Journal of Forest Economics最新文献_第8页

The Infinitely Worried Forest OwnerKey Biotopes and Forest Certificationin a Faustmann Model Faustmann模型下的无限担忧森林所有者、关键生物群落和森林认证

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2020-01-21 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000502

B. Kriström, P. Johansson

引用次数: 0

Timberland Asset Pricing in theUnited States 美国Timberland资产定价

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2020-01-21 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000448

Daowei Zhang, Richard W. Hall

引用次数: 1

Consequences of Discount RateSelection for Financial and EcologicalExpectation and Risk in ForestManagement 贴现率选择对森林经营中财务、生态预期和风险的影响

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2020-01-21 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000515

J. Buongiorno, Mo Zhou

引用次数: 2

Impacts of Increasing BioenergyProduction on Timber Harvest andCarbon Emissions 增加生物能源生产对木材收获和碳排放的影响

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000500

Jinggang Guo, P. Gong, R. Brännlund

引用次数: 5

The Net Carbon Emissions fromHistoric Land Use and Land UseChange 历史土地利用和土地利用变化的净碳排放

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000505

R. Mendelsohn, B. Sohngen

{"title":"The Net Carbon Emissions from\u0000Historic Land Use and Land Use\u0000Change","authors":"R. Mendelsohn, B. Sohngen","doi":"10.1561/112.00000505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/112.00000505","url":null,"abstract":"Deforestation from timber harvests and farmland conversions have led to 565 GtCO2 (billion tons of carbon dioxide) being emitted into the atmosphere. Taking into account natural regeneration on forestland, Houghton (2003, 2008) and Houghton et al. (2012) estimate that deforestation has caused a net loss of 484 GtCO2 since 1900 which is about one third of all manmade emissions. However, these estimates do not take into account the substantial investment into fire management, plantations, and replanting since 1950, as well as the effect of carbon fertilization on a younger forest. We compare the outcome of a deforestation scenario with subsequent forest management with what would have happened if the natural forest in 1900 had not been harvested thereafter. Deforestation plus forest management suggests current forests actually hold about 94 GtCO2 more today than they did in 1900. However, natural forests would have held an additional 186 GtCO2. Human activities on forestland have therefore caused about 92 GtCO2 of net emissions since 1900. The effect of manmade land use and land use change is relatively small compared to the 1294 GtCO2 from industrial emissions over the same time period (Marland et al., 2008).","PeriodicalId":54831,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forest Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2019-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/112.00000505","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43160174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 20

A Shared Socio-economic PathwayApproach to Assessing the Future ofthe New Zealand Forest Sector 评估新西兰森林部门未来的共享社会经济路径方法

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000501

A. Daigneault

引用次数: 7

Global Woody Biomass HarvestVolumes and Forest Area Use UnderDifferent SSP-RCP Scenarios 不同SSP-RCP情景下全球木质生物质收获量和森林面积利用

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000504

P. Lauri, N. Forsell, M. Gusti, A. Korosuo, P. Havlík, M. Obersteiner

{"title":"Global Woody Biomass Harvest\u0000Volumes and Forest Area Use Under\u0000Different SSP-RCP Scenarios","authors":"P. Lauri, N. Forsell, M. Gusti, A. Korosuo, P. Havlík, M. Obersteiner","doi":"10.1561/112.00000504","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/112.00000504","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, we investigate the effects of climate change mitigation and socioeconomic development on global forest resources use. The analysis is based on the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM), which is a recursive dynamic land-use model. Climate change mitigation and socioeconomic development are included in the model as exogenous parameters taken from the SSP-RCP scenarios, which separate between the shared socioeconomic pathways(“SSPs”) and the representative concentration pathways (“RCPs”). The effect of SSP-RCP scenarios is restricted to factors that are quantitatively documented in the SSP database (economic growth, population growth, bioenergy demand, and carbon prices). Our results indicate that both climate change mitigation and socio-economic development may increase harvest volumes and harvested area considerably in the future. This happens because there are no opportunity costs of using forest area for harvesting in the model. We show that such opportunity costs can be added in the model by considering carbon storage changes between forest types and carbon payments on them. These payments increases woody biomass prices and make woody biomass harvesting for modern bioenergy less profitable mitigation option relative to carbon sequestration in the standing forests. However, the payments do not have much impact on the profitability of woody biomass harvesting for material products and traditional bioenergy. The reason is that energy crops provide a substitute for woody biomass use for modern bioenergy while there are less substitutes available for woody biomass use for material products and traditional bioenergy. Provided that carbon payments can be used as a policy instrument to control impacts of climate change mitigation on harvest volumes and harvested area, an unfavorable future socioeconomic development may cause a greater threat to the world’s forests than climate change mitigation.","PeriodicalId":54831,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forest Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2019-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41528213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 24

The Influence of Parametric Uncertainty on Projections of Forest Land Use, Carbon, and Markets. 参数不确定性对森林土地利用、碳和市场预测的影响。

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-08-07 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000445

Brent Sohngen, Marwa E Salem, Justin S Baker, Michael J Shell, Sei Jin Kim

{"title":"The Influence of Parametric Uncertainty on Projections of Forest Land Use, Carbon, and Markets.","authors":"Brent Sohngen, Marwa E Salem, Justin S Baker, Michael J Shell, Sei Jin Kim","doi":"10.1561/112.00000445","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/112.00000445","url":null,"abstract":"This paper uses Monte Carlo methods and regression analysis to assess the role of uncertainty in yield function and land supply elasticity parameters on land use, carbon, and market outcomes in a long-term dynamic model of the global forest sector. The results suggest that parametric uncertainty has little influence on projected future timber prices and global output, but it does have important implications for regional projections of outputs. A wide range of outcomes are possible for timber outputs, depending on growth and elasticity parameters. Timber output in the U.S., for instance, could change by -67 to +98 million m3 per year by 2060. Despite uncertainty in the parameters, our analysis suggests that the temperate zone may sequester +30 to +79 Pg C by 2060 and +58 to +114 Pg C by 2090 while the tropics are projected to store -35 to +70 Pg C and -33 to +73 Pg C for the same time periods, respectively. Attributional analysis shows that uncertainty in the parameters regulating forest growth has a more important impact on projections of future carbon storage than uncertainty in the land supply elasticity parameters. Moreover, the results suggest that understanding growth parameters in regions with large current carbon stocks is most important for making future projections of carbon storage.","PeriodicalId":54831,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forest Economics","volume":"34 ","pages":"129-158"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2019-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/112.00000445","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"37982807","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

State of the Art Methods to ProjectForest Carbon Stocks 预测森林碳储量的最新方法

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-08-06 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000440

B. Sohngen, G. Latta, N. Forsell, J. Baker

引用次数: 6

Developing Detailed SharedSocioeconomic Pathway (SSP)Narratives for the Global Forest Sector 为全球森林部门制定详细的共享社会经济路径（SSP）叙述

IF 0.9 4区农林科学

Journal of Forest Economics Pub Date : 2019-08-06 DOI: 10.1561/112.00000441

A. Daigneault, C. Johnston, A. Korosuo, J. Baker, N. Forsell, J. Prestemon, R. Abt

{"title":"Developing Detailed Shared\u0000Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)\u0000Narratives for the Global Forest Sector","authors":"A. Daigneault, C. Johnston, A. Korosuo, J. Baker, N. Forsell, J. Prestemon, R. Abt","doi":"10.1561/112.00000441","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/112.00000441","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a series of narratives that can be used to define possible future trends in the global forest sector across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), which we refer to as Forest Sector Pathways (FSPs). SSPs are part of a new scenario framework established by the climate change research community that facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic pathways, including sustainable development, regional rivalry, inequality, fossil-fueled development, and middle-of-the-road development. The long-term demographic and economic projections of the SSPs depict a wide uncertainty range consistent with the scenario literature. However, the literature on sector-specific narratives outside of the energy and industrial sectors is currently limited, and this paper seeks to build upon existing SSP storylines by elaborating on the potential implications of SSP-related variables on forest resource management, forest product markets, wood-based bioenergy expansion, and other relevant trends in global forestry. The global forestry pathway narratives presented in this paper build on alternative futures research and multi-model inter-comparisons by further developing recent narratives with additional detail on specific issues related to the development and use of our worldâ€™s forests.","PeriodicalId":54831,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forest Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2019-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/112.00000441","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44753319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 23