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Deep Learning-Based Forest Fire Risk Research on Monitoring and Early Warning Algorithms 基于深度学习的森林火灾风险监测与预警算法研究
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040151
Dongfang Shang, Fan Zhang, Diping Yuan, Le Hong, Haoze Zheng, Fenghao Yang
{"title":"Deep Learning-Based Forest Fire Risk Research on Monitoring and Early Warning Algorithms","authors":"Dongfang Shang, Fan Zhang, Diping Yuan, Le Hong, Haoze Zheng, Fenghao Yang","doi":"10.3390/fire7040151","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040151","url":null,"abstract":"With the development of image processing technology and video analysis technology, forest fire monitoring technology based on video recognition is more and more important in the field of forest fire prevention and control. The objects currently applied to forest fire video image monitoring system monitoring are mainly flames and smoke. This paper proposes a forest fire risk monitoring and early warning algorithm, which integrates a deep learning model, infrared monitoring and early warning, and forest fire weather index. The algorithm first obtains the current visible image and infrared image of the same forest area, utilizing a smoke detection model based on deep learning to detect smoke in the visible image, and obtains the confidence level of the occurrence of fire in said visible image. Then, it determines whether the local temperature value of said infrared image exceeds a preset warning value, and obtains a judgment result based on the infrared image. It calculates again a current FWI based on environmental data, and determines a current fire danger level based on the current FWI. Finally, it determines whether or not to carry out a fire warning based on said fire danger level, said confidence level of the occurrence of fire in said visible image, and said judgment result based on the infrared image. The experimental results show that the accuracy of the algorithm in this paper reaches 94.12%, precision is 96.1%, recall is 93.67, and F1-score is 94.87. The algorithm in this paper can improve the accuracy of smoke identification at the early stage of forest fire danger occurrence, especially by excluding the interference caused by clouds, fog, dust, and so on, thus improving the fire danger warning accuracy.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":"89 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140677049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of Seasonal Heating on PM10 and PM2.5 Concentrations in Sučany, Slovakia: A Temporal and Spatial Analysis 季节性供暖对斯洛伐克苏恰尼 PM10 和 PM2.5 浓度的影响:时空分析
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040150
D. Jandačka, D. Durcanska, M. Nicolanská, M. Holubčík
{"title":"Impact of Seasonal Heating on PM10 and PM2.5 Concentrations in Sučany, Slovakia: A Temporal and Spatial Analysis","authors":"D. Jandačka, D. Durcanska, M. Nicolanská, M. Holubčík","doi":"10.3390/fire7040150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040150","url":null,"abstract":"Complying with strict PM10 and PM2.5 limit values poses challenges in many European regions, influenced by diverse factors such as natural, regional, and local anthropogenic sources. Urban air pollution, exacerbated by road transport, local industry, and dust resuspension, contrasts with rural areas affected by solid fuel-based local heating and increasing wood burning. This study focuses on village of Sučany, located in Slovakia, analysing PM concentrations during non-heating and heating seasons. The method of analysis relies on the use of the MP101M air quality analyser that utilises beta radiation absorption method. One set of measurements was conducted at five distinct locations during the heating season (18/01/2019 to 28/02/2019) and non-heating season (14/08/2018 to 1/10/2018). Significant differences emerged during the non-heating season with corresponding PM10 averages of 23.0 µg/m3 and PM2.5 at 19.3 µg/m3. In contrast, the PM10 averaged 53.9 µg/m3 and 52.8 µg/m3 during the heating season. The heating season shows PM2.5 contributing up to 98% of total PM10. The distribution of PM10 and PM2.5 pollution and the location of the potential source obtained using polar plots differed during the heating and non-heating seasons. This research underscores the impact of local heating on air quality in a typical Slovak village. The key recommendation for targeted interventions is supporting up-to-date air quality data, education, and financial incentives for citizens in order to implement cleaner and modern heating solutions.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":"118 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140678255","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A New Method for the Determination of Fire Risk Zones in High-Bay Warehouses 确定高架仓库火灾危险区的新方法
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040149
Goran Bošković, Marko Todorović, D. Ubavin, B. Stepanov, Višnja Mihajlović, Marija Perović, Z. Čepić
{"title":"A New Method for the Determination of Fire Risk Zones in High-Bay Warehouses","authors":"Goran Bošković, Marko Todorović, D. Ubavin, B. Stepanov, Višnja Mihajlović, Marija Perović, Z. Čepić","doi":"10.3390/fire7040149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040149","url":null,"abstract":"Considering that the determination of fire hazard zones in warehouses is not sufficiently researched and studied, this paper aims to present a new methodological approach concerning the mentioned issue. Based on the COPRAS multi-criteria decision-making method, a new method was developed for the precise determination of potential zones where there is a risk of fire. The advantage of the described method is that it allows the quick and easy determination of all-orientation fire risk zones. The method requires fewer hardware resources compared to the existing ones and enables the display of the warehouse space in the form of a 3D model with calculated fire hazard zones. The mentioned procedure represents the first step when planning the layout and arrangement in the warehouse itself. The effectiveness of the proposed method was confirmed through a suitable numerical example.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":"106 31","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140678964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Short-Interval, High-Severity Wildfire Depletes Diversity of Both Extant Vegetation and Soil Seed Banks in Fire-Tolerant Eucalypt Forests 耐火桉树林中的短周期、高发野火消耗了原有植被和土壤种子库的多样性
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040148
S. Kasel, T. Fairman, C. Nitschke
{"title":"Short-Interval, High-Severity Wildfire Depletes Diversity of Both Extant Vegetation and Soil Seed Banks in Fire-Tolerant Eucalypt Forests","authors":"S. Kasel, T. Fairman, C. Nitschke","doi":"10.3390/fire7040148","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040148","url":null,"abstract":"Many plant species are well-adapted to historical fire regimes. An increase in the severity, frequency, and extent of wildfires could compromise the regenerative capacity of species, resulting in permanent shifts in plant diversity. We surveyed extant vegetation and soil seed banks across two forest types with contrasting historical fire regimes—Shrubby Dry Forest (fire return interval: 10–20 years) and Sub-Alpine Woodland (50–100 years). Over the past 20 years, both forests have been subject to repeated, high-severity wildfires at intervals significantly shorter than their historical return intervals. We examined the soil seed bank response to fire-cued germination, and whether the plant diversity in soil seed banks and extant vegetation demonstrated similar responses to short-interval, high-severity wildfires. The soil seed bank demonstrated a positive response to heat in combination with smoke, and for the Sub-Alpine Woodland, this was limited to sites more frequently burnt by fire. With an increase in fire frequency, there was a decline in species richness and Shannon’s Diversity and a shift in species composition in both extant vegetation and the soil seed bank. The fire frequency effects on the relative richness of trait associations were restricted to the Shrubby Dry Forest, and included an increase in short-lived obligate seeders, wind-dispersed species, and ant-dispersed shrubs in burnt relative to long unburnt sites in both extant vegetation and the soil seed bank. Graminoids were the most abundant component of the soil seed banks of Sub-Alpine Woodlands, and this increased with more frequent fire, with a similar trend (p = 0.06) in extant vegetation. Clear shifts in plant diversity in both soil seed banks and extant vegetation in forest types with contrasting historical fire regimes suggest that emerging fire regimes are pushing ecosystems beyond their historical range of variability, including potentially more flammable states and a decline in the buffering capacity of soil seed banks.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":" 32","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140685513","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Simulation of Damage Caused by Oil Fire in Cable Passage to Tunnel Cable 模拟电缆通道中的油火对隧道电缆造成的损害
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040147
Feng Liu, Jiaqing Zhang, Mengfei Gu, Yushun Liu, Tao Sun, Liangpeng Ye
{"title":"Simulation of Damage Caused by Oil Fire in Cable Passage to Tunnel Cable","authors":"Feng Liu, Jiaqing Zhang, Mengfei Gu, Yushun Liu, Tao Sun, Liangpeng Ye","doi":"10.3390/fire7040147","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040147","url":null,"abstract":"In order to evaluate the damage to tunnel cables caused by fire caused by leakage of transformer oil into a cable channel, the fire characteristics of different volumes of transformer oil flowing into a cable channel were analyzed by numerical simulation. The results show that when the total leakage of transformer oil is less than or equal to 3 L, the fire will end within 120 s, and when the total leakage is greater than or equal to 5 L, the fire duration will exceed 900 s. When the leakage amount is 1 L, the cable only burns slightly, and when the leakage amount is 3~12 L, the cable burns obviously. The combustion of the cable is mainly concentrated between 15 s and 75 s, and the overall combustion rate of the cable increases first and then decreases. When the total leakage is greater than or equal to 8 L, the damage distance of the middle and lower layer cable is the smallest. When the total leakage is less than or equal to 5 L, the damage distance of the lower layer cable is the smallest, and the damage distance of the lower layer cable, middle and lower layer cable, and middle and upper layer cable is less than half of the length of the cable channel.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":" 22","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140683743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Study on Flowability Enhancement and Performance Testing of Ultrafine Dry Powder Fire Extinguishing Agents Based on Application Requirements 基于应用要求的超细干粉灭火剂流动性增强和性能测试研究
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040146
Guangbin Lu, Junchao Zhao, Yanting Zhou, Yangyang Fu, Song Lu, Heping Zhang
{"title":"Study on Flowability Enhancement and Performance Testing of Ultrafine Dry Powder Fire Extinguishing Agents Based on Application Requirements","authors":"Guangbin Lu, Junchao Zhao, Yanting Zhou, Yangyang Fu, Song Lu, Heping Zhang","doi":"10.3390/fire7040146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040146","url":null,"abstract":"Flowability greatly affects the application of ultrafine dry powder fire extinguishing systems, while hydrophobicity and acute inhalation toxicity are concerns for fire extinguishing agents. In the present study, we examined the impact of hydrophobic fumed silica on the hydrophobicity and flow properties of ammonium dihydrogen phosphate as the base. Our findings revealed that incorporating 6 wt.% of hydrophobic fumed silica resulted in optimal flowability, accompanied by a hydrophobicity angle of 126.48°. The excessive inclusion of hydrophobic fumed silica impeded powder flow within the ammonium dihydrogen phosphate particles. Furthermore, the investigations indicated that the incorporation of a small quantity of bentonite (0.5 wt.%) amongst the three functional additives—bentonite, magnesium stearate, and perlite—offered further enhancements in powder flowability. In fire extinguishing experiments’ total flooding conditions (1 m3), the designed UDPA exhibited a minimum required extinguishing concentration of merely 41.5 g/m3, which is better than the publicly reported value. Moreover, observations on the well-being of mice subjected to nearly three times the extinguishing concentration at 60 s, 10 min, and 3 days, respectively, demonstrated the absence of acute inhalation toxicity associated with the designed UDPA. Collectively, the developed ultrafine dry powder fire extinguishing agent displayed promising performance and possesses broad applicability.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":" 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140686819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anticipating Future Risks of Climate-Driven Wildfires in Boreal Forests 预测未来气候导致的北方森林野火风险
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040144
Shelby Corning, A. Krasovskiy, Pavel Kiparisov, Johanna San Pedro, Camila Maciel Viana, F. Kraxner
{"title":"Anticipating Future Risks of Climate-Driven Wildfires in Boreal Forests","authors":"Shelby Corning, A. Krasovskiy, Pavel Kiparisov, Johanna San Pedro, Camila Maciel Viana, F. Kraxner","doi":"10.3390/fire7040144","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040144","url":null,"abstract":"Extreme forest fires have historically been a significant concern in Canada, the Russian Federation, the USA, and now pose an increasing threat in boreal Europe. This paper deals with application of the wildFire cLimate impacts and Adaptation Model (FLAM) in boreal forests. FLAM operates on a daily time step and utilizes mechanistic algorithms to quantify the impact of climate, human activities, and fuel availability on wildfire probabilities, frequencies, and burned areas. In our paper, we calibrate the model using historical remote sensing data and explore future projections of burned areas under different climate change scenarios. The study consists of the following steps: (i) analysis of the historical burned areas over 2001–2020; (ii) analysis of temperature and precipitation changes in the future projections as compared to the historical period; (iii) analysis of the future burned areas projected by FLAM and driven by climate change scenarios until the year 2100; (iv) simulation of adaptation options under the worst-case scenario. The modeling results show an increase in burned areas under all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Maintaining current temperatures (RCP 2.6) will still result in an increase in burned area (total and forest), but in the worst-case scenario (RCP 8.5), projected burned forest area will more than triple by 2100. Based on FLAM calibration, we identify hotspots for wildland fires in the boreal forest and suggest adaptation options such as increasing suppression efficiency at the hotspots. We model two scenarios of improved reaction times—stopping a fire within 4 days and within 24 h—which could reduce average burned forest areas by 48.6% and 79.2%, respectively, compared to projected burned areas without adaptation from 2021–2099.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":" 39","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140691484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Characterization of Wildland Fuels Based on Topography and Forest Attributes in North-Central Appalachia 根据阿巴拉契亚中北部的地形和森林属性确定荒地燃料的特征
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040145
Ziyu Dong, Roger A. Williams
{"title":"Characterization of Wildland Fuels Based on Topography and Forest Attributes in North-Central Appalachia","authors":"Ziyu Dong, Roger A. Williams","doi":"10.3390/fire7040145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040145","url":null,"abstract":"Forest ecosystem attributes and their spatial variation across the landscape have the potential to subsequently influence variations in fire behavior. Understanding this variation is critical to fire managers in their ability to predict fire behavior and rate of spread. However, a fine-scale description of fuel patterns and their relationship with overstory and understory attributes for north-central Appalachia is lacking due to the complicated quantification of variations in topography, forest attributes, and their interactions. To better understand the fire environment in north-central Appalachia and provide a comprehensive evaluation based on fine-scale topography, ninety-four plots were established across different aspects and slope positions within an oak–hickory forest located in southeast Ohio, USA, which historically fell within fire regime group I with a fire return interval ranging from 7 to 26 years. The data collected from these plots were analyzed by four components of the fire environment, which include the overstory, understory, shrub and herbaceous layers, surface fuels, and fuel conditions. The results reveal that fuel bed composition changed across aspects and slope position, and it is a primary factor that influences the environment where fire occurs. Specifically, the oak fuel load was highest on south-facing slopes and in upper slope positions, while maple fuel loads were similar across all aspects and slope positions. Oak and maple basal areas were the most significant factors in predicting the oak and maple fuel load, respectively. In the shrub and undergrowth layers, woody plant coverage was higher in upper slope positions compared to lower slope positions. Overstory canopy closure displayed a significant negative correlation with understory trees/ha and woody plant variables. The findings in this study can provide a better understanding of fine-scale fuel bed and vegetation characteristics, which can subsequently feed into fire behavior modeling research in north-central Appalachia based on the different characterizations of the fire environment by landscape position.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":" 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140692133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of DC Breakdown Voltage of Rod–Plate Gaps under Full-Flame Bridging Conditions 全火焰桥接条件下棒板间隙的直流击穿电压预测
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040143
Ziheng Pu, Yuan Li, Peng Li, Kuan Ye, Kai Zhou, Ruizhe Zhang
{"title":"Prediction of DC Breakdown Voltage of Rod–Plate Gaps under Full-Flame Bridging Conditions","authors":"Ziheng Pu, Yuan Li, Peng Li, Kuan Ye, Kai Zhou, Ruizhe Zhang","doi":"10.3390/fire7040143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040143","url":null,"abstract":"In order to evaluate the risk of transmission line tripping due to wildfires, it is necessary to predict the breakdown voltage of the insulation gap under the flame. Firstly, this paper studies the breakdown prediction of rod–plane gaps under the full-flame bridging of wooden cribs; it then obtains the breakdown voltage and the leakage current values of full-flame bridging considering different sizes of wooden cribs and different gap distances. Then, a multi-physical field simulation is carried out to obtain the flame gap characteristic parameters, such as spatial temperature. The feature quantity is normalized and reduced in dimension, and a prediction model for gap breakdown voltage under flame conditions based on a support vector machine (SVM) is established. Finally, the DC withstand voltage values and corresponding characteristic quantities under different flame gap conditions are used as sample sets to test the prediction model. The results show that the prediction error for small gap breakdown voltage is less than 2.6%. The samples were tested under different flame intensities for training and prediction, and the error was less than 3.3%. The small gap data for 30~60 cm is used to predict the breakdown voltage of the long gap for 100~140 cm, and the error is less than 3.2%. Compared with the fitting correction formula method proposed in existing research, the error is reduced by 11.5% and 4.4%, respectively, which verifies the effectiveness of the SVM prediction model.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":"23 23","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140696274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparing Accuracy of Wildfire Spread Prediction Models under Different Data Deficiency Conditions 比较不同数据不足条件下野火蔓延预测模型的准确性
Fire Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.3390/fire7040141
Jiahao Zhou, Wenyu Jiang, Fei Wang, Yuming Qiao, Q. Meng
{"title":"Comparing Accuracy of Wildfire Spread Prediction Models under Different Data Deficiency Conditions","authors":"Jiahao Zhou, Wenyu Jiang, Fei Wang, Yuming Qiao, Q. Meng","doi":"10.3390/fire7040141","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040141","url":null,"abstract":"Wildfire is one of the most severe natural disasters globally, profoundly affecting natural ecology, economy, and health and safety. Precisely predicting the spread of wildfires has become an important research topic. Current fire spread prediction models depend on inputs from a variety of geographical and environmental variables. However, unlike the ideal conditions simulated in the laboratory, data gaps often occur in real wildfire scenarios, posing challenges to the accuracy and robustness of predictions. It is necessary to explore the extent to which different missing items affect prediction accuracy, thereby providing rational suggestions for emergency decision-making. In this paper, we tested how different conditions of missing data affect the prediction accuracy of existing wildfire spread models and quantified the corresponding errors. The final experimental results suggest that it is necessary to judge the potential impact of data gaps based on the geographical conditions of the study area appropriately, as there is no significant pattern of behavior yet identified. This study aims to simulate the impact of data scarcity on the accuracy of wildfire spread prediction models in real scenarios, thereby enabling researchers to better understand the priority of different environmental variables for the model and identify the acceptable degree of missing data and the indispensable data attributes. It offers new insights for developing spread prediction models applicable to real-world scenarios and rational assessment of the effectiveness of model outcomes.","PeriodicalId":508952,"journal":{"name":"Fire","volume":"4 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140697988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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