Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability最新文献

Improving the weighted average simulation method for reliability analyses based on the new adaptive interpolation method 基于新的自适应插值法改进用于可靠性分析的加权平均模拟法

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241256166

A. Khajeh, S. Mousavi, M. Sohrabi, Mohsen Rashki

{"title":"Improving the weighted average simulation method for reliability analyses based on the new adaptive interpolation method","authors":"A. Khajeh, S. Mousavi, M. Sohrabi, Mohsen Rashki","doi":"10.1177/1748006x241256166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x241256166","url":null,"abstract":"As the weighted average simulation (WAS) method is an efficient approach to approximate the failure probability and the most probable point, using WAS and the adaptive interpolation (AI) method, this study has proposed an adaptive interpolation-based weighted average simulation (AI-WAS) method capable of reducing the number of WAS-required performance function evaluations without reducing the required accuracy. To this end, the grid method or low-discrepancy sequences are used to generate some representative sampling points in the design space, which are used to predict the performance function of other uniformly generated samples (WAS population) by an interpolation technique. To estimate the performance function value for other samples more accurately, a new adaptive method is proposed by introducing a critical region. The AI-WAS method has been applied to different numerical and engineering problems with complex and implicit limit state functions. According to the results, the proposed approach, compared to the original approach and popular reliability methods, can highly reduce the number of actual limit state function evaluations required for an accurate estimation of the failure probability.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":" 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141372248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

On periodic maintenance for a protection system 关于保护系统的定期维护

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241254420

Phillip Scarf, N. Alotaibi, C. Cavalcante, Augusto J. S. Rodrigues, Y.R Melo

引用次数: 0

Reliability inference for a family of inverted exponentiated distributions under block progressive Type II censoring 分块渐进式第二类删减下倒指数分布族的可靠性推断

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241247866

Rani Kumari, Y. Tripathi, Liang Wang, R. Sinha

引用次数: 0

Mission reliability evaluation and selective maintenance approach for manufacturing systems considering epistemic uncertainty 考虑认识不确定性的制造系统任务可靠性评估和选择性维护方法

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241246440

Yuqi Cai, Hanjun Guo, Yihai He, Rui Shi, Yihua Xing, Yuxin Qi

{"title":"Mission reliability evaluation and selective maintenance approach for manufacturing systems considering epistemic uncertainty","authors":"Yuqi Cai, Hanjun Guo, Yihai He, Rui Shi, Yihua Xing, Yuxin Qi","doi":"10.1177/1748006x241246440","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x241246440","url":null,"abstract":"For manufacturing systems, the states of operational performance and functional output are essential indicators of their reliability evaluation, operational health state monitoring, and maintenance decision. However, due to the instability of the 5M1E factors, that is, Man, Machine, Method, Material, Measurement, and Environment, in the manufacturing process, certain components within these systems could introduce epistemic uncertainty factors and thus interfere with the results of evaluation and decision. Consequently, a novel integrated mission reliability evaluation and selective maintenance approach considering epistemic uncertainty is proposed. First, an uncertain–random operational model for manufacturing systems, in which the uncertain operational mechanisms are specified, is established as the foundation. Second, a mission reliability evaluation method for uncertain–random manufacturing systems that fuses the conformity and fitness quality data is proposed to cope with the challenge of epistemic uncertainty. Third, a selective maintenance decision model that maximizes the system’s mission reliability is developed in consideration of the uncertain factors within the operation process. Finally, a case study of a ferrite phase shifting unit manufacturing system is conducted to validate the proposed approach.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":"39 30","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140966124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Reliability estimation and order-restricted inference based on joint type-II progressive censoring scheme with application to splashing data in atomization process 基于联合 II 型渐进式普查方案的可靠性估计和限阶推断，并应用于雾化过程中的飞溅数据

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241242834

H. Panahi

{"title":"Reliability estimation and order-restricted inference based on joint type-II progressive censoring scheme with application to splashing data in atomization process","authors":"H. Panahi","doi":"10.1177/1748006x241242834","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x241242834","url":null,"abstract":"Censoring commonly occurs in real-world scenarios, either intentionally or unintentionally. In addition, in engineering and applied studies, two or more populations are required to perform the experiment. In this article, we develop the order-restricted ( OR) statistical inference of two inverted exponentiated Rayleigh ( IERayleigh) populations based on the joint type-II progressive censoring scheme ( J-IIProgCS). We also consider the problem of the stress-strength reliability Re = P( X> Y) estimation under J-IIProgCS. The process of estimating the parameters with order restriction ( PaR-OR) and Re are performed using the maximum likelihood (ML) and Bayesian methods. On the presumption that the gamma priors are independent, the Bayesian estimate of reliability model is obtained using the hybrid Gibbs within Metropolis-Hastings ( G-MeHa) algorithm. Moreover, with assumption the ordered Beta-Gamma prior for the shape parameters and the Gamma prior for the common scale parameter, the Bayes estimates of the parameters with order restriction are evaluated. The classical confidence intervals and the Bayesian credible interval are created. A detailed numerical illustration using simulated data sets is carried out. A real engineering example related to splashing phenomenon is considered for illustrative purposes.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":"4 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140671351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Analysis of coal mining accident risk factors based on text mining 基于文本挖掘的煤矿事故风险因素分析

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241245579

Yiman He, Jizu Li

{"title":"Analysis of coal mining accident risk factors based on text mining","authors":"Yiman He, Jizu Li","doi":"10.1177/1748006x241245579","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x241245579","url":null,"abstract":"Frequently occurring coal mine safety accidents have caused great casualties and economic losses. Coal mine intelligence is the core technical support for the high-quality development of the coal industry. The deep integration of coal mining safety production management and Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology is practically significant to achieve accident prevention. To efficiently identify mining accident risk factors and explore mechanism of coupling between risk factors, this study mined 400 reported cases of mining accidents in Shanxi Province and identified 64 accident risk factors through custom, stopword, synonym dictionary construction, keyword extraction and keyword correlation analysis. Then, this study constructed association rules and a Bayesian causal network. The major risk factors are identified using a comprehensive high-frequency, sensitivity, strength and key path analysis of the Bayesian causal network. The following seven risk factors are found to play a major role in the occurrence of mine accidents: inadequate safety supervision, disordered safety management, illegal organization of production, inadequate staff safety education and training, operation against rules, command against rules and weak safety consciousness among the staff. Finally, a case study is conducted to validate the reliability of the results. This study solves the problem of incomplete extraction of key feature information in coal mine reports and the lack of analyses of coupling mechanisms between coal mine risk factors in traditional accident analysis methods, providing the methodological support for the effective use of unstructured coal mine safety production data for risk analysis.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":"127 31","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140669071","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Influence of flange deflection wear and the economy-oriented reversing control policy 法兰挠度磨损和以经济性为导向的换向控制策略的影响

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241242833

Lei Lei, Dongli Song, Yong Tang, Tao Wang, Zejun Zheng, Xinkun Jiang

{"title":"Influence of flange deflection wear and the economy-oriented reversing control policy","authors":"Lei Lei, Dongli Song, Yong Tang, Tao Wang, Zejun Zheng, Xinkun Jiang","doi":"10.1177/1748006x241242833","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x241242833","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we describe the phenomenon of deflection wear of the wheel flange and analyze the causes according to actual line conditions, and the influence of deflection wear of wheel flange is analyzed from the perspective of safety and economy of trains by combining dynamic modeling and simulation. The degree of deflection wear of wheel flange is divided into different grades. Based on the reliability-cost function, the influence of economy is quantified and introduced into the analysis of deflection wear as an index. We establish an economic model of flange deflection wear and cutting amount of reprofiling (FDW-CA). Based on the deflection wear prediction model and FDW-CA model, we model the economy-oriented reversing control policy. To verify the feasibility and validity of the control policy. The measured data before and after the reversing policy are analyzed. The results indicate that the cutting amount of wheelset is reduced from 11.2 to 6.6 mm on average for single reprofiling, and the saving is more than 40%. The reversing control policy can reduce the cutting amount of wheelset, reduce the limit probability of wheelset, extend the life of the wheelset, and reduce the operation and maintenance cost of the wheelset, and further provide basis for wheelset spare planning.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":"118 23","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140669636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Industry 5.0: Do risk assessment and risk management need to update? And if yes, how? 工业 5.0：风险评估和风险管理是否需要更新？如果需要，如何更新？

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241229884

E. Zio, Franck Guarnieri

引用次数: 0

Industry 5.0: Do risk assessment and risk management need to update? And if yes, how? 工业 5.0：风险评估和风险管理是否需要更新？如果需要，如何更新？

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x241229884

E. Zio, Franck Guarnieri

引用次数: 0

A quantitative methodology for justification of platform edge protection systems on passenger rail networks 客运铁路网站台边缘保护系统的定量论证方法

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/1748006x231221840

Jonathan F Harding, Jonathan Reed, M. Elsmore, Kimberley C. Harding, Alan R Lee, R. McDonald

{"title":"A quantitative methodology for justification of platform edge protection systems on passenger rail networks","authors":"Jonathan F Harding, Jonathan Reed, M. Elsmore, Kimberley C. Harding, Alan R Lee, R. McDonald","doi":"10.1177/1748006x231221840","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x231221840","url":null,"abstract":"The implementation of appropriate platform edge protection systems (PEPSs) is a vital consideration in modern rail platform design to reduce injuries caused at the platform-train interface. This work presents a commercially tried and tested methodology for assessing the practicability of implementing PEPSs based on statistical analyses in combination with an As-Low-As-Reasonably-Practicable (ALARP) assessment, to assist in the justification of asset application viability. By extrapolating fatality-weighted injury data relating to the inclusion or non-inclusion of PEPSs, a safety risk model predicts changes in injury statistics to establish a quantified safety impact. The economic cost analysis identifies the operational expenditure for PEPSs throughout their lifecycle along with the capital expenditure and any impacts on the operational railway. The outcomes from these analyses are combined to produce a ratio of safety and operational benefits to capital and operational cost which is scrutinised against a designated disproportionality factor to establish suitability for use.","PeriodicalId":515204,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability","volume":"95 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139853111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0