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Drug Decriminalization and Fatal Traffic Crashes: Evidence From BM110 in Oregon 毒品合法化和致命交通事故:来自俄勒冈州BM110的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-31 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4944
Christian Gunadi, Yuyan Shi
{"title":"Drug Decriminalization and Fatal Traffic Crashes: Evidence From BM110 in Oregon","authors":"Christian Gunadi,&nbsp;Yuyan Shi","doi":"10.1002/hec.4944","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4944","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Oregon Ballot Measure 110 (BM 110) reduced the penalties for non-commercial possession of a controlled substance, downgrading them from a felony or misdemeanor to a new Class E violation, punishable by a maximum $100 fine. In this paper, we investigate whether BM 110 was associated with changes in drug-related fatal traffic crashes in Oregon after its implementation in February 2021. To do so, we used Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data from 2018 to 2021 to calculate population-adjusted state-level drug-related fatal traffic crashes. We also employed a modified synthetic control method to create a “synthetic” Oregon, designed to closely resemble the state's pre-policy sociodemographic characteristics and outcome trends while correcting for time-invariant pre-policy differences. The findings show that BM 110 was not associated with changes in drug-related fatal traffic crashes per 100,000 population (0.114, 95% CI: −0.106, 0.334). These results suggest that the implementation of BM 110 did not change drug-related fatal traffic crashes in Oregon in the early period following its adoption.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"815-820"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143065168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effects of Resigning GPs on Patient Healthcare Utilization and Some Implications for Health 全科医生离职对病人医疗保健利用的影响及其对健康的启示。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4941
Daniel Monsees, Matthias Westphal
{"title":"The Effects of Resigning GPs on Patient Healthcare Utilization and Some Implications for Health","authors":"Daniel Monsees,&nbsp;Matthias Westphal","doi":"10.1002/hec.4941","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4941","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study the effects of general practitioners' (GPs') resignations on their patients' healthcare utilization and diagnoses in an event-study setting. Using claims data from a large German statutory health insurance, we find that after physicians leave, their former patients persistently reduce their primary care utilization, only partially substituting it with specialist visits and hospital care. Because patients find a new GP already 1.1 quarters after the old resigns, on average, the persistent effects must be explained through the new GP. Indeed, the new GP serves more patients but performs less diagnostic testing. Our results reveal a substantial decrease in diagnoses of many relevant chronic conditions (such as congestive heart failure and diabetes), suggesting that disruptions may have adverse consequences for the efficiency of the healthcare system. This indicates that continuity in primary care is pivotal and shows that the GP has an essential role in healthcare delivery, particularly in healthcare systems such as Germany, where GPs often have a high workload and little consultation time.</p>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"932-955"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hec.4941","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143065169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Hidden Value of Adult Informal Care in Europe 欧洲成人非正式护理的潜在价值。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4928
Joan Costa-Font, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto
{"title":"The Hidden Value of Adult Informal Care in Europe","authors":"Joan Costa-Font,&nbsp;Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto","doi":"10.1002/hec.4928","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4928","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The hidden value of adult informal care (IC) refers to the unaccounted value of informal care in overall costs of long-term care (LTC) estimates. This paper estimates the net value of adult IC in Europe, drawing on a well-being-based methodology. We use an instrumental variable strategy and a longitudinal and cross-country dataset to estimate the causal effect of the extensive and intensive margin of caregiving on subjective well-being. We estimate the so-called compensating surplus (CS), namely the income equivalent transfer, to compensate for the net disutility of caregiving. We show that IC reduces average subjective well-being by about 1% compared to the mean (6% among co-residential caregivers). Relative to a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the value of IC ranges between 4.2% in France and 0.85% in Germany. Such relative value declines as the country's share of formal LTC spending increases. These results call for a reconsideration of the existing classifications of LTC regimes. We estimate that the average CS per hour for IC is 9.55€, with a range from 22€ per hour in Switzerland to 5€ per hour in Spain. Additionally, we estimate that the long-term CS (estimated using an individual’s permanent income) tends to be lower than short-term CS (estimated using an individual’s current income).</p>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 4","pages":"791-812"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hec.4928","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143065170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Daylight Saving Time and Automobile Accidents: Evidence From Chile 日光节约时间和汽车事故:来自智利的证据。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4936
Roberto Gillmore
{"title":"Daylight Saving Time and Automobile Accidents: Evidence From Chile","authors":"Roberto Gillmore","doi":"10.1002/hec.4936","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4936","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Under the evidence that the Daylight Saving Time (DST) regime does not accomplish its primary goal of saving energy, I analyze one of the main side effects, automobile accidents in Chile between 2002 and 2018. I use a Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) exploiting the discrete nature of the transition into DST and a Difference-in-Difference (DID) approach, taking advantage of the changes in dates that the policy starts and ends over the years. I find a 2.7% reduction in automobile accidents under the DST regime. I isolate the two main mechanisms: sleep disruption and the reallocation of light. I find suggestive evidence that the sleep disruption effect plays a relevant role at both transitions: it increases automobile accidents by 6% the first week following the transition into DST and decreases them by 3.9% the first week following the transition into Standard Time (ST). I also find evidence that ambient light reduces serious and fatal accident risk.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"880-931"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143046368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Health Shock Effects on Diet: More Severe Shock—Stronger Response? 健康冲击对饮食的影响:更严重的冲击-更强的反应?
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4940
Anna Kristina Edenbrandt, Kim Wadt Skak-Hansen, Sinne Smed
{"title":"Health Shock Effects on Diet: More Severe Shock—Stronger Response?","authors":"Anna Kristina Edenbrandt,&nbsp;Kim Wadt Skak-Hansen,&nbsp;Sinne Smed","doi":"10.1002/hec.4940","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4940","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate whether the severity of lifestyle-related health shocks affects the response in dietary patterns. Using data from official patient registers in Denmark, we analyze the effects from strong health shock (SHS) occurrences (cardiovascular disease) and mild health shock (MHS) occurrences (arterial hypertension and hypercholesterolemia). These data are combined with scanner data on food purchases obtained from a consumer panel. Our analysis examines dietary effects stemming from these health shocks, including various nutrients, food groups, and overall adherence to dietary guidelines. Our findings reveal immediate dietary responses to both severe and mild health shocks, with a larger effect observed for SHS compared to MHS. However, among individuals previously exposed to mild health shocks, we observe minimal to no alteration in food consumption after experiencing a SHS. We argue that failing to account for this potential self-selection may lead to a misconception that severe health shocks do not result in dietary improvements.</p>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"869-879"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hec.4940","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143023195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Substitution and Complementarity in the Consumption of Alcohol, Cannabis, and Opium 酒精、大麻和鸦片消费的替代和互补。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4938
Siddharth Chandra, Gaurav Doshi
{"title":"Substitution and Complementarity in the Consumption of Alcohol, Cannabis, and Opium","authors":"Siddharth Chandra,&nbsp;Gaurav Doshi","doi":"10.1002/hec.4938","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4938","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the behavior of populations of drug consumers has been and remains a topic of keen interest. Using a unique dataset on 25 districts from Bengal, India, from 1911 to 1925, we analyze whether populations of consumers treat alcohol, cannabis, and opium as economic substitutes or complements in a legal regime. Additionally, we examine responsiveness to prices and income. Our analysis has three main findings. First, we find evidence of substitution between alcohol and cannabis bud. Second, cannabis leaf is a complement for alcohol but a substitute for cannabis bud. Third, we find negative income elasticity for alcohol, cannabis bud, and opium consumption. These findings on the link between consumption patterns and economic factors can guide harm reduction strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"827-854"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hec.4938","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143004141","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effects of Hydrological Disasters on the Population's Health in the Northeast Region of Brazil 巴西东北地区水文灾害对人口健康的影响
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4939
Vinícius Halmenschlager, Alexandre Nunes de Almeida, Felipe Garcia Ribeiro, Carolina Silva da Trindade
{"title":"The Effects of Hydrological Disasters on the Population's Health in the Northeast Region of Brazil","authors":"Vinícius Halmenschlager,&nbsp;Alexandre Nunes de Almeida,&nbsp;Felipe Garcia Ribeiro,&nbsp;Carolina Silva da Trindade","doi":"10.1002/hec.4939","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4939","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The Northeast region of Brazil is characterized by long periods of drought. However, the region is also frequently affected by floods. The socioeconomic characteristics of the locality make the population more vulnerable to the impacts of these disasters. Therefore, the aim of this article is to investigate the short to long-term impacts of hydrological disasters in northeastern Brazil on morbidity and mortality rates, by age groups. For this purpose, the difference-in-differences method proposed by Callaway and Sant'Anna was applied to a monthly panel data spanning the period from 2000 to 2012. The results indicate that in the short term there is an increase in the mortality rate associated with drowning. In the medium term, there are effects particularly on morbidity rates, with emphasis on leptospirosis and acute respiratory diseases. For the long-term diseases analyzed, no effects of hydrological disasters were observed.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 5","pages":"855-868"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143004207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Value-Based Pricing for Drugs With Uncertain Clinical Benefits 临床效益不确定的药品价值定价。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4932
Boshen Jiao, Yuli Lily Hsieh, Meng Li, Stéphane Verguet
{"title":"Value-Based Pricing for Drugs With Uncertain Clinical Benefits","authors":"Boshen Jiao,&nbsp;Yuli Lily Hsieh,&nbsp;Meng Li,&nbsp;Stéphane Verguet","doi":"10.1002/hec.4932","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4932","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Policymakers can use cost-effectiveness analysis to set value-based prices (VBP) for new pharmaceuticals. However, the uncertainty of investigational drug benefits complicates this pricing strategy. Such complexity stems from decision-makers' risk aversion and the potential change in the estimated value with emerging evidence. The recent surge in drugs approved via the Accelerated Approval (AA) pathway in the U.S. has made incorporating uncertainty into VBP crucial. We propose to estimate risk-adjusted VBP (rVBP) for drugs with uncertain benefits via integrating value of information and expected utility theory. Our approach involves two assessment points: an initial assessment with existing evidence; and a reassessment with new evidence that reduces uncertainty. This approach enables decision-makers to set rVBP in the initial assessment such that the expected utility, from the exisiting evidence, aligns with the benchmark uncertainty. We evaluate two benchmarks: one with no uncertainty, and one with a decision-maker's acceptable uncertainty level. We show in a case study of a hypothetical AA drug that rVBP may be lower than traditional VBP, especially under high risk aversion or low acceptable uncertainty. Our methodology adjusts VBP to account for uncertainty, supporting decision-makers in balancing timely market access with the risks associated with uncertainty in the benefits of new pharmaceuticals.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 4","pages":"780-790"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142983246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing Cigarette Reduction Tax-Effectiveness in Low Tobacco Expenditure Contexts: An Application to Bolivia 在低烟草支出背景下评估卷烟减免税效果:玻利维亚的应用。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4931
Joaquín Morales, Sara Santander
{"title":"Assessing Cigarette Reduction Tax-Effectiveness in Low Tobacco Expenditure Contexts: An Application to Bolivia","authors":"Joaquín Morales,&nbsp;Sara Santander","doi":"10.1002/hec.4931","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4931","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In this research we show that ambitious increases in tobacco tax rates can substantially reduce tobacco consumption, increase fiscal revenue, and provide net positive social benefits even in contexts of low consumption prevalence and intensity. Low nicotine intake still constitutes a grave disease risk factor, and the effectiveness of tax increases might be questioned if income effects are small. We adapt spatial variation of price methodologies to deal with low prevalence and intensity, censored data, and small samples using the Bolivian case as an illustration. We find an average price elasticity of demand of <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>−</mo>\u0000 <mn>0.69</mn>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${-}0.69$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math> to <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>−</mo>\u0000 <mn>0.76</mn>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${-}0.76$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>. Using our estimates of elasticities, we develop a simulation to anticipate the effects of a 35% yearly increase of the Bolivian specific excise on tobacco starting in 2025. Our estimates show that by 2030, this reform could reduce the consumption of cigarettes by 52.6%, diminish the prevalence of smoking by 30.6%, and increase fiscal revenue by $123 million over six years. Moreover, we estimate that the abated direct medical costs of reduced consumption net of the deadweight loss associated with a tax increase would generate a net social gain of over $100 million in five years.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 4","pages":"758-779"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142983234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fat vs. Sugar: The Case for a Saturated Fat Tax in Italy 脂肪与糖:意大利征收饱和脂肪税的案例。
IF 2 3区 医学
Health economics Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1002/hec.4933
Valeria di Cosmo, Silvia Tiezzi
{"title":"Fat vs. Sugar: The Case for a Saturated Fat Tax in Italy","authors":"Valeria di Cosmo,&nbsp;Silvia Tiezzi","doi":"10.1002/hec.4933","DOIUrl":"10.1002/hec.4933","url":null,"abstract":"<p>When judging the distributional impact of unhealthy food taxes, what matters is not just how much low income people would pay but how much the such taxes would benefit or harm them overall. In this paper, we assess the consumer welfare impact of a fat tax net of its expected benefits computed as savings from weight loss. Using Italian data, we estimate a censored Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) incomplete demand system for food groups, simulating changes in purchases, calorie intake, consumer welfare, and the monetary value of short-run health benefits. While the Italian government has proposed a sugar tax, we show that there is no significant excess consumption of added sugars among Italian adults. Instead, excessive fat consumption is more prevalent, making a fat tax a more compelling and effective solution to address diet-related health risks. Our results suggest costs from fat taxation are larger than benefits at all income levels. As a fraction of income, the net impact would be slightly regressively distributed.</p>","PeriodicalId":12847,"journal":{"name":"Health economics","volume":"34 4","pages":"727-740"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/hec.4933","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142970361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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