhofer","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00125-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00125-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Research on urban scaling laws suggests that cities with larger populations tend to be more resource-efficient, yet whether these findings hold across spatial scales, varying definitions of 'urban' and the entire rural-urban continuum remains unresolved. Herein, we leverage high-resolution maps for the entire contiguous United States of America to examine how built environment material stocks, service provisioning, and operational greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scale with population size across the country. Results show that residential building footprints, i.e., the ground area covered by buildings, useful floor area, and material stocks scale moderately sub-linearly (scaling exponent <i>β</i> in the [0.82, 0.89] interval). Non-residential buildings and mobility infrastructure (area, materials) scale more strongly sub-linearly (<i>β</i> in the [0.42, 0.74] interval). These patterns are robust across sensitivity tests. Furthermore, people living in high-density urban areas require less than half of per capita building footprints, mobility infrastructure area, total infrastructure mass, and residential on-road GHG emissions, compared to residents in low-density rural areas, demonstrating substantial environmental benefits of dense settlements.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00125-w. Supplementary Information SI1. This Supplementary Information contains supplementary methodological details, additional explanations, robustness tests, figures, and results, including Supplementary Notes S1, S20, Supplementary Figures S1, S18, Supplementary Tables S1, S24, and Supplementary References. Supplementary Information SI2. This Supplementary Information file provides the numerical data underlying Tables S3, S4, S10, S11, S19, and S23 reported in Supplementary Information SI1.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 4","pages":"1835-1849"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13451267/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148697658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pippa Edwards, Wilson Ricardo Leal da Silva, Paul Fennell, Rupert J Myers
{"title":"Toward process-based inventory data for Portland clinker substitutes.","authors":"Pippa Edwards, Wilson Ricardo Leal da Silva, Paul Fennell, Rupert J Myers","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00186-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44498-026-00186-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The cement industry must produce lower carbon cements to meet its 2050 climate goals. A key low-cost strategy to achieve this is to substitute Portland clinker in cement with lower carbon materials. However, high-quality inventory data for clinker substitutes are poorly available, which limits the application of life cycle assessment (LCA) to quantify the carbon footprints of cements containing them. Here, we report the state-of-the-art inventory data for clinker substitutes, disaggregating them by unit process to facilitate comparison, improve proxy data selection, and identify gaps to inform future data collection efforts. Cradle-to-gate greenhouse gas emissions for European production of the clinker substitutes and carbon footprints of composite cements defined in EN 197 are calculated. Overall, we find the degree of clinker substitution, rather than the processing of clinker substitutes, is more impactful for producing low carbon footprint cements. This work can improve the transparency of LCA studies of concrete materials, verify commercial data, and inform technology development and business decisions related to the concrete value chain.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s44498-026-00186-x.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 5","pages":"2661-2677"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13649849/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149167532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Bridging circular economy business models and rebound effects: Mapping systemic associations with semantic network analysis.","authors":"Daniel Guzzo, Daniela C A Pigosso","doi":"10.1007/s44498-026-00110-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44498-026-00110-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While the circular economy (CE) holds significant promise, its potential sustainability gains are often undermined by rebound effects (RE). The field has documented numerous instances of RE in CE business models (CEBM) but lacks a systematic map of the associations between specific business model configurations and rebound mechanisms (i.e., the economic and behavioral causal chains that lead to RE). This research addresses this gap by developing and applying an interpretation-based semantic network analysis linking CEBM patterns to rebound mechanisms via triggers and drivers. The three primary contributions are: (1) a first semantic network of the associations between CEBM patterns and rebound mechanisms, offering important structural insights; (2) a clear positioning of triggers and drivers as the essential, actionable links between CEBM and RE; and (3) an operational causal ontology and complementary analytical procedures to support RE analysis within sustainability transitions. The ontology, semantic network and complementary analytical procedures provide a foundational framework for further explanatory studies in the field and for designing reboundless business models.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44498-026-00110-3.</p>","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"30 4","pages":"1629-1643"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13451322/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148697718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Issue Information, Cover, and Table of Contents","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/jiec.70130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.70130","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16050,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Industrial Ecology","volume":"29 6","pages":"1927-1932"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jiec.70130","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145706278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}