{"title":"Robustness of life histories to environmental variability in complex versus simple life cycles","authors":"Annie Jonsson","doi":"10.1007/s12080-021-00501-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-021-00501-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"335 - 344"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-021-00501-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45207271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling the evolution of naturally bounded traits in a population","authors":"R. Cropp, J. Norbury","doi":"10.1007/s12080-020-00495-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-020-00495-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"255 - 268"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-020-00495-2","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42364449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploring the dimensions of metapopulation persistence: a comparison of structural and temporal measures","authors":"T. Dallas, M. Saastamoinen, O. Ovaskainen","doi":"10.1007/s12080-020-00497-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-020-00497-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"269 - 278"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-020-00497-0","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41571237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Viewing communities as coupled oscillators: elementary forms from Lotka and Volterra to Kuramoto","authors":"Zachary Hajian‐Forooshani, J. Vandermeer","doi":"10.1007/s12080-020-00493-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-020-00493-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"247 - 254"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-020-00493-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43772965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theoretical EcologyPub Date : 2021-01-01Epub Date: 2020-11-11DOI: 10.1007/s12080-020-00484-5
Hannelore MacDonald, Erol Akçay, Dustin Brisson
{"title":"The role of host phenology for parasite transmission.","authors":"Hannelore MacDonald, Erol Akçay, Dustin Brisson","doi":"10.1007/s12080-020-00484-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-020-00484-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Phenology is a fundamental determinant of species distributions, abundances, and interactions. In host-parasite interactions, host phenology can affect parasite fitness due to the temporal constraints it imposes on host contact rates. However, it remains unclear how parasite transmission is shaped by the wide range of phenological patterns observed in nature. We develop a mathematical model of the Lyme disease system to study the consequences of differential tick developmental-stage phenology for the transmission of <i>B. burgdorferi</i>. Incorporating seasonal tick activity can increase <i>B. burgdorferi</i> fitness compared to continuous tick activity but can also prevent transmission completely. <i>B. burgdorferi</i> fitness is greatest when the activity period of the infectious nymphal stage slightly precedes the larval activity period. Surprisingly, <i>B. burgdorferi</i> is eradicated if the larval activity period begins long after the end of nymphal activity due to a feedback with mouse population dynamics. These results highlight the importance of phenology, a common driver of species interactions, for the fitness of a parasite.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"123-143"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-020-00484-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39579528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theoretical EcologyPub Date : 2021-01-01Epub Date: 2021-12-08DOI: 10.1007/s12080-021-00524-8
Karen C Abbott, Kim Cuddington, Alan Hastings
{"title":"Transients in ecology: stochasticity, management, and understanding.","authors":"Karen C Abbott, Kim Cuddington, Alan Hastings","doi":"10.1007/s12080-021-00524-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-021-00524-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 4","pages":"623-624"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8653802/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39585278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theoretical EcologyPub Date : 2021-01-01Epub Date: 2021-05-27DOI: 10.1007/s12080-021-00514-w
Yun Tao, Jessica L Hite, Kevin D Lafferty, David J D Earn, Nita Bharti
{"title":"Transient disease dynamics across ecological scales.","authors":"Yun Tao, Jessica L Hite, Kevin D Lafferty, David J D Earn, Nita Bharti","doi":"10.1007/s12080-021-00514-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12080-021-00514-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Analyses of transient dynamics are critical to understanding infectious disease transmission and persistence. Identifying and predicting transients across scales, from within-host to community-level patterns, plays an important role in combating ongoing epidemics and mitigating the risk of future outbreaks. Moreover, greater emphases on non-asymptotic processes will enable timely evaluations of wildlife and human diseases and lead to improved surveillance efforts, preventive responses, and intervention strategies. Here, we explore the contributions of transient analyses in recent models spanning the fields of epidemiology, movement ecology, and parasitology. In addition to their roles in predicting epidemic patterns and endemic outbreaks, we explore transients in the contexts of pathogen transmission, resistance, and avoidance at various scales of the ecological hierarchy. Examples illustrate how (i) transient movement dynamics at the individual host level can modify opportunities for transmission events over time; (ii) within-host energetic processes often lead to transient dynamics in immunity, pathogen load, and transmission potential; (iii) transient connectivity between discrete populations in response to environmental factors and outbreak dynamics can affect disease spread across spatial networks; and (iv) increasing species richness in a community can provide transient protection to individuals against infection. Ultimately, we suggest that transient analyses offer deeper insights and raise new, interdisciplinary questions for disease research, consequently broadening the applications of dynamical models for outbreak preparedness and management.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12080-021-00514-w.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 4","pages":"625-640"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8156581/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39051509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theoretical EcologyPub Date : 2021-01-01Epub Date: 2021-07-08DOI: 10.1007/s12080-021-00520-y
Peter C Jentsch, Chris T Bauch, Madhur Anand
{"title":"Fire mitigates bark beetle outbreaks in serotinous forests.","authors":"Peter C Jentsch, Chris T Bauch, Madhur Anand","doi":"10.1007/s12080-021-00520-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-021-00520-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires have imposed severe ecological damage and caused billions of dollars in lost resources in recent decades. The impact of such combined disturbances is projected to become more severe, especially as climate change takes its toll on forest ecosystems in the coming years. Here, we investigate the impact of multiple disturbances in a demographically heterogeneous tree population, using an age-structured difference equation model of bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires. We identify two dynamical regimes for beetle and fire dynamics. The model predicts that fire helps dampen beetle outbreaks not only by removing host trees but also by altering the demographic structure of forest stands. We show that a stand thinning protocol, which reduces the population size of the largest few juvenile classes by a small percentage, is able to significantly reduce beetle-induced tree mortality. Our research demonstrates one approach to capturing compound disturbances in a mathematical model.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 4","pages":"611-621"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-021-00520-y","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39791655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction to: Higher order interactions and species coexistence","authors":"Pragya Singh, Gaurav Baruah","doi":"10.1007/s12080-020-00492-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-020-00492-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"14 1","pages":"85 - 85"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2020-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12080-020-00492-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"53120171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}