Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics最新文献

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On two conjectures about perturbations of the stochastic growth rate 关于随机增长率扰动的两个猜想
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12382
Stefano Giaimo
{"title":"On two conjectures about perturbations of the stochastic growth rate","authors":"Stefano Giaimo","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12382","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/anzs.12382","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The stochastic growth rate describes long-run growth of a population that lives in a fluctuating environment. Perturbation analysis of the stochastic growth rate provides crucial information for population managers, ecologists and evolutionary biologists. This analysis quantifies the response of the stochastic growth rate to changes in demographic parameters. A form of this analysis deals with changes that only occur in some environmental states. Caswell put forth two conjectures about environment-specific perturbations of the stochastic growth rate. The conjectures link the stationary distribution of the stochastic environmental process with the magnitude of some environment-specific perturbations. This note disproves one conjecture and proves the other.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"65 1","pages":"1-13"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.12382","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50150997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Richards growth model to predict fruit weight 预测水果重量的理查兹生长模型
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12380
Daniel Gerhard, Elena Moltchanova
{"title":"A Richards growth model to predict fruit weight","authors":"Daniel Gerhard,&nbsp;Elena Moltchanova","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12380","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12380","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Richards model comprises several popular sigmoidal and monomolecular growth curves. We illustrate fitting of a Bayesian Richards model by splitting the full growth model into several submodels, followed by a model selection procedure. The performance of the methodology is evaluated by Monte Carlo simulations. A double-sigmoidal version of the Richards model is applied to model grape bunch weight based on data from a New Zealand vineyard over a single growing period.</p><p>A Bayesian Richards growth model applied to grape size data. Representations of phenological processes are selected through multi-model inference.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 4","pages":"413-421"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.12380","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77550644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Minimum cost-compression risk in principal component analysis 主成分分析中的最小成本压缩风险
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12378
Bhargab Chattopadhyay, Swarnali Banerjee
{"title":"Minimum cost-compression risk in principal component analysis","authors":"Bhargab Chattopadhyay,&nbsp;Swarnali Banerjee","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12378","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12378","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a popular multivariate analytic tool which can be used for dimension reduction without losing much information. Data vectors containing a large number of features arriving sequentially may be correlated with each other. An effective algorithm for such situations is online PCA. Existing Online PCA research works revolve around proposing efficient scalable updating algorithms focusing on compression loss only. They do not take into account the size of the dataset at which further arrival of data vectors can be terminated and dimension reduction can be applied. It is well known that the dataset size contributes to reducing the compression loss – the smaller the dataset size, the larger the compression loss while larger the dataset size, the lesser the compression loss. However, the reduction in compression loss by increasing dataset size will increase the total data collection cost. In this paper, we move beyond the scalability and updation problems related to Online PCA and focus on optimising a cost-compression loss which considers the compression loss and data collection cost. We minimise the corresponding risk using a two-stage PCA algorithm. The resulting two-stage algorithm is a fast and an efficient alternative to Online PCA and is shown to exhibit attractive convergence properties with no assumption on specific data distributions. Experimental studies demonstrate similar results and further illustrations are provided using real data. As an extension, a multi-stage PCA algorithm is discussed as well. Given the time complexity, the two-stage PCA algorithm is emphasised over the multi-stage PCA algorithm for online data.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 4","pages":"422-441"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82020722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new minification integer-valued autoregressive process driven by explanatory variables 一种新的由解释变量驱动的最小化整数值自回归过程
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12379
Lianyong Qian, Fukang Zhu
{"title":"A new minification integer-valued autoregressive process driven by explanatory variables","authors":"Lianyong Qian,&nbsp;Fukang Zhu","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12379","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12379","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The discrete minification model based on the modified negative binomial operator, as an extension to the continuous minification model, can be used to describe an extreme value after few increasing values. To make this model more practical and flexible, a new minification integer-valued autoregressive process driven by explanatory variables is proposed. Ergodicity of the new process is discussed. The estimators of the unknown parameters are obtained via the conditional least squares and conditional maximum likelihood methods, and the asymptotic properties are also established. A testing procedure for checking existence of the explanatory variables is developed. Some Monte Carlo simulations are given to illustrate the finite-sample performances of the estimators under specification and misspecification and the test, respectively. A real example is applied to illustrate the performance of our model.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 4","pages":"478-494"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82225959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Small area estimation under a semi-parametric covariate measured with error 半参数协变量测量误差下的小面积估计
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12377
Reyhane Sefidkar, Mahmoud Torabi, Amir Kavousi
{"title":"Small area estimation under a semi-parametric covariate measured with error","authors":"Reyhane Sefidkar,&nbsp;Mahmoud Torabi,&nbsp;Amir Kavousi","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12377","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12377","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In recent years, small area estimation has played an important role in statistics as it deals with the problem of obtaining reliable estimates for parameters of interest in areas with small or even zero sample sizes corresponding to population sizes. Nested error linear regression models are often used in small area estimation assuming that the covariates are measured without error and also the relationship between covariates and response variable is linear. Small area models have also been extended to the case in which a linear relationship may not hold, using penalised spline (P-spline) regression, but assuming that the covariates are measured without error. Recently, a nested error regression model using a P-spline regression model, for the fixed part of the model, has been studied assuming the presence of measurement error in covariate, in the Bayesian framework. In this paper, we propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error. In particular, the pseudo-empirical best predictors of small area means and their corresponding mean squared prediction error estimates are studied. Performance of the proposed approach is evaluated through a simulation and also by a real data application. We propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 4","pages":"495-515"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89503682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Permutation entropy and its variants for measuring temporal dependence 测量时间依赖性的排列熵及其变体
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12376
Xin Huang, Han Lin Shang, David Pitt
{"title":"Permutation entropy and its variants for measuring temporal dependence","authors":"Xin Huang,&nbsp;Han Lin Shang,&nbsp;David Pitt","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12376","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12376","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Permutation entropy (PE) is an ordinal-based non-parametric complexity measure for studying the temporal dependence structure in a linear or non-linear time series. Based on the PE, we propose a new measure, namely permutation dependence (PD), to quantify the strength of the temporal dependence in a univariate time series and remedy the major drawbacks of PE. We demonstrate that the PE and PD are viable and useful alternatives to conventional temporal dependence measures, such as the autocorrelation function (ACF) and mutual information (MI). Compared to the ACF, the PE and PD are not restricted in detecting the linear or quasi-linear serial correlation in an autoregression model. Instead, they can be viewed as non-parametric and non-linear alternatives since they do not require any prior knowledge or assumptions about the underlying structure. Compared to MI estimated by <i>k</i>-nearest neighbour, PE and PD show added sensitivity to structures of relatively weak strength. We compare the finite-sample performance of the PE and PD with the ACF and the MI estimated by <i>k</i>-nearest neighbour in a number of simulation studies to showcase their respective strengths and weaknesses. Moreover, their performance under non-stationarity is also investigated. Using high-frequency EUR/USD exchange rate returns data, we apply the PE and PD to study the temporal dependence structure in intraday foreign exchange.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 4","pages":"442-477"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.12376","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76160251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The place of probability distributions in statistical learning. A commented book review of ‘Distributions for modeling location, scale, and shape using GAMLSS in R’ by Rigby et al. (2021) 概率分布在统计学习中的地位。Rigby等人对《在R中使用GAMLSS建模位置、规模和形状的分布》的书评(2021年)。
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12374
Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos, Raydonal Ospina, Freddy Hernández-Barajas
{"title":"The place of probability distributions in statistical learning. A commented book review of ‘Distributions for modeling location, scale, and shape using GAMLSS in R’ by Rigby et al. (2021)","authors":"Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos,&nbsp;Raydonal Ospina,&nbsp;Freddy Hernández-Barajas","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12374","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12374","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Generalised additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) is a type of distributional regression framework that enables modelling numeric dependent variables via probability distributions other than those of the exponential family. While the cogs behind GAMLSS are provided in Stasinopoulos <i>et al</i>. 2017's book ‘Flexible regression and smoothing using GAMLSS in R, the new book by Rigby <i>et al</i>. considers the distributions implemented in the R software that are usable for GAMLSS modelling. A commented summary of that second book is provided in a supplementary file. Unlike traditional book reviews, two topics in this new book are briefly elaborated on: robustness (Chapter 12) and shape (Chapters 14–16). It is concluded that despite GAMLSS being a powerful and flexible framework for supervised statistical learning, striving for interpretable GAMLSS models is essential.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 3","pages":"406-412"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121903776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Penalised, post-pretest, and post-shrinkage strategies in nonlinear growth models 非线性增长模型中的惩罚、后预测和后收缩策略
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12373
Janjira Piladaeng, S. Ejaz Ahmed, Supranee Lisawadi
{"title":"Penalised, post-pretest, and post-shrinkage strategies in nonlinear growth models","authors":"Janjira Piladaeng,&nbsp;S. Ejaz Ahmed,&nbsp;Supranee Lisawadi","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12373","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12373","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In nonlinear growth models, we considered the parameter estimation under subspace information for low-dimensional and high-dimensional data. We proposed novel estimators based on pretest and shrinkage strategies to improve the estimation efficiency and to establish asymptotic properties. We used simulation studies and a real data example to confirm the theoretical results. We also applied two well-known penalised methods—least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and adaptive LASSO (aLASSO)—for the dimensional reduction of the predictor variables. The results demonstrated that the pretest and shrinkage estimation strategies performed well in parameter estimations when the subspace information was incorrect for both low- and high-dimensional regimes.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 3","pages":"381-405"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86830099","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Robust subtractive stability measures for fast and exhaustive feature importance ranking and selection in generalised linear models 广义线性模型中快速穷尽特征重要性排序和选择的鲁棒减法稳定性测度
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12375
Connor Smith, Boris Guennewig, Samuel Muller
{"title":"Robust subtractive stability measures for fast and exhaustive feature importance ranking and selection in generalised linear models","authors":"Connor Smith,&nbsp;Boris Guennewig,&nbsp;Samuel Muller","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12375","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12375","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We introduce the relatively new concept of subtractive lack-of-fit measures in the context of robust regression, in particular in generalised linear models. We devise a fast and robust feature selection framework for regression that empirically enjoys better performance than other selection methods while remaining computationally feasible when fully exhaustive methods are not. Our method builds on the concepts of model stability, subtractive lack-of-fit measures and repeated model identification. We demonstrate how the multiple implementations add value in a robust regression type context, in particular through utilizing a combination of robust regression coefficient and scale estimates. Through resampling, we construct a robust stability matrix, which contains multiple measures of feature importance for each variable. By constructing this stability matrix and using it to rank features based on importance, we are able to reduce the candidate model space and then perform an exhaustive search on the remaining models. We also introduce two different visualisations to better convey information held within the stability matrix; a subtractive Mosaic Probability Plot and a subtractive Variable Inclusion Plot. We demonstrate how these graphics allow for a better understanding of how variable importance changes under small alterations to the underlying data. Our framework is made available in <span>R</span> through the <span>RobStabR</span> package.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 3","pages":"339-355"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90245712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Multivariate Kruskal_Wallis tests based on principal component score and latent source of independent component analysis 基于主成分评分和独立成分分析潜在源的多元Kruskal_Wallis检验
IF 1.1 4区 数学
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1111/anzs.12371
Amitava Mukherjee, Hidetoshi Murakami
{"title":"Multivariate Kruskal_Wallis tests based on principal component score and latent source of independent component analysis","authors":"Amitava Mukherjee,&nbsp;Hidetoshi Murakami","doi":"10.1111/anzs.12371","DOIUrl":"10.1111/anzs.12371","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Analysing multivariate and high_dimensional multi_sample data is essential in many scientific fields. One of the most crucial and popular topics in modern nonparametric statistics is multi_sample comparison problems for such multivariate and high_dimensional data. The Kruskal_Wallis test is widely used in the multi_sample problem. For multivariate or high_dimensional data, it is imperative to specify how to determine the ranks of individual vector_valued observations in terms of various distance metrics. Alternatively, one can combine the concept of principal component scores or independent component scores with the Kruskal_Wallis test. A simple but powerful Kruskal_Wallis test based on the principal component scores is discussed in this paper for the multivariate and high_dimensional data. Another type of Kruskal_Wallis test based on latent sources of independent component analysis is constructed as a competitor. These tests are suitable for testing the difference in the location vector, scale matrix or both and can be used with equal and unequal sample sizes. These tests_ power performances are thoroughly compared with traditional distance_based Kruskal_Wallis tests for multivariate data using simulation based on Monte Carlo for various population distributions. We include an illustration of the proposed tests using real data. The paper concludes with some remarks and directions for future research.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"64 3","pages":"356-380"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72631322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
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