{"title":"Cross-listing, capital structure and firm performance: A simultaneous equation estimation","authors":"Imen Ghadhab, Sameh Jouida, Houssam Bouzgarrou","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500305","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500305","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the relationship between cross-listing, capital structure and performance jointly for non-US firms cross-listed in the US. Using a sample of 703 companies over the period ranging from 1980 to 2019, we show a simultaneous significant effect of cross-listing on capital structure and performance and find bi-directional causality between the two later variables. Cross-listed firms issue more equity and exhibit better valuation. The legal bonding associated with the reasons for cross-listing finds its support. Firms that originated from a poor legal environment issue more equity and exhibit better performance when they cross-list their shares in the US, given that they better protect minority shareholders’ interests. Our results were robust to the use of several control variables.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136344246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Prediction of cryptocurrency prices by deep learning models: A case study for Bitcoin and Ethereum","authors":"Farshid Mehrdoust, Maryam Noorani","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500329","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500329","url":null,"abstract":"Cryptocurrency prediction is important for a variety of stakeholders, from investors to businesses, as it enables them to make more informed decisions about the future of the digital asset market. This paper delves into the application of deep learning models for two of the most popular cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, outlining how to effectively implement these methods. Our goal is to perform efficient deep learning structure based on the forecasting models specifically recurrent neural networks, convolutional neural network and long short-term memory to predict the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. Our results include a comparison of these two cryptocurrencies according to the deep learning methods and their effectiveness in predicting the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134960145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dividend policy effect on common stock price volatility: An empirical evidence from indian companies","authors":"N. Narsa Goud","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500287","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500287","url":null,"abstract":"Despite empirical research, the relationship between dividend policy and stock price volatility is continuously debatable. This study investigated the relationship between dividend policy and stock price volatility of Indian listed companies. The study examined 260 listed companies based on the reliable dividend-paying manners of nonfinancial companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) for the financial period from 2014–2015 to 2020–2015. To analyze the data, this study used the panel data models: fixed effects, random effects, and the Hausman test. Finally, this study applied the fixed effect model after careful examination of multicollinearity, endogeneity, and causality issues related to the dataset. The analyses revealed a significant negative relationship between dividend payout and stock price volatility meanwhile, dividend yield and stock price volatility have a positive association. The study outcomes provide information for investors and managers about dividend decision. This study provides an extensive understanding of the emerging stock market fluctuation on the relationship with the dividend policy.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135966255","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Flight to quality and portfolio diversification under ambiguity of correlation","authors":"H. Huang, Yanjie Wang, Shunming Zhang","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500263","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500263","url":null,"abstract":"We argue that ambiguous correlation between asset payoffs plays an important role in the occurrence of “flight to quality”, which in some circumstances leads investors with incomplete information to portfolio under-diversification. In this paper, we consider a multi-asset economy with four types of investors who have heterogeneous beliefs on correlation coefficients, and in which ambiguity-averse traders make decisions in a maxmin expected utility framework. A unique general equilibrium presents in four scenarios according to the dispersion of asset quality. We define a measure to gauge the degree of portfolio under-diversification, with which we show that correlation ambiguity will drive less-informed investors to hold a nondiversified portfolio if the correlation coefficient is negative, while a positive correlation drives some less-informed investors to hold a fully diversified portfolio.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47110876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal Loan Portfolio under Regulatory and Internal Constraints","authors":"Makoto Okawara, Akihiko Takahashi","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500275","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500275","url":null,"abstract":"The environment surrounding banks is becoming increasingly severe. Particularly, to prevent the next financial crisis, Basel III requires financial institutions to prepare higher levels of capitals by 1 January 2028, and the financial stability board (FSB) suggests the risk appetite framework (RAF) as their internal risk management. Hence, efficient usage of their own capitals for banks is more important than ever to improve profitability. Under such circumstances, this paper is the first to consider an optimization problem for a typical loan portfolio of international banks under comprehensive risk constraints with realistic profit margins and funding costs to achieve an efficient capital allocation. Concretely, after taking concentration risks on large individual obligors into account, we obtain a loan portfolio that attains the maximum profit under Basel regulatory capital and loan market constraints, as well as internal management constraints, namely, risk limits on business units and industrial sectors. Moreover, we separately calculate credit risk amounts of the internal constraints in terms of regulatory and economic capitals to compare the optimized profits. In addition, considering sharp increases in default probabilities of all obligors as in the global financial crisis, we perform a stress test on the optimization results to investigate the effects of changes in risk amounts and profits. As a result, we propose to unify risk constraints on the business units and industrial sectors by using credit risk amounts in terms of economic capitals.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42691683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"High-frequency stock return prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning models","authors":"Sichong Chen","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500238","url":null,"abstract":"Determining stock price movements is a challenging problem because stock prices are often influenced by multiple factors such as economic, political, business, and human behavior. In this paper, we will attempt different modeling methods for two types of data, a total of 40 Dow Jones Industrial Index components, to verify the effectiveness of daily and high-frequency data for stock price prediction. Furthermore, we will attempt to validate the performance of LSTM model in stock price prediction, and also try to improve its performance by incorporating an attention mechanism. We assume that adding an attention layer to LSTM model would improve model performance in our data sets, especially in high-frequency data, since the data set would contain a huge amount of noise. Our results indicate that the simple LSTM performs better than the attention-based LSTM for both data types of prediction tasks with a benchmark of the number of stock prediction outcomes that outperform the number of those in other model, which is 24 out 40 stocks, which refutes our initial assumptions and does not validate whether adding attention mechanism is useful for solving the shallow layers and gradient vanishing problem and thus improving the LSTM model performance.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47975879","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Raheel Gohar, B. Chang, E. Uche, Mohammed Ahmar Uddin, Akash Kalra
{"title":"Nexus between energy consumption, climate risk development finance and GHG emissions","authors":"Raheel Gohar, B. Chang, E. Uche, Mohammed Ahmar Uddin, Akash Kalra","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500251","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500251","url":null,"abstract":"Development financing focusing on climate hazards has become necessary in recent decades as a result of the rise in emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG). This study investigates how the Congo Basin’s greenhouse gas emissions are affected by using renewable energy sources and climate risk-related development financing. Multiple conclusions are drawn from panel regression analysis. First, there’s a slight but substantial rise in GHG emissions when climate risk-related development finance increases. Second, a boost in climate risk-related mitigation finance substantially encourages the introduction of renewable energy. Third, greater utilization of renewable energy results in a diminution in GHG emissions. Finally, greater utilization of the renewable energy minimizes the influence of the climate risk-related development finance. The research recommends creating a monitoring system to guarantee the effective use of climate funding for generating renewable energy sources, including wind, biomass, geothermal, hydropower, and solar energy. Additionally, it urges donor economies and authorities to provide emerging economies with a supplementary consistent and steady flow of financing for development mitigation connected to climate risk.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47701313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of leverage on investment and firm value during the COVID-19: Evidence from Chinese listed firms","authors":"Shuyu Xue, Zijing Luo, Yuchen Liu","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323410013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323410013","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the relations between leverage and investment and the relations between leverage and firm value during the COVID-19 period using data from Chinese listed companies. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic has strengthened the inhibition of leverage on corporate investment and firm value, while alleviated the constraint of leverage on corporate cash holdings. Furthermore, the pandemic-induced negative relationships are stronger for non-SOEs, firms holding less cash, multinational firms and firms in severe epidemic areas. Overall, our results are consistent with the risk-aversion theory. Higher economic uncertainty increases the firms’ risk aversion and eventually strengthens the negative relations between leverage and investment.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48946887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A. Bottasso, Michelangelo Fusaro, P. Giribone, Alessio Tissone
{"title":"Investment certificates pricing using a Quasi-Monte Carlo framework: Case-studies based on the Italian market","authors":"A. Bottasso, Michelangelo Fusaro, P. Giribone, Alessio Tissone","doi":"10.1142/s2424786323500214","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2424786323500214","url":null,"abstract":"The Monte Carlo method, thanks to its flexibility in designing even extremely complex payoffs, is assuming an increasingly important role in quantitative analysis. Its main limitation is the high computational cost linked to its modest speed of convergence to the fair value of the product. One of the best-known statistical techniques is to replace the random number generator with “low discrepancy” deterministic numerical sequences, producing a Quasi-Monte Carlo. Through its implementation for the analysis of three investment certificates featuring different characteristics and different stochastic processes used for the underlying simulation, the study demonstrates the possibility of achieving interesting results in terms of performance even for pricing these structured products ever more popular in the financial industry.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48971755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analytical formulas for option prices under time-changed CARMA process","authors":"Z. Tong","doi":"10.1142/s242478632350024x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s242478632350024x","url":null,"abstract":"We consider the option pricing problem when the underlying asset price is driven by a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process, time changed a Lévy subordinator or/and an absolutely continuous time change process. We derive the analytical formulas for the option prices by employing the orthogonal polynomial expansion method. Our method is based on the observation that the CARMA process belongs to the class of polynomial diffusion and the time variable and underlying state variables enter the polynomial expansion separately. We demonstrate the accuracy of the method through a number of numerical experiments. We also investigate the price sensitivities with respect to the key parameters that govern the dynamics of the underlying state and time change variables.","PeriodicalId":54088,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Financial Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43413530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}