Natural Hazards Review最新文献_第7页

Flood Hazard Analysis Based on Copula Connect Function 基于Copula连接函数的洪水灾害分析

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000598

Wei Li, Jianzhong Zhou, Xiang Yao, Kuaile Feng, Chengxin Luo, Na Sun

引用次数: 0

Estimating Pluvial Depth–Damage Functions for Areas within the United States Using Historical Claims Data 利用历史索赔数据估算美国境内地区的洪水深度损害函数

3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1543

Jeremy R. Porter, Michael L. Marston, Evelyn Shu, Mark Bauer, Kelvin Lai, Bradley Wilson, Mariah Pope

{"title":"Estimating Pluvial Depth–Damage Functions for Areas within the United States Using Historical Claims Data","authors":"Jeremy R. Porter, Michael L. Marston, Evelyn Shu, Mark Bauer, Kelvin Lai, Bradley Wilson, Mariah Pope","doi":"10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1543","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1543","url":null,"abstract":"Flooding has been the most costly natural disaster over the last 2 decades within the US. Therefore, recent research has focused on more accurately predicting economic losses from flooding to aid decision makers and mitigate economic exposure. For this, depth–damage functions have commonly been employed to predict the relative or absolute damage to buildings caused by different magnitudes of flooding. Although depth–damage functions, such as those adopted by the US Army Corps of Engineers, are widely available for fluvial and coastal flooding, less work has been done to develop functions for pluvial-induced flooding. Here, we use a database containing 13.5 million claims to develop pluvial depth–damage functions. For this, recently released flood hazard data are utilized to identify claims within the database that are likely related to pluvial flooding. We employed two types of regression models to fit the depth–damage functions. Secondarily, we developed an automated valuation model (AVM) to estimate building values across the state of New Jersey. These building values were then combined with flood hazard layers in order to apply the depth–damage functions and compute an aggregate annualized loss for New Jersey. The results indicated moderate agreement between the observed damage within the state of New Jersey and that computed by applying the study-developed depth–damage curves to buildings within the state using pluvial flood hazard layers. It is anticipated that the depth–damage functions developed by this research will aid future work in more accurately quantifying the economic risks associated with flooding across the US.","PeriodicalId":51262,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135858851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Promoting Spatial Coordination in Flood Buyouts in the United States: Four Strategies and Four Challenges from the Economics of Land Preservation Literature 促进美国洪水收购的空间协调:来自土地保护经济学文献的四个策略和四个挑战

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1564

Polina K. Dineva, Christina McGranaghan, K. Messer, Leah H. Palm‐Forster, L. Paul, A. Siders

{"title":"Promoting Spatial Coordination in Flood Buyouts in the United States: Four Strategies and Four Challenges from the Economics of Land Preservation Literature","authors":"Polina K. Dineva, Christina McGranaghan, K. Messer, Leah H. Palm‐Forster, L. Paul, A. Siders","doi":"10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1564","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1564","url":null,"abstract":": Managed retreat in the form of voluntary flood-buyout programs provides homeowners with an alternative to repairing and rebuilding residences that have sustained severe flood damage. Buyout programs are most economically efficient when groups of neighboring properties are acquired because they can then create unfragmented flood control areas and reduce the cost of providing local services. However, buyout programs in the United States often fail to acquire such efficient, unfragmented spaces, for various reasons, including long administrative timelines, the way in which buyout offers are made, desires for community cohesion, and attachments to place. Buyout programs have relied primarily on posted price mechanisms involving offers that are accepted or rejected by homeowners with little or no negotiation. In this paper, we describe four alternative strategies that have been used successfully in land-preservation agricultural – environmental contexts to increase acceptance rates and decrease fragmentation: agglomeration bonuses, reverse auctions, target constraints, and hybrid approaches. We discuss challenges that may arise during their implementation in the buyout context — transaction costs, equity and distributional impacts, unintended consequences, and social pressure — and recommend further research into the efficiency and equity of applying these strategies to residential buyout programs with the explicit goal of promoting spatial coordination. © 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.","PeriodicalId":51262,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47917623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Enhancing Flood Risk Assessment and Mitigation through Numerical Modeling: A Case Study 通过数值模拟加强洪水风险评估和减灾:一个案例研究

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1687

Shui-Hua Jiang, Hua Zhi, Ze‐Zhou Wang, Shuai Zhang

引用次数: 0

Community Perspectives on Simulation and Data Needs for the Study of Natural Hazard Impacts and Recovery 社区对自然灾害影响和恢复研究的模拟和数据需求的看法

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1551

A. Zsarnóczay, G. Deierlein, C. J. Williams, T. Kijewski-Correa, A. Esnard, L. Lowes, Laurie Johnson

引用次数: 3

Benefit–Cost Analysis of Low-Cost Flood Inundation Sensors 低成本洪水淹没传感器的成本效益分析

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000596

A. Rose, D. Wei, Juan Machado, K. Spencer

{"title":"Benefit–Cost Analysis of Low-Cost Flood Inundation Sensors","authors":"A. Rose, D. Wei, Juan Machado, K. Spencer","doi":"10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000596","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000596","url":null,"abstract":": The demand for inexpensive and reliable warning systems has increased in recent years as a result of the increase in the number and severity of flood disasters. A new generation of low-cost sensors for flood monitoring and warning is being developed by the federal government and private sectors, in some cases collaboratively. We perform a benefit-cost analysis of this new product category, (i.e., low-cost flood inundation sensors), which can readily be deployed in a wireless or internet of things network. The use of these sensors can improve the coverage and lengthen the lead time of flood warning systems. The production costs of this new technology are only a fraction of those of existing sensors with similar capability and reliability, and operating costs are modest. Benefits depend on such factors as the ability to improve lead times of warnings to reduce property damage, deaths, and injuries from floods as well as the extent of adoption of the new sensors. Our analysis indicates a benefit – cost ratio of 1.4 to 1. However, our results are based on several assumptions. Hence, we have undertaken extensive sensitivity analyses to determine that our results are robust. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000596. © 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.","PeriodicalId":51262,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49330570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Review of Atlas of Forecasts: Modeling and Mapping Desirable Futures by Katy BörnerMIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 02142; 2021; ISBN 9780262045957; 214 pp.; $39.95. 回顾预测地图集:建模和绘制理想的未来凯蒂BörnerMIT出版社，剑桥，马萨诸塞州，02142;2021;ISBN 9780262045957;214页;39.95美元。

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-1741

Ross J. Guida

引用次数: 0

Probabilistic Modeling of Small Business Recovery after a Hurricane: A Case Study of 2017 Hurricane Harvey 飓风后小企业恢复的概率建模:以2017年飓风哈维为例

IF 2.7 3区工程技术

Natural Hazards Review Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1061/(asce)nh.1527-6996.0000602

Daan Liang, Brad R. Ewing, E. Cardella, Lingguang Song

引用次数: 1

A Social Welfare–Based Infrastructure Resilience Assessment Framework: Toward Equitable Resilience for Infrastructure Development 基于社会福利的基础设施弹性评估框架:实现基础设施发展的公平弹性