Economics of disasters and climate change最新文献_第6页

Is Climate Change Induced by Humans? The Impact of the Gap in Perceptions on Cooperation 气候变化是由人类引起的吗?观念差异对合作的影响

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00090-7

Junichi Hirose, Koji Kotani, Y. Nakagawa

引用次数: 0

Global Economic Responses to Heat Stress Impacts on Worker Productivity in Crop Production 热胁迫对作物生产工人生产力影响的全球经济响应

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-08-14 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00091-6

A. Orlov, A. Daloz, J. Sillmann, W. Thiery, C. Douzal, Q. Lejeune, C. Schleussner

引用次数: 11

Flood Protection and Land Value Creation – Not all Resilience Investments Are Created Equal 防洪和土地价值创造——并非所有抗灾投资都是平等的

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-022-00117-7

Paolo Avner, V. Viguié, B. A. Jafino, S. Hallegatte

引用次数: 2

Children in Monetary Poor Households: Baseline and COVID-19 Impact for 2020 and 2021. 货币贫困家庭中的儿童：基线和 COVID-19 对 2020 年和 2021 年的影响。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00086-3

Oliver Fiala, Enrique Delamónica, Gerardo Escaroz, Ismael Cid Martinez, José Espinoza-Delgado, Aristide Kielem

{"title":"Children in Monetary Poor Households: Baseline and COVID-19 Impact for 2020 and 2021.","authors":"Oliver Fiala, Enrique Delamónica, Gerardo Escaroz, Ismael Cid Martinez, José Espinoza-Delgado, Aristide Kielem","doi":"10.1007/s41885-021-00086-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s41885-021-00086-3","url":null,"abstract":"The impact of the global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will not affect all children equally: those in poorer households and children who are disadvantaged face the most serious consequences. As parents lose their jobs and incomes, the impact on children living in impoverished households must be measured. In this article, we assess the economic consequences of the pandemic on these children. Given that poorer families have a larger number of children than other families, the analysis first establishes the proportion of children living in monetary poor households, as defined by national standards, across developing countries. Then, using historical changes and trends of income distribution per country, the latest projections about economic decline due to the pandemic, and demographic information about the distribution of children by deciles, we estimate the expected increase in the number of children in monetary poor households in developing countries as of end of 2020 to be an additional 122-144 million and, at best, a moderate decline in these numbers by end of 2021.","PeriodicalId":72868,"journal":{"name":"Economics of disasters and climate change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8110688/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38907274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Extreme Events, Entrepreneurial Start-Ups, and Innovation: Theoretical Conjectures. 极端事件、创业公司和创新：理论猜想。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-07-10 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00089-0

Thomas Gries, Wim Naudé

引用次数: 0

Can Parametric Microinsurance Improve the Financial Resilience of Low-Income Households in the United States?: A Proof-of-Concept Examination. 参数化小额保险能提高美国低收入家庭的财务弹性吗?概念验证检验。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00088-1

Carolyn Kousky, Helen Wiley, Len Shabman

引用次数: 5

The Impacts of the Coronavirus on the Economy of the United States. 冠状病毒对美国经济的影响。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-12-10 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-020-00080-1

Terrie Walmsley, Adam Rose, Dan Wei

{"title":"The Impacts of the Coronavirus on the Economy of the United States.","authors":"Terrie Walmsley, Adam Rose, Dan Wei","doi":"10.1007/s41885-020-00080-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-020-00080-1","url":null,"abstract":"We present a formal analysis of the macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S., China and the rest of the world. Given the uncertainty regarding the severity and time-path of the infections and related conditions, we examine three scenarios, ranging from a relatively moderate event to a disaster. The study considers a comprehensive list of causal factors affecting the impacts, including: mandatory closures and the gradual re-opening process; decline in workforce due to morbidity, mortality and avoidance behavior; increased demand for health care; decreased demand for public transportation and leisure activities; potential resilience through telework; increased demand for communication services; and increased pent-up demand. We apply a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, a state-of-the-art economy-wide modeling technique. It traces the broader economic ramifications of individual responses of producers and consumers through supply chains both within and across countries. We project that the net U.S. GDP losses from COVID-19 would range from $3.2 trillion (14.8%) to $4.8 trillion (23.0%) in a 2-year period for the three scenarios. U.S. impacts are estimated to be higher than those for China and the ROW in percentage terms. The major factor affecting the results in all three scenarios is the combination of Mandatory Closures and Partial Reopenings of businesses. These alone would have resulted in a 22.3% to 60.6% decrease in U.S. GDP across the scenarios. Pent-up Demand, generated from the inability to spend during the Closures/Reopenings, is the second most influential factor, significantly offsetting the overall negative impacts.","PeriodicalId":72868,"journal":{"name":"Economics of disasters and climate change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s41885-020-00080-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38710657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 58

COVID-19: The impact of social distancing policies, cross-country analysis. COVID-19：社会疏远政策的影响，跨国分析。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-10-15 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-020-00076-x

Gonzalo Castex, Evgenia Dechter, Miguel Lorca

{"title":"COVID-19: The impact of social distancing policies, cross-country analysis.","authors":"Gonzalo Castex, Evgenia Dechter, Miguel Lorca","doi":"10.1007/s41885-020-00076-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s41885-020-00076-x","url":null,"abstract":"At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic a large number of countries introduced a range of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Whereas the policies are similar across countries, country characteristics vary substantially. We examine the effectiveness of such policies using a cross-country variation in socio-economic, environmental and geographic, and health system dimensions. The effectiveness of policies that prescribe closures of schools and workplaces is declining with population density, country surface area, employment rate and proportion of elderly in the population; and increasing with GDP per capita and health expenditure. Cross-country human mobility data reinforce some of these results. We argue that the findings can be explained by behavioural response to risk perceptions and resource constraints. Voluntary practice of social distancing might be less prevalent in communities with lower perceived risk, associated with better access to health care and smaller proportion of elderly population. Higher population density, larger geographical area, and higher employment rate may require more resources to ensure compliance with lockdown policies.","PeriodicalId":72868,"journal":{"name":"Economics of disasters and climate change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7557240/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38609919","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Simulating the Long-Term Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Sustainability of the Population-Economy-Environment Nexus. 模拟 COVID-19 大流行病对人口-经济-环境关系可持续性的长期影响。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00094-3

Miguel Poblete-Cazenave

引用次数: 0

Lockdowns and the US Unemployment Crisis. 封锁与美国失业危机。

Economics of disasters and climate change Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-11 DOI: 10.1007/s41885-021-00092-5

Christian Dreger, Daniel Gros

{"title":"Lockdowns and the US Unemployment Crisis.","authors":"Christian Dreger, Daniel Gros","doi":"10.1007/s41885-021-00092-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s41885-021-00092-5","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic led to an unprecedented decline of economic activity at the globe scale. To slow down the spread of the virus, most governments reacted with various measures of social distancing, such as mobility controls, business and school closures, etc. We investigate the short-term impact of social distancing measures on the US labour market, using a panel threshold model with high frequency (weekly) data on unemployment across US states allowing for heteroscedasticity. Labour is a key input in production, and thus a good proxy for the state of the economy. We find that changes in the restrictiveness of mandated social distancing, as measured by the Oxford Stringency Index, exert a strong impact on unemployment. The bulk of the reaction of unemployment to a change in the social distancing restrictions does not arise immediately, but with a delay of 2-4 weeks. In addition, the impact is asymmetric. If the policies switch to tighter regulations, the increase in unemployment is quicker and higher in absolute value than a decrease after relaxation. The state of the pandemic, proxied by the number of new infections and fatalities, constitutes only a marginal factor.","PeriodicalId":72868,"journal":{"name":"Economics of disasters and climate change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8503720/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39527601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0