Current climate change reports最新文献_第8页

Climate Change and Psychology: Effects of Rapid Global Warming on Violence and Aggression 气候变化和心理学:快速全球变暖对暴力和侵略的影响

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-01-31 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00121-2

Andreas Miles-Novelo, C. Anderson

引用次数: 57

Self-Aggregation of Deep Convection and its Implications for Climate 深层对流自聚集及其对气候的影响

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-01-25 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00120-3

A. Wing

引用次数: 31

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks. 气候-碳循环反馈的紧急约束。

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-01-01 Epub Date: 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Peter M Cox

{"title":"Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks.","authors":"Peter M Cox","doi":"10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose of review: Feedbacks between CO2-induced climate change and the carbon cycle are now routinely represented in the Earth System Models (ESMs) that are used to make projections of future climate change. The inconclusion of climate-carbon cycle feedbacks in climate projections is an important advance, but has added a significant new source of uncertainty. This review assesses the potential for emergent constraints to reduce the uncertainties associated with climate-carbon cycle feedbacks.Recent findings: The emergent constraint technique involves using the full ensemble of models to find an across-ensemble relationship between an observable feature of the Earth System (such as a trend, interannual variation or change in seasonality) and an uncertain aspect of the future. Examples focussing on reducing uncertainties in future atmospheric CO2 concentration, carbon loss from tropical land under warming and CO2 fertilization of mid- and high-latitude photosynthesis are exemplars of these different types of emergent constraints.Summary: The power of emergent constraints is that they use the enduring range in model projections to reduce uncertainty in the future of the real Earth System, but there are also risks that indiscriminate data-mining, and systematic model errors could yield misleading constraints. A hypothesis-driven theory-led approach can overcome these risks and also reveal the true promise of emergent constraints-not just as ways to reduce uncertainty in future climate change but also to catalyse advances in our understanding of the Earth System.","PeriodicalId":54235,"journal":{"name":"Current climate change reports","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.5,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"37483390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 14

Northern Hemisphere Stationary Waves in a Changing Climate. 气候变化中的北半球驻波。

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-01-01 Epub Date: 2019-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6

Robert C J Wills, Rachel H White, Xavier J Levine

{"title":"Northern Hemisphere Stationary Waves in a Changing Climate.","authors":"Robert C J Wills, Rachel H White, Xavier J Levine","doi":"10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose of review: Stationary waves are planetary-scale longitudinal variations in the time-averaged atmospheric circulation. Here, we consider the projected response of Northern Hemisphere stationary waves to climate change in winter and summer. We discuss how the response varies across different metrics, identify robust responses, and review proposed mechanisms.Recent findings: Climate models project shifts in the prevailing wind patterns, with corresponding impacts on regional precipitation, temperature, and extreme events. Recent work has improved our understanding of the links between stationary waves and regional climate and identified robust stationary wave responses to climate change, which include an increased zonal lengthscale in winter, a poleward shift of the wintertime circulation over the Pacific, a weakening of monsoonal circulations, and an overall weakening of stationary wave circulations, particularly their divergent component and quasi-stationary disturbances.Summary: Numerous factors influence Northern Hemisphere stationary waves, and mechanistic theories exist for only a few aspects of the stationary wave response to climate change. Idealized studies have proven useful for understanding the climate responses of particular atmospheric circulation features and should be a continued focus of future research.","PeriodicalId":54235,"journal":{"name":"Current climate change reports","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.5,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"37536166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 63

Weather Extremes, Disasters, and Collective Violence: Conditions, Mechanisms, and Disaster-Related Policies in Recent Research 极端天气、灾害和集体暴力:最近研究中的条件、机制和与灾害有关的政策

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-10-24 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0117-y

M. Brzoska

引用次数: 28

Responding to Climate-Related Security Risks: Reviewing Regional Organizations in Asia and Africa 应对气候相关安全风险:回顾亚洲和非洲区域组织

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-10-20 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0118-x

Florian Krampe, Malin Mobjörk

引用次数: 17

Taking Stock: the Field of Climate and Security 评估:气候与安全领域

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0116-z

Joshua W. Busby

引用次数: 25

Climate War in the Middle East? Drought, the Syrian Civil War and the State of Climate-Conflict Research 中东的气候战争？干旱、叙利亚内战与气候冲突状况研究

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0115-0

T. Ide

引用次数: 53

The Response of Subtropical Highs to Climate Change 副热带高压对气候变化的响应

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0114-1

A. Cherchi, T. Ambrizzi, S. Behera, A. C. Freitas, Y. Morioka, T. Zhou

引用次数: 42

Exceptional Thermal Tolerance of Coral Reefs in American Samoa: a Review 美属萨摩亚珊瑚礁的特殊耐热性:综述

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2018-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-018-0112-3

Victoria A. Barker

引用次数: 10