Patrick S. Hagan, Andrew Lesniewski, Georgios E. Skoufis, Diana E. Woodward
{"title":"Portfolio risk allocation through Shapley value","authors":"Patrick S. Hagan, Andrew Lesniewski, Georgios E. Skoufis, Diana E. Woodward","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500044","url":null,"abstract":"We argue that using the Shapley value of cooperative game theory as the scheme for risk allocation among non-orthogonal risk factors is a natural way of interpreting the contribution made by each of such factors to overall portfolio risk. We discuss a Shapley value scheme for allocating risk to non-orthogonal greeks in a portfolio of derivatives. Such a situation arises, for example, when using a stochastic volatility model to capture option volatility smile. We also show that Shapley value allows for a natural method of interpreting components of enterprise risk measures such as VaR and ES. For all applications discussed, we derive explicit formulas and/or numerical algorithms to calculate the allocations.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":"98 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135648014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Portfolio optimization under distribution uncertainty with a feature fusion of conditional skewness GARCH model","authors":"Y. Khan, Muneeb Ahmad, M. Ahmad","doi":"10.1142/s242478632350007x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s242478632350007x","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, the currency exchange portfolios are optimized by applying an amalgamation of Coskewness and GARCH (1,1) models to ensure conditional skewness based on the GARCH (1,1) model, a new analysis technique is anticipated for the Conditional Skewness in auto-regressive uncertain instability. Applications of Mean–Variance through financial statistics confirm the validation of the projected evaluation process. The conditional skewness dependence on conditional variance is due to the proposed model’s effectiveness with the volatility feedback effect. For the Japanese stocks and the currency exchange rates, conditional risk-minimizing hedge strategies are estimated from July 2000 to June 2020. The empirical results illustrate that the best vibrant hedging strategies can moderately detain the currency rate variations seriously and decrease the currency rate risk by increasing and the portfolios’ risk-adjusted returns. Conditional skewness in the daily post-war Japanese stock returns confirms the importance of the model’s capability to optimize portfolios. All stock and currency exchange return portfolios are positively correlated with each other. Ultimately, our study results present that the exchange rate volatility can be modeled effectively by the GARCH model in a straightforward and uncomplicated method.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48412599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of contagion effects of media reports, investors’ sentiment and attention on the stock market based on HAR-RV model","authors":"Bolin Lei, Yuping Song","doi":"10.1142/s242478632350010x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s242478632350010x","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, the Shanghai Securities Composite Index and 18 A-share listed companies are used to justify the impact of contagion effects of media reports, investors’ sentiment and attention on stock market. Five indicators are built: The news media optimistic tendency, investors’ attention, investors’ sentiment, investors’ sentiment disagreement and media sentiment disagreement. Furthermore, theoretical models are constructed based on HAR-RV model to analyze the contagion structure between media sentiment and investors’ sentiment and its impact on the performance of stock market. Additionally, the “reverse silence spiral” theory is proposed to analyze the regulatory role of sentiment disagreement in the contagion effects according to the information communication theory. The empirical results demonstrate the following conclusions. (1) The optimism degree of media reports positively affects investors’ subjective sentiment and increases their transaction volume. (2) Strengthening investors’ attention to corporate-related information is the main path by which media sentiment interferes with investors’ sentiment. (3) Media sentiment will indirectly affect the excess return and volatility of stocks through investors’ sentiment and their transactions. (4) Media sentiment disagreement has weakened the influence of media sentiment on investors’ attention and sentiment. Investors’ sentiment disagreement has alleviated its impact on the excess returns and volatility of stocks.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48169876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Speculators’ dominance in the Index futures market during COVID-19","authors":"Udayan Karnatak","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500056","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500056","url":null,"abstract":"A recent study shows that index futures prices are influenced by the index’s liquidity. This research describes the state of the index futures market following the epidemic as seen by index futures mispricing affected by liquidity and volatility during the outbreak.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43589563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A meshless multiquadric quasi-interpolation method for time fractional Black–Scholes model","authors":"Gaoyongqi Pan, Shengliang Zhang","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500081","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500081","url":null,"abstract":"Based on multiquadric quasi-interpolation, this study presents a meshless numerical method for time fractional Black–Scholes (B–S) model. The method is highly accurate and flexible. The stability and convergence of the proposed scheme are discussed in detail. Numerical results show the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47639107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"State-space of the Vasicek model for long-term bonds with Kalman filter","authors":"Romeo Mawonike, Dennis Ikpe, S. Gyamerah","doi":"10.1142/s2424786322500384","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786322500384","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, a time-consistent and arbitrage-free state space for the one-, two-, and three-factor Vasicek models for long-term bonds is constructed. To account for the uncertainty in long-term bond yields, we propose a stochastic time-dependent mean-reversion model. The state-space model allows for the computation of measurement errors from observed yields. Appropriate state and measurement linear equations are derived to allow the use of the Kalman filter for model implementation. Based on weekly South African Government Bonds from February 2010 to February 2021, we give parameter estimates for the one-factor, two-factor, and three-factor models. The results from the study show that the developed model can fit the term structure of very long-term bonds.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42925473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does IFRS adoption enhance foreign ownership? Empirical evidence from French listed companies","authors":"Hela Garrouch","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500032","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the moderating role of corporate governance mechanisms on the relationship between mandatory international financial reporting standards (IFRS) and foreign investors’ ownership. This study is based on a sample of French firms listed on the SBF 120 stock index with an observation period from 2002 to 2012. The results show that IFRS adoption leads to an increase in foreign equity in the French firms. This is consistent with the idea that international accounting harmonization improves financial statements comparability and transactions transparency which attracts more foreign investors. We also show the role of governance mechanisms as means of IFRS enforcement. In fact, the increase in foreign investors’ ownership depends on effective enforcement. However, for the French case, only BIG four auditors are efficient in enforcing IFRS adoption while independent board members have close relationship with managers which results in a passive attitude. Our findings imply that information quality has an important role in decision making. But they also show that IFRS adoption should be joined by efficient enforcement tools to conduct presumed benefits.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42146669","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Allocating the tracking error for the multi-asset-class fund by reconciling bottom-up model with top-down model","authors":"Korkiat Sermsakskul, S. Suchintabandid","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500068","url":null,"abstract":"In a portfolio with multiple asset classes, each having its own benchmark, an alpha-seeking manager must decide how much tracking error (TE) to incur in each asset class, subject to given TE constraints. This paper helps practitioners clarify how to formulate this TE-allocation problem from a top-down perspective. By reconciling with a conceptual bottom-up formulation, we discover that the validity of the top-down model relies crucially on how one specifies the correlation structure of the asset classes’ alphas. We propose a method for estimating this correlation structure that helps users of the top-down model avoid misallocation of TEs.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44123423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Massoud Metghalchi, Peggy A. Cloninger, F. Niroomand
{"title":"Market efficiency of energy ETFs: Evidence from USO and UGA","authors":"Massoud Metghalchi, Peggy A. Cloninger, F. Niroomand","doi":"10.1142/s2424786322500359","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786322500359","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we apply an updated Coppock trading rule and four trading strategies to two energy ETFs, United States Oil (USO) and United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), using weekly data from 2006 to 2022. Our four trading strategies are designed for different levels of risk tolerance. Strategy 1 is for low risk tolerance investors, strategy 2 for medium risk tolerance investors, and strategies 3 and 4 are for high-risk tolerance investors. For each ETF, we compare the performance of buying and holding this ETF (B&H strategy) to the performance of our trading rule for that ETF. We find our trading rules significantly outperforms the B&H strategy. Traders with low, medium, and high-risk tolerance can use our trading rule with combination of four recommended strategies and obtain an improved risk-return tradeoff than the B&H strategy. Further, our results are robust when we apply our trading system to two equal sub-periods for each ETF.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45059557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yunchuan Sun, Lu Liu, Jingyu Fang, Xiaoping Zeng, Zijun Wan
{"title":"MuSu: A medium-term investment strategy by integrating Multifactor model with industrial Supply chain","authors":"Yunchuan Sun, Lu Liu, Jingyu Fang, Xiaoping Zeng, Zijun Wan","doi":"10.1142/s2424786322500347","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786322500347","url":null,"abstract":"Most experts try their best to enhance investment performance of multifactor strategy by appending new useful factors or by optimizing existing factors. However, few people take the supply chain into consideration during multifactor strategy designing. Indeed, supply and demand relationships in the industry can reflect the running situation of the relevant companies, so the relationships would be efficient in stock choosing. In this work, we propose a midterm strategy of multifactor, named MUSU, by introducing the industrial supply chain into the multifactor model. We verify the model by taking the industry of new Energy Vehicle as Example. The results show that MUSU performs much better than the traditional models, no matter with market value choosing mechanism or not. It reveals that the introduction of supply chain in multifactor model considerably improves multifactor strategy’s profitability and stability.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45145391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}