Tuong Bao Diep , Stéphane Goutte , Hoang-Viet Le , Fei Liu , Huong Giang Nguyen , Hans-Jörg von Mettenheim
{"title":"Influence of social sustainable development goals sentiment on listed companies","authors":"Tuong Bao Diep , Stéphane Goutte , Hoang-Viet Le , Fei Liu , Huong Giang Nguyen , Hans-Jörg von Mettenheim","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103068","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103068","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study contributes to forecasting financial time series, focusing on the social Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to enhance investment strategies. By analyzing stock portfolios across the United States, Europe, and Vietnam, we explore whether companies with strong social commitments are rewarded in the stock market. Our conservative approach, which involves systematic portfolio rebalancing, ensures a thorough examination of the relationship between social responsibility and financial performance, contributing valuable insights to sustainable finance. Our findings reveal that long portfolios, particularly those based on social SDGs, consistently outperform traditional benchmarks. This outperformance is especially pronounced in the European and Vietnamese markets. In contrast, the U.S. market shows less pronounced gain. A standout result is observed in the Vietnamese market, where portfolios focused on the ’Gender Equality’ SDG exhibit notably low drawdowns, suggesting greater stability and resilience. Additionally, market-neutral portfolios, which balance long positions against index benchmarks, perform exceptionally well in Vietnam, reflecting the unique dynamics of this market and its growing emphasis on social responsibility. These results highlight the dual benefits of social SDG-based portfolio management in achieving both financial outperformance and positive social impact.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103068"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Text readability of regulatory policies and bank profit efficiency","authors":"Yuejiao Duan , Xiaoyun Fan , Zijun Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103096","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103096","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using 554 banks from China over the 2009–2023 period, we empirically examine the impact of the regulatory policies' text readability on bank profit efficiency. The results show that enhanced text readability of banking regulatory policies significantly improves bank profit efficiency. The conclusion remains robust after endogeneity and robustness tests. We verify that enhanced regulatory policies' text readability will lead to an increase in bank proactive risk-taking and a reduction in bank compliance and operating costs, thereby increasing profit efficiency. Furthermore, we find that macroprudential regulation and bank financial technology (FinTech) development serve as negative moderating roles between regulatory policies' text readability and bank profit efficiency. Our research also indicates that the profit efficiency of non-state-owned banks and non-listed banks is more susceptible to the changes in regulatory policies' text readability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103096"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144916973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"International relations as a driver of equity investments: Evidence from shareholders’ reaction to geopolitical shocks","authors":"Luca Bellardini , Oliviero Roggi , Kateryna Tkach","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103111","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103111","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores how international relations influence equity investments, focusing on shareholder reactions to six major geopolitical shocks between 2020 and 2023: namely, the Covid-19 outbreak, the UK-EU Brexit Trade Agreement, the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Taiwan Strait crisis, and the Hamas-led attack on Israel. The study examines the changes in investors’ portfolio exposures (PE) in response to these shocks, by adopting the shareholder-level perspective and considering factors such as geopolitical alliances, voting alignment at the United Nations General Assembly, and cross-country differences in the Index of Economic Freedom and the Human Development Index. The results show that bloc-level relations play a significant role in driving PE changes, with foreign investors generally reducing their exposure during shocks. The findings underscore the importance of geopolitical factors in investment decisions, revealing how the perceived strength of alliances and differences in institutional quality can shape investor behaviour.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103111"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144916974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multiscale information network among fossil energy, renewable energy and ESG investment under the Russo-Ukrainian conflict","authors":"Liya Hau , Wenxin Xue , Qigui Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103154","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103154","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Geopolitical conflicts exert profound and far-reaching impacts on energy markets and their linkages with the broader financial system. Our study explores the influence of the Russo-Ukrainian conflict on information interactions among fossil energy, renewable energy and ESG investment through a multiscale-quantile perspective. A CEEMDAN-based quantile transfer entropy network has been constructed to provide more detailed information across different timescales and quantiles. The results reveal that the Russo-Ukrainian conflict has amplified information interactions among fossil energy, renewable energy and ESG investment. During the conflict, fossil energy and renewable energy markets exhibited opposing trends. Specifically, fossil energy dominates short-term information interactions, while renewable energy exerts greater influence in the medium-to-long term. Moreover, ESG investment served as a pivotal hub within the interaction network, shifting from being a short-term information recipient to a transmitter in the medium-to-long term. Finally, the multiscale information interactions exhibit quantile-dependent heterogeneity. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and investors, particularly in managing risk contagion related to extreme events like the Russo-Ukrainian conflict.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103154"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145220786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Stranded asset risk and corporate capital structure: Evidence from China’s low-carbon transition","authors":"Hengzhen Lu, Xinran Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103144","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103144","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global transition toward a low-carbon economy intensifies financial pressures on fossil energy firms through the creation of stranded asset risk (SAR). This study examines the firm-level consequences of SAR on capital structure decisions in China, a key participant in the global energy transition. We develop a novel SAR index using a BERT-based model trained on corporate disclosures, and leverage it to analyze capital structure decisions. Empirical results show that SAR significantly reduces corporate leverage. This effect is particularly pronounced for non-state-owned, highly leveraged, and fossil-energy-dependent firms. Mechanism tests reveal a dual pathway. On the demand side, deleveraging is driven by firms’ cash shortfalls and their long-term financing needs. On the supply side, the effect is reinforced by tighter bank lending, wider bond spreads, and restricted credit access. Furthermore, strong ESG performance partially offsets the negative impact of SAR. These findings provide new evidence on how climate transition risks shape capital structure and underscore the role of ESG in mitigating their financial consequences.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103144"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145220794","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Predicting financial cycles with dynamic ensemble selection frameworks using leading, coincident and lagging indicators","authors":"Indranil Ghosh , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Layal Isskandarani , Mohammad Zoynul Abedin","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103114","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103114","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper develops a model for predicting financial cycles in India, and defines leading, coincident, and lagging indicators to achieve the research objective. The dependent variable is binary, and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) is used for correcting imbalances in the dataset. The study utilizes six distinct Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) models, and five different pools of classifiers. Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is used to identify feature importance. The predictive framework is applied to different time periods with distinct characteristics, and all the DES frameworks yield efficient forecasts. The importance and role of the indicators, however, differ among phases. Our results show, that while during CYCLE phases, exchange rate fluctuations play a significant role in explaining financial cycles, in an UPWARD expansionary phase, expansion in bank credit, capital formation, and realty growth are significant factors. During a DOWNWARD phase and a bearish environment, VIX and oil prices emerge significant.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103114"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144893165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital finance and household retirement planning: Evidence from China","authors":"Xuefeng Pan , Yuhao Tian , Weixing Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103116","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103116","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Worldwide population aging intensifies the urgency of retirement planning. We examine how progress in financial technology reshapes household mindsets to guide their retirement planning decisions. Utilizing a survey of 40,916 households that records retirement-related mindsets and behaviors in China, we find that increases in digital financial inclusion, an established proxy for financial technology, power a mindset shift towards self-responsibility for providing for one’s retired life. This in turn increases the probability of retirement planning, especially the planning implemented through the means of savings. We further show that such effects are concentrated on the self-employed, likely due to their exposure to business risks and so their desire to build retirement income certainty through precautionary savings. We contribute by utilizing a mass experiment to identify mindset shifts as a channel through which financial technology improves retirement planning, besides the financial literacy channel and the credit channel often found.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103116"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144919855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Monetary policy uncertainty and ambiguity premium from news","authors":"Lei Lin , Jing Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103117","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103117","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Investors dislike ambiguous news when its quality is hard to judge, and then make trading decisions based on a worst-case belief of information quality. We provide empirical evidence on the cross-sectional pricing implications of ambiguity-averse theory induced by poor information quality. Using news-based monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) index in China, we find that stocks with high MPU exposure earn lower average returns compared to stocks with low MPU exposure. This negative MPU effect is asymmetric and stronger in periods of bad MPU news than in periods of good MPU news. The premium for bearing MPU is not common risk compensation, nor is it explained by the well-known firm characteristics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103117"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144933215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Steering the energy transition: Governance and renewable energy in global banking","authors":"Ilenia Fraccalvieri, Nicola Raimo, Filippo Vitolla, Candida Bussoli","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103107","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103107","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In response to the growing urgency of climate change, renewable energy adoption has become a central component of corporate environmental strategies. While academic literature has examined this issue across various sectors, limited attention has been paid to service industries such as banking, particularly with regard to their own operational energy practices. This study addresses this gap by investigating the role of corporate governance in influencing renewable energy adoption in the banking sector. Grounded in the resource dependence theory, the analysis focuses on four board attributes: board size, board independence, board gender diversity, and the presence of a CSR committee. Using a panel dataset of 3601 observations from 665 listed global banks over the period 2016–2023, and employing a fixed-effects regression model, this study explores how these internal governance mechanisms affect the extent to which banks integrate renewable sources into their energy mix. The results reveal that board gender diversity and the presence of a CSR committee are positively associated with renewable energy adoption, whereas board size is negatively related. Board independence does not show a statistically significant effect. This study adds to the body of research on renewable energy adoption by focusing on the underexplored context of banking, extends the debate on the governance-sustainability nexus by addressing energy transition strategies, and broadens the application of resource dependence theory to the domain of environmental management within financial institutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103107"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144890247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital inclusive finance and the innovation-driven effect of technology business incubators: Based on a negative binomial model","authors":"Jinyu Feng, Chaoqun Ma, Hanlin Ma, Yishu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103091","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103091","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the impact of digital inclusive finance (DIF) on the innovation development of technology business incubators (TBIs) in China, offering insights for global innovation-driven development strategies. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 1332 national-level TBIs from 2011 to 2021, the study employs a negative binomial regression model to evaluate the effect of DIF on the innovation-driven capacity of incubators. The findings reveal that DIF significantly enhances the innovation output of incubated firms by alleviating their financial constraints as a mediating mechanism. Meanwhile, the enterprise innovation network negatively moderates this effect, indicating that the promoting role of DIF is more pronounced when the innovation network is weak. Furthermore, heterogeneity analysis shows that the innovation effect of DIF is context-dependent, being particularly notable in incubators located in the central region and within high-tech zones. These results highlight the crucial role of DIF in optimizing resource allocation and empowering innovation actors, providing empirical evidence and policy guidance for improving science and technology innovation policies and promoting regional coordinated development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 103091"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144887097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}