Austral Ecology最新文献

{"title":"Beyond Equations: Large Language Models as a New Frontier for Resilient Ecosystem Modelling","authors":"Yu Wu","doi":"10.1111/aec.70122","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70122","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Large language models (LLMs) offer a complementary interface to traditional ecological modelling, particularly in addressing the challenges of unstructured data integration, stakeholder communication and early warning signal detection. Rather than replacing mechanistic or statistical approaches, LLMs function as semantic assistants—extracting, organising and translating ecological knowledge across diverse textual sources. This letter reframes the role of LLMs from paradigm disruptors to epistemic extenders, emphasising their utility in pre-model discovery, mid-model augmentation and post-model communication. We contrast LLMs with conventional models along dimensions such as causality, transparency, and data interoperability and argue for a hybrid modelling paradigm that combines mechanistic rigour with language-driven flexibility. Ethical considerations—particularly related to hallucination, traceability, and digital infrastructure equity—are also addressed. We call for a cautious yet proactive integration of LLMs into ecosystem resilience research to improve inclusivity, agility and contextual awareness in ecological decision-making.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145012574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Home Range and Movement of the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) in Fragmented High-Quality Coastal Habitat","authors":"Christopher M. McLean,&nbsp;Matthew A. Stanton,&nbsp;Rodney P. Kavanagh","doi":"10.1111/aec.70108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70108","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Koala (<i>Phascolarctos cinereus</i>) is an arboreal marsupial that has declined substantially, partially due to conflict with urban expansion. Understanding movement and home range size in urban habitat is therefore important, including road crossing propensity. The aim of this study was to use GPS collars to determine the home range size and road crossing propensity of the Koala in a fragmented, high-quality coastal habitat. GPS collars were fitted to seven Koalas between February 2014 and December 2015, with tracking periods ranging from 16 to 541 days, and positions logged hourly. We found that the home range of Koalas varied, from small to large (fixed kernel 95% range 1.33–68.63, median 2.75 ha), with small daily movement distances (μ 23–71 m). The frequency of road crossings was generally low, ranging from zero to 1.9 per month. These results suggest that high quality Swamp Sclerophyll Forest habitat where these animals were found is of the utmost importance to the local Koala population. Protection of this type of habitat is therefore paramount.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70108","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145007985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Chasing the Rains: Seasonal Dynamics of Herbivorous and Predatory Insects in Savannahs in Kruger National Park, South Africa","authors":"Fernando P. Gaona,&nbsp;Sylvain Delabye,&nbsp;Pavel Potocký,&nbsp;Valeriy Govorov,&nbsp;Jan Čuda,&nbsp;Llewellyn C. Foxcroft,&nbsp;Rafał Garlacz,&nbsp;Martin Hejda,&nbsp;Sandra MacFadyen,&nbsp;Tomasz Pyrcz,&nbsp;Klára Pyšková,&nbsp;Ondřej Sedláček,&nbsp;David Storch,&nbsp;Petr Pyšek,&nbsp;Robert Tropek","doi":"10.1111/aec.70115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70115","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Tropical savannahs experience pronounced seasonality, especially in rainfall and temperature, shaping plant productivity and resource availability. Yet, temporal patterns in insect diversity remain poorly understood. We investigated seasonal variation in species richness and community composition of moths (herbivores) and mantises (predators) across four main landsystems in Kruger National Park, South Africa. Using light traps during early and late wet seasons, we captured 65 593 moths (817 morphospecies) and 3511 mantises (38 morphospecies). Species richness of both groups significantly increased from the early to the late wet season, particularly in the wetter southern landsystems, likely driven by rainfall-enhanced resource availability and habitat complexity. Community composition varied seasonally and among landsystems, with moths primarily influenced by seasonal changes, whereas mantises responded more strongly to landsystem differences. Our results indicate that rainfall-driven seasonal resource variability is a key determinant of insect phenological patterns in tropical savannahs. Predicted shifts in rainfall patterns due to climate change may alter insect emergence timing and trophic interactions, highlighting the importance of incorporating seasonal dynamics into biodiversity conservation and management strategies.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144998965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Insights on the Potential of Natural Regeneration to Restore Cerrado Open Ecosystems","authors":"Bethina Stein,&nbsp;Natashi Pilon,&nbsp;Demetrius Lira-Martins,&nbsp;Lucy Rowland,&nbsp;Rafael S. Oliveira","doi":"10.1111/aec.70113","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70113","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Natural regeneration in tropical open ecosystems has proved to be an effective mechanism for recovering degraded areas when considering the woody vegetation layer. However, little is known about the potential of the ground layer to recover after anthropogenic disturbances. Here, we aim to deepen the current understanding of community assembly in tropical open ecosystems by studying the natural regeneration potential in the Cerrado, with a focus on the ground layer. By inducing disturbance in conserved and degraded <i>Cerrado</i> grasslands, we tested the hypothesis that typical (native) Cerrado species colonise the disturbed patches primarily through vegetative propagation rather than by seed germination. Therefore, the vegetation would resemble the surrounding area instead of forming a novel species assembly. We induced disturbance by creating small gaps and monitored species colonisation strategies under both conditions. Non-native species dominated the degraded site, whereas the conserved site—an old-growth grassland—was dominated by native species. After 18 months (two reproductive seasons after the gaps opening), few native species colonised the degraded area, despite the removal of the non-native species in the gaps and the proximity to the conserved vegetation. Only exotic and ruderal species colonised the gaps in the degraded area, primarily through seed germination. Conversely, in the conserved area, the most common regeneration strategies were resprouting from deep and lateral underground structures (bud-banks) and stolon propagation. Therefore, we provide evidence that natural regeneration is dominated by vegetative propagation and resprouting in the Cerrado, with limited scope for native plants to colonise, even over short distances. Without a viable belowground bud-bank, restoring the Cerrado open ecosystems requires active techniques.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70113","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144934893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Potential Impacts of Black Rats (Rattus rattus) on Seeds and Seedlings of Woody Species in a Regenerating Island Rainforest Plant Community","authors":"Annabel B. Ellis,&nbsp;Dieter F. Hochuli,&nbsp;Peter B. Banks","doi":"10.1111/aec.70109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70109","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Invasive rodents are among the world's most damaging invasive species linked to declines and extinctions of many vertebrate and invertebrate species, especially in island ecosystems. However, despite a mainly herbivorous diet, their impacts on plant communities are less well known, with few studies in Australian ecosystems. We studied the potential impacts of high-density populations of invasive black rats (<i>Rattus rattus</i>) on the restoration of an endangered ecological community of sub-tropical rainforest on two small islands in southeastern Australia. We used two experiments to investigate rat impacts on two woody rainforest species, <i>Hibiscus heterophyllus</i> and <i>Acacia maidenii</i>, that are frequently used for successional planting in restoration. We hypothesised that, as black rats generally obtain a large amount of their diet from plants, they would rapidly damage <i>Hibiscus</i> and <i>Acacia</i> seedlings and consume <i>Hibiscus</i> seeds. We found that using cages to exclude black rats for 11–14 days had significant effects on herbivory of <i>Hibiscus</i> seedlings but not for <i>Acacia</i> seedlings. <i>Hibiscus</i> seedlings with no exclusion cage lost an average of 17% more leaves (1.83 of initial average 10.6 leaves per plant) when compared to caged seedlings. We also found that excluding rats reduced the number of <i>Hibiscus</i> seedlings damaged, although 50% of the damage was suspected to be caused by insects. Although only 4.5% of total <i>Hibiscus</i> seeds were removed during the 3-day experimental period, the night-time removal rate (mostly attributed to black rats) was 10 times more than that of other diurnal foragers. This rate of seed removal by black rats has the potential to contribute to poor restoration in rainforest but was lower than black rat consumption of seeds in other systems. We conclude that, in our system, black rats appear to have minimal potential impacts on these rainforest species, despite high rat densities, confirming the successful use of these species in restoration. However, being novel to the system, the additive effects of rats on seed loss over time warrant further investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70109","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144929915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Landscape-Scale Impacts of Deer on Tree Ferns in South-Eastern Australia","authors":"Ami Bennett,&nbsp;Dan Robertson,&nbsp;Timothy J. Wills,&nbsp;Richard W. R. Retallick,&nbsp;Joe Greet","doi":"10.1111/aec.70114","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70114","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tree ferns (order Cyatheales) are a key component of wet forests globally, providing critical forest understorey structure and ecosystem functions. Tree ferns may be impacted by ungulates in novel habitats, but the extent and severity of these impacts are often uncertain. We aimed to determine the impact of introduced deer on tree ferns in wet forests of south-eastern Australia. Using both broadscale deer abundance and impact surveys and targeted tree fern assessments, we surveyed browsing impacts on tree ferns at over 200 sites across a range of wet forest types in south-eastern Australia where deer are present. Tree fern species, plant height and estimates of foliage biomass removed by browsing were recorded for over 4500 individual tree ferns including 1871 <i>Cyathea australis</i>, 2622 <i>Dicksonia antarctica</i> and 41 <i>Todea barbara</i>. Browsing impacts on tree ferns were recorded at 96% of surveyed sites, with a third to a half of tree ferns typically impacted by browsing at each site. There were no differences in recorded impact between tree fern species. Browsing of tree ferns was strongly height dependent, regardless of species, and associated with indices of deer density. Tree ferns &lt; 100 cm were often highly impacted (mean &gt; 20% foliage browsed), with impact declining approximately linearly with height to 200 cm, typically low 200 to 300 cm, and absent thereafter. The widespread and in many cases severe browsing on tree ferns recorded can be largely attributable to introduced deer. These impacts potentially threaten tree fern populations and diminish the vegetation structure and ecosystem function of these wet forests. Management interventions to reduce deer populations in the wet forests of south-eastern Australia are critical to protect forest integrity and function.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70114","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144927518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sea Country Change: Projected Poleward Range Shifts for Bioculturally Important Marine Gastropods Under Climate Change","authors":"Matt J. Nimbs,&nbsp;Amanda S. Williams,&nbsp;Tom R. Davis,&nbsp;Curtis Champion,&nbsp;Melinda A. Coleman","doi":"10.1111/aec.70116","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70116","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Turban snails (known as <i>Gugumbal</i> in Gumbainggir Country) are bioculturally important Sea Country molluscs distributed throughout south-eastern Australia. Like most shallow water marine species, climate change is anticipated to result in poleward range shifts, or possibly even regional extinctions. Given the biocultural importance of <i>Gugumbal</i>, an understanding of how future climate change impacts is necessary to anticipate cultural and ecological implications associated with the redistribution of these species. We developed species distribution models to assess for climate-driven redistributions among three <i>Gugumbal</i> species, including <i>Turbo militaris</i>, <i>Lunella torquata</i> and <i>Lunella undulata.</i> Modelling under four IPCC future climate change scenarios and two future time points (RCP2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5, for 2050 and 2100) identified equatorward range edge contractions across all three species and poleward range edge expansion in two species, with the magnitude of anticipated range shifts being generally concomitant with increasing climate scenario severity. We discuss the ecological and cultural implications of the future redistribution of <i>Gugumbal</i> across the various Indigenous Sea Countries in south-eastern Australia.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70116","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Not All Birds of the Same Feather: A Systematic Review of Ecosystem Services and Disservices in Horticulture","authors":"Giuliana Caldeira Pires Ferrari,&nbsp;Karen Mason,&nbsp;Alastair Robertson,&nbsp;Isabel Castro","doi":"10.1111/aec.70110","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70110","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Wild birds can provide essential benefits and cause significant harm in food production systems, commonly framed as ecosystem services and disservices, respectively. We conducted a systematic review of the literature on avian ecosystem services and disservices in horticultural systems, analysing 251 studies published between 1912 and 2023. Species richness and abundance were the most commonly used metrics. A total of 128 studies investigated ecosystem services, 109 addressed disservices, and only 22 considered both. Pest control (137 occurrences) and crop damage (120) were the dominant subjects within ecosystem services and disservices, respectively. However, crop damage was frequently reported without assessment, suggesting a confirmation bias towards birds as pests. The methods used to assess services and disservices were diverse, including species identification, damage and yield surveys, landscape analysis, experiments, published data, social surveys, laboratory techniques, and economic or ecological modelling. Despite this methodological diversity, most studies used only one or two approaches. Studies incorporating human-wildlife conflict were rare, despite their relevance for both conservation and horticultural management. This review reveals a bias towards studying avian contributions that are more easily measurable, such as pest control and crop damage, while more complex or less visible effects, such as pollination, disease control, or herbivore release, remain underexplored. As a result, birds' roles in horticultural systems are often understood in fragmented terms, potentially leading to ineffective or unjustified management decisions. A more holistic, species-focused, and integrative approach is needed to fully understand the trade-offs between ecosystem services and disservices. Such understanding is critical not only for enhancing the sustainability and productivity of food systems, but also for conserving wild birds in increasingly intensified agricultural landscapes.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70110","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144915253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Feral Horses and Their Environmental Impacts in the Australian Alps: Policy and Management Priorities","authors":"Ayesha Tulloch,&nbsp;Euan Ritchie,&nbsp;Don Driscoll","doi":"10.1111/aec.70117","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70117","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Feral horses (<i>Equus caballus</i>) are listed as a Key Threatening Process (KTP) under federal and state conservation policies, leading to active state government management programs aimed at reducing feral horse populations in ecologically sensitive regions (Tables 1 and 2). Program and expert reporting shows benefits for water, vegetation, soil, waterbirds and native fish from horse removal in these systems (Rowland, Moore, and Walsh <span>2023</span>; Just et al. <span>2025</span>). The NSW Government's Kosciuszko Wild Horse Heritage Act 2018 diverges from the policies of other States, and conflicts with the NSW KTP listing, by mandating retention of 3000 horses in one third of Kosciuszko National Park. This is despite extensive scientific evidence of the environmental harm caused by feral horses in Kosciuszko National Park, across other alpine, subalpine and riverine regions (Figure 1), and in other ecosystems (Nimmo and Miller <span>2007</span>; Driscoll et al. <span>2019</span>; Stobo-Wilson et al. <span>2020</span>).</p><p>Complete removal via culling of feral horses from threatened alpine and subalpine ecosystems, including peatlands and wetlands, is recommended (Beeton and Johnson <span>2019</span>). Excluding horses from sensitive locations (e.g., through fencing), or using fertility control methods, is insufficient for preserving ecological function and connectivity of sensitive ecosystems such as alpine peatlands and wetlands (Driscoll et al. <span>2019</span>; Hobbs and Hinds <span>2018</span>).</p><p>Horse control must be coordinated with integrated fire and pest management strategies addressing other invasive herbivores and omnivores, weeds and invasive predators (Keith et al. <span>2022</span>; Rowland, Walsh, et al. <span>2023</span>). Restoration, including moss layer transfers and hydrological repair in peatlands, may reverse some damage and recover lost carbon storage capacity once horses are removed (Treby and Grover <span>2023</span>).</p><p>Uncensored evidence-based communication of feral horse impacts by State agency staff, independent scientists and political leaders is essential to make the cost of inaction clear (Nimmo and Miller <span>2007</span>). The evidence is unequivocal: feral horses present a significant ecological threat to Australia's alpine and subalpine environments. Legislation that supports effective feral horse control throughout national parks and other public land designated for conservation purposes must be in place.</p><p>The authors declare no conflicts of interest.</p>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/aec.70117","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144915256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate Change Implications on the Potential Distribution Ranges of Direct-Development Anurans (Brachycephalidae) in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest","authors":"Bruna Botteon Della Coletta,&nbsp;Tiago Silveira Vasconcelos","doi":"10.1111/aec.70112","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aec.70112","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Climate change is a major threat to biodiversity due to its deep impact from individuals to ecosystems. Direct-development amphibians, such as the family Brachycephalidae in the Atlantic Forest, are especially vulnerable because they rely on moist microhabitats in the leaf-litter for egg development. Here, we make use of predictive tools to estimate the climate-driven impacts on different geographic distribution parameters of Brachycephalidae anurans. Specifically, we built ecological niche models for 34 out of the 81 species in the family using four algorithms and projected the climatic niche of each species on baseline and 2050 climate change scenarios, separately for two CO₂ emission scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). Thus, we were able to compare the size, range shift directions, and richness gradients among the predictions from different time slices. Out of the 34 studied species, 67.6% to 73.5% of the Brachycephalidae species (23–25 species, depending on the CO₂ emission scenario) are predicted to have decreased ranges. Among them, 12 species (~35% of the total species) are predicted to have no climatically suitable area by 2050. On the other hand, 26.5% to 32.4% of the species (nine and 11 species, depending on the CO₂ emission scenario) are projected to increase their climatically suitable areas by 2050. Regarding the central point of the predicted ranges, the mean distance between the baseline and 2050 predictions is 233–237 km (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, respectively), yet this average is highly variable (±189.1 km/RCP2.6; ±194 km/RCP8.5). Our results also reveal a major loss in Brachycephalidae species richness along the Atlantic coast, whereas a gain in species richness is expected in inland areas of the Atlantic Forest.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":8663,"journal":{"name":"Austral Ecology","volume":"50 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144894197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}