Juan Li, F. Guo, Yanning Zhou, Wenchen Yang, Dingan Ni
{"title":"Predicting the severity of traffic accidents on mountain freeways with dynamic traffic and weather data","authors":"Juan Li, F. Guo, Yanning Zhou, Wenchen Yang, Dingan Ni","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdad001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdad001","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Traffic accident severity prediction is essential for dynamic traffic safety management. To explore the factors influencing the severity of traffic accidents on mountain freeways and to predict the severity of traffic accidents, four models based on machine learning algorithms are constructed using support vector machine (SVM), decision tree classifier (DTC), Ada_SVM and Ada_DTC. In addition, random forest (RF) is used to calculate the importance degree of variables, and accident severity influences with high importance levels form the RF dataset. The results show that rainfall intensity, collision type, number of vehicles involved in the accident and road section type are important variables influencing accident severity. The RF feature selection method improves the classification performance of four machine learning algorithms, resulting in 9.3%, 5.5%, 7.2% and 3.6% improvement in prediction accuracy for SVM, DTC, Ada_SVM and Ada_DTC, respectively. The combination of Ada_SVM integrated algorithm and RF feature selection method has the best prediction performance, and it achieves 78.9% and 88.4% prediction precision and accuracy, respectively.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43895381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analyzing freeway diverging risks using high-resolution trajectory data based on conflict prediction models","authors":"Ye Li, S. Dalhatu, Chen Yuan","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdad002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdad002","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This study aims to develop a reliable safety evaluation model for diverging vehicles and investigates the impact of the surrounding traffic environment on freeway diverging risks. High-resolution trajectory data from three sites in the Netherlands (Delft, Ter-Heide, and Zonzeel) were employed for the risk analysis. Linear regression (LR), Support vector machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extreme randomize trees (ET), Adaptive boosting (Adaboost), Extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), and Multilayer perceptron (MLP), were developed for safety evaluation. The result showed that MLP outperforms the other models for diverging risk prediction over all the indicators, conflict thresholds, and locations. Pairwise matrix, Shapely addictive explanation (SHAP), and Linear regression algorithms were further adopted to interpret the influence of the surrounding environment. It indicates that an increase in traffic density, subject vehicle lateral speed, the distance of subject vehicle from ramp nose, and subject vehicle length would increase the diverging risk. At the same time, an increase in leading vehicle speed and space headway would decrease diverging risk. Finally, spatial analysis was also conducted to explore the stability of identified traffic features regarding the impact on the diverging risk across the sites.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43181425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mandatory lane-changing modelling based on a game theoretic approach in traditional and connected environments","authors":"G. Cheng, Qiuyue Sun, Y. Bie","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac035","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The paper proposes a model of mandatory lane-changing behaviour based on a non-cooperative game in a traditional environment and analyses its applicability in a connected environment. In order to solve the problem of traffic safety and traffic congestion caused by mandatory lane-changing on urban roads, this paper applies the non-cooperative game theory to describe the game behaviour of the two parties, the lane-changing vehicle and the vehicle behind the target lane, in the connected and traditional environments respectively, and constructs the model considering the safety gain, speed gain and lane-changing gain to obtain a game model and the Nash equilibrium solution. The model is calibrated and tested using NGSIM data, and the results of the study show that the model has a good performance for the decision behaviour of lane-changing vehicles and lag vehicles for mandatory lane-changing behaviour on urban roads.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48200120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A mandatory lane changing decision making and planning under emergency situation","authors":"Yang Liu, Cong-Ling Shi","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac041","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 By considering a mandatory lane changing as a collision avoidance measure, this paper presented the corresponding lane change decision making and trajectory planning algorithm under emergency scenario. Different from the traditional algorithm in which lane change decision making and trajectory planning are separated, the lane change decision making and trajectory making are coupled in proposed algorithm and the related parameters are dynamically adjusted in whole process. In addition to lane change collision avoidance feasibility analysis, lane change time instance and duration time is obtained by solving the constrained convex quadratic optimization program. By taking lane change time instance and duration time as inputs, the algorithm then proceeded to propose a kinematic model based high-order polynomial lane change trajectory. By giving the simulation result compassion with the related algorithm, it is proved that the proposed algorithm has a good robustness and high efficiency.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42612223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on headway control of guided transport system based on intersections conditions evaluation","authors":"Xiao Yu, Yuan Cao, Yongkui Sun","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac068","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In order to ensure the safety and efficiency of section tracking operation of guided transport system, a safety headway control method of section tracking based on intersection conditions is proposed in this paper. Considering the difference of signal phase, the evaluation model of road conditions was established based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method FAGT. Based on the artificial potential field method, the time-varying hybrid artificial potential field (TH-APF) method was proposed, and the tracking headway control algorithm was designed to realize the dynamic control of the tracking headway of the guide transport vehicle. The simulation results verified the effectiveness and applicability of the evaluation model of intersection road conditions, the tracking headway can be maintained at about 120s. The tracking headway control algorithm of guided transport vehicles can respond to the road conditions and avoid the local optimum of the artificial potential field method, thus improving the operating efficiency.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47560567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modified Multi-Scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy and Fuzzy Broad Learning-Based fast fault diagnosis of Railway Point Machines","authors":"Junqi Liu, Tao Wen, Guo Xie, Yuan Cao","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac065","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Railway Point Machines (RPMs) condition monitoring has attracted engineers’ attention due to safe train operation and accident prevention. To realize the fast and accurate fault diagnosis of RPMs, this paper proposes a method based on entropy measurement and Broad Learning System (BLS). Firstly, the Modified Multi-scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy (MMSDE) module extracts dynamic characteristics from the collected acoustic signals as entropy features. Then the Fuzzy BLS takes the above entropy features as input to complete model training. Fuzzy BLS introduces Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system into BLS, which improves the model’s classification performance while considering computational speed. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method significantly reduces the running time while maintaining high accuracy.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46647543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yunting Zheng, Shaohua Chen, Zhiyong Tan, Yongkui Sun
{"title":"Research on fault diagnosis of railway point machine based on multi-entropy and support vector machine","authors":"Yunting Zheng, Shaohua Chen, Zhiyong Tan, Yongkui Sun","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac071","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 A new fault diagnosis method is proposed to effectively extract the fault features of the sound signal of typical faults of ZDJ9 railway point machines. A multi-entropy feature extraction method is proposed by combing multi-scale permutation entropy and wavelet packet entropy. Firstly, empirical mode decomposition is performed on sound signals to obtain modal components with different time scales. Then, multi-scale permutation entropy is extracted from these components. Meanwhile, the wavelet packet entropy of the sound signals of these sensitive nodes is obtained by analyzing the reconstructed signals of the last layer nodes. Since the multi-scale arrangement entropy and the wavelet packet entropy can distinguish the subtle features of the signal, the subtle features of the original signal can be obtained as the feature vector of the ZDJ9 railway point machine in different states. To reduce the redundant information among the high-dimensional features, ReliefF is utilized. Finally, support vector machine (SVM) is used to judge the fault type of ZDJ9 railway point machine.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41879334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yongkui Sun, Yuan Cao, Haitao Liu, Weifeng Yang, Shuai Su
{"title":"Condition monitoring and fault diagnosis strategy of railway point machines using vibration signals","authors":"Yongkui Sun, Yuan Cao, Haitao Liu, Weifeng Yang, Shuai Su","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac048","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Condition monitoring of railway point machines is important for train operation safety and effectiveness. Referring to the fields of mechanical equipment fault detection, this paper proposes a fault detection and identification strategy of railway point machines via vibration signals. Comprehensive feature distilling approach by combining variational mode decomposition (VMD) energy entropy, time- and frequency-domain statistical features is presented, which is more effective than single kind of features. The optimal set of features was selected with ReliefF, which help improve the diagnosis accuracy. Support vector machine (SVM) which is suitable for small sample is adopted to realize diagnosis. The diagnosis accuracy of the proposed method reaches 100%, and its effectiveness is verified by experiment comparisons. In this paper, vibration signals are creatively adopted for fault diagnosis of railway point machines. The presented method can help guide field maintenance stuff and also provide reference for fault diagnosis of other equipment.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43951555","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A hybrid ensemble deep reinforcement learning model for locomotive axle temperature using the deterministic and probabilistic strategy","authors":"Guangxi Yan, Hui Liu, Chengqing Yu, Chengming Yu, Ye Li, Zhu Duan","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac055","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper proposes a hybrid deep reinforcement learning framework for locomotive axle temperature by combining the wavelet packet decomposition (WPD), long short-term memory (LSTM), the gated recurrent unit (GRU) reinforcement learning, and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) algorithms. The WPD is utilized to decompose the raw nonlinear series into subseries. Then the deep learning predictors LSTM and GRU are established to predict the future axle temperatures in each subseries. The Q-learning could generate optimal ensemble weights to integrate the predictors to finish the deterministic forecasting and GARCH is used to conduct the deterministic forecasting based on the deterministic forecasting residual. These parts of the hybrid ensemble structure contributed to optimal modeling accuracy and provided effective support in the real-time monitoring and fault diagnosis of transportation.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42007364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhenhao Zhang, Zhenpeng Zhao, Jun Xiong, Fuming Wang, Yi Zeng, Bingfang Zhao, Lu Ke
{"title":"An approach of dynamic response analysis of nonlinear structures based on least square Volterra kernel function identification","authors":"Zhenhao Zhang, Zhenpeng Zhao, Jun Xiong, Fuming Wang, Yi Zeng, Bingfang Zhao, Lu Ke","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac046","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Analysis of the dynamic response of a complex nonlinear system is always a difficult problem. By using Volterra functional series to describe a nonlinear system, its response analysis can be similar to using Fourier/Laplace transform and linear transfer function method to analyze a linear system's response. In this paper, a dynamic response analysis method for nonlinear systems based on Volterra series is developed. Firstly, the recursive formula of the least square method is established to solve the Volterra kernel function vector, and the corresponding MATLAB program is compiled. Then, the Volterra kernel vector corresponding to the nonlinear response of a structure under seismic excitation is identified, and the accuracy and applicability of using the kernel vector to predict the response of a nonlinear structure are analyzed. The results show that the Volterra kernel function identified by the derived recursive formula can accurately describe the nonlinear response characteristics of a structure under an excitation. For a general nonlinear system, the first three order Volterra kernel function can relatively accurately express its nonlinear response characteristics. In addition, the obtained Volterra kernel function can be used to accurately predict the nonlinear response of a structure under the similar type of dynamic load.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47120327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}