COVID-19 和边境关闭对朝鲜市场的影响:与国际价格的比较

Seungho Jung , Dawool Kim , Kyoochul Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过比较主要商品--大米、汽油、柴油和汇率--的价格与中国和全球市场的价格,考察了 COVID-19 和边境关闭对朝鲜市场的影响。通过分析市场价格数据,我们评估了朝鲜与国际市场(尤其是通过中国)的经济联系,以及大流行病引发的混乱对这种联系的影响。实证结果显示,朝鲜这些商品的市场价格一般与国际和中国价格保持长期均衡关系,尽管 COVID-19 期间破坏了这种关系。这些研究结果表明,北朝鲜的宏观经济稳定性,尤其是价格水平,受到其与中国经济联系的外部因素的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of COVID-19 and border closures on North Korean markets: A comparison with international prices
This study examines the impact of COVID-19 and border closures on North Korean markets by comparing the prices of key goods—rice, gasoline, diesel, and exchange rates—with those in the Chinese and global markets. By analyzing market price data, we assess North Korea's economic connectivity to international markets, particularly through China, and how pandemic-induced disruptions affected this linkage. Empirical results reveal that North Korean market prices for these goods generally maintain a long-term equilibrium relationship with international and Chinese prices, although the COVID-19 period disrupted this relationship. These findings suggest that North Korea's macroeconomic stability, especially price levels, is influenced by external factors through its economic ties with China.
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