Ecological Monographs最新文献

{"title":"Drivers of contrasting boreal understory vegetation in coniferous and broadleaf deciduous alternative states","authors":"Juanita C. Rodríguez-Rodríguez,&nbsp;Nicole J. Fenton,&nbsp;Steven W. Kembel,&nbsp;Evick Mestre,&nbsp;Mélanie Jean,&nbsp;Yves Bergeron","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1587","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1587","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Alternative states defined by tree-canopy dominance result in different ecosystem functioning and shape habitat conditions for the understory vegetation. One example in the boreal forest is the alternation between broadleaf deciduous and coniferous forests. Disturbances related to natural fires and human land uses have produced changes in tree-canopy dominance in the boreal region where coniferous forests change to broadleaved forests, affecting understory community dynamics and their related ecosystem processes and functions. To analyze the factors driving changes in understory vegetation and the resistance of its vegetation to shifts between alternative states, we compared the effects of changes in the system between two contrasting boreal forest types (black spruce vs. trembling aspen) in adjacent stands with similar topoedaphic conditions. We performed a 5-year in situ experiment using alternative states as a theoretical framework including two approaches: (1) the ecosystem approach, manipulating environmental conditions of light, litter, and nutrients in each forest type to determine the main mechanisms associated with tree-canopy dominance that affect the diversity and composition of understory communities; and (2) the community approach, physically exchanging understory communities between alternative states, to determine their resistance under a new tree-canopy dominance through time, as well as the resilience of the forest understory after a small-scale disturbance. Results indicate that the understory vegetation of trembling aspen forests were resistant through time both after changes in local conditions in the ecosystem approach and in the new black spruce-dominated alternative state in the community approach. In contrast, mosses and ericaceous plants that typically dominate the forest floor of black spruce forests were negatively affected by the physical effect of broadleaf litter addition in our ecosystem approach and they were not resistant when transplanted to trembling aspen forests in the community approach, as they decreased in abundance and were invaded by aspen understory community species over time. The understory vegetation is a key forest ecosystem driver that can contribute to maintain the resilience of the boreal system and help to preserve their ecosystem services, which is a key aspect to consider in forest management faced with the effects of climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1587","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49025452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Hierarchical drivers of cryptic biodiversity on coral reefs","authors":"Kennedy Wolfe,&nbsp;Tania M. Kenyon,&nbsp;Amelia Desbiens,&nbsp;Kimberley de la Motte,&nbsp;Peter J. Mumby","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1586","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1586","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Declines in habitat structural complexity have marked ecological outcomes, as currently observed in many of the world's ecosystems. Coral reefs have provided a model for such changes in marine ecosystems; still our understanding has been centered on corals and fishes at broad spatial scales when metazoan diversity on coral reefs is dominated by small cryptic taxa (herein: “cryptofauna”). Given the paucity of studies and high taxonomic complexity of the cryptofauna, both of which limit a priori hypotheses, we asked whether hierarchical structuring theory provides a compelling framework to impose order and quantify patterns. In general terms, we explored whether cryptic communities are sufficiently described by broad seascape parameters or limited by a set of processes operating at their distinctly nested microhabitat scale. To address this theory and gaps in knowledge for the cryptofauna, we characterized community structure in coral rubble, an eroded coral condition where biodiversity proliferates. Rubble was sampled along a depth and exposure gradient at Heron Island on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia, to parameterize environmental and morphological indicators of sessile taxa and motile cryptofauna communities. We used a hierarchical study framework from microhabitat to seascape scales, which were evaluated using nonstructured multivariate analyses and Bayesian structural equation modeling. While the nonstructured analyses showed the effects of seascape on the cryptobenthos and its community, this approach overlooked the finer hierarchical patterns in rubble ecology revealed only in the structured model. Seascape parameters (exposure and depth) influenced microhabitat complexity (i.e., rubble branchiness), which determined the cover of sessile organisms on rubble pieces, which shaped the motile cryptofauna community. Rubble is likely to be increasingly prevalent on coral reefs in the Anthropocene and is typically associated with low seascape-level complexity and reduced macrofaunal richness. Parallel with hierarchical structuring theory, we showed a similar response operating at the microhabitat scale whereby low rubble complexity (i.e., branchiness) reduced cryptobenthic structure, diversity and size spectra. In a future ocean, we expect there may be an initial increase in biodiversity and trophodynamic processes derived from branching rubble, but a delay in ecosystem-scale outcomes if coral, and thus rubble, generation and complexity is not sustained.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1586","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46953587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Reexamining the storage effect: Why temporal variation in abiotic factors seems unlikely to cause coexistence","authors":"Simon Maccracken Stump,&nbsp;David A. Vasseur","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1585","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1585","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The temporal storage effect—that species coexist by partitioning abiotic niches that vary in time—is thought to be an important explanation for how species coexist. However, empirical studies that measure multiple mechanisms often find the storage effect is weak. We believe this mismatch is because of a shortcoming of theoretical models used to study the storage effect: that while the storage effect is described as having just three requirements (partitioning of temporal variation, buffered population growth, and a covariance between environment and density-dependence), models used to study the storage effect make four assumptions, which are mathematically subtle but biologically important. In this paper, we examine those assumptions. First, models assume that environmental variation leads to a rapid impact on density-dependence. We find that delays in density-dependence (including delays caused by competition between cohorts) weaken the storage effect. Second, models assume that intraspecific competition is almost identical to interspecific competition. We find that unless resource or predator partitioning are virtually absent, then variation-independent mechanisms will overshadow the benefits of the storage effect. Third, models assume even though there is vast variation in the environment, species are equally adapted on average (i.e., zero fitness-differences). We show that fitness differences are particularly problematic in the storage effect because specializing on temporally rare niches is far less effective than specializing on other types of rare niches. Finally, models assume that stochastic extinctions can be ignored, and invader growth can determine coexistence. We show that storage effects tend to reduce mean persistence times, even if invader growth rates are positive. These results suggest that the assumptions needed for the storage effect are strict: if the first or second assumption is relaxed, it will greatly weaken the stabilizing mechanism; if the third or fourth assumption is relaxed, it will create a diversity-destroying effect that may undermine coexistence. We examine three real-world communities—annual plants, tropical forests, and iguanid lizards—and find that empirical studies suggest that all three communities violate multiple assumptions. This suggests that the temporal storage effect is probably not an important explanation for species diversity in most systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43334221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing risk for butterflies in the context of climate change, demographic uncertainty, and heterogeneous data sources","authors":"Matthew L. Forister,&nbsp;Eliza M. Grames,&nbsp;Christopher A. Halsch,&nbsp;Kevin J. Burls,&nbsp;Cas F. Carroll,&nbsp;Katherine L. Bell,&nbsp;Joshua P. Jahner,&nbsp;Taylor A. Bradford,&nbsp;Jing Zhang,&nbsp;Qian Cong,&nbsp;Nick V. Grishin,&nbsp;Jeffrey Glassberg,&nbsp;Arthur M. Shapiro,&nbsp;Thomas V. Riecke","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1584","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1584","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ongoing declines in insect populations have led to substantial concern and calls for conservation action. However, even for relatively well studied groups, like butterflies, information relevant to species-specific status and risk is scattered across field guides, the scientific literature, and agency reports. Consequently, attention and resources have been spent on a minuscule fraction of insect diversity, including a few well studied butterflies. Here we bring together heterogeneous sources of information for 396 butterfly species to provide the first regional assessment of butterflies for the 11 western US states. For 184 species, we use monitoring data to characterize historical and projected trends in population abundance. For another 212 species (for which monitoring data are not available, but other types of information can be collected), we use exposure to climate change, development, geographic range, number of host plants, and other factors to rank species for conservation concern. A phylogenetic signal is apparent, with concentrations of declining and at-risk species in the families Lycaenidae and Hesperiidae. A geographic bias exists in that many species that lack monitoring data occur in the more southern states where we expect that impacts of warming and drying trends will be most severe. Legal protection is rare among the taxa with the highest risk values: of the top 100 species, one is listed as threatened under the US Endangered Species Act and one is a candidate for listing. Among the many taxa not currently protected, we highlight a short list of species in decline, including <i>Vanessa annabella</i>, <i>Thorybes mexicanus</i>, <i>Euchloe ausonides</i>, and <i>Pholisora catullus</i>. Notably, many of these species have broad geographic ranges, which perhaps highlights a new era of insect conservation in which small or fragmented ranges will not be the only red flags that attract conservation attention.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50138042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Demography and dispersal at a grass-shrub ecotone: A spatial integral projection model for woody plant encroachment","authors":"Trevor Drees,&nbsp;Brad M. Ochocki,&nbsp;Scott L. Collins,&nbsp;Tom E. X. Miller","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1574","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1574","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The encroachment of woody plants into grasslands is a global phenomenon with implications for biodiversity and ecosystem function. Understanding and predicting the pace of expansion and the underlying processes that control it are key challenges in the study and management of woody encroachment. Theory from spatial population biology predicts that the occurrence and speed of expansion should depend sensitively on the nature of conspecific density dependence. If fitness is maximized at the low-density encroachment edge, then shrub expansion should be “pulled” forward. However, encroaching shrubs have been shown to exhibit positive feedbacks, whereby shrub establishment modifies the environment in ways that facilitate further shrub recruitment and survival. In this case there may be a fitness cost to shrubs at low density causing expansion to be “pushed” from behind the leading edge. We studied the spatial dynamics of creosotebush (<i>Larrea tridentata</i>), which has a history of encroachment into Chihuahuan Desert grasslands over the past century. We used demographic data from observational censuses and seedling transplant experiments to test the strength and direction of density dependence in shrub fitness along a gradient of shrub density at the grass–shrub ecotone. We also used seed-drop experiments and wind data to construct a mechanistic seed-dispersal kernel, then connected demography and dispersal data within a spatial integral projection model (SIPM) to predict the dynamics of shrub expansion. Contrary to expectations based on potential for positive feedbacks, the shrub encroachment wave is “pulled” by maximum fitness at the low-density front. However, the predicted pace of expansion was strikingly slow (ca. 8 cm/year), and this prediction was supported by independent resurveys of the ecotone showing little to no change in the spatial extent of shrub cover over 12 years. Encroachment speed was acutely sensitive to seedling recruitment, suggesting that this population may be primed for pulses of expansion under conditions that are favorable for recruitment. Our integration of observations, experiments, and modeling reveals not only that this ecotone is effectively stalled under current conditions but also why that is so and how that may change as the environment changes.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46849079","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Using mechanistic insights to predict the climate-induced expansion of a key aquatic predator","authors":"Mark C. Urban,&nbsp;Christopher P. Nadeau,&nbsp;Sean T. Giery","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1575","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1575","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ameliorating the impacts of climate change on communities requires understanding the mechanisms of change and applying them to predict future responses. One way to prioritize efforts is to identify biotic multipliers, which are species that are sensitive to climate change and disproportionately alter communities. We first evaluate the mechanisms underlying the occupancy dynamics of marbled salamanders, a key predator in temporary ponds in the eastern United States We use long-term data to evaluate four mechanistic hypotheses proposed to explain occupancy patterns, including autumn flooding, overwintering predation, freezing, and winterkill from oxygen depletion. Results suggest that winterkill and fall flooding best explain marbled salamander occupancy patterns. A field introduction experiment supports the importance of winterkill via hypoxia rather than freezing in determining overwinter survival and rejects dispersal limitation as a mechanism preventing establishment. We build climate-based correlative models that describe salamander occupancy across ponds and years at two latitudinally divergent sites, a southern and middle site, with and without field-collected habitat characteristics. Correlative models with climate and habitat variation described occupancy patterns better than climate-only models for each site, but poorly predicted occupancy patterns at the site not used for model development. We next built hybrid mechanistic metapopulation occupancy models that incorporated flooding and winterkill mechanisms. Although hybrid models did not describe observed site-specific occupancy dynamics better than correlative models, they better predicted the other site's dynamics, revealing a performance trade-off between model types. Under future climate scenarios, models predict an increased occupancy of marbled salamanders, especially at the middle site, and expansion at a northern site beyond the northern range boundary. Evidence for the climate sensitivity of marbled salamanders combined with their disproportionate ecological impacts suggests that they might act as biotic multipliers of climate change in temporary ponds. More generally, we predict that top aquatic vertebrate predators will expand into temperate-boreal lakes as climate change reduces winterkill worldwide. Predaceous species with life histories sensitive to winter temperatures provide good candidates for identifying additional biotic multipliers. Building models that include biological mechanisms for key species such as biotic multipliers could better predict broad changes in communities and design effective conservation actions.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48623249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Off-host survival of blacklegged ticks in eastern North America: A multistage, multiyear, multisite study","authors":"Jesse L. Brunner,&nbsp;Shannon L. LaDeau,&nbsp;Mary Killilea,&nbsp;Elizabeth Valentine,&nbsp;Megan Schierer,&nbsp;Richard S. Ostfeld","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1572","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1572","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climatic conditions are widely thought to govern the distribution and abundance of ectoparasites, such as the blacklegged tick (<i>Ixodes scapularis</i>), vector of the agents of Lyme disease and other emerging human pathogens. However, translating physiological tolerances to distributional limits or mortality is challenging. Ticks may be able to avoid or tolerate unsuitable conditions, and what is lethal to one life history stage may not extend to others. Thus, even after decades of research, there are clear gaps in our knowledge about how climatic conditions determine tick distributions or patterns of abundance. We present results from a 3-year study combining daily hazard models and data from field experiments at three sites spanning much of <i>I. scapularis</i>' current latitudinal distribution. We examine three predominant hypotheses regarding how temperature and vapor pressure deficits affect stage-specific survival and transition success and consider how these results influence population growth and distribution. We found that larvae are sensitive to temperature and vapor pressure deficits, whereas mortality of nymphs and adults is consistent with depletion of energy reserves. Consistent with prior work, we found that overwinter survival was high and successful stage transitions (e.g., fed nymphs molting to adults) were sensitive to temperature. Collectively, results from this comprehensive, multiyear, multistage field study suggest that population growth of <i>I. scapularis</i> is less limited by restrictive climatic conditions than has been broadly assumed, although influences on larval survival may slow tick population growth and establishment in some desiccating conditions. Further studies should integrate climate effects on stage-specific survival to better understand these effects on population dynamics and range expansion in a changing climate.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1572","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46094606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Reduction of invertebrate herbivory by land use is only partly explained by changes in plant and insect characteristics","authors":"Felix Neff,&nbsp;Daniel Prati,&nbsp;Rafael Achury,&nbsp;Didem Ambarlı,&nbsp;Ralph Bolliger,&nbsp;Martin Brändle,&nbsp;Martin Freitag,&nbsp;Norbert Hölzel,&nbsp;Till Kleinebecker,&nbsp;Arturo Knecht,&nbsp;Deborah Schäfer,&nbsp;Peter Schall,&nbsp;Sebastian Seibold,&nbsp;Michael Staab,&nbsp;Wolfgang W. Weisser,&nbsp;Loïc Pellissier,&nbsp;Martin M. Gossner","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1571","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1571","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Invertebrate herbivory is a crucial process contributing to the cycling of nutrients and energy in terrestrial ecosystems. While the function of herbivory can decrease with land-use intensification, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. We hypothesize that land-use intensification impacts invertebrate leaf herbivory rates mainly through changes in characteristics of plants and insect herbivores. We investigated herbivory rates (i.e., damaged leaf area) on the most abundant plant species in forests and grasslands and along land-use intensity gradients on 297 plots in three regions of Germany. To evaluate the contribution of shifts in plant community composition, we quantified herbivory rates at plant species level and aggregated at plant community level. We analyzed pathways linking land-use intensity, plant and insect herbivore characteristics, and herbivory rates. Herbivory rates at plant species and community level decreased with increasing land-use intensity in forests and grasslands. Path analysis revealed strong direct links between land-use intensity and herbivory rates. Particularly at the plant community level, differences in plant and herbivore composition also contributed to changes in herbivory rates along land-use intensity gradients. In forests, high land-use intensity was characterized by a larger proportion of coniferous trees, which was linked to reduced herbivory rates. In grasslands, changes in the proportion of grasses, plant fiber content, as well as the taxonomic composition of herbivore assemblages contributed to reduced herbivory rates. Our study highlights the potential of land-use intensification to impair ecosystem functioning across ecosystems via shifts in plant and herbivore characteristics. De-intensifying land use in grasslands and reducing the share of coniferous trees in temperate forests can help to restore ecosystem functionality in these systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1571","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43447426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Seasonality of pollinators in montane habitats: Cool-blooded bees for early-blooming plants","authors":"Carlos M. Herrera,&nbsp;Alejandro Núñez,&nbsp;Luis O. Aguado,&nbsp;Conchita Alonso","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1570","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1570","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the factors that drive community-wide assembly of plant-pollinator systems along environmental gradients has considerable evolutionary, ecological, and applied significance. Variation in thermal environments combined with intrinsic differences among pollinators in thermal biology have been proposed as drivers of community-wide pollinator gradients, but this suggestion remains largely speculative. We test the hypothesis that seasonality in bee pollinator composition in Mediterranean montane habitats of southeastern Spain, which largely reflects the prevalence during the early flowering season of mining bees (<i>Andrena</i>), is a consequence of the latter's thermal biology. Quantitative information on seasonality of <i>Andrena</i> bees in the whole plant community (275 plant species) and their thermal microenvironment was combined with field and laboratory data on key aspects of the thermal biology of 30 species of <i>Andrena</i> (endothermic ability, warming constant, relationships of body temperature with ambient and operative temperatures). <i>Andrena</i> bees were a conspicuous, albeit strongly seasonal component of the pollinator assemblage of the regional plant community, visiting flowers of 153 different plant species (57% of total). The proportion of <i>Andrena</i> relative to all bees reached a maximum among plant species which flowered in late winter and early spring, and declined precipitously from May onward. <i>Andrena</i> were recorded only during the cooler segment of the annual range of air temperatures experienced at flowers by the whole bee assemblage. These patterns can be explained by features of <i>Andrena</i>'s thermal biology: null to weak endothermy; ability to forage at much lower body temperature than strongly endothermic bees (difference ~ 10°C); low upper tolerable limit of body temperature, beyond which thermal stress presumably precluded foraging at the warmest period of year; weak thermoregulatory capacity; and high warming constant enhancing ectothermic warming. Our results demonstrate the importance of lineage-specific pollinator traits as drivers of seasonality in community-wide pollinator composition; show that exploitation of cooler microclimates by bees does not require strong endothermy; and suggest that intense endothermy and precise thermoregulation probably apply to a minority of bees. Medium- and large-sized bees with low upper thermal limits and weak thermoregulatory ability can actually be more adversely affected by climate warming than large, hot-blooded, extremely endothermic species.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1570","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41373946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Metapopulation regulation acts at multiple spatial scales: Insights from a century of seabird colony census data","authors":"Jana W. E. Jeglinski,&nbsp;Sarah Wanless,&nbsp;Stuart Murray,&nbsp;Robert T. Barrett,&nbsp;Arnthor Gardarsson,&nbsp;Mike P. Harris,&nbsp;Jochen Dierschke,&nbsp;Hallvard Strøm,&nbsp;Svein-Håkon Lorentsen,&nbsp;Jason Matthiopoulos","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1569","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecm.1569","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Density-dependent feedback is recognized as important regulatory mechanisms of population size. Considering the spatial scales over which such feedback operates has advanced our theoretical understanding of metapopulation dynamics. Yet, metapopulation models are rarely fit to time-series data and tend to omit details of the natural history and behavior of long-lived, highly mobile species such as colonial mammals and birds. Seabird metapopulations consist of breeding colonies that are connected across large spatial scales, within a heterogeneous marine environment that is increasingly affected by anthropogenic disturbance. Currently, we know little about the strength and spatial scale of density-dependent regulation and connectivity between colonies. Thus, many important seabird conservation and management decisions rely on outdated assumptions of closed populations that lack density-dependent regulation. We investigated metapopulation dynamics and connectivity in an exemplar seabird species, the Northern gannet (<i>Morus bassanus</i>), using more than a century of census data of breeding colonies distributed across the Northeast Atlantic. We developed and fitted these data to a novel hierarchical Bayesian state-space model, to compare increasingly complex scenarios of metapopulation regulation through lagged, local, regional, and global density dependence, as well as different mechanisms for immigration. Models with conspecific attraction fit the data better than the equipartitioning of immigrants. Considering local and regional density dependence jointly improved model fit slightly, but importantly, future colony size projections based on different mechanistic regulatory scenarios varied widely: a model with local and regional dynamics estimated a lower metapopulation capacity (645,655 Apparently Occupied Site [AOS]) and consequently higher present saturation (63%) than a model with local density dependence (1,367,352 AOS, 34%). Our findings suggest that metapopulation regulation in the gannet is more complex than traditionally assumed, and highlight the importance of using models that consider colony connectivity and regional dynamics for conservation management applications guided by precautionary principles. Our study advances our understanding of metapopulation dynamics in long-lived colonial species and our approach provides a template for the development of metapopulation models for colonially living birds and mammals.</p>","PeriodicalId":11505,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Monographs","volume":"93 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecm.1569","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43162336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}