IMF Working Papers最新文献

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A Framework for Systemwide Liquidity Analysis 全系统流动性分析框架
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400277078.001
Xiaodan Ding
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引用次数: 0
Strengthening Social Protection to Pave the Way for Technological Innovation: Evidence from the U.S. 加强社会保护,为技术创新铺平道路:来自美国的证据
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400274596.001
Fernanda Brollo
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引用次数: 0
Sovereign Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Investing: Chasing Elusive Sustainability 主权环境、社会和治理 (ESG) 投资:追逐难以实现的可持续性
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400277054.001
Ekaterina Gratcheva
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引用次数: 1
How Vulnerable is Sub-Saharan Africa to Geoeconomic Fragmentation? 撒哈拉以南非洲有多容易受到地缘经济分化的影响?
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400270796.001
Marijn A. Bolhuis
{"title":"How Vulnerable is Sub-Saharan Africa to Geoeconomic Fragmentation?","authors":"Marijn A. Bolhuis","doi":"10.5089/9798400270796.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400270796.001","url":null,"abstract":": This paper studies the potential effects of geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) in the sub-Saharan Africa region (SSA) through quantifying potential long-term economic costs. The paper considers two alternative GEF scenarios in which trade relations are fully or partially curtailed across world economies. Our quantification relies on a multi-country multi-sector general equilibrium model and takes a deep dive into the impact across SSA’s oil-rich, other resource-rich and non-resource-rich countries. The results are based on a detailed dataset including information for 136 tradable primary commodity and 24 manufacturing and services sectors in 145 countries—32 of which are in SSA. We find that under GEF, SSA could experience long-term wellfare losses of approximately 4 percent of GDP, twice the losses of the rest of the world. This strong effect results from the large losses of other resource-rich and non-resource rich countries in SSA, given their high dependence on commodity trade. However, if the world experiences a less severe GEF-induced trade disruption—a strategic decoupling—SSA countries could derive minor gains from the re-shuffling of global market supply, specially in energy products","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140766498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
This Is Going to Hurt: Weather Anomalies, Supply Chain Pressures and Inflation 这将造成伤害:天气异常、供应链压力和通货膨胀
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400269523.001
Serhan Cevik
{"title":"This Is Going to Hurt: Weather Anomalies, Supply Chain Pressures and Inflation","authors":"Serhan Cevik","doi":"10.5089/9798400269523.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400269523.001","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140775694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Harnessing Satellite Data to Improve Social Assistance Targeting in the Eastern Caribbean 利用卫星数据改进东加勒比地区社会援助的针对性
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400274312.001
Sophia Chen
{"title":"Harnessing Satellite Data to Improve Social Assistance Targeting in the Eastern Caribbean","authors":"Sophia Chen","doi":"10.5089/9798400274312.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400274312.001","url":null,"abstract":": Prioritizing populations most in need of social assistance is an important policy decision. In the Eastern Caribbean, social assistance targeting is constrained by limited data and the need for rapid support in times of large economic and natural disaster shocks. We leverage recent advances in machine learning and satellite imagery processing to propose an implementable strategy in the face of these constraints. We show that local well-being can be predicted with high accuracy in the Eastern Caribbean region using satellite data and that such predictions can be used to improve targeting by reducing aggregation bias, better allocating resources across areas, and proxying for information difficult to verify.","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140766519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Primer on Bitcoin Cross-Border Flows: Measurement and Drivers 比特币跨境流动入门:测量与驱动因素
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400274879.001
Eugenio Cerutti
{"title":"A Primer on Bitcoin Cross-Border Flows: Measurement and Drivers","authors":"Eugenio Cerutti","doi":"10.5089/9798400274879.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400274879.001","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140761436","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Designing a Progressive VAT 设计渐进式增值税
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400271830.001
Artur Swistak
{"title":"Designing a Progressive VAT","authors":"Artur Swistak","doi":"10.5089/9798400271830.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400271830.001","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140770542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can Energy Subsidies Help Slay Inflation? 能源补贴能否帮助抑制通货膨胀?
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400273445.001
Christopher Erceg
{"title":"Can Energy Subsidies Help Slay Inflation?","authors":"Christopher Erceg","doi":"10.5089/9798400273445.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400273445.001","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140781381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Changing Global Linkages: A New Cold War? 不断变化的全球联系:新冷战?
IMF Working Papers Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.5089/9798400272745.001
Gita Gopinath
{"title":"Changing Global Linkages: A New Cold War?","authors":"Gita Gopinath","doi":"10.5089/9798400272745.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400272745.001","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":504981,"journal":{"name":"IMF Working Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140762896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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