中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-11-09DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102302
Wei Dai, Zhongxin Ni, Enping Yu
{"title":"Quenching thirst, easing debt: Improvement in water resource endowment alleviates local government debt risk","authors":"Wei Dai, Zhongxin Ni, Enping Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102302","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102302","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Water resources serve as a vital pillar sustaining both economic activities and daily life for residents. However, the uneven distribution of water resources across time and space has made water scarcity a bottleneck factor restricting the economic and social development of some regions. The implementation of the South-to-North Water Diversion project provides an excellent quasi-natural experiment for in-depth research on the effects and influence mechanism of cross-regional productive factor allocation on economic development. This study focuses on whether the water resource endowment improvement is reflected on the capital market. Based on the trading data of urban construction investment bonds from 2011 to 2016, we empirically examine how the South-to-North Water Diversion project affects the local government financing costs. The results indicate that the water diversion project significantly reduces the credit spread of urban construction investment bonds from the water-receiving areas. Further analysis reveals that the water diversion project improves the economic fundamentals and increases the land sales revenue of the water receiving cities, enhancing local governments' implicit guarantee ability for the financing platforms, thereby reducing the credit risks of urban construction investment bonds. This study not only enriches the research on the determinants of credit risk for urban construction investment bonds, but also provides empirical evidence from the capital market that the coordinated allocation of productive factors promotes regional balanced development. The conclusions imply that the government should actively advance the corresponding infrastructure construction and institutional arrangements to promote the flow and complementarity of economic elements between regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102302"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-11-06DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102296
Shuaihang Li , Qihong Liu , Qing Liu
{"title":"Infrastructure and the patterns of trade: An empirical look at China","authors":"Shuaihang Li , Qihong Liu , Qing Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102296","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102296","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Transport infrastructure plays an important role in economic growth, particularly for developing countries. Recently a burgeoning literature explores how transport infrastructure facilitates economic growth via the channel of trade. In this paper, we study this question in the context of China, but with several distinctions. First, we distinguish firms from different regions in China, and see how their trade behavior responds differently to changes in infrastructure. Second, we consider both export and domestic sales, with an eye toward the interplay between the two channels. Our estimation results reveal the presence of both regional heterogeneity and sales channel competition. For in-land provinces, an improvement in their transport infrastructure raises firms’ exports at the cost of domestic sales. Interestingly, the results are reversed for coastal provinces, mainly driven by non-coastal cities of coastal provinces (rather than coastal cities). We also find negative spatial spillover, in the sense that neighboring provinces tend to compete with rather than complement each other. Our analysis has important policy implications under the current geopolitical tension and policy initiatives (e.g. dual circulation in China).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102296"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-11-06DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102295
Xinquan Hu , Lan Yao
{"title":"Cognitive ability in matching with strategic uncertainty: An experimental study","authors":"Xinquan Hu , Lan Yao","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102295","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102295","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Strategyproof mechanisms have become the predominant choice for educational institutions. However, both laboratory experiments and empirical evidence highlight the persistent occurrence of strategic misreporting, leading to adverse consequences. This underscores the need to examine the reporting strategies of students, particularly those with varying cognitive abilities, across different decision environments. We present an experimental comprehension test of reporting strategies using computerized opponents to precisely control the levels of strategic uncertainty. The results reveal that removing strategic uncertainty does not significantly affect truth-telling rates. However, subjects with median cognitive ability are more truthful under strategic uncertainty, especially when information is incomplete. Additionally, providing information about priorities has a negative and significant impact on truth-telling rates. The findings of this research demonstrate that constructing a simplified market environment using computerized agents and providing relevant feedback to students can effectively enhance their understanding of the matching mechanism and nudge them to make optimal strategy choices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102295"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-11-05DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102301
Xiaolan Yang , Xiaotong Fang , Mei Gao , Lucy F. Ackert , Li Qi
{"title":"Follow the gaze: How social attention shapes gendered trading choices","authors":"Xiaolan Yang , Xiaotong Fang , Mei Gao , Lucy F. Ackert , Li Qi","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102301","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102301","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We explore how visual attention differentially impacts the trading behavior of men and women. In the laboratory, eye-tracking technology measures information gaze during a sequential trading game in which participants are asked to buy or sell an asset. Before making a decision, traders receive information on the trading decisions of other participants (others' decisions) and the redemption value of the asset (private information). Research documents that women, compared to men, pay more attention to social cues. In this study, women are more attention-driven when making financial decisions, as compared to men. We conclude that attentional priority is a cognitive mechanism that can account for the increased tendency of women, compared to men, to follow the social cues of others with disparate information and tournament incentives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102301"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142657276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-11-03DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102299
Mantian Xue
{"title":"Did the anti-avoidance rules curtail the profit shifting of foreign multinationals in China?","authors":"Mantian Xue","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102299","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102299","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the policy effect of the anti-avoidance rules introduced on January 1, 2008 on profit shifting of foreign multinationals in China. Based on micro data from the OSIRIS database, this paper finds that the anti-avoidance rules were quite effective in curbing profit shifting of foreign multinationals through raising the pre-tax margin of subsidiaries in China relative to those outside China by about 6.5 percentage points, or about 7.6 percentage points considering the anticipation effect. Besides, the results indicate that the anti-avoidance rules were more effective for multinationals in service industries or those registered in non-haven countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102299"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142593458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-10-29DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102298
Yiting Guo, Lijia Wei, Lian Xue
{"title":"Intergenerational preference transmission in physician families during the pandemic: Theory and evidence","authors":"Yiting Guo, Lijia Wei, Lian Xue","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102298","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102298","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the intergenerational transmission of economic preferences among physicians by analyzing the altruistic and risk preferences of medical students and one of their parents through incentivized experiments in Wuhan. Our findings reveal that altruism in parents is a strong predictor of similar traits in their children, demonstrating the <em>intergenerational transmission</em> of pro-social traits. Moreover, these children are more likely to choose a medical major, reflecting a tendency to <em>self-select</em> into the medical field based on altruistic inclinations. This self-selection effect has been augmented post-pandemic. These medical families are more likely to form a distinct <em>family cluster</em> characterized by higher levels of risk-taking and altruistic preferences. We propose a theoretical framework capturing the intergenerational preference transmission and family-wise self-selection among future physicians. Our research has important policy implications, suggesting that enhancing intra-household support can effectively address the chronic labor shortfall in the medical industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102298"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142586356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-10-22DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102294
Xuefeng Pan , Qin Su , Haibo Lei
{"title":"How motivations and costs affect financial knowledge learning? Evidence from a large-scale FinTech experiment in China","authors":"Xuefeng Pan , Qin Su , Haibo Lei","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102294","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102294","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Utilizing the launch of mobile wealth management services in China in 2013 as a shock to financial education, we analyze a panel of 16,440 households through a difference-in-differences strategy to examine how learning motivations and costs affect financial knowledge learning. Results show that using mobile services encourages risky asset holdings and enhances the self-discipline to learn, which, coupled with low-cost and personalized learning tools provided through the services, increases financial knowledge. We contribute by utilizing a large-scale experiment beyond the classroom to show the role of learning motivations and costs in financial knowledge learning, therefore help clear the controversy on the effectiveness of financial education.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102294"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142553625","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-10-20DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102293
Hamid R. Oskorouchi , Alfonso Sousa-Poza , David E. Bloom
{"title":"The long-term cognitive and schooling effects of childhood vaccinations in China","authors":"Hamid R. Oskorouchi , Alfonso Sousa-Poza , David E. Bloom","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102293","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102293","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>By exploiting rich retrospective data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study on childhood immunization, socioeconomics, and health status, we assess the long-term effects of childhood vaccination on cognitive and educational outcomes in China. Applying an instrumental variable approach that resembles an unobserved natural experiment to different sets of control variables and subsamples, we estimate the average and local treatment effects of childhood vaccination. Our results confirm that immunization before the age of 15 has long-term positive and economically meaningful effects on non-health outcomes such as education and cognitive skills. These effects are strong, with vaccinated individuals enjoying about one additional year of schooling and performing better on several cognitive tests later in life. Finally, a causal mediation analysis shows that, although education mediates the effect of childhood immunization on later-life cognitive abilities, other factors (e.g., better child health) are more responsible for these long-term effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102293"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-10-18DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102292
Yunsen Li , Dan He , Yilin Wang , Guochang Zhao , Jing Yang
{"title":"Unveiling the shadows: School bullying and students' ability erosions in Chinese compulsory schools","authors":"Yunsen Li , Dan He , Yilin Wang , Guochang Zhao , Jing Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102292","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102292","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Drawing upon data from the National Children's Study of China, this research investigates the school bullying victimization and its associations with the ability erosions among students in Chinese schools. Three key findings emerge. First, results suggest that the primary factors affecting bullying victimization mainly include authoritarian parenting, limited positive social interactions on campus, adverse experiences, and exposure to teacher and peer smoking. Second, estimates indicate that bullying victimization is significantly associated with ability erosions, particularly among students from relatively advantaged backgrounds. The further Oster's test, falsification test, and reverse causality check confirm the validity of the associations and suggest some causal effect of victimization on the student outcomes. Lastly, the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition shows that lower human capital investments derived from social interactions are the most significant contributors to the ability erosion linked to bullying victimization. These findings highlight the critical importance of social interactions both at home and in schools.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102292"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142529587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
中国经济评论Pub Date : 2024-10-11DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102291
Peng Zhou , Xiaoqi Huang , Frank M. Song
{"title":"The deterrent effect of environmental judicature on firms' pollution emissions: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China","authors":"Peng Zhou , Xiaoqi Huang , Frank M. Song","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102291","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102291","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the deterrent effect of environmental judicature on firms' pollution emissions. Regarding the establishment of environmental courts (ECs) in China as a quasi-natural experiment, our staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) estimation shows that strengthening environmental judicature has a negative, causal effect on firms' pollution emissions. The exogenous establishment of ECs decreases industrial firms' pollution emission intensity by approximately 7.8 %. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the negative effect of ECs on pollution emissions is particularly salient for firms in regions with weak environmental awareness, firms in industries with low competition, and firms with a high intensity of pollution emissions. Mechanism analysis indicates that the establishment of ECs enhances environmental justice and increases environmental violation costs, thereby having a deterrent effect on firms' pollution emissions. To comply with the more stringent environmental judicature, firms located in cities with ECs may temporarily cut their production, use more clean energy and buy more desulfurization equipment. In the long term, they may engage in more green and cooperative innovations, further substantiating the deterrent impact of stringent environmental judicature. Our findings can offer valuable insights for corporate green transformation and government pollution control.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102291"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2024-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142442885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}