Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science最新文献_第2页

A New Chapter in the Evolution of Right-wing Populist Electoral Winning Formulas The Implementation and Impact of Portfolio Diversification in Austria 右翼民粹主义选举获胜公式演变的新篇章投资组合多元化在奥地利的实施及其影响

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-2-167

David M. Wineroither, G. Seeber

{"title":"A New Chapter in the Evolution of Right-wing Populist Electoral Winning Formulas The Implementation and Impact of Portfolio Diversification in Austria","authors":"David M. Wineroither, G. Seeber","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-2-167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-2-167","url":null,"abstract":"Right-wing populist parties (RPPs) have been exceptionally successful in Austria since the mid-1980s. Since the mid-2000s, the Freedom Party (FPÖ) has faced challengers from within its own party family despite its continuing effort to adapt to shifting electoral markets. We argue that the exceptionally high vote shares secured by competing RPPs in multiple rounds of general elections can be attributed to a new winning formula of portfolio diversification. Supply-side data show that the FPÖ and its rivals varied widely in their policy-based and non-programmatic efforts of linkage building with voters. Using ESS data, we find evidence in the class basis of party electorates that suggests patterns of diversified linkage efforts expanded the joint voter base of RPPs by gaining support among groups of voters hitherto not resonating with RPPs while holding on to the vote of their core constituency. In addition, portfolio diversification plausibly allows RPPs to moderate some of their specific electoral vulnerabilities (e.g. cross-class appeal, repercussions of participation in government).","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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The Czech 2021 General Election and its Impact on the Party System 捷克2021年大选及其对政党制度的影响

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-3-225

Havlík Vlastimil, Lysek Jakub

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Preferential Voting in the Elections to the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic 捷克共和国众议院选举中的优先投票制

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-3-298

Vartazaryan Gor, Škultéty Oliver

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Stuck in the ‘Grey Zone’: fsQCA of Post-Communist Semi-Democracies 陷入“灰色地带”:后共产主义半民主国家的fsQCA

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-2-141

Zachary A. Kramer

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Populist Conspiracy Theories in the 2016 US Presidential Election A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Conspiratorial Demonization 2016年美国总统大选中的民粹主义阴谋论——阴谋妖魔化效应的定量分析

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-2-189

Patrick Sawye

{"title":"Populist Conspiracy Theories in the 2016 US Presidential Election A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Conspiratorial Demonization","authors":"Patrick Sawye","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-2-189","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-2-189","url":null,"abstract":"This study focuses on the consequences of conspiracy theories on voter behaviour. I argue that conspiracism is not simply a tendency of populist movements but also holds instrumental value; the candidates and supporters can use conspiracy theories to demonize their opponents, thus resulting in a lower tendency of voters to cast their ballot for them. Given the lack of detailed data concerning adherence to certain conspiracy theories, search aggregate data concerning interest in the conspiracy theory from Google Trends was taken in order to overcome this. Taking the case of Donald Trump’s 2016 Presidential campaign, the utilization of a multi-level regression model demonstrates that voters were less likely to vote for Clinton in states where interest in the anti-Clinton conspiracy theory was highest, testifying to a ‘demonization’ effect. The anti-Clinton conspiracy theories, which included allegations of high-level corruption and plots by political and financial elites, were shown to be effective on lower-income, lower-educated voter cohorts, and members of the white working-class, but not ideological conservatives. These results imply that spreading conspiracy theories finds the most success when it targets those groups which were not necessarily inclined to support a certain candidate from the outset.","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"5 1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Economic and Pandemic Performance Voting in the 2021 Czech National Election 2021年捷克全国大选中的经济和流行病表现投票

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-3-281

Linek Lukáš, Škvrňák Michael

{"title":"Economic and Pandemic Performance Voting in the 2021 Czech National Election","authors":"Linek Lukáš, Škvrňák Michael","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-3-281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-3-281","url":null,"abstract":"The literature on how the COVID-19 pandemic has affected vote choice provides evidence of both ‘rally-’round-the-flag’ effects and the influence of perceived government pandemic performance. However, this evidence concerns short-term effects. Much less is known about how COVID-19-related economic changes and government measures in response to the pandemic have affected vote choice over a longer period. Using a post-election survey from the Czech Republic fielded in October 2021, we examine the effect of pandemic-related issues on support for governing parties in an election one and a half years after the pandemic started, focusing on a general evaluation of the economy and of government pandemic performance and on individual economic and health-related experiences of COVID-19. First, a negative health-related experience of COVID-19 did not affect vote choice. Second, only business loss negatively affected governmental support; job loss had no effect. Third, retrospective evaluations of the national economy and government pandemic performance affected vote choice, while retrospective evaluation of one’s personal economic situation did not. Fourth, the majority of the above-mentioned effects drove support for the dominant governing party (ANO) and only in a limited way support for the junior cabinet partner (ČSSD).","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Slovenia as a Stress Test of the EU’s External Dimension of Energy Policy. Case Studies of Russian and American Influence 斯洛文尼亚作为欧盟能源政策外部维度的压力测试。俄罗斯和美国影响的案例研究

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-1-14

Danijel Crnčec, Ana Bojinović Fenko

{"title":"Slovenia as a Stress Test of the EU’s External Dimension of Energy Policy. Case Studies of Russian and American Influence","authors":"Danijel Crnčec, Ana Bojinović Fenko","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-1-14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-1-14","url":null,"abstract":"The article focuses on Slovenia’s unique historical and geopolitical position, which makes the country a highly unusual EU (Central East European – CEE) member state and determines its stance on the EU’s energy policy with respect to the USA and Russia. It pursues the research question: how does Slovenia balance between the EU energy policy framework and its particular national energy interests related to Russia and the USA? Conceptually, the article builds on the Europeanization of foreign policy applying the downloading path to Slovenian external energy policy via three indicators: the increasing salience of the European political agenda, adherence to common (EU) objectives, and internalization of EU membership and its integration process. It employs a method of statistical data and content analysis of documents and secondary sources within two case studies of energy projects, namely the South Stream involving Russia, and long-term use of nuclear energy for electricity production involving the USA. The results substantiate that Slovenia has managed to balance between its energy-related national interests and the EU energy framework by formulating and legitimizing the former within the EU policy framework. However, the second case reveals that the open EU legal framework on the member states’ choice of nuclear energy cooperatives is a notable limitation to Europeanization due to the tendency for interests in national foreign policy and domestic politics – both performed by the government – to drift away from general EU values. In the conclusion, the article identifies two important implications arising from the case of Slovenia as a stress test of the EU’s external dimension of energy policy.","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

New, but Not More Diverse? The Effect of New Parties on the Social Bias of the Czech Parliamentary Elite since 2010 新，但不是更多样化?2010年以来新政党对捷克议会精英社会偏见的影响

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-3-362

Bakke Elisabeth

{"title":"New, but Not More Diverse? The Effect of New Parties on the Social Bias of the Czech Parliamentary Elite since 2010","authors":"Bakke Elisabeth","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-3-362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-3-362","url":null,"abstract":"Across Europe, new parties challenge more established parties and are challenged by even newer parties. The ‘new party’ literature focuses on why they succeed or fail, and whether they represent an alternative in terms of ideology, political platform, or ways of organizing, while the impact on descriptive representation has received less attention. Drawing on the new party literature and the elite literature, I investigate whether and how the rise of new parties with few members and little or no presence ‘on the ground’ has changed elite recruitment processes and outcomes in the Czech Republic, with special emphasis on the recent 2021 election. I find that although new parties put together are somewhat more representative of the voters in terms of gender, age, and education, all these parameters vary across the divide between longstanding and new parties. New parties are more open to non-party candidates, but because of low membership nomination processes are in practice even less inclusive and often more centralized than in longstanding parties. Strikingly, all parties reinforce the already strong education bias of the recruitment pool substantially. Otherwise, the social bias of the parliamentary elites to a large extent reflects the bias of the recruitment pool. The effect of preference votes on social bias was limited in most elections and candidate selection modes as such explain next to nothing.","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"74 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

When Preferential Voting Really Matters: Explaining the Surprising Results of Parties in Electoral Coalitions 当优先投票真的很重要:解释选举联盟中政党的惊人结果

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-3-316

Balík Stanislav, Hruška Jan

{"title":"When Preferential Voting Really Matters: Explaining the Surprising Results of Parties in Electoral Coalitions","authors":"Balík Stanislav, Hruška Jan","doi":"10.5817/pc2022-3-316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5817/pc2022-3-316","url":null,"abstract":"Preferential voting in a proportional list system is an essential means by which voters can significantly influence which particular politician will represent them. However, preferential voting takes on a new dimension when several parties run on the same list as a coalition. In this case, the intra-party competition may become inter-party competition, where one or more parties may gain significantly from preferential voting at the expense of their partners. Despite this, research on this topic has been significantly neglected. Using the case of the 2021 Czech general election, where two newly formed electoral coalitions (SPOLU and PIRSTAN) run, we examine the nature of preferential voting in this different context of electoral coalitions. In the first part of the analysis, when we analyzed the characteristics of all candidates of both coalitions, we first confirmed that the candidate effect commonly observed in the case of conventional candidate lists also exists in this context. At the same time, we found that the candidate effect (through the adequate distribution of influential characteristics across parties in a coalition) can also affect the inter-party competition (as was the case of the PIRSTAN coalition). In the second part of the analysis, we found that in the context of electoral coalitions, party characteristics can also have a substantial effect on preferential voting (as was the case of the SPOLU coalition). Thus, both of these categories of effects can exist in the case of coalition lists, and both can affect inter-party competition. Nevertheless, future research is needed to confirm whether these findings are generally valid or whether the Czech case is somehow deviant. Existing research on this topic does not allow for a comparison.","PeriodicalId":53942,"journal":{"name":"Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71352979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Freedom, Resentment and Anger: Emotions in Political Societies 自由、怨恨与愤怒:政治社会中的情感

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Politologicky Casopis-Czech Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5817/pc2022-2-125

Matej Cíbik

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