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A Geographical Approach to China's Local Government Debt. 中国地方政府债务的地域研究》。
IF 1.8 4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2024-03-04 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2300803
Zhenfa Li, Fulong Wu, Fangzhu Zhang
{"title":"A Geographical Approach to China's Local Government Debt.","authors":"Zhenfa Li, Fulong Wu, Fangzhu Zhang","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2300803","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2300803","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Since the 2010s local government debt has boomed in China because the government relies on debt financing for infrastructure investment. The debt mainly consists of the issuance of <i>Chengtou</i> bonds and later local government bonds. Using data from more than 300 cities from 2009 to 2020, this article maps its spatial dynamics to further the understanding of intergovernmental relations in the studies on local government debt. We find that, from 2009 to 2014, most cities had large bond-issuing amounts. The dynamics were affected by the economic stimulus target set by the central government and the interjurisdictional competition in borrowing among local governments. After 2015 the cities with better economies issued more bonds because the central government tried to match local government debt with local fiscal capacity to maintain financial security. The spatial dynamics show the increasing intervention by the central government in local fiscal income and expenditure, reflecting fiscal centralization. Fiscal centralization did not effectively contain the financial risk in the less-developed cities. Motivated by the competition, the less-developed cities did not use bonds efficiently and had higher ratios of bond issuance to fiscal income, experiencing higher financial risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11166050/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141311957","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conference Organizing in the Hybrid Age: Lessons from the Fourth International Feminist Geography Conference 混合时代的会议组织:第四届国际女性主义地理学会议的经验教训
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2258395
Hanieh Molana, Deirdre Conlon, Jennifer L. Fluri, Nancy Hiemstra
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引用次数: 0
Public Perceptions of Resilience and Vulnerability Concepts for Adaptation 公众对复原力和脆弱性适应概念的看法
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2250415
Greg Oulahen, Christopher Randall, Calvin Nguyen, Carrie Mitchell
{"title":"Public Perceptions of Resilience and Vulnerability Concepts for Adaptation","authors":"Greg Oulahen, Christopher Randall, Calvin Nguyen, Carrie Mitchell","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2250415","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2250415","url":null,"abstract":"AbstractResilience is everywhere in plans, policy, and academic literature on risk reduction and adaptation, and a common refrain of elected officials and disaster victims alike. Geographers have contributed much to the critical understanding of the theoretical foundations and implications of this now ubiquitous concept, and have made some initial steps in studying how local practitioners and other experts interpret and apply resilience in risk reduction and adaptation measures. But there is limited empirical research, however, on what the people living in communities exposed to hazards think about resilience. This study aims to address this gap by conducting in-person, researcher-administered surveys (n = 400) with members of the public using coastal and lakefront environmental amenities in Vancouver and Toronto, Canada. Survey results include three main findings: (1) the majority of participants prefer the framing of “increasing resilience” over “reducing vulnerability”; (2) the conceptualization of resilience as creative transformation is greatly favored over conceptualizations of resilience as resistance or recovery; and (3) resilience is seen as uneven in both study cities. The study reveals insights that can help inform and align resilience theory and practice in cities.韧性普遍存在于降低和适应风险的各种计划、政策和学术文献中, 也是民选官员和受灾者的共同口号。在批判性地理解韧性这个普遍概念的理论基础和含义方面, 地理学家做出了很大贡献, 初步研究了在降低风险、采取适应措施的过程中, 当地实施者和专家如何解释和运用韧性。然而, 受灾社区人群对韧性的看法, 还缺乏实证研究。为了弥补这一缺陷, 我们开展了面对面调查(n = 400), 调查对象是加拿大温哥华和多伦多使用海滨和湖滨环境设施的民众。调查结果有三个主要发现: (1)大多数参与者更喜欢“提高韧性”而非“降低脆弱性”;(2)将韧性概念化为创造性的转变, 比将韧性概念化为抵抗或恢复更受欢迎;(3)两个研究城市的韧性有所不同。本研究提供了解释和统一城市韧性理论和实践的一些见解。La resiliencia se muestra por todo lado en los planes, la política y en la literatura académica que versa sobre la reducción de riesgos y la adaptación, y es un dicho común de los funcionarios elegidos y de las víctimas de los desastres, por igual. Los geógrafos han contribuido mucho al entendimiento crítico de los fundamentos teóricos e implicaciones de lo que ahora es concepto ubicuo, y han transitado por algunos de los pasos iniciales del estudio sobre cómo los practicantes locales y otros expertos interpretan y aplican la resiliencia en las medidas que se toman para la disminución del riesgo y la adaptación. Sin embargo, es limitada la investigación empírica sobre lo que piensa de la resiliencia la gente que vive en comunidades expuestas a riesgos. Este estudio tiene como objetivo salvar esta laguna, conduciendo encuestas personales (n ¼ de 400), administradas por el investigador a personas que utilizan servicios ambientales costeros y lacustres en Vancouver y Toronto, Canadá. Los resultados del estudio incluyen tres hallazgos principales: (1) la mayoría de los participantes prefiere el marco de “incrementar la resiliencia” al de “reducir la vulnerabilidad”; (2) la conceptualización de la resiliencia como resistencia o recuperación; y (3) la resiliencia es vista como desigual en las dos ciudades del estudio. El estudio revela visiones que pued","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135385887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Blending in or Being Co-Opted: Reflecting on an Internship-Cum-Field Work at a New Town Government in China 融入还是被排挤:在中国一个新镇政府实习和实地工作的反思
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2250412
Lili Wang
{"title":"Blending in or Being Co-Opted: Reflecting on an Internship-Cum-Field Work at a New Town Government in China","authors":"Lili Wang","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2250412","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2250412","url":null,"abstract":"AbstractExisting literature details many complexities of researcher–participant relationships in field work. It nonetheless evades a possibility that the researcher could be co-opted and lose his or her researcher self in specific field situations. Reflecting on an internship experience with a Chinese new town government, I present and problematize such a possibility. Two questions are explored: (1) In what contexts and in what ways was the researcher co-opted? (2) What have been the implications of the co-option to the researcher’s research practices? By answering these questions, this article makes three contributions. First, it presents a new complexity to researcher–participant relationships in the field. Second, in explaining the emergence of such a complexity, it develops a conceptual framework of resubjectivation that considers the intersection of the researcher’s biography and the agency of the field site. Third, the article unravels how being co-opted in the field had profound impacts on research, posing complex methodological and ethical challenges.现有文献详细描述了实地工作中研究人员和参与者关系的多种复杂性。然而, 文献回避了一种可能性: 在特定实地情况下, 研究人员可能被同化并失去自我。我反思了在中国一个新城镇的政府实习经历, 提出并探究了这种可能性。本文探讨两个问题: (1)研究人员在什么背景下、以何种方式被同化?(2)同化对研究人员的研究有什么影响?通过回答这些问题, 本文有三个贡献。首先, 展现了实地研究人员和参与者关系的一种新的复杂性。其次, 解释了这种复杂性的出现, 提出了再主体化的概念框架, 思考了研究人员和实地的关系。第三, 揭示了实地同化如何对研究产生深远影响, 提出了方法论和伦理上的复杂挑战。La literatura existente detalla muchas complejidades de las relaciones investigador–participante en el trabajo de campo. No obstante, elude la posibilidad de que el investigador pueda ser cooptado y pierda su rol como investigador en situaciones específicas en el trabajo de campo. Reflexionando sobre una experiencia de prácticas con el gobierno de una nueva ciudad china, presento y problematizo tal posibilidad. Se exploran dos interrogantes: (1) ¿En cuáles contextos y de qué modo fue cooptado el investigador? Y, (2) ¿Cuáles han sido las implicaciones de la cooptación para las prácticas de investigación de la investigadora? Tratando de absolver estas cuestiones, este artículo hace tres contribuciones. Primero, presenta una complejidad nueva de las relaciones investigador–participante en el campo. Segundo, al explicar la aparición de tal complejidad, desarrolla un marco conceptual de resubjetivación que toma en consideración la intersección de la biografía del investigador y la agencia del lugar del campo. Tercero, el artículo desglosa el punto sobre cómo el ser cooptado en el campo tiene impactos profundos sobre la investigación, planteando desafíos metodológicos y éticos complejos.Key Words: Chinafield workresearcher–participant relationshipsstatesubjectivation关键词: 中国实地工作研究人员和参与者关系国家主体化Palabras clave: ChinaEstadorelaciones investigador–participantesubjetivacióntrabajo de campo Disclosure StatementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.Additional informationNotes on contributorsLili WangLILI WANG is an Assistant Professor in the Center for Social Sciences at Southern University of Science ","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135385760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impacts of COVID-19 on Biodiversity Conservation and Community Networks at Kibale National Park, Uganda 2019冠状病毒病对乌干达基巴莱国家公园生物多样性保护和社区网络的影响
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2250416
Dipto Sarkar, Jan F. Gogarten, Xiaofan Liang, Clio Andris, Emmanuel Abwa Opito, Kim Valenta, Urs Kalbitzer, Raja Sengupta, Colin A. Chapman
{"title":"Impacts of COVID-19 on Biodiversity Conservation and Community Networks at Kibale National Park, Uganda","authors":"Dipto Sarkar, Jan F. Gogarten, Xiaofan Liang, Clio Andris, Emmanuel Abwa Opito, Kim Valenta, Urs Kalbitzer, Raja Sengupta, Colin A. Chapman","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2250416","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2250416","url":null,"abstract":"AbstractConservation, like all aspects of society, was severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although there have been projections and speculations about impacts on conservation plans and actions, data about the extent of these impacts are sparse. We contribute evidence from a research field site in Kibale National Park, Uganda. Our analysis shows that many of the fears concerning the negative conservation impacts of COVID-19 were borne out. Long-term research projects were disrupted, affecting employment opportunities in the park. These effects percolated into the local communities, which reported high levels of financial stress and other negative impacts, such as increased rates of teenage pregnancy. People who were permanently employed at the park reported lower levels of financial stress. Also particularly concerning was the increase in poaching in the park due to a lack of food security. This research highlights an important path toward resiliency for research stations in the face of global crises, but it requires changes in funding duration and scope from granting agencies and governments. Operating differently than ecotourism, research field stations provide unique opportunities to build resilient conservation instruments and the results of this research can help guide policies to make research field stations more resilient.与社会各个方面一样, 自然保护也受到了新冠肺炎疫情的严重影响。尽管我们已经预测和猜想了疫情对自然保护计划和行动的影响, 但很少有影响程度的数据。本文提供了乌干达Kibale国家公园野外研究站的证据。分析表明, 对新冠肺炎负面影响自然保护的许多担忧, 都得到了证实。长期研究项目被打乱, 进而影响了公园的就业机会。这些影响渗透到当地社区。据报道, 这些社区面临着很大的经济压力和其它负面影响(例如, 青少年的怀孕率上升)。公园永久工作人员的经济压力较低。特别令人担忧的是, 由于缺乏粮食保障, 公园偷猎行为有所增加。本研究强调了野外研究站应对全球危机的重要韧性措施, 但这需要资助机构和政府修改资助时间和研究范围。与生态旅游不同, 野外研究站为建立韧性的自然保护措施提供了独特机会。研究结果有助于指导政策、使野外研究站更具有韧性。La conservación, como todos los aspectos de la sociedad, se vio severamente afectada por la pandemia del COVID-19. Aunque se han hecho proyecciones y especulaciones sobre los planes y acciones de la conservación, los datos relacionados con la amplitud de estos impactos son escasos. Nuestra contribución a la evidencia proviene de un sitio de investigación de campo localizado en el Parque Nacional de Kibale, en Uganda. Nuestro análisis muestra que muchos de los temores sobre las repercusiones negativas del COVID-19 sobe la conservación, fueron confirmadas. Los proyectos de investigación a largo plazo se vieron afectados negativamente, con manifiesta incidencia sobre las oportunidades de empleo en el parque. Estos efectos se filtraron hacia las comunidades locales, que reportaron altos niveles de estrés financiero y otros impactos negativos, tales como el incremento en las tasas de embarazo adolescente. La gente que disfrutaba de empleo permanente en el parque declaró niveles más bajos de estrés financiero. También, fue especialmente preocupante el incremento de la caza furtiva en el parque debido a la falta de seguridad alimentaria. Esta investigación destaca una ruta importante hacia la resiliencia de las estaciones de investigación, frente a las crisis globa","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135385884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
From Professional Geography to Public Geography, from Representational Certainty to Not Knowing the Answer 从专业地理到公共地理,从具象确定性到不知道答案
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2242465
Robert W. Lake
{"title":"From Professional Geography to Public Geography, from Representational Certainty to Not Knowing the Answer","authors":"Robert W. Lake","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2242465","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2242465","url":null,"abstract":"Most practices of professional geography employ a realist ontology of knowledge, seeking accurate representations of an external world that exists in itself, prior to our attempts to know it. Certainty in the accuracy of our interior representations of an external world, however, breeds dogmatic claims to truth in the attempt to bridge the unbridgeable gap separating matter from mind. A reading of Rorty’s (2021) posthumously published Pragmatism as Anti-Authoritarianism offers an escape from authoritarian certainty by charting a shift from professional geography to a public geography (although he never used that term). Making this move entails a shift from analysis to conversation; from abstract theorization to the extension of loyalty to the widest possible plurality of publics; and from representing an antecedent truth to the pragmatist’s goal of reaching collective agreement on what to do. Rorty’s antiauthoritarian pragmatism makes a compelling case to stop thinking of knowledge as correctly answering a multiple-choice question in which the answer is known in advance and instead to nurture a public geography aimed toward the larger challenge of negotiating collective agreement on how we should live together in an interdependent world.","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134989628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Why AP Human Geography? 为什么选AP人文地理?
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2242451
Suneal Kolluri
{"title":"Why AP Human Geography?","authors":"Suneal Kolluri","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2242451","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2242451","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135880138","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Gender Citation Gap in Human Geography: Indications from Germany, Austria, and Switzerland 人文地理学中的性别引文差距:来自德国、奥地利和瑞士的迹象
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2242467
Philipp Aufenvenne, Christian Haase, Malte Steinbrink
{"title":"The Gender Citation Gap in Human Geography: Indications from Germany, Austria, and Switzerland","authors":"Philipp Aufenvenne, Christian Haase, Malte Steinbrink","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2242467","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2242467","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135880155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multiplicity and Path Dependency in the Modeling of Historical Routes: A Case Study of the Wonju Basin in the Central Region of the Korean Peninsula 历史路径建模中的多重性与路径依赖性——以朝鲜半岛中部原州盆地为例
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2242468
Ilhong Ko, Woojin Shim, Hyunjoo Jung
{"title":"Multiplicity and Path Dependency in the Modeling of Historical Routes: A Case Study of the Wonju Basin in the Central Region of the Korean Peninsula","authors":"Ilhong Ko, Woojin Shim, Hyunjoo Jung","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2242468","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2242468","url":null,"abstract":"This article introduces how an interdisciplinary approach to modeling historical routes enriches route formation discourses. It combines the current least cost path-based modeling with a novel method developed by the authors, which employs hillslope position-based movement suitability as the primary cost factor to supplement slope gradient. Multiple routes can be modeled by using differently weighted combinations of the two cost factors, but for this study, three different routes were modeled for the case region, the Wonju Basin of the central Korean Peninsula, using archaeological site data roughly categorized into six time periods. By modeling the three different routes for each period, six time slices of movement were produced, and overlapping route sections were identified by superimposing the time slices. The results highlighted the multiplicity of routes, often overlooked when only the most optimal single route is modeled. Diachronic modeling also illustrated how route formation over time was influenced by self-enforcing processes, thereby illuminating path dependency. Guided by complex systems theory, this article provides insights into how the emergence of routes can be approached as both a physical and human spatial phenomenon.","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135826667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Modeling of the Association between Neighborhood Factors and COVID-19 Incidence Rates in Scotland 苏格兰社区因素与COVID-19发病率关系的时空建模
4区 社会学
Professional Geographer Pub Date : 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2023.2194363
Ruoyu Wang, Tom Clemens, Margaret Douglas, Markéta Keller, Dan van der Horst
{"title":"Spatiotemporal Modeling of the Association between Neighborhood Factors and COVID-19 Incidence Rates in Scotland","authors":"Ruoyu Wang, Tom Clemens, Margaret Douglas, Markéta Keller, Dan van der Horst","doi":"10.1080/00330124.2023.2194363","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2023.2194363","url":null,"abstract":"AbstractThis study aims to investigate the association between neighborhood-level factors and COVID-19 incidence in Scotland from a spatiotemporal perspective. The outcome variable is the COVID-19 incidence in Scotland. Based on the identification of the wave peaks for COVID-19 cases between 2020 and 2021, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Scotland can be divided into four phases. To model the COVID-19 incidence, sixteen neighborhood factors are chosen as the predictors. Geographical random forest models are used to examine spatiotemporal variation in major determinants of COVID-19 incidence. The spatial analysis indicates that proportion of religious people is the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in southern Scotland, whereas particulate matter is the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in northern Scotland. Also, crowded households, prepandemic emergency admission rates, and health and social workers are the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in eastern and central Scotland, respectively. A possible explanation is that the association between predictors and COVID-19 incidence might be influenced by local context (e.g., people’s lifestyles), which is spatially variant across Scotland. The temporal analysis indicates that dominant factors associated with COVID-19 incidence also vary across different phases, suggesting that pandemic-related policy should take spatiotemporal variations into account.本研究旨在从时空角度研究苏格兰的社区因素与新冠肺炎发病率之间的关系。输出变量是苏格兰的新冠肺炎发病率。通过确定2020年至2021年期间的新冠肺炎病例峰值, 苏格兰新冠肺炎确诊病例可分为四个阶段。我们选择16个社区因素作为预测因子, 对新冠肺炎发病率进行建模。采用地理随机森林模型, 研究了新冠肺炎发病率主要决定因素的时空变化。空间分析表明, 在苏格兰南部, 宗教人士的比例与新冠肺炎发病率的关系最密切。在苏格兰北部, 颗粒物与新冠肺炎发病率的关系最紧密。此外, 在苏格兰东部和中部, 拥挤的家庭、流行病之前的紧急住院率、卫生和社会工作者分别与新冠肺炎发病率密切相关。一种可能的解释是, 预测因子和新冠肺炎发病率之间的关联可能受到当地环境(例如, 人们的生活方式)的影响, 而这种影响在苏格兰各地具有空间差异性。时间分析表明, 新冠肺炎发病率的主导因素在不同阶段有所不同, 这表明流行病政策应当考虑时空变化。Desde una perspectiva espaciotemporal, este estudio pretende investigar la asociación entre los factores a nivel de vecindario y la incidencia de COVID-19 en Escocia. La variable resultante es la incidencia del COVID-19 en Escocia. A partir de la identificación de los picos de oleada de casos de COVID-19, entre el 2020 y 2021, los casos confirmados de COVID-19 en Escocia pueden dividirse en cuatro fases. Para modelar la incidencia de COVID-19, dieciséis factores vecinales se escogieron como predictores. Se usaron modelos geográficos de bosque aleatorio para examinar la variación espaciotemporal de los principales determinantes de la incidencia del COVID-19. El análisis espacial indica que la proporción de gente religiosa es lo que más fuertemente se asocia con la incidencia de COVID-19 en el sur de Escocia, mientras que los materiales particulados son los más fuertemente asociados con la incidencia de COVID-19 en el norte de Escocia. Igualmente, el hacinamiento en los hogares, las tasas de ingreso a urgencias prepandémicas y los trabajadores de salubridad y sociales, son los factores que más fuertemente se asocian con la ","PeriodicalId":48098,"journal":{"name":"Professional Geographer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135643031","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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