{"title":"Parameter estimation and hypothesis tests in logistic model for complex correlated data","authors":"Keyi Mou, Zhiming Li, Jinlong Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110294","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110294","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Observations are frequently generated in clinical trials from correlated multiple organs (or parts) of individuals. The statistical inference is little about conducting regression analysis based on such data. This paper first develops a logistic regression for correlated multiple responses using a stable correlation binomial (SCB) model. Then, we obtain maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of unknown parameters through a fast quadratic lower bound (QLB) algorithm. Further, likelihood ratio, score and Wald statistics are used to test the effect of covariates based on the MLEs. Finally, the QLB algorithm and asymptotic tests are evaluated through simulations and applied to real dental data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142594046","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A one-way MANOVA test for high-dimensional data using clustering subspaces","authors":"Minyuan Lu, Bu Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110293","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110293","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study focuses on the high-dimensional one-way analysis of variance problem, specifically, testing whether multiple population mean vectors are equal in the context of high-dimensional data. To solve the problem that classical multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) test statistics are undefined when the dimensionality surpasses the sample size, we propose a random permutation test using low-dimensional subspaces obtained by clustering of variables. The test statistics are derived from a one-way MANOVA decomposition for clustered variables and this approach utilizes the correlation information among variables to ensure high testing power. Simulation studies indicate that the proposed test performs well with high-dimensional data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142594045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Probability and moment inequalities for quadratic forms in independent random variables with fat tails","authors":"Chi Zhang, Danna Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110290","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110290","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Probability and moment inequalities for quadratic forms are valuable tools in studying the properties of second-order statistics. There are extensive results regarding quadratic forms in random variables with finite exponential moments. However, the counterpart that allows for weaker moment conditions is inadequate. In this work, we present a new Nagaev-type tail probability inequality and a Rosenthal-type moment inequality for quadratic forms in random variables with fat tails.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Frank copula is minimum information copula under fixed Kendall’s τ","authors":"Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110289","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110289","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this work, we demonstrate that the Frank copula is the minimum information copula under fixed Kendall’s <span><math><mi>τ</mi></math></span> (MICK), both theoretically and numerically. First, we explain that both MICK and the Frank density follow the hyperbolic Liouville equation. Subsequently, we show that the copula density satisfying the Liouville equation is uniquely the Frank copula. Our result asserts that selecting the Frank copula as an appropriate copula model is equivalent to using Kendall’s <span><math><mi>τ</mi></math></span> as the sole available information about the true distribution, based on the entropy maximization principle.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142551915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Minimizing the penalized goal-reaching probability with multiple dependent risks","authors":"Ying Huang, Jun Peng","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110287","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110287","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We consider a robust optimal investment and reinsurance problem with multiple dependent risks for an Ambiguity-Averse Insurer (AAI), who wishes to minimize the probability that the value of the wealth process reaches a low barrier before a high goal. We assume that the insurer can purchase per-loss reinsurance for every class of insurance business and invest its surplus in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. Using the technique of stochastic control theory and solving the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, we derive the robust optimal investment-reinsurance strategy and the associated value function. We conclude that the robust optimal investment-reinsurance strategy coincides with the one without model ambiguity, but the value function differs. We also illustrate our results by numerical examples.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pricing formula of Lookback option in stochastic delay differential equation model","authors":"Paek Il-Kwang , Kang Chol-Su , Kim Kyong-Hui","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110283","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110283","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper deals with new explicit pricing formulae for Lookback option when underlying asset price processes are represented by stochastic delay differential equation (hereafter “SDDE”). We derive a lemma on the joint distribution of the minimum and itself of a Wiener process in the SDDE model. Using this lemma, we obtain the explicit pricing formulae for the Lookback option. Through some numerical comparison experiment, we assure the correctness of the obtained pricing formula.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527950","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Well-posedness for the stochastic Landau–Lifshitz–Gilbert equation with helicity driven by jump noise","authors":"Soham Gokhale","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We consider the stochastic Landau–Lifshitz–Gilbert equation driven by pure jump noise. We assume non-zero contribution from the helicity term to the total energy. Using finite dimensional approximation followed by a generalization of the Jakubowski’s version of the Skorohod Theorem for non-metric spaces, we show that the considered problem admits a weak martingale solution. Restricting the problem to dimension 1, we show that the obtained solution is pathwise unique, thereby concluding the existence of a strong solution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527949","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal curing rate allocation in the SIS epidemic model","authors":"Ryan McFadden, Fraser Daly, Seva Shneer","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110284","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110284","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We consider a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on an undirected graph, with a homogeneous infection rate and heterogeneous curing rates. We set an overall network curing rate, <span><math><mi>Δ</mi></math></span>, and study optimal allocation of curing rates to nodes, in terms of the expected time to the extinction of the epidemic. As other parameters are fixed, we study these allocations as the infection rate tends to 0 and <span><math><mi>∞</mi></math></span> in both regular and non-regular graphs. We further illustrate this optimisation with some numerical examples. Our findings demonstrate that, while the uniform split of <span><math><mi>Δ</mi></math></span> is optimal in some situations, it is typically not optimal, even for regular graphs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Statistical inference for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes based on low-frequency observations","authors":"Dingwen Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110286","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110286","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Low-frequency observations are a common occurrence in real-world applications, making statistical inference for stochastic processes driven by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) based on such observations an important issue. In this paper, we investigate the statistical inference for the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process using low-frequency observations. We propose modified least squares estimators (MLSEs) for the drift parameters and a modified quadratic variation estimator for the diffusion parameter based on the solution of the OU process. The MLSEs are derived heuristically using the nonlinear least squares method, despite the OU process satisfying a linear SDE. Unlike previous approaches, these modified estimators are asymptotically unbiased. Leveraging the ergodic properties of the OU process, we also propose ergodic estimators for the three parameters. The asymptotic behavior of these estimators is established using the ergodic properties and central limit theorem for the OU process, achieved through linear model techniques and multivariate Markov chain central limit theorem. Monte Carlo simulation results are presented to illustrate and support our theoretical findings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A note on invariant manifolds for stochastic partial differential equations in the framework of the variational approach","authors":"Rajeev Bhaskaran, Stefan Tappe","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110282","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spl.2024.110282","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this note we provide conditions for local invariance of finite dimensional submanifolds for solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) in the framework of the variational approach. For this purpose, we provide a connection to SPDEs in continuously embedded spaces.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142555578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}