Astrid Herzum, Giulia Gasparini, Emanuele Cozzani, Martina Burlando, Aurora Parodi
{"title":"Atypical and Rare Forms of Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus: The Importance of the Diagnosis for the Best Management of Patients.","authors":"Astrid Herzum, Giulia Gasparini, Emanuele Cozzani, Martina Burlando, Aurora Parodi","doi":"10.1159/000515766","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000515766","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Lupus erythematosus (LE) is an autoimmune disease with a wide range of clinical and cutaneous manifestations. Along with the well-known typical cutaneous manifestations of LE, some cutaneous manifestations are rarer, but still characteristic, enabling the dermatologist and the general practitioner who know them to suspect cutaneous LE (CLE) and investigate a possible underlying systemic involvement. Indeed, not infrequently a skin manifestation is the first presentation of systemic LE (SLE), and >75% of SLE patients show signs of skin disease during the course of the illness. Especially, SLE involvement occurs in cases of acute CLE, while it is uncommon in subacute CLE and rare in chronic CLE. This review aims to concentrate especially on atypical cutaneous manifestations of LE to enable the clinician to diagnose even the rarest forms of CLE.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"195-204"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1159/000515766","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39073911","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Verónica Ruiz-Salas, Onofre Sanmartin-Jiménez, Joan R Garcés, Eva Vilarrasa, Román Miñano-Medrano, Begoña Escutia-Muñoz, Ángeles Flórez-Menéndez, Juan L Artola-Igarza, Alberto Alfaro-Rubio, Pedro Redondo, Yolanda Delgado-Jiménez, Julia Sánchez-Schmidt, Irati Allende-Markixana, Beatriz García Bracamonte, Pablo de la Cueva-Dobao, Cristina Ciudad, Lucía Carnero-González, Hugo Vázquez-Veiga, Pedro Sánchez-Sambucety, José Luis Estebaranz, Rafael Botella-Estrada, Beatriz González-Sixto, Antonio Martorell, Victoriano Morales-Gordillo, Agustí Toll-Abelló, Matías Mayor-Arenal, Ricardo Suárez-Fernández, Laura Sainz-Gaspar, Miguel A Descalzo, Ignacio Garcia-Doval
{"title":"Complications Associated with Mohs Micrographic Surgery: Data from the Nationwide Prospective Cohort REGESMOHS.","authors":"Verónica Ruiz-Salas, Onofre Sanmartin-Jiménez, Joan R Garcés, Eva Vilarrasa, Román Miñano-Medrano, Begoña Escutia-Muñoz, Ángeles Flórez-Menéndez, Juan L Artola-Igarza, Alberto Alfaro-Rubio, Pedro Redondo, Yolanda Delgado-Jiménez, Julia Sánchez-Schmidt, Irati Allende-Markixana, Beatriz García Bracamonte, Pablo de la Cueva-Dobao, Cristina Ciudad, Lucía Carnero-González, Hugo Vázquez-Veiga, Pedro Sánchez-Sambucety, José Luis Estebaranz, Rafael Botella-Estrada, Beatriz González-Sixto, Antonio Martorell, Victoriano Morales-Gordillo, Agustí Toll-Abelló, Matías Mayor-Arenal, Ricardo Suárez-Fernández, Laura Sainz-Gaspar, Miguel A Descalzo, Ignacio Garcia-Doval","doi":"10.1159/000517010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000517010","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Large prospective studies on the safety of Mohs micrographic (MMS) surgery are scarce, and most focus on a single type of surgical adverse event. Mid-term scar alterations and functional loss have not been described.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To describe the risk of MMS complications and the risk factors for them.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A nationwide prospective cohort collected all adverse events on consecutive patients in 22 specialised centres. We used multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression to find out factors associated with adverse events.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>5,017 patients were included, with 14,421 patient-years of follow-up. 7.0% had some perioperative morbidity and 6.5% had mid-term and scar-related complications. The overall risk of complications was mainly associated with use of antiaggregant/anticoagulant and larger tumours, affecting deeper structures, not reaching a tumour-free border, and requiring complex repair. Age and outpatient setting were not linked to the incidence of adverse events. Risk factors for haemorrhage (0.9%) were therapy with antiaggregant/anticoagulants, tumour size, duration of surgery, and unfinished surgery. Wound necrosis (1.9%) and dehiscence (1.0%) were associated with larger defects and complex closures. Immunosuppression was only associated with an increased risk of necrosis. Surgeries reaching deeper structures, larger tumours and previous surgical treatments were associated with wound infection (0.9%). Aesthetic scar alterations (5.4%) were more common in younger patients, with larger tumours, in H-area, and in flap and complex closures. Risk factors for functional scar alterations (1.7%) were the need for general anaesthesia, larger tumours that had received previous surgery, and flaps or complex closures.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>MMS shows a low risk of complications. Most of the risk factors for complications were related to tumour size and depth, and the resulting need for complex surgery. Antiaggregant/anticoagulant intake was associated with a small increase in the risk of haemorrhage, that probably does not justify withdrawal. Age and outpatient setting were not linked to the risk of adverse events.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"320-328"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39301312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ju Hee Han, Jin Woo Park, Kyung Do Han, Jun Beom Park, Miri Kim, Ji Hyun Lee
{"title":"Smoking and Periodontitis Can Play a Synergistic Role in the Development of Psoriasis: A Nationwide Cohort Study.","authors":"Ju Hee Han, Jin Woo Park, Kyung Do Han, Jun Beom Park, Miri Kim, Ji Hyun Lee","doi":"10.1159/000518296","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000518296","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Periodontitis is a chronic inflammatory disorder involving the periodontium. The precise nature of the association between periodontitis and psoriasis has not been determined.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This nationwide population-based study investigated the relationship between periodontitis and the risk of psoriasis.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A health screening database, which is a sub-dataset of the Korean National Health Insurance System database, was used in this study. Subjects with (n = 1,063,004) and without (n = 8,655,587) periodontitis who underwent health examinations from January to December 2009 were followed for 9 years.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In multivariable analysis, compared to the non-periodontitis group, periodontitis patients had a significantly higher risk of developing psoriasis (hazard ratio 1.116, 95% confidence interval 1.101-1.13). Non-smokers with periodontitis had an 11% increase in risk of psoriasis and smokers with periodontitis had a 26.5% increase in risk of psoriasis compared to non-smokers without periodontitis.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study highlights periodontitis as a potential independent risk factor for psoriasis, increasing awareness of the synergistic role of smoking and periodontitis in the pathogenesis of psoriasis.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"554-561"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9153364/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39427159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hyun Jung Lee, Kyungdo Han, Hosim Soh, Seong-Joon Koh, Jong Pil Im, Joo Sung Kim, Hyo Eun Park, Miri Kim
{"title":"Occult Blood in Feces Is Associated with Increased Risk of Psoriasis.","authors":"Hyun Jung Lee, Kyungdo Han, Hosim Soh, Seong-Joon Koh, Jong Pil Im, Joo Sung Kim, Hyo Eun Park, Miri Kim","doi":"10.1159/000518625","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000518625","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The fecal immunochemistry test (FIT) has been proposed as a surrogate marker of intestinal inflammation. Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory skin disease that is linked to underlying systemic inflammatory conditions, including inflammatory bowel disease.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We investigated the association between occult blood in feces and the risk of psoriasis using data from the National Health Insurance System. This study was conducted involving 1,395,147 individuals who underwent health examinations from January 2009 to December 2012 and were followed up until the end of 2017.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The incidence of psoriasis (per 1,000 person-years) was 3.76 versus 4.14 (FIT-negative versus FIT-positive group) during a median follow-up of 6.68 years. In the multivariable-adjusted model, the hazard ratios for psoriasis were 1.03 for one positive FIT result, 1.12 for two positive FIT results, and 1.34 for three positive FIT results compared with negative FIT results.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The risk of psoriasis was significantly increased in patients with positive FIT results compared to the FIT-negative population.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"571-578"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9153330/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39453330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Prediction of the Risk of Alopecia Areata Progressing to Alopecia Totalis and Alopecia Universalis: Biomarker Development with Bioinformatics Analysis and Machine Learning.","authors":"Tao Zhang, Yingli Nie","doi":"10.1159/000515764","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000515764","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Alopecia areata (AA) is an autoimmune disease typified by nonscarring hair loss with a variable clinical course. Although there is an increased understanding of AA pathogenesis and progress in its treatments, the outcome of AA patients remains unfavorable, especially when they are progressing to the subtypes of alopecia totalis (AT) or alopecia universalis (AU). Thus, identifying biomarkers that reflect the risk of AA progressing to AT or AU could lead to better interventions for AA patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this study, we conducted bioinformatics analyses to select key genes that correlated to AU or AT based on the whole-genome gene expression of 122 human scalp skin biopsy specimens obtained from NCBI-GEO GSE68801. Then, we built a biomarker using 8 different machine learning (ML) algorithms based on the key genes selected by bioinformatics analyses.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 4 key genes that significantly increased (CD28) or decreased (HOXC13, KRTAP1-3, and GPRC5D) in AA tissues, especially in the subtypes of AT and AU. Besides, the predictive accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] value) of the prediction models for forecasting AA patients progressing to AT/AU models reached 90.7% (87.9%) by logistic regression, 93.8% (79.9%) by classification trees, 100.0% (76.3%) by random forest, 96.9% (76.3%) by support vector machine, 83.5% (79.9%) by K-nearest neighbors, 97.1% (87.3%) by XGBoost, and 93.3% (80.6%) by neural network algorithms for the training (internal validation) cohort. Besides, 2 molecule drugs, azacitidine and anisomycin, were identified by Cmap database. They might have the potential therapeutic effects on AA patients with high risk of progressing to AT/AU.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In the present study, we conducted high accuracy models for predicting the risk of AA patients progressing to AT or AU, which may be important in facilitating personalized therapeutic strategies and clinical management for different AA patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"386-396"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1159/000515764","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38995166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Vlad Tereshenko, Riccardo Schweizer, Matthias Waldner, Bong-Sung Kim, Pietro Giovanoli, Holger Jan Klein
{"title":"Outcome Comparison of Different Reconstructive Approaches for Axillary Defects Secondary to Radical Excision of Hidradenitis Suppurativa.","authors":"Vlad Tereshenko, Riccardo Schweizer, Matthias Waldner, Bong-Sung Kim, Pietro Giovanoli, Holger Jan Klein","doi":"10.1159/000521573","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000521573","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Radical excision of debilitating hidradenitis suppurativa lesions is the only curative approach in the advanced stages of the disease. Different concepts for axillary reconstruction do exist, but data on their clinical outcome are scarce.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This is a retrospective cohort study of two reconstructive methods (posterior arm flap vs. vacuum-assisted closure [VAC] + split-thickness skin graft [STSG]) for axillary defects in patients with severe axillary hidradenitis suppurativa treated at the University Hospital Zurich between 2005 and 2020.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 35 patients (mean age 36 ± 10 years, mean BMI 29 ± 5 kg/m2, Hurley stage II-III) with 67 operated axillae were stratified according to their type of reconstruction. Median operation time in the flap group was 144 min (IQR 114-207) (cumulative 181 min [IQR 124-300]) and 50 min (IQR 40-81) in the VAC + STSG group (cumulative 151 min [IQR 94-194], p < 0.01; p = 0.20 [cumulative time]). The cumulative length of stay was 6 ± 3 days in the flap group and 14 ± 7 days in the VAC + STSG group (p < 0.01). Time to complete wound healing was 27 days (IQR 20-49) in the flap group and 62 days (IQR 41-75) in the VAC + STSG group (p < 0.01). Vancouver Scar Scale score was 6 (IQR 4-9) in the flap group and 11 (IQR 9-12) in the VAC + STSG group (p < 0.01). Protective sensory recovery was most satisfactory in the flap group (p < 0.01). Forty-four percent of patients of the VAC + STSG group demonstrated functional impairment of arm abduction. Time to return to work was less in group A with 42 days (IQR 27-57) needed as compared to group B with 48 days (IQR 34-55) needed (p = 0.32). The average cost saving was 25% higher for the flap group than for the VAC + STSG group.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Despite an increased operation time, axillary reconstruction by the posterior arm flap yields a reduced length of stay, less time to complete wound healing along with restoration of a protective sensibility, and less axillary scarring avoiding functional deficits - eventually allowing earlier return to work.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"851-859"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9501727/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39726720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Amir Horev, Guy Shalom, Adi Y Weintraub, Tamar Freud, Arnon D Cohen
{"title":"Atopic Dermatitis and Infertility: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.","authors":"Amir Horev, Guy Shalom, Adi Y Weintraub, Tamar Freud, Arnon D Cohen","doi":"10.1159/000515600","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000515600","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Given that common pathophysiological factors play a role in atopic dermatitis (AD) and infertility, we assumed that the 2 conditions might demonstrate an epidemiological association. Large-scale epidemiological data on this topic are lacking.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The aim of this work was to evaluate the potential association between AD and infertility in a broad community-based population.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted, analyzing the association between AD and infertility. We compared AD patients diagnosed by a dermatologist between 2002 and 2018 and a matched control group. The study population was subdivided according to age into adults (age ≥18 years) and children (age <18 years), and was further subdivided according to AD severity, classified as either mild or moderate-to-severe according to AD-related drug use and healthcare services utilization.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The study included 127,150 patients with AD and 127,071 comparison enrollees. AD was associated with a higher prevalence of infertility than that of the control group (1.4 and 1.1%, respectively). The prevalence of infertility, per 1,000 patient-years, was increased in patients with AD compared to that of the control group (2.17 and 1.7, respectively). Multivariate analysis for infertility demonstrated that AD was a key risk factor for infertility in both males and females with mild AD and moderate-to-severe AD.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>A significant association between AD and infertility was observed. This association suggests that infertility may be an additional manifestation of AD. Further studies are warranted to evaluate the impact of AD management in the setting of infertility and vice versa.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"313-319"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1159/000515600","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38894855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Diagnostic Accuracy of Trichoscopy in Inflammatory Scalp Diseases: A Systematic Review.","authors":"Joanna Golińska, Marta Sar-Pomian, Lidia Rudnicka","doi":"10.1159/000517516","DOIUrl":"10.1159/000517516","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The common inflammatory scalp diseases, such as psoriasis, seborrheic dermatitis, lichen planopilaris, discoid lupus erythematosus, contact dermatitis, or pemphigus may share similar clinical features.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To identify and systematically review the available evidence on the accuracy of trichoscopy in inflammatory scalp disorders.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A systematic review was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A total of 58 articles were included in the analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The following trichoscopy features were found to show the highest specificity for the respective diseases: in psoriasis: diffuse scaling, simple and twisted red loops, red dots and globules, and glomerular vessels; in seborrheic dermatitis: atypical vessels, thin arborizing vessels, and structureless red areas; in discoid lupus erythematosus: follicular plugs and erythema encircling follicles; in lichen planopilaris: milky red areas or fibrotic patches; in contact dermatitis: twisted red loops; in pemphigus foliaceus: white polygonal structures and serpentine vessels; in pemphigus vulgaris: red dots with whitish halo and lace-like vessels; and in dermatomyositis: lake-like vascular structures.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>Different nomenclature and variability in parameters, which were analyzed in different studies.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This systemic analysis indicates that trichoscopy may be used with high accuracy in the differential diagnosis of inflammatory scalp diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"412-421"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39186979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Huinan Suo, Biling Jiang, Xiaoyan Sun, Jing Dong, Mahin Alamgir, Xin Guan, Hua Su, Yan Liu, Yuting Xia, Nuoya Zhou, Aiping Feng, Juan Tao
{"title":"Comparing the Accuracy of ABCD-10 and SCORTEN in Predicting the In-Hospital Mortality of Stevens-Johnson Syndrome/Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis: A Multi-Institutional Study from Central China.","authors":"Huinan Suo, Biling Jiang, Xiaoyan Sun, Jing Dong, Mahin Alamgir, Xin Guan, Hua Su, Yan Liu, Yuting Xia, Nuoya Zhou, Aiping Feng, Juan Tao","doi":"10.1159/000520494","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000520494","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The newly described ABCD-10 (age, bicarbonate, cancer, dialysis, 10% body surface area [BSA]) is a 5-item mortality prediction model for patients with Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS)/toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN). It was developed in the United States, has at present been externally tested only in the United States, Spain, and Singapore, and remains to be validated in resource-restricted settings. We sought to compare the accuracy of ABCD-10 and Score of Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis (SCORTEN) in predicting in-hospital mortality in a cohort from central China. Due to disease progression affecting the accuracy of the prediction model during hospitalization, for example, higher predictive accuracy of SCORTEN based on parameters collected on day 3 of hospitalization, we also assessed the overall predictive value of ABCD-10 on days 1 and 3, respectively.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study was performed over a 10-year period (2010-2020) from 3 medical institutions in Wuhan. The performance of predictive models was assessed by both discrimination and calibration. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests and calibration plots were used to evaluate the model discrimination and calibration.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 84 included patients, 11 (13.1%) did not survive. The discrimination power of ABCD-10 was not significantly different from that of SCORTEN (area under the curve: day 1, p > 0.05; day 3, p > 0.05). Although the calibration of ABCD-10 was good, it was inferior to SCORTEN as it underestimated total mortality (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test: day 1, p = 0.17 vs. p = 0.63; day 3, p = 0.35 vs. p = 0.93). Besides, the performance of ABCD-10 was slightly better on day 3 relative to day 1. During hospitalization, bacteremia developed in 21 (25.0%) patients, which was associated with a higher risk of death in our cohort (odds ratio, 22.88; 95% CI, 4.38-119.40; p < 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>ABCD-10 showed acceptable overall performance, but revealed mortality underestimation and was inferior to the performance of SCORTEN. In consistence with SCORTEN, ABCD-10 was a better model when using values collected at day 3 of hospitalization relative to day 1.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"736-744"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39700270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Igor Dykukha, Andreu Schoenenberger, Ismail Kasujee, Ulrich Mrowietz, Reinhard Vonthein
{"title":"Application of the Statistical Method to Convert Published PASI 50/75/90/100 into Absolute PASI Response Rate in Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Plaque Psoriasis Treated with Tildrakizumab Based on Data from the Two Pivotal Phase 3 Studies reSURFACE 1 and reSURFACE 2.","authors":"Igor Dykukha, Andreu Schoenenberger, Ismail Kasujee, Ulrich Mrowietz, Reinhard Vonthein","doi":"10.1159/000522009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000522009","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Absolute Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) is a key endpoint in psoriasis management. Petto et al. [Pharm Stat. 2019;18(1):4-21] developed a statistical method to estimate the proportion of patients reaching absolute PASI response given baseline PASI score and proportion of patients achieving relative improvements at predefined time points.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To test this method on clinical data from two phase 3 tildrakizumab trials (reSURFACE 1/2) comparing estimated absolute PASI ≤1/≤2/≤3/≤5 responses with reference responses from clinical databases.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Reference PASI responses of ≤1/≤2/≤3/≤5 were extracted from clinical databases. Estimation of absolute PASI ≤1/≤2/≤3/≤5 response rates at week (W) 12 and W28 by treatment and trial were performed. Differences between estimated and reference responses were analysed. Bland-Atman limits of agreement and Passing-Bablok regression to assess variations between estimated and reference responses were performed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Differences between estimated and reference absolute PASI ≤1/≤2/≤3/≤5 responses at W12 and W28 by treatment and trial were of little clinical relevance with an overall mean difference in PASI response proportion of -2.2% (e.g., for the tildrakizumab 100-mg arm, original proportions of patients achieving PASI of ≤1/≤2/≤3/≤5 at W28 were 38.5%/52.2%/63.5%/73.9% and 39.8%/54.8%/63.6%/76.9% [reSURFACE 1 and 2, respectively] vs. estimated proportions of 33.2%/49.8%/62.5%/78.3% and 34.3%/51.6%/64.5%/79.9%). Limits of agreement were -7.1% to 1.4% at W12 and -6.8% to 4.3% at W28. Scatterplots revealed linearity that stood the cusum test in Passing-Bablok regression with slope 1.14 (95% confidence intervals: 1.06 to 1.20).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Good estimates of absolute PASI response rates were achieved with the application of the statistical method to tildrakizumab data reported in the phase 3 studies, in particular in the verum study arms. Our data support the method provided by Petto et al. [2019] to estimate proportions of psoriasis patients reaching absolute PASI value thresholds using relative PASI improvements.</p>","PeriodicalId":144585,"journal":{"name":"Dermatology (Basel, Switzerland)","volume":" ","pages":"910-918"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39926446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}