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Journal of Business Cycle Research最新文献

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The Comovement Between Forecast Errors for Real GDP and Its Deflator in Six OECD Countries: Did Supply Shocks Become Less Dominant During the Great Moderation? 六个经合组织国家实际GDP及其平减指数预测误差的变动:大缓和时期供给冲击的主导作用减弱了吗?
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00086-0
Bryce Kanago
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引用次数: 0
The Usefulness of High-Frequency Alternative Data to Obtain Nowcasts for Japan’s GDP: Evidence from Credit Card Data 高频替代数据对获取日本GDP临近预测的有用性:来自信用卡数据的证据
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00085-1
S. Urasawa
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引用次数: 0
Nowcasting Turkish Food Inflation Using Daily Online Prices 使用每日在线价格预测土耳其食品通胀
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2
Barış Soybilgen, M. Yazgan, H. Kaya
{"title":"Nowcasting Turkish Food Inflation Using Daily Online Prices","authors":"Barış Soybilgen, M. Yazgan, H. Kaya","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00084-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91249326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Revisiting the Oil and Food Prices Dynamics: A Time Varying Approach 重新审视石油和食品价格动态:一种时变方法
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-06-10 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3
O. Adeosun, R. O. Olayeni, M. Tabash, S. Anagreh
{"title":"Revisiting the Oil and Food Prices Dynamics: A Time Varying Approach","authors":"O. Adeosun, R. O. Olayeni, M. Tabash, S. Anagreh","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00083-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86510877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts 评估衰退预测的ROC和PRC方法
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4
K. Lahiri, Chunming Yang
{"title":"ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts","authors":"K. Lahiri, Chunming Yang","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00082-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76953408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling 通过VAR模型理解乌拉圭的不确定性冲击
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-05-20 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5
Bibiana Lanzilotta, Gabriel Merlo, Gabriela Mordecki, Viviana Umpierrez
{"title":"Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling","authors":"Bibiana Lanzilotta, Gabriel Merlo, Gabriela Mordecki, Viviana Umpierrez","doi":"10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79004075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Are German National Accounts informationally efficient? 德国国民经济核算信息效率高吗?
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y
Roland Döhrn
{"title":"Are German National Accounts informationally efficient?","authors":"Roland Döhrn","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00080-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84434312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey ifo商业调查的预测能力
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5
R. Lehmann
{"title":"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey","authors":"R. Lehmann","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73898975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 22
Political Budget Cycle: A Sub-National Evidence from Pakistan 政治预算周期:来自巴基斯坦的次国家证据
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6
R. Nazir, M. Nasir, I. Khawaja
{"title":"Political Budget Cycle: A Sub-National Evidence from Pakistan","authors":"R. Nazir, M. Nasir, I. Khawaja","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00078-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78330526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determination of Quebec's Quarterly Real GDP and Analysis of the Business Cycle, 1948–1980 魁北克季度实际GDP的确定和商业周期分析，1948-1980
Journal of Business Cycle Research Pub Date : 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7
M. Fortin, Marcelin Joanis, Philippe Kabore, L. Savard
{"title":"Determination of Quebec's Quarterly Real GDP and Analysis of the Business Cycle, 1948–1980","authors":"M. Fortin, Marcelin Joanis, Philippe Kabore, L. Savard","doi":"10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-022-00077-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55850,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Business Cycle Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73085665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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