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Climate forecast skill and teleconnections on seasonal time scales over Central Africa based on the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) 基于北美多模式集合(NMME)的中部非洲季节性时间尺度上的气候预测技能和远程联系
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01018-y
Roméo S. Tanessong, Thierry C. Fotso-Nguemo, Samuel Kaissassou, G. M. Guenang, A. J. Komkoua Mbienda, Lucie A. Djiotang Tchotchou, Armand F. Tchinda, Derbetini A. Vondou, Wilfried M. Pokam, Pascal M. Igri, Zéphirin D. Yepdo
{"title":"Climate forecast skill and teleconnections on seasonal time scales over Central Africa based on the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)","authors":"Roméo S. Tanessong, Thierry C. Fotso-Nguemo, Samuel Kaissassou, G. M. Guenang, A. J. Komkoua Mbienda, Lucie A. Djiotang Tchotchou, Armand F. Tchinda, Derbetini A. Vondou, Wilfried M. Pokam, Pascal M. Igri, Zéphirin D. Yepdo","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01018-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01018-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the skill of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) seasonal precipitation forecast and the influence of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and their teleconnections on precipitation prediction skill over Central Africa (CA). The skill is assessed for December–February (DJF), March–May (MAM), June–August (JJA), and September–November (SON) seasons, at 0-, 3-, and 6- month lead time. Results show that for all seasons and at all lead times, models used in this study have tendency to overestimate the observed SSTs over the tropical areas. The multi-model ensemble mean (MME) generally succeeds in capturing the spatial differences in the seasonal mean climatology of precipitation and clearly determines the bi-modal and uni-modal natures of observed precipitation over CA. The El Ninõ-Southern Oscillation 3.4 index (Ninõ3.4), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) western pole index (IODWP), and IOD eastern pole index (IODEP) teleconnections with tropical SST are well represented by the MME at all seasons and lead times with a pattern correlation coefficient (PCC) &gt;0.6. The quality of these teleconnections decreases when the lead time increases. The Ninõ3.4-induced precipitation’s teleconnection is better represented in MAM at all lead times, and it is found that precipitation is reinforced over northern CA during the El Ninõ years and weakened during the La Niña years. IODWP and IODEP teleconnections with CA precipitation are well represented in MAM and SON, with PCC &gt; 0.8. The IODWP and IODEP could be a very good indicators to predict the increase or decrease of precipitation in CA during MAM and SON seasons.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140570021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of climate teleconnections on hydrological drought in the Sahel Region of Nigeria (SRN) 气候远程联系对尼日利亚萨赫勒地区(SRN)水文干旱的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01016-0
Akinwale T. Ogunrinde, Israel Emmanuel, David A. Olasehinde, Oluwaseun T. Faloye, Toju Babalola, Iyanda M. Animashaun
{"title":"Impact of climate teleconnections on hydrological drought in the Sahel Region of Nigeria (SRN)","authors":"Akinwale T. Ogunrinde, Israel Emmanuel, David A. Olasehinde, Oluwaseun T. Faloye, Toju Babalola, Iyanda M. Animashaun","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01016-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01016-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding the spatial and temporal patterns of drought and their connection with major climate indices is crucial for creating early warning and drought mitigation strategies. This study analyzed hydrological drought variability and its association with global climate indices in the Sahel Region of Nigeria. Before conducting drought analysis, temperature and precipitation data were verified for consistency using three homogeneity tests. The study utilized six synoptic stations across the area to identify drought periods through the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Drought characteristics such as duration, severity, and amplitude were examined using SPEI data. Trend and variability in drought patterns were assessed with Mann–Kendall trend analysis and wavelet analysis, respectively. The relationship between large climate indices and drought was explored using Pearson correlation analysis. Trend analysis indicated an increase in drought occurrences, with significant findings in four stations. Wavelet analysis identified the 2–4 and 4–8 year bands as crucial for understanding SPEI drought patterns. Correlation analysis showed the influence of various climate trends on concurrent climate events, ranking the impact of climate indices on drought as MEI/SOI &gt; NAO &gt; AMO &gt; DMI. Coherence analysis found significant correlations between ENSO and SPEI, and NAO and SPEI, in the 2–7 and &gt; 8-year bands, respectively. Phase differences suggested that severe wet and dry periods align with La Nina and El Nino events, with strong El Nino events and AMO negative phases mainly causing severe droughts in the area.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140570015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of ERA5 and CHIRPS rainfall estimates against observations across Ethiopia 根据埃塞俄比亚各地的观测结果评估 ERA5 和 CHIRPS 的降雨量估计值
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01008-0
{"title":"Evaluation of ERA5 and CHIRPS rainfall estimates against observations across Ethiopia","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01008-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01008-0","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> <p>Satellite-based precipitation estimates and global reanalysis products bear the promise of supporting the development of accurate and timely climate information for end users in sub-Sharan Africa. The accuracy of these global models, however, may be reduced in data-scarce regions and should be carefully evaluated. This study evaluates the performance of ERA5 reanalysis data and CHIRPS precipitation data against ground-based measurements from 167 rain gauges in Ethiopia, a region with complex topography and diverse climates. Focusing over a 38-year period (1981–2018), our study utilizes a point-to-pixel analysis to compare daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation data, conducting an evaluation based on continuous and categorical metrics. Our findings indicate that over Ethiopia CHIRPS generally outperforms ERA5, particularly in high-altitude areas, demonstrating a better capability in detecting high-intensity rainfall events. Both datasets, however, exhibit lower performance in Ethiopia's lowland regions, possibly the influence of sparse rain gauge networks informing gridded datasets. Notably, both CHIRPS and ERA5 were found to underestimate rainfall variability, with CHIRPS displaying a slight advantage in representing the erratic nature of Ethiopian rainfall. The study’s results highlight considerable performance differences between CHIRPS and ERA5 across varying Ethiopian landscapes and climatic conditions. CHIRPS’ effectiveness in high-altitude regions, especially for daily rainfall estimation, emphasizes its suitability in similar geographic contexts. Conversely, the lesser performance of ERA5 in these areas suggests a need for refined calibration and validation processes, particularly for complex terrains. These insights are essential for the application of satellite-based and reanalysis of rainfall data in meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological contexts, particularly in topographically and climatically diverse regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140570375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Climatological standard normals of IRAN, for the period 1981–2010 and 1991–2020: precipitation and temperature 伊朗 1981-2010 年和 1991-2020 年期间的气候标准模式:降水和气温
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01013-3
Zohreh Javanshiri, Mohsen Rahmdel
{"title":"Climatological standard normals of IRAN, for the period 1981–2010 and 1991–2020: precipitation and temperature","authors":"Zohreh Javanshiri, Mohsen Rahmdel","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01013-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01013-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The main functions of climate normals are twofold. They offer a reference point for evaluating recent or ongoing observations and form the basis for various climate datasets that rely on anomalies. Additionally, they are frequently employed to predict the probable conditions that one might encounter in a specific area. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) advises regularly reviewing climate normals every decade to keep up with the evolving climate. Atmospheric Science and Meteorological Research Center (ASMERC) is proud to release “Iran Climate Normals” for the periods of 1981–2010 and 1991–2020 including a suite of monthly and annual statistics that are based on temperature, precipitation, sea-level pressure, vapor pressure, station-level pressure, snow-depth, wind speed, visibility, soil temperature, relative humidity, dew point, and cloud amount measurements. This study documents the procedures used for quality control, homogenization of daily observations, and calculation of normal values. For each station and each parameter, the results of the outliers due to the error and the homogeneity assessment are reported. Out of all the parameters, the soil temperature has the highest error percentage. However, this does not necessarily imply that it has the most measurement errors; it could be due to the ease of detecting errors for this specific parameter. Of the 143 stations, 56 had a breakpoint recorded in two parameters or more at a specific point in time. According to the analysis of the temperature and precipitation parameters, (a) the new normal of mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures are 0.47, 0.5, and 0.6 °C above the 1981–2010 period; (b) the normal annual precipitation has increased by an average of 5.4 mm in 1991–2020 compared to 1981–2010; (c) comparing the two periods, the changes in precipitation normals vary in different parts of Iran and different months, while the temperature normals increase in all stations across Iran except for four stations (Gorgan, Kerman, Shiraz, Bandar-e Lengeh); (d) changes in the fourth quintile of monthly precipitation are more than average, and minimum temperature changes are higher than maximum and mean temperatures; and (e) generally, the latter period is characterized by a warmer climate almost across Iran, wetter conditions over the Zagros mountain range and the western part of the Caspian Sea coasts, and drier conditions over the east, center, and west of Iran.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"121 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140603438","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Observed heatwaves characteristics and variability over Saudi Arabia 沙特阿拉伯上空观测到的热浪特征和变异性
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01010-6
F. S. Syed, M. A. Al-Azemi, A. Zamreeq, M. Nazrul Islam, A. Ghulam
{"title":"Observed heatwaves characteristics and variability over Saudi Arabia","authors":"F. S. Syed, M. A. Al-Azemi, A. Zamreeq, M. Nazrul Islam, A. Ghulam","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01010-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01010-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Heat waves are prolonged periods of excessively hot weather, which can have significant impacts on human health, agriculture, and the environment. Climate change has been linked to an increase in the frequency, intensity, and duration of heat waves. As the global average temperature rises, heat waves are becoming more common and more severe. The Arabian Peninsula is warming at a faster rate as compared to the globe in the recent decades. In this paper, the mild, moderate, severe, and extreme heat waves defined by 85th, 90th, 95th and 99th percentile, respectively, are analyzed over Saudi Arabia using historical daily maximum and minimum temperature observations for the period 1985–2021. The large number of mild heat waves are observed all over Saudi Arabia while extreme heat waves are dominant in the northwestern region. Moderate and severe heat waves are observed less in both the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf coastal regions. The heat waves are intense in the northern and central areas as compared to other regions of the country. Heat wave frequency, intensity and length in Saudi Arabia are in increasing trends, along with the increase in the heat wave season length. Heat wave frequency and intensity are largely observed during the ENSO La Nina and neutral phases along with NAO negative phase as well as IOD negative and neutral phases. However, further investigation is required to see the occurrence of heat waves in different climate zones over Saudi Arabia at various seasons and their teleconnection to large-scale circulations.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140314141","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Seasonal dependence of characteristics of rain drop size distribution over two different climatic zones of India 印度两个不同气候带雨滴大小分布特征的季节性变化
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01012-4
Darga Saheb Shaik, M. Venkat Ratnam, K. V. Subrahmanyam, B. L. Madhavan, K. Kishore Kumar
{"title":"Seasonal dependence of characteristics of rain drop size distribution over two different climatic zones of India","authors":"Darga Saheb Shaik, M. Venkat Ratnam, K. V. Subrahmanyam, B. L. Madhavan, K. Kishore Kumar","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01012-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01012-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Raindrop size distribution (DSD) plays a significant role in understanding the microphysical process of rainfall and the quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) in hydrology, especially in urban environments which has spatial and temporal variability. In this study, the seasonal variation in DSD and its response to cloud regimes over two contrasting coastal sites (i.e. Kolkata (22.58° N, 88.45° E) and Trivandrum (8.43° N, 76.98° E) of India obtained using laser precipitation monitor (LPM) disdrometer for more than 2 years are investigated. The results show a significant difference in DSD spectra between Kolkata and Trivandrum. It is observed that the smaller-size (&lt; 0.5 mm) particles are more dominant over Trivandrum than at Kolkata. During the monsoon, larger raindrops (D &gt; 2 mm) dominate over Kolkata when compared with Trivandrum and clear separations in DSD were observed in the pre-monsoon season. The percentage contribution of the rain types to the total rainfall duration over Kolkata (Trivandrum) is found to be about 74.13% (80.50%), 18.97% (15.35%) and 6.98% (4.13%) for stratiform, transition and convective, respectively. In the convective rain, the smaller (mid-size, 1 &lt; D &lt; 3 mm and large, D &gt; 3 mm) drops concentrations are higher (lower) over Trivandrum, while mid-size and larger (smaller, D &lt; 0.5 mm) drops are higher (lower) over Kolkata. The convective rains are dominated by continental/maritime and maritime over Kolkata and Trivandrum, respectively. As the rain rate increases, the DSD spectra have larger widths with peaks around diameter D ~ 0.5 mm over both the locations. Further, the empirical relations between reflectivity (Z) and rain rate (R) were established, which are found to be different for different rain types. In each rain type, the Z-R relationship over Kolkata (Trivandrum) is Z = 56.4*R<sup>1.94</sup> (Z = 21.3*R<sup>2.18</sup>), Z = 118.8*R<sup>1.89</sup> (Z = 106.4*R<sup>1.83</sup>), and Z = 388.0*R<sup>1.54</sup> (Z = 303.1*R<sup>1.38</sup>) for convective, transition and stratiform rains, respectively. These results clearly indicate that the two locations are dominated by different cloud systems and microphysical processes. Therefore, the present results are expected to provide a better understanding of regional DSD variability and Z-R relationship with seasons, rain types and cloud microphysical processes, which is the significance of the present study.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140314409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Projected change in precipitation and temperature over undivided Sudan and its major cities 未划分的苏丹及其主要城市降水和气温的预测变化
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01017-z
A. A. A. Mohamed, P. Maharana, Shyam S. Phartyal, A. P. Dimri
{"title":"Projected change in precipitation and temperature over undivided Sudan and its major cities","authors":"A. A. A. Mohamed, P. Maharana, Shyam S. Phartyal, A. P. Dimri","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01017-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01017-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study investigates the trend in the projected rainfall and temperature over undivided Sudan and its major cities of political, trade, and agricultural significance under two different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs; RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). Available high-resolution datasets from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment- Coordinated Output for Regional Evaluations (CORDEX-CORE) at a resolution of 25 km along with their ensemble are considered. The study analyzes projected climate conditions, with a specific emphasis on the near future (2036–2060) and far future (2071–2095). The rainfall distribution is projected to decline across South Sudan (undivided Sudan) under RCP2.6 (RCP8.5). The projected temperature is significantly increasing while rainfall is decreasing across all cities, with these trends being more pronounced under the RCP8.5 scenario. These changes could potentially result in various climate extremes such as severe heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires, which could have significant impacts on the ecosystems, agriculture, public health and ultimately, the livelihood and socio-economic condition of the people. The findings of the study will assist the governments, local administration and town planners in formulating short-term and long-term strategies for adaptation and mitigation, aimed at reducing the impacts of climate change. The study suggests specific measures to address the extreme heat and water deficit at the local scale, hence making it a valuable policy document for addressing the changing climate in undivided Sudan.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"53 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140198998","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) signatures in tropical ozone in the Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) 对流层上部平流层下部热带臭氧中的厄尔尼诺南方涛动(ENSO)和印度洋偶极子(IOD)特征
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-024-01007-1
Oindrila Nath, Bhupendra Bahadur Singh, Ravi Kumar Kunchala
{"title":"El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) signatures in tropical ozone in the Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS)","authors":"Oindrila Nath, Bhupendra Bahadur Singh, Ravi Kumar Kunchala","doi":"10.1007/s00703-024-01007-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-024-01007-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the combined influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) ozone variability. The investigation employs data from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) aboard the Aura Satellite and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis, spanning the period 2005–2020 across tropical latitudes (20º N–20º S). Three specific events were chosen for analysis: a strong La Niña event in 2010, the co-occurrence of El Niño and moderate IOD in 2015, and a robust IOD event in 2019. During years marked by the simultaneous occurrence of ENSO and IOD events, the UTLS (100 hPa altitude is considered for the present study. 82 hPa is the altitude just above the tropopause, therefore also shown in the results) ozone mixing ratio demonstrates a decline in absolute values. The Quasi-biennial Oscillation (QBO) was also investigated, revealing a synchronized variation with the ozone anomaly in the UTLS region. Furthermore, the calculated eddy heat flux, utilized as a proxy for the Brewer–Dobson Circulation (BDC), aligns with the UTLS ozone anomalies, indicating a positive (negative) anomaly during periods of intense tropical downwelling (upwelling). To quantitatively elucidate the contributions of ENSO, IOD, and QBO to the observed ozone anomaly, a multivariate linear regression analysis was executed utilizing the least square method. The findings underscore that a notable fraction—about one-fourth of the observed UTLS ozone anomaly within the study timeframe (2005–2020) can be attributed collectively to ENSO, IOD, and QBO. This preliminary exploration underscores the substantial role played by large-scale climate drivers emanating from the Pacific and Indian oceans in shaping UTLS ozone distribution. These insights emphasize the significance of considering these climatic influences when examining the intricate dynamics and variability of UTLS ozone patterns.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140044931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of flux footprints in fragmented, heterogeneous croplands 分析破碎、异质耕地中的通量足迹
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-01004-w
{"title":"Analysis of flux footprints in fragmented, heterogeneous croplands","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s00703-023-01004-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-023-01004-w","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> <p>An accurate quantification of fluxes from heterogeneous sites and further bifurcation into contributing homogeneous fluxes is an active field of research. Among such sites, fragmented croplands with varying surface roughness characteristics pose formidable challenges for footprint analysis. We conducted two flux monitoring experiments in fragmented croplands characterized by two dissimilar surfaces with objectives to: (i) evaluate the performance of two analytical footprint models in heterogeneous canopy considering aggregated roughness parameters and (ii) analyze the contribution of fluxes from individual surfaces under changing wind speed. A set of three eddy covariance (EC) towers (one each capturing the homogenous fluxes from individual surfaces and a third, high tower capturing the heterogeneous mixed fluxes) was used for method validation. High-quality EC fluxes that fulfill stationarity and internal turbulence tests were analyzed considering daytime, unstable conditions. In the first experiment, source area contribution from a surface is gradually reduced by progressive cut, and its effect on high-tower flux measurements is analyzed. Two footprint models (Kormann and Meixner ‘KM’; analytical solution to Lagrangian model ‘FFP’) with modified surface roughness parameters were applied under changing source area contributions. FFP model has consistently over predicted the footprints (RMSE<sub>FFP</sub> = 0.31 m<sup>−1</sup>, PBIAS<sub>FFP</sub> = 19.00), whereas KM model prediction was gradually changed from over prediction to under prediction towards higher upwind distances (RMSE<sub>KM</sub> = 0.02 m<sup>−1</sup>, PBIAS<sub>KM</sub> = 8.50). Sensitivity analysis revealed that the models are more sensitive to turbulent conditions than surface characteristics. This motivated to conduct the second experiment, where the fractional contribution of individual surfaces (<em>α</em> and <em>β</em>) to the heterogeneous fluxes measured by the high tower (T3) was estimated using the principle of superposition (FT3 = <em>α</em> FT1 + <em>β</em> FT2). Results showed that <em>α</em> and <em>β</em> are dynamic during daylight hours and strongly depend on mean wind speed (<em>U</em>) and friction velocity (<em>u</em>*). The contribution of fluxes from adjoining fields [1 − (<em>α</em> + <em>β</em>)] is significant beyond 80% isopleth. Our findings provide guidelines for future analysis of fluxes in heterogeneous, fragmented croplands.</p>","PeriodicalId":51132,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139752478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new approach to air mass characterization over the Indian region using INSAT-3DR sounder data 利用 INSAT-3DR 探测器数据确定印度地区气团特征的新方法
IF 2 4区 地球科学
Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00703-023-01005-9
C. Mahesh, P. K. Dileep, Anish Kumar M. Nair, K. V. S. Namboodiri
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