Amy Nivette, Lea Echelmeyer, Frank Weerman, Manuel Eisner, Denis Ribeaud
{"title":"Understanding Changes in Violent Extremist Attitudes During the Transition to Early Adulthood.","authors":"Amy Nivette, Lea Echelmeyer, Frank Weerman, Manuel Eisner, Denis Ribeaud","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09522-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10940-021-09522-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The current study seeks to explain changes in support for violent extremism during the transition to early adulthood. This period during the life course could increase uncertainty and vulnerability to radicalization, or alternatively lead to maturation, prosocial bonds, and consequently less support for violent extremism. In the absence of population-based longitudinal data on violent extremist attitudes, we know very little about how and why attitudes change during this period.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>Data came from an ongoing longitudinal cohort study in Zürich, Switzerland (n = 910). First, we assessed the variation in violent extremist attitudes between ages 17 and 20 using the Reliable Change Index. Second, we used hybrid regression techniques to investigate to what extent theoretically relevant factors can explain between- and within-individual differences in violent extremist attitudes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our results show that violent extremist attitudes are largely stable or declining between late adolescence and early adulthood, and that within-individual changes in low self-control, conflict coping skills, and peer disapproval of violence can in part explain these changes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>For young people in Zürich, the transition to early adulthood was characterized by increases in psychosocial maturity, more prosocial peers, and less deviant behavior, which in turn was associated with lower support for violent extremism. Existing research on effective interventions for criminal desistance and disengagement from gangs may therefore be fruitful avenues for developing programs aimed at reducing support for violent extremism and fostering deradicalization.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10940-021-09522-9.</p>","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"38 4","pages":"949-978"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9626430/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40685271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cohort Variation in U.S. Violent Crime Patterns from 1960 to 2014: An Age-Period-Cohort-Interaction Approach.","authors":"Yunmei Lu, Liying Luo","doi":"10.1007/s10940-020-09477-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10940-020-09477-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Previous research in criminology has overlooked that cohort effects on crime should be <i>age</i>-<i>time</i>-<i>specific</i> (Ryder in Am Sociol Rev 30(6):843-861, 1965) and consequently assumed cohort effects to be the same across the life course. The current study addresses these limitations by modeling cohort effects as the differential impacts of social change depending on age groups. With this new operationalization that is closely tied to Ryder's conceptualization, we examine both inter-cohort differences and intra-cohort dynamics in violent crime.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We use the age-period-cohort-interaction (APC-I) model developed by Luo and Hodges (Sociol Methods Res 2020) to analyze the UCR age-specific arrest statistics for robbery, aggravated assaults, and homicide from 1960 to 2014. Specifically, we estimate and test two types of cohort variation: average cohort deviations and life-course dynamics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our findings reveal varying degrees of cohort deviations at different ages. The early boomers (born between 1945 and 1954) and the late boomers (born between 1955 and 1964) demonstrate different intra-cohort dynamics of robbery arrest, and the violence epidemic cohorts' (born between 1975 and 1984) high risks of homicide arrest appear to be driven by cohort deviations at young ages.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The APC-I framework introduced in this study provides new insights into the dynamic aspect of cohort effects on violent crime that have not been examined in the criminological literature. Criminological studies on cohort effects would benefit by shifting away from the problematic assumption of constant and additive cohort effects to the dynamic and interactive approach represented by the APC-I framework.</p>","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"37 4","pages":"1047-1081"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10237532/pdf/nihms-1897508.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9584389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction to: Long-Term Dynamics of Neighborhoods and Crime: The Role of Education Over 40 Years","authors":"Adam Boessen, Marisa Omori, C. Greene","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09537-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09537-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 1","pages":"251-252"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49010100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do Sports Programs Prevent Crime and Reduce Reoffending? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis on the Effectiveness of Sports Programs","authors":"Irina Jugl, D. Bender, F. Lösel","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09536-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09536-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 1","pages":"333-384"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42629538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
J. Thacker, M. Martin, Yvonne Cristy, D. Rabideau, Michael Shively, R. Kling
{"title":"Exploring the Neighborhood-Level Impact of Retail Marijuana Outlets on Crime in Washington State","authors":"J. Thacker, M. Martin, Yvonne Cristy, D. Rabideau, Michael Shively, R. Kling","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09534-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09534-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 1","pages":"253-281"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48964397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Long-Term Dynamics of Neighborhoods and Crime: The Role of Education Over 40 Years","authors":"Adam Boessen, Marisa Omori, C. Greene","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09528-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09528-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 1","pages":"187-249"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46473729","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Benefits of Patrol Officers Using Unallocated Time for Everyday Crime Prevention","authors":"Alese C. Wooditch","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09527-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09527-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"161-185"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"52451352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Educational Consequences of Paternal Incarceration: Evidence from a Danish Policy Reform","authors":"Anne Sofie Tegner Anker","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09531-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09531-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 1","pages":"125-160"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45929261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Greg Midgette, Beau Kilmer, Nancy Nicosia, Paul Heaton
{"title":"A Natural Experiment to Test the Effect of Sanction Certainty and Celerity on Substance-Impaired Driving: North Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program.","authors":"Greg Midgette, Beau Kilmer, Nancy Nicosia, Paul Heaton","doi":"10.1007/s10940-020-09458-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10940-020-09458-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Evaluate the deterrent effect of a program that increases the certainty and celerity of sanction for arrestees ordered to abstain from alcohol and other drugs on substance-impaired driving arrests.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We examine participant compliance with orders to abstain from alcohol and other drug use via breathalyzer, body-worn continuous alcohol monitoring (CAM) devices, transdermal drug patches, and urinalyses. We then evaluate the impact of the 24/7 Sobriety program on substance-impaired driving arrests. Using variation across counties in the timing of program implementation in North Dakota as a natural experiment, we use differences-in-differences fixed effects Poisson regressions to measure the program's effect on county-level arrests for substance-impaired driving.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over half of participants ordered to abstain from substance use complete 24/7 Sobriety without a detected substance use event. At the county level, the program is associated with a 9 percent reduction in substance-impaired driving arrests after accounting for the impact of oil exploration in the Bakken region, law enforcement intensity, alcohol availability, whether the state's large universities were in session, and socio-demographic characteristics.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results suggest frequent monitoring combined with increased sanction celerity deters substance use-involved crime. While the results are generally consistent with an earlier study of 24/7 Sobriety in another state, differences in the study outcome measures and implementation choices across states make direct comparisons difficult. More can be learned by conducting randomized controlled trials that vary time on program, testing technology, and/or level of sanction.</p>","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"37 3","pages":"647-670"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8414695/pdf/nihms-1590653.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39402494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}