{"title":"Not So Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock","authors":"T. Hassan, T. Mertens, Tony Zhang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2611846","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2611846","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the link between stochastic properties of exchange rates and differences in capital-output ratios across industrialized countries. To this end, we endogenize capital accumulation within a standard model of exchange rate determination with nontraded goods. The model predicts that currencies of countries that are more “systemic” for the world economy (countries that face particularly volatile shocks or account for a large share of world GDP) appreciate when the price of traded goods in world markets is high. These currencies are better hedges against consumption risk faced by international investors because they appreciate in “bad” states of the world. As a consequence, more systemic countries face a lower cost of capital and accumulate more capital per worker. We estimate our model using data from seven industrialized countries with freely floating exchange rate regimes between 1984 and 2010 and show that cross-country variation in the stochastic properties of exchange rates accounts for 72% of the cross-country variation in capital-output ratios. In this sense, the stochastic properties of exchange rates map to fundamentals in the way predicted by the model.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122109724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Sharing Economy and Consumer Protection Regulation: The Case for Policy Change","authors":"C. Koopman, M. Mitchell, Adam Thierer","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2535345","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2535345","url":null,"abstract":"The rise of the sharing economy has changed how many Americans commute, shop, vacation, and borrow. It has also disrupted long-established industries, from taxis to hotels, and has confounded policymakers. In particular, regulators are trying to determine how to apply many of the traditional “consumer protection” regulations to these new and innovative firms. The key contribution of the sharing economy, however, is that it has overcome market imperfections without recourse to traditional forms of regulation. Continued application of these outmoded regulatory regimes is likely to harm consumers. We argue that the Internet, and the rapid growth of the sharing economy, alleviates the need for much of this top-down regulation, with these recent innovations likely doing a much better job of serving consumer needs. When market circumstances change dramatically — or when new technology or competition alleviates the need for regulation — then public policy should evolve and adapt to accommodate these realities. This paper concludes with some proposals for further research in this area, and a call for a more informed regulatory approach that accounts for the innovations of the sharing economy.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117225299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trade Secrets Law and Mobility: Evidence from 'Inevitable Disclosure'","authors":"I. Png, S. Samila","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1986775","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1986775","url":null,"abstract":"Professional mobility has profound importance for firm strategy, innovation, and productivity. Prior work on legal constraints on mobility has focused on non-compete covenants and patents. Here, we investigate the impact of the doctrine of inevitable disclosure in U.S. state-level trade secrets law on mobility. We find that state court rulings against inevitable disclosure are associated with mobility of university-educated workers being 9.7 percent higher and mobility of less educated workers being 3.6 percent lower. On the other hand, rulings in favor of inevitable disclosure are associated with 6.9 percent less mobility for university-educated workers and 8.8 percent less mobility for other workers. The disparity in the effects on mobility is consistent with degree-qualified workers having relatively more bargaining power vis-a-vis employers than less-educated workers. We further find that the results are stronger in states that enforce non-compete covenants weakly and among employees in managerial and sales positions. Our results have implications for the degree of knowledge spillovers between firms, and thus firm strategy and ultimately, the overall economy-wide rate of innovation and economic growth.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130342415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Public Pension Accounting Rules and Economic Outcomes","authors":"J. Naughton, R. Petacchi, Joseph P. Weber","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2199067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2199067","url":null,"abstract":"We find a negative association between a state׳s fiscal condition and the use of discretion in applying Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB) rules to understate pension funding gaps. We also find that the use of discretion is negatively associated with states’ decisions to increase taxes and cut spending. In addition, we find that the funding gap understatement is positively associated with higher future labor costs. Importantly, this association is primarily attributable to the GASB methodology, which systematically understates the funding gap. This suggests that the GASB approach is associated with policy choices that have the potential to exacerbate fiscal stress.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129872924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Borderlines between the Concept of Tax Avoidance and the Other Similar Concepts","authors":"Edvinas Lenkauskas","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2503436","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2503436","url":null,"abstract":"This paper discusses differences between concepts of tax avoidance, tax evasion, aggressive tax planning and tax mitigation. Also, relationships between concepts of tax avoidance and tax abuse, and concepts of tax evasion and tax fraud are provided. At the end of the paper, a comprehensive scheme shows the most significant features of concepts in question which allows easily to draw borderlines between these concepts.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"70 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124609033","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emerson Fernandes Marçal, B. Zimmermann, Diogo de Prince, Giovanni Tondin Merlin
{"title":"Assessing Interdependence Among Countries' Fundamentals and Its Implications for Exchange Rate Misalignment Estimates: An Empirical Exercise Based on GVAR","authors":"Emerson Fernandes Marçal, B. Zimmermann, Diogo de Prince, Giovanni Tondin Merlin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2364508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2364508","url":null,"abstract":"Exchange rates are important macroeconomic prices and changes in these rates a ect economic activity, prices, interest rates, and trade ows. Methodologies have been developed in empirical exchange rate misalignment studies to evaluate whether a real e ective exchange is overvalued or undervalued. There is a vast body of literature on the determinants of long-term real exchange rates and on empirical strategies to implement the equilibrium norms obtained from theoretical models. This study seeks to contribute to this literature by showing that the global vector autoregressions model (GVAR) proposed by Pesaran and co-authors can add relevant information to the literature on measuring exchange rate misalignment. Our empirical exercise suggests that the estimate exchange rate misalignment obtained from GVAR can be quite di erent to that using the traditional cointegrated time series techniques, which treat countries as detached entities. The di erences between the two approaches are more pronounced for small and developing countries. Our results also suggest a strong interdependence among eurozone countries, as expected","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117296247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gender and the Ethics of Tax Evasion: An Empirical Study of 82 Countries","authors":"Robert W. McGee","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2424893","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2424893","url":null,"abstract":"Gender is perhaps the most widely studied demographic variable. It is an interesting variable from the perspectives of economics, law, philosophy, political science, psychology, sociology, anthropology, religion, history, and culture, to name a few. What makes women different from men? How are they different from men? Is female thinking becoming closer to male thinking as women gain equal rights and liberation?","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"70 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121439812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Financial Impact of Fed Policy Statements and Chairman Sentiment: The Case of Gold and Silver Markets","authors":"K. Thórarinsson, Arman Eshraghi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2278239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2278239","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the impact of Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions and communication on global gold and silver markets from May 1999 to June 2012. We argue that the discourse used by central bankers is not only a key driver of financial markets based on empirical evidence, but also, in essence, a device to convey authority and power. Using computer-assisted content analysis, we analyse speech styles of the current and former Federal Reserve Chairmen, Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan, to explore their impact on market sentiment. We find that the surprise component of Fed monetary policies significantly influences gold and silver markets. For example, a 1% surprise rate hike increases gold bullion prices by 1.3% and silver bullion prices by 1.5%. We also find significant stylistic differences between the two Fed Chairmen in their policy communications and their impact on market volatility.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133909469","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regulation of Business in the USA: Talking Points","authors":"Robert W. McGee","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2264526","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2264526","url":null,"abstract":"This manuscript summarizes a speech given at Tallinn University of Technology in Estonia on May 14, 2013. The speech begins with a discussion of ethical theory and how it can be applied to the topic of government regulation of business, and proceeds to summarize some recent studies on the costs that regulation imposes on businesses and individuals.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"77 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115016347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Beggar-Thy-Neighbor Effects of Currency Undervaluation: Is China the Tip of the Iceberg?","authors":"Samba Mbaye","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2190066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2190066","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines empirically one of the most popular views in international economics, yet barely tested: undervaluation of the currency is a “beggar-thy-neighbor” policy. It assesses simultaneously the two closely related implications of the beggar-thy-neighbor view: (i) undervaluation of the domestic currency improves the domestic trade balance; and most importantly, (ii) undervaluation of the domestic currency negatively impacts the other countries’ trade balances. Starting from the traditional imperfect substitutes model, we propose an empirical framework allowing the estimation of both the internal and external impacts of currency undervaluation. This framework is then applied to a panel of 62 advanced and emerging markets over the period 1990-2007. The results give strong support to the beggar-thy-neighbor hypothesis. We find that currency undervaluation is robustly and significantly associated with an improvement of the domestic trade balance. We also find that countries that keep their currencies undervalued tend to negatively impact the other countries’ trade balances. Finally, our estimates suggest that the external effect of China’s renminbi, which has been the focus of the profession thus far, might be “the tip of the iceberg”: the latter two results carry over when China’s trade data are excluded from the analysis.","PeriodicalId":104767,"journal":{"name":"Strategy & Macroeconomic Policy eJournal","volume":"56 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131120978","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}