Alexander Bassen , Othar Kordsachia , Kerstin Lopatta , Weiqiang Tan
{"title":"Revenue alignment with the EU taxonomy regulation in developed markets","authors":"Alexander Bassen , Othar Kordsachia , Kerstin Lopatta , Weiqiang Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107339","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107339","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article provides first evidence on the capital market effects of the EU Taxonomy Regulation (TR). The TR introduced a new classification scheme to identify companies with environmentally sustainable economic activities. The results offer support for a significant estimated TR alignment premium, compatible with the interpretation that investors already apply the TR and allocate capital to TR-aligned companies. This effect strengthens with an increase in investor attention. We also find significant cross-sectional variation in abnormal stock returns surrounding the publication date of the TR conditional on the degree of estimated TR alignment. Traditional ESG ratings cannot explain the TR premium.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107339"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142748185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Have ratings become more accurate?","authors":"Zvika Afik , Koresh Galil","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107337","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Prior studies indicate that rating agencies have adopted more stringent rating criteria over time. In this paper, we hypothesize that improvements in rating accuracy can explain some of these observed patterns. We present empirical evidence supporting this hypothesis, demonstrating that enhancements in rating methodologies have resulted in better default prediction. Our analysis also reveals that, over time, ratings have become more closely aligned with accounting fundamentals and a market-based measure of default risk (distance-to-default). These findings provide a fresh perspective on the factors influencing changes in credit rating standards and emphasize the significance of methodological advancements in credit risk assessment. This research introduces the novel argument that enhancing rating accuracy is an economic rationale for long-term rating trends. The findings underscore the continued importance of credit ratings despite criticisms, suggesting that ratings remain a valuable tool for investors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107337"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142748184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chrysovalantis Gaganis , George N. Leledakis , Fotios Pasiouras , Emmanouil G. Pyrgiotakis
{"title":"National culture of secrecy and stock price synchronicity: Cross-country evidence","authors":"Chrysovalantis Gaganis , George N. Leledakis , Fotios Pasiouras , Emmanouil G. Pyrgiotakis","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107341","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107341","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the relationship between the culture of secrecy and stock price comovement using a large sample of firms in 49 countries over the period 1990 to 2019. We find that stock prices in secretive societies comove more than stock prices in less secretive societies. This higher comovement occurs primarily because idiosyncratic volatility is lower. We attribute this finding to cultural biases in secretive societies which deter investors’ information-seeking behavior. To support these conjectures, we provide evidence of stronger mean reversals (less informed trading) in these societies. Our results persist when we account for cross-country differences in firms’ liquidity and information asymmetry, and when we control for cash flow uncertainty. Finally, the enforcement of insider trading laws in secretive countries is associated with less privately informed trading and lower idiosyncratic volatility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107341"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701968","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic policy uncertainty and corporate bond liquidity","authors":"Jeffrey R. Black , Nirmol Das , Diego Leal","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107340","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107340","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We find that elevated economic policy uncertainty (EPU) is associated with reductions in corporate bond dealer inventories and worsening liquidity, suggesting bond dealers react to increased inventory risk by reducing their capital commitments and compensating themselves via increased transaction costs. A one standard deviation increase in EPU is associated with a 2.19% widening in bid-ask spreads, 2.36% increase in Amihud illiquidity, and 3.38% reduction in average inventories. This effect is greater for bonds issued by firms with direct exposure to government policy, and less pronounced in small firms, illiquid bonds, and calmer markets, suggesting that EPU affects bond liquidity more when macroeconomic, but not idiosyncratic, factors are the primary determinant of bond risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107340"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142700846","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christoph Huber , Christian König-Kersting , Matteo M. Marini
{"title":"Experimenting with financial professionals","authors":"Christoph Huber , Christian König-Kersting , Matteo M. Marini","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107329","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107329","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As key players in financial markets and the broader industry, financial professionals are increasingly used as experimental research participants. We review over 50 studies comparing financial professionals to laypeople and conduct meta-analyses of 22 eligible studies spanning from 1986 to 2023. Our findings reveal persistent and robust support for financial professionals being more risk-loving, but little evidence of superior forecasting accuracy. Further analyses indicate that larger monetary payments result in greater behavioral differences between financial professionals and laypeople, suggesting an increased susceptibility to incentives among professionals. This systematic review not only synthesizes experimental results, contributing to recent discussions about external validity and generalizability, but also highlights critical methodological considerations when experimenting with financial professionals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107329"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do ETFs increase the comovements of their underlying assets? Evidence from a switch in ETF replication technique","authors":"Thomas Marta , Fabrice Riva","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107333","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107333","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the impact of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) on the comovements of their constituent securities using a novel identification that exploits the switch from synthetic to physical replication of a large French ETF. After the switch, constituent stocks experience greater commonality, in both returns and liquidity. For both the full sample of ETF constituents and the least liquid ETF constituents, a larger part of the variation in individual stock returns or liquidity is explained by market-wide variations. We present evidence that ETF creation and redemption is the transmission mechanism of the comovements. Moreover, we show that the comovements do not appear excessive.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107333"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Laima Spokeviciute , Hossein Jahanshahloo , Kevin Keasey , Francesco Vallascas
{"title":"Three decades of failed bank acquisitions","authors":"Laima Spokeviciute , Hossein Jahanshahloo , Kevin Keasey , Francesco Vallascas","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107336","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107336","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using more than 30 years of data, we document that the acquisition of failed US commercial banks through FDIC-managed Purchase and Assumption (P&A) transactions leads to long-term improvements in the profitability and loan risk of the combined entity and has no detrimental effects on its capital adequacy. These results are generally stronger for transactions with greater potential for economies of scale and efficiency gains. Furthermore, geographic similarity in the branch network of the acquirer and the target marginally improves the profitability of the combined entity, while a greater business similarity between the merged banks has no effect on deal outcomes. Additional tests show that the presence of regulatory subsidies also improves the profitability of the combined entity. Finally, we find no support for theoretical predictions about the misallocation of failed bank assets in the presence of widespread failures in local markets. Our findings are important for the understanding of the consequences of bank resolution through assisted M&As.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107336"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Movables as collateral and corporate credit: Loan-level evidence from legal reforms across Europe","authors":"Steven Ongena , Walid Saffar , Yuan Sun , Lai Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does pledging movables as collateral alter corporate borrowing? To answer this question, we study the effect of collateral law reforms on syndicated bank loans granted across nine European countries that facilitated pledging movables between 1995 and 2019, comparing them to 19 countries that did not. We differentiate firms in sectors of higher versus lower asset movability to strengthen the identification. We find that although the reforms have enabled firms in movable-intensive sectors to issue more secured loans, the average cost of the loans and the number of covenants have also increased. Channel tests suggest that banks may demand more to compensate for the potential wealth redistribution induced by newly issued secured credit, or the unique risk involved with using movables as collateral.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107331"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nusret Cakici , Christian Fieberg , Daniel Metko , Adam Zaremba
{"title":"Factor momentum versus price momentum: Insights from international markets","authors":"Nusret Cakici , Christian Fieberg , Daniel Metko , Adam Zaremba","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does factor momentum drive stock price momentum? We examine this relationship across 51 countries. Factor momentum proves strong across many markets and international portfolios, independent of typical return predictability drivers. However, its ability to capture stock momentum profits depends on methodological and dataset choices. Empirical factor momentum cannot entirely subsume stock or industry momentum globally. Conversely, price momentum often better explains its factor counterpart than vice versa. Notably, factor momentum based on principal components is more robust, capturing a major share of price momentum gains in developed and emerging markets. Our findings challenge the view that momentum merely times other factors rather than constituting a distinct anomaly.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107332"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A new measure for differences of opinions: Institutional trade dispersion","authors":"Dallin M. Alldredge , Mustafa O. Caglayan","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using 13F quarterly holdings data of institutional investors, we introduce a novel measure for differences of opinions among investors by analyzing divergence in institutional investors’ trades. We find that increases in institutional trade dispersion predict a significant decline in future abnormal returns. Moreover, we find that this relationship persists after controlling for other proxies of divergence of investor opinions, such as the dispersion in analysts’ earnings forecasts, the change in the number of institutions holding the stock, and the dispersion in institutional investors’ holdings relative to their benchmarks. Consistent with Miller (1977), underperformance of high-dispersion stocks is found to be the strongest among stocks that experienced recent significant price increases, the stocks with the highest mispricing scores, and the stocks that face increases in short-interest positions after the onset of dispersion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107334"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}