Environmental Geochemistry and Health最新文献

{"title":"Pollution characteristics and health risk assessment of heavy metals in PM2.5 in Fuxin, China.","authors":"Xiaoliang Zhao, Zhaolin Shen, Fangwei Han, Bandna Bharti, Shaohui Feng, Jing Du, Yide Li","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02275-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02275-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fuxin is located in the atmospheric channel around Bohai Bay, and its geographical location is very special. Few existing studies have investigated the pollution characteristics and health risk assessment of heavy metals in atmospheric PM_2.5 during the four seasons in Fuxin, so a total of 180 PM_2.5 samples were collected from four sampling sites in Fuxin from December 2021 to November 2022. The seasonal distribution characteristics of V, Cr, Mn, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Pb, As, Sb, Cd and Ba were analysed via inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP‒MS), and the source of the heavy metals was analysed via the enrichment factor (EF) and principal component analysis (PCA). A health risk model was used to assess the health risk of respiratory exposure in men, women and children in Fuxin. The results revealed that the annual average mass order of heavy metals in Fuxin PM_2.5 was Zn (0.2947 μg·m^-3) > Pb (0.0664 μg·m^-3) > As (0.0225 μg·m^-3) > Ba (0.0205 μg·m^-3) > Mn (0.0187 μg·m^-3) > Cu (0.0140 μg·m^-3) > Cr (0.0095 μg·m^-3) > V (0.0067 μg·m^-3) > Ni (0.0061 μg·m^-3) > Sb (0.0024 μg·m^-3) > Cd (0.0019 μg·m^-3) > Co (0.0007 μg·m^-3). The annual average concentration of As was 3.75 times the GB3095-2012 (China) secondary standard limit, and the concentration of hazard quotient (HQ) in PM_2.5 was lower than 1, but the concentration of incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) in As was higher than the cancer risk threshold (10^-4). These findings indicate a certain risk of cancer in the urban population of Fuxin. Therefore, it is necessary to control the emissions created from coal burning to minimize the health risks to the people of Fuxin.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"511"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11554730/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142617048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Optimizing food waste bioconversion with sodium selenite-enhanced Lucilia sericata maggots: a sustainable approach for chicken feed production and heavy metal mitigation.","authors":"Chao Zheng, Yu Bon Man, Ming Hung Wong, Zhang Cheng","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02277-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02277-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Recycling food waste by feeding it to insects can result in the continuous production of high-quality animal feed protein and organic fertilizer. However, the bioconversion efficiency and safety of using insects as feed protein for animal breeding are important factors limiting the development of this technology. Therefore, we aimed to optimize the efficiency of bioconversion of food waste using Lucilia sericata maggot (LSM). Sodium selenite (SS) was used to improve the quality and safety of each trophic-level organism. The results showed that an SS concentration of 15 mg kg^-1 w.w. in the food waste culture substrate (SS15), the yield and quality of the obtained LSMs were optimal. The total selenium (Se) content of LSMs was 82.4 ± 1.16 mg kg^-1 d.w., and non-inorganic Se accounted for 96.4% ± 2.01% of the total Se content. Additionally, the conversion efficiency of food waste was 18.7% higher than that in the control group (p < 0.05). When SS15 was used to raise maggots as a protein substitute for fish meal (commercial feed), the weight of the chickens and the crude protein content were 1.09-1.26 times and 1.09-1.13 times, respectively (p < 0.05), in comparison with the corresponding findings obtained with the use of ordinary maggots and commercial feed. In this group, glutathione peroxidase, superoxide dismutase, catalase, and immunoglobulin A and G activities were significantly higher than those obtained with the other feeds (p < 0.05). During this cyclic utilization process, the total Se content in chickens (0.31 ± 0.05 mg kg^-1 w.w. in the breast, 0.19 ± 0.01 mg kg^-1 w.w. in the leg, and 0.57 ± 0.01 mg kg^-1 w.w. in the liver) significantly increased (p < 0.05). Meanwhile, the Cu and Zn contents in the LSMs and chickens increased, whereas cadmium, lead, chromium, and nickel absorption was inhibited (p < 0.05). Health risk assessment based on the levels of Se and heavy metals showed that Se-enriched chickens produced using this method can be safely consumed.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"508"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142617047","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Geoenvironmental determinants influencing chronic kidney disease of unknown etiology in the dry zone of Sri Lanka: a study based on a cohort of at-risk communities.","authors":"Dhananjalee Mahalekam, Ishara Athauda, Penny Vlahos, Shuchi Anand, Nishantha Nanayakkara, Rohana Chandrajith","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02296-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02296-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Chronic kidney disease of unknown origin (CKDu) has emerged as a serious health risk for farming communities in remote semi-arid lowland regions of Sri Lanka, with geoenvironmental factors widely believed to be associated with the etiology. Although numerous case-control studies have been carried out to determine the causes of CKDu, none have been conducted in at-risk communities. The main objective of this study is to identify the potential geo-environmental risk factors associated with the at-risk community in the Wilgamuwa region, a CKDu endemic area in Sri Lanka. The study collected and analyzed 92 water sources currently or previously used in the study area for major cations, anions, and trace elements, mainly As, Cd, Pd, Mn, Zn, Ba and Sr. The major cations and anions in CKDu-susceptible groundwater varied Si⁴⁺ > Ca²⁺ > Na⁺ > Mg²⁺ > K⁺ and HCO₃^- > Cl^- > SO₄^2- > NO₃^- > F^- > PO₄^3- > Br^-. The higher average values of Si⁴⁺, F^- and total hardness (TH) were reported in groundwater consumed by communities at risk of CKDu, with average values (in mg/L) of Si⁴⁺-46, F^--0.62, and TH-178. Considering the Water Quality Index (WQI) values, 73% of groundwater sources are classified as poor water quality, and the groundwater quality mainly depends on the fluoride distribution in the region. According to the Hazard Quotient (HQ), the risk of adverse health effects from exposure to F^- and SiO₂ increased in magnitude in the order of male < female < children. Health hazards due to As, Cd and Pb exposure fell between the 'no-risk' and 'low-risk' categories. As outlined in this study, continuous monitoring of vulnerable communities for environmental exposures to key groundwater constituents is important in the dry zone of Sri Lanka.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"507"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142617110","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Comprehensive evaluation of skin exposure to PBDEs and PCBs in diverse South China populations via dermal wipe sampling.","authors":"Jian Guo, Xiaojun Luo, Yanhong Zeng, Bixian Mai","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02288-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02288-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study analyzed skin wipe samples from the forehead, palm, forearm, and lower leg of 120 volunteers across different age groups-preschoolers, thresholders, middle-aged, and elderly-with each group comprising 30 individuals with a balanced sex ratio from a city in South China. The research aimed to assess the occurrence, concentration, and associated health risks of polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) adsorbed onto human skin from environmental sources. We identified 13 PBDE congeners and 10 PCB congeners across all samples, with average detection frequencies of 48% for PBDEs and 16% for PCBs, with concentrations ranging from non-detectable (ND) to 4200 and ND to 2300 ng/m², respectively. Skin concentrations of both PBDEs and PCBs decreased in the order of face > hand > arm > shank (ANOVA, P < 0.001), suggesting higher exposure to uncovered skin areas than to those covered by clothing, regardless of age or sex. The daily average dose of dermal (DAD_derm) and oral (DAD_oral) for PBDEs spanned from 7.0 × 10^-4-0.19 ng/kg/d and ND-15 ng/kg/d, respectively, whereas the PCB exposure doses ranged from ND-7.8 ng/kg/d (DAD_derm) and ND-2.0 ng/kg/d (DAD_oral), respectively. Preschool children displayed notably higher DAD_oral levels than the other groups (P < 0.0001), which was attributed to their more frequent hand-to-mouth activity. Preschool boys exhibiting a higher DAD_derm (P < 0.05) and both preschool boys and university women showing elevated DAD_oral levels (P < 0.01 and P < 0.05, respectively). Health risk assessments concluded that the carcinogenic risks from BDE209 and PCBs were within acceptable limits (10^-4) for all sampled populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"506"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Characterization and source apportionment of heavy metal pollution in soil around red mud disposal sites using absolute principal component scores-multiple linear regression and positive matrix factorization models.","authors":"Wenwen Cui, Xiaoqiang Dong, Jiajiang Liu, Fan Yang, Wei Duan, Mingxing Xie","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02267-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02267-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In recent years, industrial waste and agrochemicals have reduced soil fertility and productivity, significantly impacting food security and ecosystems. In China, areas near red mud deposits from the aluminum industry show severe heavy metal contamination. This study examines agricultural soil near a red mud site in Shanxi Province, analyzing Cd, Cr, Hg, Ni, Pb, As, Cu, and Zn levels and distribution. Geostatistical methods and GIS are utilized to assess heavy metal pollution using the single factor index, the Nemerow integrated index, and the Hakanson potential ecological risk index. Absolute Principal Component Scores-Multiple Linear Regression (APCS-MLR) and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) models are used for quantitative analysis of pollution sources. Research indicates that the average concentrations of eight heavy metals exceed the natural background values of Shanxi, placing them at a severe pollution level with moderate ecological risk. Specifically, indices for As, Pb, and Cr are 3.79, 3.38, and 3.26, indicating severe pollution; Cd, Cu, and Hg at 2.36, 2.62, and 3.00 suggest moderate pollution; Ni at 1.87 shows mild pollution, while Zn at 0.97 is not polluted. Hg presents the highest ecological risk with a coefficient of 120.00, followed by Cd (70.69) and As (37.92). Spatial analysis shows significant correlations among Pb, Zn, Cu, and Ni, while Cr, Cd, Hg, and As show greater variability and weaker correlations. Both models identify five main sources: industrial activities, agricultural fertilizers, red mud leachate, energy combustion, and natural geological backgrounds, with respective contribution rates in the APCS-MLR model at 27.7%, 24.6%, 18.1%, 15.2%, and 14.4%, and in the PMF model at 29.2%, 21.5%, 16.9%, 16.7%, and 15.7%. This study offers a scientific basis for controlling soil pollution in the region, filling a literature gap.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"492"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603693","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Effects of bulk forms and nanoparticles of zinc and copper oxides on the abundance, nitrogen cycling and enzymatic activities of microbial communities, morphometric parameters and antioxidant status of Hordeum vulgare L.","authors":"E P Pulikova, F D Ivanov, I A Alliluev, N P Chernikova, M R Krepakova, A V Gorovtsov, T M Minkina, T V Bauer, V S Tsitsuashvili, M C Garg, S Kumar, V D Rajput","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02258-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02258-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Uncontrolled use or improper disposal of bulk forms and nanoparticles of heavy metals may lead to their release into the environment. Coastal and floodplain ecosystems are particularly vulnerable, and the effects of metal nanoparticles on Fluvisol and Stagnic Fluvisol are poorly studied. This study aims to examine the effect of heavy metals on the enzymatic activity of the soil, the abundance of culturable microorganisms, growth, and antioxidant status of H. vulgare L. A model experiment was carried out with contamination of Stagnic Fluvisol Humic and Fluvisol with 2200 and 1320 mg kg^-1 Zn and Cu, to assess the ecotoxicity of bulk forms and nanoparticles of ZnO and CuO in floodplain soils. The abundance of culturable microorganisms, namely copiotrophs, prototrophs, oligotrophs and nitrogen fixers increased. However, a sharp decrease in dehydrogenase activity and denitrification occurred. This effect was more pronounced in Fluvisol (7 times) than in Stagnic Fluvisol Humic (3 times). The accumulation of HMs was also higher in plants grown in Fluvisol (16-32 times) than in Stagnic Fluvisol Humic (13-24 times), which led to a decrease in plant growth and activation of antioxidant defense systems. An increase in the level of malondialdehyde, and the activity of superoxide dismutase and catalase indicates the induction of oxidative stress. Heavy metals have a greater impact on the biological properties of Fluvisol compared to Stagnic Fluvisol Humic. The presence of heavy metals boosts the abundance of culturable microorganisms, while nanoparticles hinder plant growth more than bulk heavy metals.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"494"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Methodological insights into soil elemental nickel in typical Karst areas: comprehensive analysis of geochemical characteristics, source determination, and influencing factors.","authors":"Xinying Ke, Zhenhua Tang, Jie Li","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02263-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02263-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Excessive levels of Nickel in the soil can compromise the security of agricultural products, posing a threat to health of human beings; therefore, the repair and treatment of Nickel exceeding the standard levels in soil are particularly critical. Although it is crucial that the potential restoration of Nickel in ensuring the security of both soil and farm produce within karst regions., few studies have been conducted on the potential restoration of large-scale Nickel-contaminated soils. In this study, the soil in Wuming, Guangxi, a typical karst area, was comprehensively studied. 12,547 surface soil samples, 134 deep soil samples and 60 soil profiles were collected systematically. The results showed that the Nickel background value of the surface soil was 34.9 mg/kg, indicating strong background characteristics and high variability. Principal component analysis showed that soil Nickel was primarily derived from natural sources in the geological background and partly derived from agricultural sources. Analysis of variance showed that the Nickel content of the soil was affected by the parent rock, soil type, soil use type, and topography. In addition, the distribution of Nickel in the soil profile increased exponentially with depth. Therefore, the exponential model and multiple integrals were used to derive the formula for the Nickel potential restoration amount at different depth ranges, and the potential restoration amount of soil Nickel was calculated based on different parent material, soil, and land use types. The formula is reasonable and representative and can provide a theoretical basis for the remediation and treatment of Nickel-polluted soil in karst areas.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"505"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Study on association between human plasma polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) and thyroid homeostasis and carcinoma.","authors":"Qianqian Wang, Yi Wang, Chunyan Chen, Likun Zhang, Chenglong Wang, Xinyu Lou, Dan Chen, Jun Jin, Youben Fan, Shaofeng Sui, Zhiyan Liu","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02262-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02262-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), a category of persistent organic pollutants (POPs), are ubiquitous in the environment and have been reported to have endocrine-disrupting and tumor-promoting activities. However, the evidence for the correlation between plasma PBDEs levels, thyroid homeostasis and thyroid carcinoma in humans remains limited. Herein, we analyzed eight PBDE congeners in 53 patients undergoing thyroid surgery. BDE-209 was identified as the most abundant PBDE congener in plasma (median, 11.36 ng/g lipid). BDE-100 concentration was positively associated with free triiodothyronine (FT3), indicating a potential interference with thyroid function. Point-biserial correlation analysis revealed positive associations between certain plasma PBDE congeners (BDE-28, BDE-47, BDE-99, BDE-100, and BDE-154) and aggressive pathological parameters. There was no significant correlation between PBDEs and BRAF or RAS mutations in PTC patients, indicating that PBDEs may not directly promote the initiation and progression of thyroid cancer through these genetic mutations. It implies the complexity of the relationship between PBDEs exposure and thyroid cancer development. Although not statistically significant, Bayesian kernel-machine regression (BKMR) analysis of single-exposure effects model found that BDE-47 and BDE-99 were positively associated with the risk of malignant neoplasms. The present study not only contributes to the growing evidence regarding the impact of PBDEs on thyroid function but also provides new insights into the association between exposure to certain PBDE congeners and the aggressive pathological parameters of thyroid cancer. Large-scale prospective studies are still needed to support our findings.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"502"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603861","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Global microplastics pollution: a bibliometric analysis and review on research trends and hotspots in agroecosystems.","authors":"Asad Jamil, Ambreen Ahmad, Muhammad Irfan, Xin Hou, Yi Wang, Ziwei Chen, Xianhua Liu","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02274-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02274-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The prevalence of microplastics (MPs) in agricultural ecosystems poses a notable threat to dynamics of soil ecosystems, crop productivity, and global food security. MPs enter agricultural ecosystems from various sources and have considerable impacts on the physiochemical properties soil, soil organisms and microbial communities, and plants. However, the intensity of these impacts can vary with the size, shape, types, and the concentrations of MPs in the soil. Besides, MPs can enter food chain through consummation of crops grown on MPs polluted soils. In this study, we conducted a bibliometric analysis of 1636 publications on the effects of MPs on agricultural ecosystems from 2012 to May 2024. The results revealed a substantial increase in publications over the years, and China, the USA, Germany, and India have emerged as leading countries in this field of research. Social network analysis identified emerging trends and research hotspots. The latest burst keywords were contaminants, biochar, polyethylene microplastics, biodegradable microplastics, antibiotic resistance genes, and quantification. Furthermore, we have summarized the effects of MPs on various components of agricultural ecosystems. By integrating findings from diverse disciplinary perspectives, this study provides a valuable insight into the current knowledge landscape, identifies research gaps, and proposes future research directions to effectively tackle the intricate challenges associated with MPs pollution in agricultural environments.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"486"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling soil acidity (pH) dynamics under extreme agroclimatic conditions in Horro Guduru Wallaga Zone, northwestern Ethiopia.","authors":"Dirribsa Hunduma Temesgen, Fedhasa Benti Chalchissa","doi":"10.1007/s10653-024-02259-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10653-024-02259-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Soil plays a critical role in nutrient availability, microbial activity, and fertility in agriculture. However, the effects of agroclimatic conditions on soil pH are not well understood, particularly in the Horro Guduru Zone of Ethiopia. This study aimed to investigate the soil pH under extremely wet and dry conditions across 3 shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Baseline agroclimatic data (1981-2010) and future projections (2041-2070) were obtained from the European Commission Climate Change Services. Soil pH data at a 250 m resolution were extracted from the FAO-UNESCO global soil map. Missing values, multicollinearity, and outliers were addressed before modeling. Predictive models, including neural networks, generalized regression, and bootstrap forests, were validated, with the generalized regression model showing the best performance. The results indicate that soil pH decreases under consecutive dry‒wet conditions and increases with increasing maximum day temperatures across all scenarios. Soil pH is significantly influenced by the number of consecutive dry days, consecutive wet days, and maximum day temperature. The SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios resulted in improved pH levels, whereas SSP5-8.5 led to a decrease in soil pH, averaging 5.79 and decreasing to 5.54. These findings suggest that under SSP5-8.5, soil health and farming productivity may be compromised. This study emphasizes the need to adjust soil management practices based on prevailing climatic conditions to ensure soil health and agricultural sustainability.</p>","PeriodicalId":11759,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Geochemistry and Health","volume":"46 12","pages":"490"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142603857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}