Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards最新文献

{"title":"On the use of different data assimilation schemes in a fully coupled hydro-mechanical slope stability analysis","authors":"Muhammad Mohsan, Femke C. Vossepoel, Philip J. Vardon","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2258607","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2258607","url":null,"abstract":"Different data assimilation schemes such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), ensemble smoother (ES) and ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation (ESMDA) are implemented in a hydro-mechanical slope stability analysis. For a synthetic case, these schemes assimilate displacements at the crest and the slope to estimate strength and stiffness parameters. These estimated parameters are then used to estimate the system's state and factor of safety (FoS). The results show that EnKF provides an FoS estimation with a mean close to the truth and with the smallest standard deviation, with ESMDA using the largest amount of assimilation steps also providing a mean close to the truth but with less confidence. The ES and ESMDA with fewer assimilation steps underestimate the FoS approximation and have low confidence. Assimilating measurements over a longer period provides a more accurate parameter, state and FoS estimation. ES has the best computational performance, with ESMDA performing worse, with its performance dependent on the number of assimilation steps. The computational performance of the EnKF is better than ESMDA but around 50% worse than the ES. Non-linearity of the underlying problem is a key cause of the multi-step assimilation processes having a better performance.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"180 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135063093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analysis on the volume expansion effect and influencing factors on loess landslides: a case study of the Heifangtai tableland in the Chinese Loess Plateau","authors":"Jia-xu Kong, Jian-qi Zhuang, Jian-bing Peng, Peng-hui Ma, Jie-wei Zhan, Jia-qi Mu, Jie Wang, Zuo-peng Wang","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2257201","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2257201","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTLandslide scale measurement and hazard risk assessment are crucial, especially since landslide deposits often have an expansion effect, and can lead to more serious secondary hazard events. In this study, we obtained substantial high-resolution terrain and orthophoto data through multiple UAV photography and field surveys. Based on GIS spatial analysis and landslide geometric models, sliding and deposit data for 42 loess landslides in the Heifangtai tableland were calculated. The results show that sliding volume and sliding area have the highest correlation with the power-law distribution (Ve=1.204A1.1360). The ratio of Hmax/Lmax increases with the increase of sliding volume and deposit volume of the landslides, with an average value of 0.306. The ratio of H/L has a higher correlation with deposit volume, and the fitting expression is Hmax/Lmax=0.187VD−0.123. The VEC of 42 loess landslides ranged from 1.05 to 2.53, while the AVEC was about 1.503. The correlation analysis show that the VEC is positively correlated with AEC, Hmov, Hmov/Lmax and Lmov/Lmax but negatively correlated with Dave. The essence of the volume expansion effect is that landslide fluidity increases, resulting in looser deposit distribution, larger pore scale in the deposit and lower overall compaction. Loess collapse in the Heifangtai tableland lack protection from the liquefaction of the sliding mass basement, resulting in large VEC values. The semi-ellipsoid model is a valuable approach for landslide volume assessment in the Chinese Loess Plateau, yielding an average error rate of restoring the sliding volume of landslides of 13.55%. This study provides a useful reference for accurate evaluations at the landslide scale.KEYWORDS: Heifangtai tablelandLoess landslidevolume expansion effectUAV surveytopography and geometry of landslide AcknowledgementsThe authors are very grateful to the anonymous reviewers and editors for their thoughtful review comments and suggestions which have significantly improved this paper. This study was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China: 42090053, 41922054, 42207197, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, CHD, 300102262713.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Conflict of interestThe authors declare no competing interests.Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China: [Grant Number 42090053, 41922054, 42207197]; the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, CHD: [Grant Number 300102262713].","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135154257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Reliability assessment of open-source multiscale landslide susceptibility maps and effects of their fusion","authors":"G. Mastrantoni, G. M. Marmoni, C. Esposito, F. Bozzano, G. Scarascia Mugnozza, P. Mazzanti","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2251139","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2251139","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42714815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Early detection of internal erosion in earth dams: combining seismic monitoring and convolutional AutoEncoders","authors":"N. Yousefpour, Farid Fazel Mojtahedi","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2251128","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2251128","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47430330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Deaggregation of probabilistic seismic hazard results for some selected cities in Western Mexico","authors":"R. Sawires, J. Peláez, M. Santoyo","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2251125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2251125","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46892439","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Non-Stationary Flood Discharge Frequency Analysis in West Africa","authors":"A. Bossa, Jean de Dieu Akpaca, Jean Hounkpè, Yacouba Yira, D. F. Badou","doi":"10.3390/geohazards4030018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards4030018","url":null,"abstract":"With climate change and intensification of the hydrological cycle, the stationarity of hydrological variables is becoming questionable, requiring appropriate flood assessment models. Frequency analysis is widely used for flood forecasting. This study aims to determine the most suitable models (stationary and non-stationary) for estimating the maximum flows observed at some stations spread across West Africa. A statistical analysis of the annual maximum flows in terms of homogeneity, stationarity, and independence was carried out through the Pettitt, modified Mann–Kendall, and Wald–Wolfowitz tests, respectively, to identify the stations whose flows are non-stationary. After that, the best-correlated climate covariates with the annual maximum flows of the non-stationary stations were determined. The covariates explored are the climatic indices of sea surface temperatures (SST). Finally, different non-stationary GEV models were derived by varying the scale and position parameters of the best-correlated index for each station. The results indicate that 56% of the annual maximum flow series are non-stationary. As per the Bayes information criterion (BIC) values, the performance of the non-stationary models (GEV, generalized extreme values) is largely greater than that of the stationary models. These good performances of non-stationary models using climatic indices open perspectives for the prediction of extreme flows in the study area.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"83 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85911367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Traditional Nomadism Offers Adaptive Capacity to Northern Mongolian Geohazards","authors":"Gabrielle L. Moreau, K. Nyland, V. Kuklina","doi":"10.3390/geohazards4030019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards4030019","url":null,"abstract":"Mongolia’s northernmost province, Khövsgöl Aimag, famous for its massive Lake Khövsgöl set among the mountainous steppe, taiga, and tundra forests, increasingly attracts both domestic and international tourists. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, Mongolia received over 500,000 tourists annually. The aimag is also home to Indigenous, nomadic Dukha reindeer herders and semi-nomadic Darkhad cattle herders. Using a multidisciplinary approach, this study uses an analytical hierarchy process to map areas in Khövsgöl Aimag, where the infrastructure, including buildings, dwellings, formal and informal roads, and pastureland, is subject to geohazards. The hazards of interest to this mapping analysis include mass wasting, flooding, and permafrost thawing, which threaten roads, pastures, houses, and other community infrastructure in Khövsgöl Aimag. Based on the integrated infrastructure risk map, an estimated 23% of the aimag is at high to very high risk for localized geohazards. After a discussion of the results informed by the interviews, mobile ethnographies, and local and national land use policies, we postulate that communities exercising more traditional nomadic lifestyles with higher mobility are more resilient to these primarily localized geohazards.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"101 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85199091","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Implicit modelling and dynamic update of tunnel unfavourable geology based on multi-source data fusion using support vector machine","authors":"Binru Yang, Yuling Ding, Qing Zhu, Liguo Zhang, Haoyu Wu, Yongxin Guo, Mingwei Liu, Wei Wang","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2239778","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2239778","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42744470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Slope Failure and Landslide Detection in Huangdao District of Qingdao City Based on an Improved Faster R-CNN Model","authors":"Yong Guan, Lili Yu, Shengyou Hao, Linsen Li, Xiaotong Zhang, M. Hao","doi":"10.3390/geohazards4030017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards4030017","url":null,"abstract":"To reduce the significant losses caused by slope failures and landslides, it is of great significance to detect and predict these disasters scientifically. This study focused on Huangdao District of Qingdao City in Shandong Province, using the improved Faster R-CNN network to detect slope failures and landslides. This study introduced a multi-scale feature enhancement module into the Faster R-CNN model. The module enhances the network’s perception of different scales of slope failures and landslides by deeply fusing high-resolution weak semantic features with low-resolution strong semantic features. Our experiments show that the improved Faster R-CNN model outperformed the traditional version, and that ResNet50 performed better than VGG16 with an AP value of 90.68%, F1 value of 0.94, recall value of 90.68%, and precision value of 98.17%. While the targets predicted by VGG16 were more dispersed and the false detection rate was higher than that of ResNet50, VGG16 was shown to have an advantage in predicting small-scale slope failures and landslides. The trained Faster R-CNN network model detected geological hazards of slope failure and landslide in Huangdao District, missing only two landslides, thereby demonstrating high detection accuracy. This method can provide an effective technical means for slope failures and landslides target detection and has practical implications.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76417735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Experimental Investigation of Levee Erosion during Overflow and Infiltration with Varied Hydraulic Conductivities of Levee and Foundation Properties in Saturated Conditions","authors":"Liaqat Ali, N. Tanaka","doi":"10.3390/geohazards4030016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards4030016","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigated erosion during infiltration and overflow events and considered different grain sizes and hydraulic conductivity properties; four experimental cases were conducted under saturated conditions. The importance of understanding flow regimes during overflow experiments including their distinct flow characteristics, shear stresses, and erosion mechanisms in assessing the potential for levee failure are discussed. The failure mechanism of levee slopes during infiltration experiments involves progressive collapse due to piping followed by increased liquefaction and loss of shear stress, with the failure progression dependent on the permeability of the foundation material and shear strength. The infiltration experiments illustrate that the rate of failure varied based on the permeability of the foundation material. In the case of IO-E7-F5, where the levee had No. 7 sand in the embankment and No. 5 sand in the foundation (lower permeability), the failure was slower and limited. It took around 90 min for 65% of the downstream slope to fail, allowing more time for response measures. On the other hand, in the case of IO-E8-F4, with No. 8 sand in the embankment and No. 4 sand in the foundation (higher hydraulic conductivity), the failure was rapid and extensive. The whole downstream slope failed within just 18 min, and the collapse extended to 75% of the levee crest. These findings emphasize the need for proactive measures to strengthen vulnerable sections of levees and reduce the risk of extensive failure.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89477741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}