{"title":"Practical Considerations and Applied Examples of Cross-Validation for Model Development and Evaluation in Health Care: Tutorial","authors":"Drew Wilimitis, Colin G Walsh","doi":"10.2196/49023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/49023","url":null,"abstract":"Cross-validation remains a popular means of developing and validating artificial intelligence for health care. Numerous subtypes of cross-validation exist. Although tutorials on this validation strategy have been published and some with applied examples, we present here a practical tutorial comparing multiple forms of cross-validation using a widely accessible, real-world electronic health care data set: Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III). This tutorial explored methods such as K-fold cross-validation and nested cross-validation, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages across 2 common predictive modeling use cases: classification (mortality) and regression (length of stay). We aimed to provide readers with reproducible notebooks and best practices for modeling with electronic health care data. We also described sets of useful recommendations as we demonstrated that nested cross-validation reduces optimistic bias but comes with additional computational challenges. This tutorial might improve the community’s understanding of these important methods while catalyzing the modeling community to apply these guides directly in their work using the published code.","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"28 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139175430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Arif Budiarto, K. C. Tsang, Andrew M Wilson, Aziz Sheikh, Syed Ahmar Shah
{"title":"Machine Learning–Based Asthma Attack Prediction Models From Routinely Collected Electronic Health Records: Systematic Scoping Review","authors":"Arif Budiarto, K. C. Tsang, Andrew M Wilson, Aziz Sheikh, Syed Ahmar Shah","doi":"10.2196/46717","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/46717","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 An early warning tool to predict attacks could enhance asthma management and reduce the likelihood of serious consequences. Electronic health records (EHRs) providing access to historical data about patients with asthma coupled with machine learning (ML) provide an opportunity to develop such a tool. Several studies have developed ML-based tools to predict asthma attacks.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 This study aims to critically evaluate ML-based models derived using EHRs for the prediction of asthma attacks.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 We systematically searched PubMed and Scopus (the search period was between January 1, 2012, and January 31, 2023) for papers meeting the following inclusion criteria: (1) used EHR data as the main data source, (2) used asthma attack as the outcome, and (3) compared ML-based prediction models’ performance. We excluded non-English papers and nonresearch papers, such as commentary and systematic review papers. In addition, we also excluded papers that did not provide any details about the respective ML approach and its result, including protocol papers. The selected studies were then summarized across multiple dimensions including data preprocessing methods, ML algorithms, model validation, model explainability, and model implementation.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Overall, 17 papers were included at the end of the selection process. There was considerable heterogeneity in how asthma attacks were defined. Of the 17 studies, 8 (47%) studies used routinely collected data both from primary care and secondary care practices together. Extreme imbalanced data was a notable issue in most studies (13/17, 76%), but only 38% (5/13) of them explicitly dealt with it in their data preprocessing pipeline. The gradient boosting–based method was the best ML method in 59% (10/17) of the studies. Of the 17 studies, 14 (82%) studies used a model explanation method to identify the most important predictors. None of the studies followed the standard reporting guidelines, and none were prospectively validated.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Our review indicates that this research field is still underdeveloped, given the limited body of evidence, heterogeneity of methods, lack of external validation, and suboptimally reported models. We highlighted several technical challenges (class imbalance, external validation, model explanation, and adherence to reporting guidelines to aid reproducibility) that need to be addressed to make progress toward clinical adoption.\u0000","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"17 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138592798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jane Paik Kim, Katie Ryan, Max Kasun, Justin Hogg, Laura B. Dunn, Laura W. Roberts
{"title":"Physicians' and Machine Learning Researchers’ Perspectives on Ethical Issues in the Development of Clinical Machine Learning Tools: A Qualitative Interview Study (Preprint)","authors":"Jane Paik Kim, Katie Ryan, Max Kasun, Justin Hogg, Laura B. Dunn, Laura W. Roberts","doi":"10.2196/47449","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/47449","url":null,"abstract":"Background Innovative tools leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are rapidly being developed for medicine, with new applications emerging in prediction, diagnosis, and treatment across a range of illnesses, patient populations, and clinical procedures. One barrier for successful innovation is the scarcity of research in the current literature seeking and analyzing the views of AI or ML researchers and physicians to support ethical guidance. Objective This study aims to describe, using a qualitative approach, the landscape of ethical issues that AI or ML researchers and physicians with professional exposure to AI or ML tools observe or anticipate in the development and use of AI and ML in medicine. Methods Semistructured interviews were used to facilitate in-depth, open-ended discussion, and a purposeful sampling technique was used to identify and recruit participants. We conducted 21 semistructured interviews with a purposeful sample of AI and ML researchers (n=10) and physicians (n=11). We asked interviewees about their views regarding ethical considerations related to the adoption of AI and ML in medicine. Interviews were transcribed and deidentified by members of our research team. Data analysis was guided by the principles of qualitative content analysis. This approach, in which transcribed data is broken down into descriptive units that are named and sorted based on their content, allows for the inductive emergence of codes directly from the data set. Results Notably, both researchers and physicians articulated concerns regarding how AI and ML innovations are shaped in their early development (ie, the problem formulation stage). Considerations encompassed the assessment of research priorities and motivations, clarity and centeredness of clinical needs, professional and demographic diversity of research teams, and interdisciplinary knowledge generation and collaboration. Phase-1 ethical issues identified by interviewees were notably interdisciplinary in nature and invited questions regarding how to align priorities and values across disciplines and ensure clinical value throughout the development and implementation of medical AI and ML. Relatedly, interviewees suggested interdisciplinary solutions to these issues, for example, more resources to support knowledge generation and collaboration between developers and physicians, engagement with a broader range of stakeholders, and efforts to increase diversity in research broadly and within individual teams. Conclusions These qualitative findings help elucidate several ethical challenges anticipated or encountered in AI and ML for health care. Our study is unique in that its use of open-ended questions allowed interviewees to explore their sentiments and perspectives without overreliance on implicit assumptions about what AI and ML currently are or are not. This analysis, however, does not include the perspectives of other relevant stakeholder groups, such as patients","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"71 3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136018661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nicole Racine, Cheryl Chow, Lojain Hamwi, Oana Bucsea, Carol Cheng, Hang Du, L. Fabrizi, Sara Jasim, Lesley Johannsson, Laura Jones, Maria Laudiano-Dray, Judith Meek, Neelum Mistry, Vibhuti Shah, Ian Stedman, Xiaogang Wang, R. P. Riddell
{"title":"Healthcare Professionals and Parent Perspectives on the Use of Artificial Intelligence for Pain Monitoring in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit: A Multi-Site Qualitative Study (Preprint)","authors":"Nicole Racine, Cheryl Chow, Lojain Hamwi, Oana Bucsea, Carol Cheng, Hang Du, L. Fabrizi, Sara Jasim, Lesley Johannsson, Laura Jones, Maria Laudiano-Dray, Judith Meek, Neelum Mistry, Vibhuti Shah, Ian Stedman, Xiaogang Wang, R. P. Riddell","doi":"10.2196/51535","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/51535","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139352011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fagen Xie, Jenny Chang, Tiffany Luong, Bechien Wu, Eva Lustigova, Eva Shrader, Wansu Chen
{"title":"Identifying Symptoms Prior to Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Diagnosis in Real-World Care Setting: A Natural Language Processing Approach (Preprint)","authors":"Fagen Xie, Jenny Chang, Tiffany Luong, Bechien Wu, Eva Lustigova, Eva Shrader, Wansu Chen","doi":"10.2196/51240","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/51240","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139354491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
W. Goh, Kendrick Y.A. Chia, Max F.K. Cheung, Kalya M. Kee, May O. Lwin, Peter J. Schulz, Minhu Chen, Kaichun Wu, Simon S.M. Ng, Rashid Lui, T. Ang, K. Yeoh, Han-mo Chiu, Deng-chyang Wu, Joseph J. Y. Sung
{"title":"Risk Perception, Acceptance, and Trust of Using Artificial Intelligence in Gastroenterology Practice: Survey from the Asia Pacific Region (Preprint)","authors":"W. Goh, Kendrick Y.A. Chia, Max F.K. Cheung, Kalya M. Kee, May O. Lwin, Peter J. Schulz, Minhu Chen, Kaichun Wu, Simon S.M. Ng, Rashid Lui, T. Ang, K. Yeoh, Han-mo Chiu, Deng-chyang Wu, Joseph J. Y. Sung","doi":"10.2196/50525","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/50525","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139362489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Roupen Odabashian, Donald Bastin, Maria Manzoor, Sina Tangestaniapour, Malke Assad, Sunita Lakhani, Georden Jones, Maritsa Odabashian, Sharon McGee
{"title":"ChatGPT becomes an Oncologist: the performance of Artificial Intelligence in the American Society of Clinical Oncology Evaluation Program (Preprint)","authors":"Roupen Odabashian, Donald Bastin, Maria Manzoor, Sina Tangestaniapour, Malke Assad, Sunita Lakhani, Georden Jones, Maritsa Odabashian, Sharon McGee","doi":"10.2196/50442","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/50442","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139364381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Felix Brann, Nicholas W. Sterling, Stephanie O Frisch, Justin D. Schrager
{"title":"Sepsis Prediction at Emergency Department Triage Using Natural Language Processing (Preprint)","authors":"Felix Brann, Nicholas W. Sterling, Stephanie O Frisch, Justin D. Schrager","doi":"10.2196/49784","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/49784","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73551,"journal":{"name":"JMIR AI","volume":"80 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139370614","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}