Current climate change reports最新文献_第5页

Paying a Price of Climate Change: Who Pays for Managed Retreats? 为气候变化付出代价:谁为管理度假村买单?

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2020-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00155-x

Ilan Noy

引用次数: 16

Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6. CMIP5与CMIP6模拟海洋生物地球化学的跟踪改进

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0

Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C Long, Jessica Y Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Tongwen Wu, Fanghua Wu, Akitomo Yamamoto

{"title":"Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6.","authors":"Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C Long, Jessica Y Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Tongwen Wu, Fanghua Wu, Akitomo Yamamoto","doi":"10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose of review: The changes or updates in ocean biogeochemistry component have been mapped between CMIP5 and CMIP6 model versions, and an assessment made of how far these have led to improvements in the simulated mean state of marine biogeochemical models within the current generation of Earth system models (ESMs).Recent findings: The representation of marine biogeochemistry has progressed within the current generation of Earth system models. However, it remains difficult to identify which model updates are responsible for a given improvement. In addition, the full potential of marine biogeochemistry in terms of Earth system interactions and climate feedback remains poorly examined in the current generation of Earth system models.Summary: Increasing availability of ocean biogeochemical data, as well as an improved understanding of the underlying processes, allows advances in the marine biogeochemical components of the current generation of ESMs. The present study scrutinizes the extent to which marine biogeochemistry components of ESMs have progressed between the 5th and the 6th phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP).","PeriodicalId":54235,"journal":{"name":"Current climate change reports","volume":"6 3","pages":"95-119"},"PeriodicalIF":9.5,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38398653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 151

Changing Degree of Convective Organization as a Mechanism for Dynamic Changes in Extreme Precipitation. 对流组织程度的变化是极端降水动态变化的机制之一。

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-05-04 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00157-9

Angeline G Pendergrass

{"title":"Changing Degree of Convective Organization as a Mechanism for Dynamic Changes in Extreme Precipitation.","authors":"Angeline G Pendergrass","doi":"10.1007/s40641-020-00157-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40641-020-00157-9","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose of review: What does recent work say about how changes in convective organization could lead to changes in extreme precipitation?Recent findings: Changing convective organization is one mechanism that could explain variation in extreme precipitation increase through dynamics. In models, the effects of convective self-aggregation on extreme precipitation are sensitive to parameterization, among other factors. In both models and observations, whether or not convective organization influences extreme precipitation is sensitive to the time and space scales analyzed, affecting extreme precipitation on some scales but not others. While trends in observations in convective organization associated with mean precipitation have been identified, it has not yet been established whether these trends are robust or relevant for events associated with extreme precipitation.Summary: Recent work has documented a somewhat view of how changes in convective organization could affect extreme precipitation with warming, and it remains unclear whether or not they do.","PeriodicalId":54235,"journal":{"name":"Current climate change reports","volume":"6 2","pages":"47-54"},"PeriodicalIF":9.5,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7319320/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38126488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? 为气候研究设计的海冰建模工具应该用于短期预测吗?

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-26 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y

Elizabeth Hunke, Richard Allard, Philippe Blain, Ed Blockley, Daniel Feltham, Thierry Fichefet, Gilles Garric, Robert Grumbine, Jean-François Lemieux, Till Rasmussen, Mads Ribergaard, Andrew Roberts, Axel Schweiger, Steffen Tietsche, Bruno Tremblay, Martin Vancoppenolle, Jinlun Zhang

{"title":"Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting?","authors":"Elizabeth Hunke, Richard Allard, Philippe Blain, Ed Blockley, Daniel Feltham, Thierry Fichefet, Gilles Garric, Robert Grumbine, Jean-François Lemieux, Till Rasmussen, Mads Ribergaard, Andrew Roberts, Axel Schweiger, Steffen Tietsche, Bruno Tremblay, Martin Vancoppenolle, Jinlun Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y","url":null,"abstract":"In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applications produce output of interest to operational forecast users, such as ice motion, convergence, and internal ice pressure, the relevant spatial and temporal scales may not be sufficiently resolved. For instance, sea-ice research codes are typically run with horizontal resolution of more than 3 km, while mariners need information on scales less than 300 m. Certain sea-ice processes and coupled feedbacks that are critical to simulating the Earth system may not be relevant on these scales; and therefore, the most important model upgrades for improving sea-ice predictions might be made in the atmosphere and ocean components of coupled models or in their coupling mechanisms, rather than in the sea-ice model itself. This paper discusses some of the challenges in applying sea-ice modeling tools developed for research purposes for operational forecasting on short time scales, and highlights promising new directions in sea-ice modeling.","PeriodicalId":54235,"journal":{"name":"Current climate change reports","volume":"6 4","pages":"121-136"},"PeriodicalIF":9.5,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38668975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 19

Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View 中纬度大气环流未来变化对区域气候的影响：一个故事线视图

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7

G. Zappa

引用次数: 41

Indo-Pacific Climate Modes in Warming Climate: Consensus and Uncertainty Across Model Projections 气候变暖中的印度-太平洋气候模式：模型预测的一致性和不确定性

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-25 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00152-9

Xiao‐Tong Zheng

引用次数: 14

Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks Operating in the Climate System 气候系统中运行的碳循环反馈

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00144-9

Richard G. Williams, Anna Katavouta, P. Goodwin

引用次数: 18

Mechanisms of Future Predicted Changes in the Zonal Mean Mid-Latitude Circulation 纬向平均中纬度环流未来预测变化的机制

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00145-8

T. Shaw

引用次数: 45

The Future of Midlatitude Cyclones 中纬度气旋的未来

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-15 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00149-4

J. Catto, D. Ackerley, J. Booth, Adrian J Champion, B. Colle, S. Pfahl, J. Pinto, J. Quinting, C. Seiler

引用次数: 62

Climate Models as Guidance for the Design of Observing Systems: the Case of Polar Climate and Sea Ice Prediction 气候模式对观测系统设计的指导作用:以极地气候和海冰预测为例

IF 9.5 1区地球科学

Current climate change reports Pub Date : 2019-11-13 DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00151-w

F. Massonnet

引用次数: 0