{"title":"Analisis Fluktuasi Harga Pangan di Kota Bogor","authors":"Rizal Bahtiar, Fitria Dewi Raswatie","doi":"10.29244/ijaree.v1i2.42020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29244/ijaree.v1i2.42020","url":null,"abstract":"World food trade makes it challenging to control domestic food products due to the influence of international price trends. Various issues within the country, including production and distribution, lead to fluctuations in the prices of essential food items such as rice, soybeans, chicken meat, chili, and shallots. Local governments, including the City of Bogor, play a vital role in managing price fluctuations, especially through the coordination of regional, central, and monetary policies to ensure a stable supply of goods. Most food commodities experience price pressure during harvest seasons. Unfortunately, controlling food prices becomes difficult when domestic supply decreases. This study provides an overview of the patterns of food price changes, considering variations in production capacity, seasonality, increased demand, and other specific events. The analysis involves calculating the Month-to-Month (MoM) price trends and comparing the average price with the model price for each year. The results indicate that fluctuations in food prices are influenced by factors such as commodity supply, rising production input costs, increased demand for commodities, weather conditions at agricultural production sites, import restrictions, and international demand. By optimizing cost structures in price formation, it is possible to reduce depreciation costs and transaction costs for increased efficiency. One key policy to address rising food prices is expanding the functions of Perumda Pasar Pakuan Jaya to include market operations and the management of commodity stocks, enabling better control over food prices.","PeriodicalId":482808,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Resource and Environmental Economics","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135667316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fluktuasi Harga dan Integrasi Pasar Cabai Merah Besar (Studi Kasus: Pasar Induk kramat Jati dan Pasar Eceran di DKI Jakarta)","authors":"Azzahra Yuditya, Arini Hardjanto, Ujang Sehabudin","doi":"10.29244/ijaree.v2i1.50669","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29244/ijaree.v2i1.50669","url":null,"abstract":"Fluktuasi harga pangan merupakan fenomena yang menjadi perhatian yang serius yang dapat memengaruhi tingkat inflasi. Salah satu kelompok sayuran yang menyumbang inflasi adalah cabai merah besar. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pola perkembangan harga cabai merah besar di PIKJ dan di lima pasar eceran di DKI Jakarta, faktor – faktor yang memengaruhi flukuasi harga cabai merah besar di PIKJ, peramalan harga cabai merah besar di PIKJ tahun 2023, dan integrasi pasar antara pasar grosir dengan pasar eceran di DKI Jakarta. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode analisis deskriptif, ARIMA, dan VECM. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa: 1) pola perkembangan harga cabai merah besar di PIKJ dan di lima pasar eceran di DKI Jakarta memiliki pola yang berfluktuasi; 2) hasil peramalan harga cabai merah besar di PIKJ selama 8 bulan sebesar Rp29.858; 3) hasil integrasi pasar menunjukkan bahwa PIKJ memiliki keterkaitan jangka panjang antara Pasar Jatinegara, Pasar Minggu, dan Pasar Tanah Abang.","PeriodicalId":482808,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Resource and Environmental Economics","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136369586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}