{"title":"Economic growth and foreign direct investment in Asia: When investors imperfectly fulfil approved investment plans","authors":"Abigail S. Hornstein","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100093","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100093","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Foreign direct investment (FDI) may represent an expansion in the domestic capital supply, which could thus increase GDP growth through the investment and consumption sectors and generate productivity increases. We examine this hypothesis by looking earlier in the investment process and use little-known data on FDI approvals from ten Asian countries that have routinely required advance approval of FDI and have also disclosed this data. We show that the approved FDI predicts actual FDI inflows, and that on average more FDI is approved than realized. The approved FDI is used to create an FDI commitment ratio and gap, which are thus absolute and relative measures of how FDI pledges are fulfilled. We then examine how the host economy is affected by the FDI commitment ratio and gap using an Arellano-Bond dynamic panel estimator to examine an unbalanced dataset spanning 1967–2022. We find GDP growth forecasts are significantly affected by both FDI measures. However, actual GDP growth is affected negatively by the FDI gap, with the effects strongest at the 3-year horizon. Thus, we show that FDI initially displaces domestic capital before expanding the domestic capital supply.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 2","pages":"Article 100093"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142704993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Thi Mai Nguyen, Quoc Trung Tran, Thi Thuy Trang Truong
{"title":"Local corruption and corporate investment in an emerging market","authors":"Thi Mai Nguyen, Quoc Trung Tran, Thi Thuy Trang Truong","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100087","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100087","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how local corruption determines corporate investment in Vietnam where local corruption is more relevant to firms’ business activities than central corruption. We use the informal payment score extracted from the Vietnam Provincial Competitiveness Index (PCI) database as a proxy of local corruption. With a sample of 5,852 observations from firms listed in Vietnam, we find that local corruption increases investment expenditure through decreasing underinvestment and increasing overinvestment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 2","pages":"Article 100087"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142593600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Geoeconomics of US-China tech rivalry and industrial policy","authors":"Kevin Honglin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100098","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100098","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The focus of the current US–China rivalry is mainly on technology and the race to dominate strategic emerging sectors. Industrial policy, as a return of key instrument, is playing an increasingly important role in both countries for competition. This paper aims to study several issues about US-China geoeconomic rivalry of technology and industrial policy adopted in the two countries. We first explore the evolution of China's technology advancement since 1978, focusing on industrial policy used to help China emerge as a global tech power. A theoretical framework is developed to explain how and why US-China geoeconomic tech rivalry arise. We argue that industrial policy plays a critical role in both the US and China to compete each other. We conclude that the intensifying US-Chinese rivalry has the potential to foster a new era of public policies characterized by global tech statism and tech nationalism.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 2","pages":"Article 100098"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142704995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Marvellous Ngundu , Mulatu F Zerihun , Malibongwe C Nyathi
{"title":"Comparing the effectiveness of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) and Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in South Africa: An application of Keynes' Macroeconomic Theory","authors":"Marvellous Ngundu , Mulatu F Zerihun , Malibongwe C Nyathi","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100081","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100081","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study applies Keynesian macroeconomic theory in the ARDL model to compare the growth effects of the US's AGOA and China's FOCAC multilateral trading systems in South Africa from the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2022. The study uses South Africa's net exports with the corresponding partner as a proxy for each multilateral trading system. This quantification stems from the fact that South Africa's trade with the US and China has significantly improved since the establishment of AGOA and FOCAC in 2000. Our findings show that none of the multilateral trading systems contribute significantly to South Africa's economic growth. Rather, they appear to be used as strategic initiatives to gain access to mineral resources and facilitate the movement of mining machinery and other inputs into South Africa. To some extent, they are used as market-seeking initiatives, particularly FOCAC. It is worth noting, however, that the mineral resource preferences of these systems vary: while China prioritizes mineral products, the US prioritizes precious metals. This suggests that China and the US scramble for natural resources in South Africa, and possibly Africa in general, is complementary rather than competitive.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 2","pages":"Article 100081"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111524000057/pdfft?md5=33db1e2554789ef82a0db81d0f82d3be&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111524000057-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141097742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yifan Wang , Nadia Doytch , Mohamed Elheddad , Wei Li , Mengna Chi
{"title":"Does innovation facilitate meeting the CO2 emission reduction targets of China: A non-linear approach","authors":"Yifan Wang , Nadia Doytch , Mohamed Elheddad , Wei Li , Mengna Chi","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100079","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>China has been implementing energy efficiency and CO<sub>2</sub> emission reduction schemes at the provincial level that have been embedded in the National Five Year Plans of the country. We set out to investigate the relationship between R&D expenditures and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in China at the province level in the context of the planned emissions reduction targets. We explore the possibility of the existence of a non-linear relationship between R&D expenditures and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions with a non-parametric methodology, a fixed effect panel data quantile (FEQR) regression estimator applied to a panel of 30 provinces. We stratify the sample according to the five emissions reduction target tiers of the 12<sup>th</sup> Five-Year National Plan of China and we investigate the role of R&D expenditures in emissions reduction within each of the tiers. We find an inverse U relationship with different turning points for the three middle tiers and a U-shaped relationship for the tier under the most stringent environmental regulation. We find no effect in the tier with the least stringent emissions reduction targets. A further investigation shows that the above results are attributed to sectors with relatively low energy intensity and not to the sectors of heavy industry. The results allow us to draw broad conclusions about the effectiveness of investment in new technologies as a means of meeting the CO<sub>2</sub> targets in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 1","pages":"Article 100079"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111524000033/pdfft?md5=d4d77183a23dccf5516019d519b505a6&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111524000033-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140548994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Board gender diversity in China and Eastern Europe","authors":"Ichiro Iwasaki , Xinxin Ma , Satoshi Mizobata","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100077","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper reports on an empirical analysis of 42,094 public/private companies in China and 21 Eastern European countries to grasp the actual state and determinants of board gender diversity in emerging market firms. We confirmed that firms in these countries are comparable to those in advanced nations in terms of the prevalence of firms recruiting female board members and the female share of board directorships. Furthermore, in emerging market countries, internal promotions are used as often as, or even more often than, external ones to recruit women to director positions. The results revealed that board composition and ownership structure are important determinants of the gender diversity of the corporate board in emerging market firms. We also found that the effects of these factors vary significantly depending on the country/region and the listing status of firms and that two qualitatively different decision-making stages related to the appointment of women to board positions (i.e., a decision as to whether to appoint any women to the board and a decision as to how many board positions should be reserved for women) have a substantial impact on the empirical results.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 1","pages":"Article 100077"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266711152400001X/pdfft?md5=05b0e22faf6fc3e48fd15cb94ef0e3e3&pid=1-s2.0-S266711152400001X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140643711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is the WTO terminally ill? Threats to the international trading system","authors":"Zdenek Drabek","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100078","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100078","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The international trading system is under threat. Many observers have already expressed serious concerns about the impact of Covid, the war in Ukraine, tensions over Taiwan and other natural and man-made disasters and their effects on the international trading system. Some even doubt its viability and chances of survival. The purpose of this paper is to assess the weight of those arguments. It is argued that the turmoil in global markets is, of course, a factor endangering the system, but the system is threatened even more by its own weaknesses. These are various imperfections in the international trade agreements in the WTO which are dividing the international community into separate groups. It is also shown that economic theory does not help us much to show the directions for policy makers to reach optimal trade agreements. It is argued that the splitting of countries into different negotiating and trading blocs is the optimal step under present conditions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 1","pages":"Article 100078"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111524000021/pdfft?md5=a9c888921dc90c2957c6d5f8623e6d2c&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111524000021-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140650563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital revolution, blockchain technologies and central bank digital currencies: Implications for Asian economic cooperation","authors":"Ali M. Kutan","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100080","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 1","pages":"Article 100080"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111524000045/pdfft?md5=f58178d334af2ea5409f1267d798244d&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111524000045-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140548993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Searching for global equilibrium: How new economic statecraft undermines international institutions","authors":"Vinod K. Aggarwal, Andrew W. Reddie","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2023.100076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2023.100076","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rise of “new economic statecraft”—intervention in trade and investment for foreign policy reasons—is increasingly threatening the stability of the global economic system. Building on previous work, we consider the types of intervention we have seen, classifying state measures as behind the border, at the border, and beyond the border. In addition, in the past, we have focused on understanding variation in new forms of economic statecraft through a five-factor model. This paper's central goal is to evaluate alternatives for constraining economic statecraft via institutional approaches. To this end, we draw on an analytical classification framework to theoretically and empirically analyze both sectoral and overall bilateral, minilateral, and multilateral institutional approaches to glean lessons for the management of new economic statecraft.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"4 1","pages":"Article 100076"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111523000233/pdfft?md5=57f49ccc9d0c1c9f9bbb6523a9f9a9cb&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111523000233-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140345335","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Erratum regarding missing Declaration of Competing Interest statements in previously published articles","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2023.100067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2023.100067","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"3 2","pages":"Article 100067"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111523000142/pdfft?md5=8535a366a847c681e834f78c1cbe6b73&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111523000142-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138656120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}