Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management最新文献

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Measuring relative volatility in high-frequency data under the directional change approach 在方向变化方法下测量高频数据的相对波动性
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1510
Shengnan Li, Edward P. K. Tsang, John O'Hara
{"title":"Measuring relative volatility in high-frequency data under the directional change approach","authors":"Shengnan Li,&nbsp;Edward P. K. Tsang,&nbsp;John O'Hara","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1510","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1510","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We introduce a new approach in measuring relative volatility between two markets based on the directional change (DC) method. DC is a data-driven approach for sampling financial market data such that the data are recorded when the price changes have reached a significant amplitude rather than recording data under a predetermined timescale. Under the DC framework, we propose a new concept of DC micro-market relative volatility to evaluate relative volatility between two markets. Unlike the time-series method, micro-market relative volatility redefines the timescale based on the frequency of the observed DC data between the two markets. We show that it is useful for measuring the relative volatility in micro-market activities (high-frequency data).</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"86-102"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/isaf.1510","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128450432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Forecasting Commodity Market Returns Volatility: A Hybrid Ensemble Learning GARCH-LSTM based Approach 预测商品市场收益波动:一种基于GARCH-LSTM的混合集成学习方法
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1515
Kshitij Kakade, Aswini Kumar Mishra, Kshitish Ghate, Shivang Gupta
{"title":"Forecasting Commodity Market Returns Volatility: A Hybrid Ensemble Learning GARCH-LSTM based Approach","authors":"Kshitij Kakade,&nbsp;Aswini Kumar Mishra,&nbsp;Kshitish Ghate,&nbsp;Shivang Gupta","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1515","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1515","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study investigates the advantage of combining the forecasting abilities of multiple generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models, such as the standard GARCH (GARCH), exponential GARCH (eGARCH), and threshold GARCH (tGARCH) models with advanced deep learning methods to predict the volatility of five important metals (nickel, copper, tin, lead, and gold) in the Indian commodity market. This paper proposes integrating the forecasts of one to three GARCH-type models into an ensemble learning-based hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM) model to forecast commodity price volatility. We further evaluate the forecasting performance of these models for standalone LSTM and GARCH-type models using the root mean squared error, mean absolute error, and mean fundamental percentage error. The results highlight that combining the information from the forecasts of multiple GARCH types into a hybrid LSTM model leads to superior volatility forecasting capability. The SET-LSTM, which represents the model that combines forecasts of the GARCH, eGARCH, and tGARCH into the LSTM hybrid, has shown the best overall results for all metals, barring a few exceptions. Moreover, the equivalence of forecasting accuracy is tested using the Diebold–Mariano and Wilcoxon signed-rank tests.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"103-117"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137749873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anti-money laundering and financial fraud detection: A systematic literature review 反洗钱与金融欺诈侦查:系统的文献综述
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-05-19 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1509
Lucas Schmidt Goecks, André Luis Korzenowski, Platão Gonçalves Terra Neto, Davenilcio Luiz de Souza, Taciana Mareth
{"title":"Anti-money laundering and financial fraud detection: A systematic literature review","authors":"Lucas Schmidt Goecks,&nbsp;André Luis Korzenowski,&nbsp;Platão Gonçalves Terra Neto,&nbsp;Davenilcio Luiz de Souza,&nbsp;Taciana Mareth","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1509","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1509","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Money laundering has affected the global economy for many years, and there are several methods of solving it presented in the literature. However, when tackling money laundering and financial fraud together there are few methods for solving them. Thus, this study aims to identify methods for anti-money laundering (AML) and financial fraud detection (FFD). A systematic literature review was performed for analysis and research of the methods used, utilizing the SCOPUS and Web of Science databases. Of the 48 articles that aligned with the research theme, 20 used quantitative methods for AML and FFD solution, 13 were literature reviews, 7 used qualitative methods, and 8 used mixed methods. This study contributes by presenting a systematic literature review that fills two research gaps: lack of studies on AML and FFD, and the methods used to solve them. This will assist researchers in identifying gaps and related research.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"71-85"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133438268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Wikipedia pageviews as investors’ attention indicator for Nasdaq 维基百科页面浏览量是投资者关注纳斯达克的指标
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-04-17 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1508
Raúl Gómez-Martínez, Carmen Orden-Cruz, Juan Gabriel Martínez-Navalón
{"title":"Wikipedia pageviews as investors’ attention indicator for Nasdaq","authors":"Raúl Gómez-Martínez,&nbsp;Carmen Orden-Cruz,&nbsp;Juan Gabriel Martínez-Navalón","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1508","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The attempt to measure investors’ mood to find an early indicator of financial markets has evolved and developed with the advancement of technology over the years. The first attempts were based on surveys, a long and expensive process. Nowadays, big data has made it possible to measure the investor’s mood accurately and almost entirely online. This paper analyzes the explanatory and predictive capacity of Wikipedia pageviews for the Nasdaq index. For this purpose, two econometric models have been developed. In both models, the explanatory variable is the number of Wikipedia visits, and the endogenous variable is Nasdaq index return. As an alternative to this approach, an algorithmic trading system has been developed. It uses Wikipedia visits as investment signals for long and short positions to check the predictability power of this indicator. It is determined that the volume of queries about Nasdaq companies is a statistically significant variable for expressing the evolution of this index. However, it has no predictive capacity. Keeping in mind the capacity of Wikipedia to exemplify Nasdaq trends, further studies should be conducted to determine how to make this indicator profitable.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"41-49"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/isaf.1508","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109170445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Time-varying neural network for stock return prediction 时变神经网络用于股票收益预测
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1507
Steven Y. K. Wong, Jennifer S. K. Chan, Lamiae Azizi, Richard Y. D. Xu
{"title":"Time-varying neural network for stock return prediction","authors":"Steven Y. K. Wong,&nbsp;Jennifer S. K. Chan,&nbsp;Lamiae Azizi,&nbsp;Richard Y. D. Xu","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1507","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1507","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often <i>time varying</i>. We propose the <i>online early stopping</i> algorithm and show that a neural network trained using this algorithm can track a function changing with unknown dynamics. We compare the proposed algorithm to current approaches on predicting monthly US stock returns and show its superiority. We also show that prominent factors (such as the size and momentum effects) and industry indicators exhibit time-varying predictive power on stock returns. We find that during market distress, industry indicators experience an increase in importance at the expense of firm level features. This indicates that industries play a role in explaining stock returns during periods of heightened risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"3-18"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109177142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases relating to the Sarbanes–Oxley Act 对美国证券交易委员会与《萨班斯-奥克斯利法案》有关的会计和审计执法发布的文本分析
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-03-23 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1506
Sergio Davalos, Ehsan H. Feroz
{"title":"A textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases relating to the Sarbanes–Oxley Act","authors":"Sergio Davalos,&nbsp;Ehsan H. Feroz","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1506","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1506","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We focus on textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases (AAERs). Our research question is: Did the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX) 2002 affect the qualitative linguistic content of the AAERs in the post-SOX period? To answer this question, we test the null hypotheses that there will be no differences in the qualitative verbiage and sentiment of AAERs in the time periods that we study related to the enactment of SOX: pre-SOX and post-SOX. To resolve the research question, we applied several text mining methods and classification machine-learning methods. We first used two basic text-mining methods, generating a bag of words and topic modeling, for descriptive analysis of the AAER content before the enactment of SOX and after the enforcement of SOX. We then conducted sentiment analysis using four sentiment dictionaries on the content of the two time periods: before SOX and after SOX. Finally, we developed three different classification models based on well-known supervised learning algorithms and determined that SOX-related AAERs could be distinguished from non-SOX-related AAERs. Based on the results, we conclude that there were significant linguistic differences in the AAER content of the post-SOX period compared with the pre-SOX period. In other words, post-SOX-related AAERs are qualitatively different in terms of linguistic contents and sentiment values compared with the non-SOX-related AAERs.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"19-40"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109173501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Corporate governance performance ratings with machine learning 利用机器学习进行公司治理绩效评级
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1505
Jan Svanberg, Tohid Ardeshiri, Isak Samsten, Peter Öhman, Presha E. Neidermeyer, Tarek Rana, Natalia Semenova, Mats Danielson
{"title":"Corporate governance performance ratings with machine learning","authors":"Jan Svanberg,&nbsp;Tohid Ardeshiri,&nbsp;Isak Samsten,&nbsp;Peter Öhman,&nbsp;Presha E. Neidermeyer,&nbsp;Tarek Rana,&nbsp;Natalia Semenova,&nbsp;Mats Danielson","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1505","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We use machine learning with a cross-sectional research design to predict governance controversies and to develop a measure of the governance component of the environmental, social, governance (ESG) metrics. Based on comprehensive governance data from 2,517 companies over a period of 10 years and investigating nine machine-learning algorithms, we find that governance controversies can be predicted with high predictive performance. Our proposed governance rating methodology has two unique advantages compared with traditional ESG ratings: it rates companies' compliance with governance responsibilities and it has predictive validity. Our study demonstrates a solution to what is likely the greatest challenge for the finance industry today: how to assess a company's sustainability with validity and accuracy. Prior to this study, the ESG rating industry and the literature have not provided evidence that widely adopted governance ratings are valid. This study describes the only methodology for developing governance performance ratings based on companies' compliance with governance responsibilities and for which there is evidence of predictive validity.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"50-68"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/isaf.1505","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109171216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A Review of Big Data Research in Accounting 会计大数据研究述评
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1504
Francis Aboagye-Otchere, Cletus Agyenim-Boateng, Abdulai Enusah, Theodora Ekua Aryee
{"title":"A Review of Big Data Research in Accounting","authors":"Francis Aboagye-Otchere,&nbsp;Cletus Agyenim-Boateng,&nbsp;Abdulai Enusah,&nbsp;Theodora Ekua Aryee","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1504","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1504","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The impending fourth industrial revolution has enhanced the role of big data analytics in today’s business practice. Consequently, many now consider big data as the most strategic resource in business to the extent that organizations that fail to utilize it may become competitively disadvantaged. Following these developments, questions have been raised about the future of the accounting discipline, especially in terms of how it can continue to add value to organizations. While some scholars have attempted to address this question, it remains an abstract concept requiring further investigation. Therefore, this study conducts a systematic literature review to determine the status of accounting research on big data analytics and provides avenues for further studies. By conducting co-occurrence network analysis on 52 peer-reviewed articles published from 2010 to 2020, three broad themes emerged, entailing big data implications for accounting <i>practice</i>, <i>education</i>, and <i>research design</i>. A further examination of the themes revealed few empirical studies on the phenomenon, as conceptual research dominates the field. Although external audit implications of big data are widely discussed, other accounting domains (e.g., managerial accounting and taxation) are underexplored. Therefore, future studies may focus on the implications of big data on variables such as performance measurement, information governance, tax behavior, curriculum design, and pedagogy.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"28 4","pages":"268-283"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117130211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Modeling Drivers and Barriers of Artificial Intelligence Adoption: Insights from a Strategic Management Perspective 人工智能采用的建模驱动因素和障碍:来自战略管理视角的见解
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1503
Sudatta Kar, Arpan Kumar Kar, Manmohan Prasad Gupta
{"title":"Modeling Drivers and Barriers of Artificial Intelligence Adoption: Insights from a Strategic Management Perspective","authors":"Sudatta Kar,&nbsp;Arpan Kumar Kar,&nbsp;Manmohan Prasad Gupta","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1503","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1503","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Artificial intelligence (AI) in business processes and academic research in AI has significantly increased. However, the adoption of AI in organizational strategy is yet to be explored in extant literature. This study proposes two conceptual frameworks showing hierarchical relationships among the various drivers and barriers to AI adoption in organizational strategy. In a two-step approach, the literature study is first done to identify eight drivers of and nine barriers to AI adoption and validated by academic and industry experts. In the second step, MICMAC (matrice d'impacts croises-multiplication appliqúe a un classment <i>or</i> cross-impact matrix multiplication applied to classification) analysis categorizes the drivers and barriers to AI adoption in organizational strategy. Total interpretive structural modeling (TISM) is developed to understand the complex and hierarchical associations among the drivers and barriers. This is the first attempt to model the drivers and barriers using a methodology like TISM, which provides a comprehensive conceptual framework with hierarchical relationships and relative importance of the drivers and barriers to AI adoption. AI solutions' decision-making ability and accuracy are the most influential drivers that influence other driving factors. Lack of an AI adoption strategy, lack of AI talent, and lack of leadership commitment are the most significant barriers that affect other barriers. Recommendations for senior leadership are discussed to focus on the leading drivers and barriers. Also, the limitations and future research scope are addressed.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"28 4","pages":"217-238"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129545640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 16
Multi-party computation mechanism for anonymous equity block trading: A secure implementation of turquoise plato uncross 匿名股票大宗交易的多方计算机制:绿松石plato uncross的安全实现
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1502
John Cartlidge, Nigel P. Smart, Younes Talibi Alaoui
{"title":"Multi-party computation mechanism for anonymous equity block trading: A secure implementation of turquoise plato uncross","authors":"John Cartlidge,&nbsp;Nigel P. Smart,&nbsp;Younes Talibi Alaoui","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1502","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1502","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Dark pools are financial trading venues where orders are entered and matched in secret so that no order information is leaked. By preventing information leakage, dark pools offer the opportunity for large volume block traders to avoid the costly effects of market impact. However, dark pool operators have been known to abuse their privileged access to order information. To address this issue, we introduce a provably secure multi-party computation mechanism that prevents an operator from accessing and misusing order information. Specifically, we implement a secure emulation of Turquoise Plato Uncross, Europe's largest dark pool trading mechanism, and demonstrate that it can handle real world trading throughput, with guaranteed information integrity.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"28 4","pages":"239-267"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/86/d9/ISAF-28-239.PMC9615482.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40463694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 13
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