{"title":"Electrification policy impacts on land system in British Columbia, Canada","authors":"N. Arianpoo , M.E. Islam , A.S. Wright , T. Niet","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2024.100080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2024.100080","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>British Columbia (BC) is committed to transitioning to a low-carbon energy system to meet its CO<sub>2</sub> emission reduction targets, but this shift towards renewable energy sources may have significant implications for land use. This paper investigates the land-use impacts of different electrification pathways and technology choices in BC's energy system using the BC Nexus model. Our analysis highlights the potential increase in land-use requirements associated with transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, with the occupied land of the power system potentially increasing up to six times larger than the current total build-up land (depending on the scale of electrification and technology choice). These findings have important implications for policymakers in terms of balancing the trade-offs between energy security, economic development, and environmental sustainability. By understanding the physical footprint of the energy transition, decision-makers can develop more effective climate policies and sustainable development strategies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100080"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X24000047/pdfft?md5=acfcae0b02407402f98dc456e7619dac&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X24000047-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139548804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sizing isolated mini-grids in Kenya: Risk transfer to deal with multidimensional uncertainties and constraints","authors":"T. Chamarande , E. Etienne , S. Mathy","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2024.100078","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2024.100078","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Isolated mini-grids (MG) can be an efficient option for rural electrification worldwide. Nonetheless, a large share of MG fail after a few years and inadequate sizing has been identified as a major risk. Academia, public authorities and funding agencies tend to consider the sizing of mini-grids mostly from a technical and economic angle, looking to optimize performance for MG developers and operators with tools such as HOMER. This paper proposes a different approach. We study the strategies adopted by different MG stakeholders to deal with their own uncertainties and constraints in the sizing process. Based on field work in Kenya, we detail how MG funders and regulators transfer risks to private MG developers and operators. As a result, the latter face risks regarding demand estimation, funding and regulatory aspects when sizing MGs. In turn, they adapt their methods and business models, sometimes transferring risks to end users. While flexible sizing might be a solution, we show that regulatory and funding issues limit MG modularity, leading low-income customers to eventually bear the consequences of ill-suited sizing.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100078"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X24000023/pdfft?md5=e3a8c5b901d96dd51c22bbf8fbd1b2bd&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X24000023-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139537381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Romain Akpahou , Flavio Odoi-Yorke , Lena D. Mensah , David A. Quansah , Francis Kemausuor
{"title":"Strategizing towards sustainable energy planning: Modeling the mix of future generation technologies for 2050 in Benin","authors":"Romain Akpahou , Flavio Odoi-Yorke , Lena D. Mensah , David A. Quansah , Francis Kemausuor","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2024.100079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2024.100079","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Benin energy sector faces serious challenges, including an unfavorable energy mix with regular power shortages, erratic power outages, reliance on electricity imports, and dependence on traditional cooking stoves. This study has investigated strategies critical for Benin to employ to achieve 24.6 %, 44 %, and 100 % renewable energy (RE) integration targets in the final electricity mix in 2025, 2030, and 2050, respectively. This study used the EnergyPLAN model to develop different energy scenarios suitable for Benin to achieve its proposed RE penetration target. A combination of natural gas (NG) with solar photovoltaic (PV), wind energy, hydropower, and concentrated solar power (CSP) is used to develop three scenarios for RE integration namely the government targets scenario, 2 % RE per year scenario and 50 % RE in 2050 scenario. The results show that the government targets scenario is too ambitious because of the current trend and pace of developing the energy sector. Moreover, a combination of 563 MW of NG, 125 MW of PV, 200 MW of wind, 600 MW of hydropower, and 60 MW of CSP would achieve 50 % RE by 2050 under the 50 % RE scenario. This scenario would decrease CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by 50 % with no CEEP generation. Furthermore, the total electricity generation from MSW in Benin is estimated to be 0.232, 0.3215, and 1.16 TWh/yr in 2025, 2030, and 2050, respectively. The study's findings could help decision-makers and stakeholders make informed decisions to promote the integration of RE resources in the Benin Republic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100079"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X24000035/pdfft?md5=9a7c89b5d4ff2965289e2e397d05c5b0&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X24000035-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139435854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic assessment of clean hydrogen production from fossil fuels in the intermountain-west region, USA","authors":"Fangxuan Chen , Bailian Chen , Zhiwei Ma , Mohamed Mehana","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2024.100077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2024.100077","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The transition from fossil fuels to carbon-neutral energy sources is necessary to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and combat climate change. Hydrogen (H<sub>2</sub>) provides a promising path to harness fossil fuels to reduce emissions in sectors such as transportation. However, regional economic analyses of various H<sub>2</sub> production techniques are still lacking. We selected a well-known fossil fuel-exporting region, the USA's Intermountain-West (I-WEST), to analyze the carbon intensity of H<sub>2</sub> production and demonstrate regional tradeoffs. Currently, 78 % of global H<sub>2</sub> production comes from natural gas and coal. Therefore, we considered steam methane reforming (SMR), surface coal gasification (SCG) and underground coal gasification (UCG) as H<sub>2</sub> production methods in this work. We developed the cost estimation frameworks of SMR, SCG and UCG with and without carbon capture, utilization and sequestration (CCUS). In addition, we identified optimal sites for H<sub>2</sub> hubs by considering the proximity to energy sources, energy markets, storage sites and CO<sub>2</sub> sequestration sites. We included new production tax credits (PTCs) in the cost estimation to quantify the economic benefit of CCUS. Our results suggest that the UCG has the lowest levelized cost of H<sub>2</sub> production due to the elimination of coal production cost. H<sub>2</sub> production using the SMR process with 99 % carbon capture is profitable when the PTCs are considered. We also analyzed carbon utilization opportunities where CO<sub>2</sub> conversion to formic acid is a promising profitable option. This work quantifies the potential of H<sub>2</sub> production from fossil fuels in the I-WEST region, a key parameter for designing energy transition pathways.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100077"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X24000011/pdfft?md5=d4dd62ab26483696cb2f582ab72da1d9&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X24000011-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139419174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Promoting sustainable transitions across the globe requires scenario co-creation with key stakeholders","authors":"Alexandros Nikas , Ajay Gambhir , Baptiste Boitier","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100076","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100076"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X23000326/pdfft?md5=5e980a2d5630a3eea53235bc21db69fe&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X23000326-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141428997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reaching net-zero in the chemical industry—A study of roadmaps for industrial decarbonisation","authors":"Y. Kloo , L.J. Nilsson , E. Palm","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100075","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Striving to mitigate climate change, the European Union has adopted net-zero greenhouse gas emissions as a target for 2050. In this paper, European chemical industry roadmaps from the past six years are assessed and compared to uncover how the industry envisions its role in the transition to net-zero emissions. The roadmaps are assessed in terms of ambition level, technology and feedstock strategies, investment needs and costs, agency and dependency on other actors, as well as timeline and concretion. Although net-zero pathways are often drawn out in the roadmaps, some also choose to emphasize and argue for less ambitious pathways with emission reductions of only 40–60 %. The roadmaps vary widely in terms of the importance they assign to mechanical and chemical recycling, switching to biogenic carbon and carbon dioxide as feedstock, electrification and hydrogen, and carbon capture and storage. A commonality though, is that low-tech or near-term mitigation pathways such as demand reduction, reuse or material efficiency are seldom included. High investment needs are generally highlighted, as well as the need for policy to create enabling conditions, whereas the agency and responsibility of the chemical industry itself is downplayed. Our analysis highlights that the chemical industry does not yet have a strong and shared vision for pathways to net-zero emissions. We conclude that such a future vision would benefit from taking a whole value chain approach including demand-side options and consideration of scope 3 emissions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100075"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X23000314/pdfft?md5=7daf330ec11c6d73eda03727c71b4291&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X23000314-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138769623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kalim U. Shah , Pravesh Raghoo , Philipp Blechinger
{"title":"Is there a case for a coal moratorium in Indonesia? Power sector optimization modeling of low-carbon strategies","authors":"Kalim U. Shah , Pravesh Raghoo , Philipp Blechinger","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100074","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100074","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Indonesia is one of the fastest growing economies in the world, with an electricity system reliant on fossil fuels and renewable electricity contributing a small portion of their growing demand. In this study, an optimization approach is utilized to analyze different policy-driven pathways for Indonesia's long-term electricity planning by formulating different scenarios based on current policy discussions and changes in the power sector. Through an optimization model, several scenarios incorporating multiple changes such as cost reductions of technologies, halting coal capacity beyond the current pipeline, and carbon taxation schemes are built. The findings show the magnitude of transformation needed to achieve net zero goals and consolidate the discussion around halting coal capacity addition beyond currently planned in terms of technical, environmental, and economic aspects. These findings will be useful to electricity sector policymakers and planners as Indonesia continues along its sustainable economic development pathway.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100074"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X23000302/pdfft?md5=acc8abd3b26ec6193755c7bfa9c63875&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X23000302-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138610002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Todd Levin , Paris L. Blaisdell-Pijuan , Jonghwan Kwon , W. Neal Mann
{"title":"High temporal resolution generation expansion planning for the clean energy transition","authors":"Todd Levin , Paris L. Blaisdell-Pijuan , Jonghwan Kwon , W. Neal Mann","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100072","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100072","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As power systems integrate increasing quantities of wind, solar and energy storage resources, it is important to revisit power system capacity expansion modeling methods and assumptions that have been utilized in thermal-dominated systems. We conduct a series of case study analyses using a simplified representation of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) system to demonstrate how least-cost capacity expansion outcomes are impacted by changes in model resolution across two temporal dimensions: 1) the number of considered representative periods, and 2) the system dispatch interval. First, we find that the least-cost generation portfolio can differ significantly for small changes in the number of representative days, but largely converges to the 365-day result once 104 representative days are considered. Furthermore, systems with wind, solar and storage resources were more sensitive to changes in the number of representative days than a thermal-dominated system. Second, we find that considering five-minute dispatch resolution consistently results in least-cost generation portfolios with less solar capacity and more energy storage capacity than corresponding scenarios with hourly dispatch intervals. This suggests that hourly dispatch representation fails to capture the intra-hour volatility of solar generation, and therefore also overlooks opportunities for storage resources to provide system value by balancing this volatility. Collectively these results indicate that capacity expansion modelers should revisit conventional approaches to temporal representation when conducting analyses of deeply decarbonized power systems to ensure that such analyses are robust and actionable. To our knowledge, this is the first study to analyze capacity expansion outcomes with five-minute dispatch resolution in this manner.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100072"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X23000284/pdfft?md5=ada74e798179b7ec6c8a9febcc538135&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X23000284-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138465598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sociotechnical misalignments and micro-renewables adoption: The case of distributed solar PV in Pakistan","authors":"Ms Naila Saleh , Paul Upham","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100071","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the obstacles to Distributive Generation (DG) uptake in Pakistan, finding inertia and resistance from incumbent actors as key and understanding this as a problem of misaligned institutional logics. Focusing particularly on bank finance and drawing lightly on a neo-institutional framework of types of logic and mechanism – we highlight misalignment of regulative, cognitive, and normative aspects of the institutionalized system, driven in particular by difficulties in acquiring finance, and lack of sufficient incentives for the distribution companies to facilitate DG. This in turn leads to: (i) the continuance of user preferences for fossil-fuel back-up energy systems that compensate for daily power outages; (ii) under-facilitation of DG by the incumbent distribution companies; (iii) restricted lending behavior; (iv) and, overall, limited planning, coordination, and collaboration between the actors in the system. While focused on Pakistan, the attributes that the country shares with several others in the region allow for some generalization of the findings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"4 ","pages":"Article 100071"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50195063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Allocation of carbon dioxide emissions to the by-products of combined heat and power plants: A methodological guidance","authors":"Nadja Buchenau , Conrad Hannen , Peter Holzapfel , Matthias Finkbeiner , Jens Hesselbach","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2023.100069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100069","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cogeneration has higher efficiency than separate heat and power generation. Since both are generated in a single process, it is necessary to allocate the emissions to by-products for comparing their environmental performance. Numerous methods exist resulting in very different allocations. There is no consensus regarding the method choice. The main objective of this article is the development and implementation of an evaluation scheme allowing the choice of an appropriate method for specific applications. This scheme consists of nine criteria in the categories “Applicability”, “Environmental relevance”, and “Systematic approach” allowing a rating. The Finnish method performs best for a standard use case resulting in emission factors of 322 g CO<sub>2</sub> / kWh<sub>el</sub> and 192 g CO<sub>2</sub> / kWh<sub>th</sub>. Both are associated with less emissions per unit then the electricity and district heating mix of Germany in 2020 that were 375 g CO<sub>2</sub> / kWh<sub>el</sub> and 270 g CO<sub>2</sub> / kWh<sub>th</sub>. Therefore, cogeneration electricity and heat could contribute to climate protection in the short- to mid-term. The implementation of two sensitivity analyses shows that the location and country-specific emission factors can have a great influence on the results and the contribution to climate protection. Depending on use case and individual importance of certain criteria the Energy, the Exergy or the Greenhouse Gas method can be preferable. Each scored with one point less than the Finnish method. In contrast to existing publications, this study supports decision-makers in transparently selecting an appropriate allocation method when assessing the products of cogeneration by considering different criteria.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"4 ","pages":"Article 100069"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50195065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}