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Peru: Deep Political Dissatisfaction Weakens Support for Democracy 秘鲁:深刻的政治不满削弱了对民主的支持
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.31378
Julio Carrión, Patricia Zarate
{"title":"Peru: Deep Political Dissatisfaction Weakens Support for Democracy","authors":"Julio Carrión, Patricia Zarate","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31378","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31378","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes the trend of democratic attitudes in Peru using data from the AmericasBarometer. It finds that democratic attitudes in Peru are consistently low, when compared to regional means. The paper also shows that the proportion of respondents holding democratic values has decreased in the last decade or so. We attribute this decline to the growing dissatisfaction with the performance of the political system. We trace this discontent to presidential failures to deliver on promises of greater social inclusion and the growing political dysfunction driven by the obstructionist role of the fujimorista party in Congress. The failed presidency of Pedro Castillo, who disappointed even his own supporters, and the feckless behavior of a Congress riddled by particularistic interests, deepened this discontent, and brought Peru’s democracy to the brink when Castillo tried to shut down Congress. Consequently, citizen dissatisfaction with the performance of democracy has decreased even further.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"27 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135679508","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shane P. Singh. Beyond Turnout: How Compulsory Voting Shapes Citizens and Political Parties. New York: Oxford University Press, 2021. 225 pages. ISBN: 9780198832928. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198832928.001.0001. 谢恩·p·辛格。超越投票率:强制投票如何塑造公民和政党。纽约:牛津大学出版社，2021。225页。ISBN: 9780198832928。DOI: 10.1093 / oso / 9780198832928.001.0001。
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.31325
Fernando Feitosa
{"title":"Shane P. Singh. Beyond Turnout: How Compulsory Voting Shapes Citizens and Political Parties. New York: Oxford University Press, 2021. 225 pages. ISBN: 9780198832928. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198832928.001.0001.","authors":"Fernando Feitosa","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31325","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31325","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"62 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135082538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Andy Baker, Barry Ames, and Lúcio Rennó. Persuasive Peers: Social Communication and Voting in Latin America. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2020. 369 pages. ISBN 9780691205786. 安迪·贝克，巴里·艾姆斯，还有Lúcio Rennó。有说服力的同伴:拉丁美洲的社会沟通和投票。普林斯顿:普林斯顿大学出版社，2020。369页。ISBN 9780691205786。
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.31276
Paul A. Beck
{"title":"Andy Baker, Barry Ames, and Lúcio Rennó. Persuasive Peers: Social Communication and Voting in Latin America. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2020. 369 pages. ISBN 9780691205786.","authors":"Paul A. Beck","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31276","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31276","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135081419","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does China’s Rise influence anti-Americanism? Evidence from Colombia 中国崛起会影响反美情绪吗?来自哥伦比亚的证据
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.31137
Gregg Johnson, Zhimin Lin
{"title":"Does China’s Rise influence anti-Americanism? Evidence from Colombia","authors":"Gregg Johnson, Zhimin Lin","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31137","url":null,"abstract":"China greatly expanded its presence in Latin America over the last several decades, with most researchers examining China’s economic and political efforts. Many U.S.-based researchers, pundits, and policymakers saw China as a potential rival and threat to U. S. hegemony. However, few researchers have examined how average Latin Americans viewed these changes. Building on theories of anti-Americanism, we examine whether views of China are associated with anti-Americanism in Colombia. Drawing on an original survey of Colombians, we find that China’s economic model, respondent ideology, and views of Chinese trade and business are weakly associated with anti-Americanism. Other factors have no association. Our findings provide an important early look into the effectiveness of China’s soft power in the region and contribute to the field’s understanding of anti-Americanism in the region.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135081424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Clientelist Mobilization and Political Participation Outside of the Electoral Arena 选举舞台之外的亲信动员和政治参与
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.31164
Claudio A. Holzner
{"title":"Clientelist Mobilization and Political Participation Outside of the Electoral Arena","authors":"Claudio A. Holzner","doi":"10.14201/rlop.31164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.31164","url":null,"abstract":"Scholarship on clientelist mobilization has focused almost exclusively on electoral clientelism, that is efforts by patrons and brokers to encourage turnout and participation in campaign rallies. What is less well understood is the impact of clientelist mobilization on other modes of political participation, like protest activity and citizen claim making. To fill this gap, I use LAPOP survey data from 2010 and 2014 to explore the relationship between vote-buying and nonelectoral forms of political activity. Despite the expectation by many that collective action and clientelist mobilization are incompatible, this study finds a strong relationship between vote-buying efforts and participation in protests in most of Latin America. Similarly, people who receive vote-buying offers are much more likely to engage in claim-making activities. I explore the mechanisms through which clientelism encourages political activism, highlighting ways that clientelist networks work through civic organizations and foster stronger partisan identities and greater political engagement.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135081421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Julio Carrión. A Dynamic Theory of Populism in Power: The Andes in Comparative Perspective. New York: Oxford University Press, 2022. 269 pages. ISBN: 978-0-19-757229-0. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197572290.001.0001 胡里奥腐肉。权力民粹主义的动态理论:比较视角下的安第斯山脉。纽约:牛津大学出版社，2022。269页。ISBN: 978-0-19-757229-0。DOI: 10.1093 / oso / 9780197572290.001.0001
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.30065
O. Selçuk
{"title":"Julio Carrión. A Dynamic Theory of Populism in Power: The Andes in Comparative Perspective. New York: Oxford University Press, 2022. 269 pages. ISBN: 978-0-19-757229-0. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197572290.001.0001","authors":"O. Selçuk","doi":"10.14201/rlop.30065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.30065","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45059892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Survey Mode Effects in a Developing Country 发展中国家的调查模式效应
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.30159
Noam Lupu, Adam D. Wolsky
{"title":"Survey Mode Effects in a Developing Country","authors":"Noam Lupu, Adam D. Wolsky","doi":"10.14201/rlop.30159","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.30159","url":null,"abstract":" \u0000\u0000\u0000\u0000\u0000Responses to phone surveys tend to exhibit higher rates of social desirability bias and extreme responses when compared to face-to-face surveys. Yet, studies of mode effects typically compare either representative studies that implausibly assume comparability or experimental studies that rely on convenience samples. Our study compares two national probability samples but uses matching to address comparability. We study Costa Rica, a middle-income democracy, to see whether the conventional wisdom drawn from Western Europe and North America extends to the Global South. We analyze two nationally representative surveys, one fielded by phone and one face-to-face, allowing us to compare identically worded items we placed on both surveys. We find that phone respondents exhibited more socially desirable responding and were more likely to choose negative endpoints on scalar items. This suggests that survey researchers and practitioners should carefully assess the tradeoffs in shifting modes or employing mixed modes.\u0000\u0000\u0000\u0000","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49224759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting 选举投票会影响选民的行为吗？竞选、党派偏见和战略投票
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.29606
Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
{"title":"Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting","authors":"Rodrigo Castro Cornejo","doi":"10.14201/rlop.29606","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.29606","url":null,"abstract":"The manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this study sheds light on the conditions in which voters—even partisans—behave strategically and which contribute to an increase in the proportion of voters who change their vote intention during campaigns. Only partisans informed about polls are able to overcome their partisan bias and engage in strategic voting. By taking strategic voting into account in the study of campaigns, the present work builds a bridge between the campaigns effects literature and studies on strategic voting.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44006823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When Inmigration is a New Issue: Evidence from Chile 2003 and 2017 何时移民是一个新问题：来自智利2003年和2017年的证据
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.27287
Gonzalo Espinoza Bianchini, Patricio D. Navia, Renata Cirano, Francisca Jara Nancuente
{"title":"When Inmigration is a New Issue: Evidence from Chile 2003 and 2017","authors":"Gonzalo Espinoza Bianchini, Patricio D. Navia, Renata Cirano, Francisca Jara Nancuente","doi":"10.14201/rlop.27287","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.27287","url":null,"abstract":"In countries where parties have not adopted strong policy positions on immigration–and where the immigrant population is not large–popular perceptions of immigrants might not reflect the ideological divides reported in the literature for countries where immigration is a politically salient issue. We assess the association of ideological identification with the perceptions of immigrants in Chile using two comparable national polls, one from 2003, before the recent immigration wave, and one from 2017, in the middle of an immigration wave, but before parties formally adopted policy positions on immigration. With OLS estimations, we find that, as expected, leftists had more positive views than the rest, but contrary to expectations, those on the right also had more positive views, especially in 2017. Views were more prominent in 2017 than in 2003, with those in the extreme left and extreme right displaying positive views.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44523882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tolerance for Postponing Elections in Crisis Conditions 在危机情况下推迟选举的容忍度
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.14201/rlop.26934
Luke Plutowski, Elizabeth J. Zechmeister
{"title":"Tolerance for Postponing Elections in Crisis Conditions","authors":"Luke Plutowski, Elizabeth J. Zechmeister","doi":"10.14201/rlop.26934","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.26934","url":null,"abstract":"Election postponements occur around the world for a variety of reasons, but they became especially widespread during the Covid-19 pandemic. Little is known how the public perceives and reacts to such democratic delays. To shed light on this topic, we included a question module in the 2021 AmericasBarometer about tolerance for alterations to democracy during periods of crisis. The data reveal that tolerance for election postponements is quite high. Further, through a wording experiment, we find that the public is more willing to accept such a delay during a health emergency vis-à-vis an alternative condition (widespread violence). We contextualize these findings by comparing them with attitudes about a more extreme anti-democratic disruption: a coup d’etat by security forces. Coups are significantly less popular than election postponements, especially during a health emergency. The results improve our understanding of public appetite for authoritarianism during periods of crisis.","PeriodicalId":52748,"journal":{"name":"Revista Latinoamericana de Opinion Publica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49590190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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