Annals of Regional Science最新文献_第6页

Land value dynamics and the spatial evolution of cities following COVID 19 using big data analytics. 基于大数据分析的2019冠状病毒病后城市土地价值动态和空间演变

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01153-7

Erez Buda, Dani Broitman, Daniel Czamanski

{"title":"Land value dynamics and the spatial evolution of cities following COVID 19 using big data analytics.","authors":"Erez Buda, Dani Broitman, Daniel Czamanski","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01153-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-022-01153-7","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we present results of a land-use forecasting model that we calibrated with vast geo-referenced data of a major metropolitan area. Each land parcel includes information concerning regulations indicating permitted land-uses as well as the certain characteristics of existing buildings. Data concerning all real estate transactions include information about the assets and the price of the exchanges. Based on these data we estimated the spatial dynamics of land values in the metropolitan area over time and identified locations experiencing development pressures. This analysis allows us to forecast plausible futures of the urban spatial configuration. Taking the approach one step further, we propose simulations motivated by the natural experiment of COVID 19. We assumed that part of the behavioral changes observed during the pandemic will endure. The resulting simulations provide forecasts of the future spatial structure of the metropolitan area. Comparing the actual and the forecasted scenarios we interpret the spatial dynamics of the city as they would be if a business-as-usual-pre-Covid-19 scenario is realized, and possible trend changes if the impact of the pandemic is long lasting.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9202975/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9160115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Regional poverty and infection disease: early exploratory evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. 地区贫困与传染病：来自 COVID-19 大流行的早期探索性证据。

IF 2.2 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01109-x

Abu Bakkar Siddique, Kingsley E Haynes, Rajendra Kulkarni, Meng-Hao Li

{"title":"Regional poverty and infection disease: early exploratory evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic.","authors":"Abu Bakkar Siddique, Kingsley E Haynes, Rajendra Kulkarni, Meng-Hao Li","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01109-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00168-022-01109-x","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the role of regional poverty on the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA. It also explores how the effects differ with the concentration of ethnic minorities. We find that poverty is a significant and consistent determinant of higher COVID-19 infections and fatalities. Prevalent poverty areas experienced higher infections due to economic structure that require hypermobility (high mobility and interpersonal interaction)-more physical human to human contact resulting in higher deaths from limited access to health services. These are also regions where minority groups are concentrated. Disproportionate infections and fatalities occurred within the black, Hispanic, and Asian population. Our evidence is robust to state fixed effects that capture local COVID-19 mitigation policies, multi-level hierarchical modeling, spatial autoregressive assessment, and large sets of county-level health, social, and economic factors. This paper contributes to the literature on health and economic disparities and their resulting consequences for infectious diseases.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8786591/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10586365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Air pollution and perception-based averting behaviour in the Jinchuan mining area, China. 中国金川矿区的空气污染和基于感知的规避行为。

IF 2.2 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01157-3

Zhengtao Li, Henk Folmer

{"title":"Air pollution and perception-based averting behaviour in the Jinchuan mining area, China.","authors":"Zhengtao Li, Henk Folmer","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01157-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00168-022-01157-3","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a simultaneous equation, knowledge and perception-based averting behavior model of health risk caused by air pollution, with application to the Jinchuan mining area, China. Three types of averting behavior are distinguished: (a) purchases of purifying equipment, plants, or masks; (b) purchases of preventive or curing medication or food; and (c) adjustment of daily outdoor activities. Two types of perceived health risk are distinguished: (a) risk due to the intensity of exposure and (b) risk caused by the hazardousness of pollutants. The estimations show that an increase in perceived air pollution of two or more days a week leads to a restriction of outdoor activities of approximately 90 min per person per week. Another result is that the average annual household expenditure on air filters, foods, or medicines is 206.25 CNY (US$ 31.73) to prevent the hazardousness of air pollution. The total willingness to pay for air quality improvement is 2.95% of annual net household income. Because air quality improving investments can only be implemented in the medium or long run, daily disclosure of air quality is an adequate short-run policy handle to assist residents to take the right kind and level of risk-reducing actions.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9296367/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9163114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Regional income convergence in Colombia: population, space, and long-run dynamics. 哥伦比亚的区域收入趋同:人口、空间和长期动态。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01163-5

Jesús Peiró-Palomino, William Orlando Prieto-Bustos, Emili Tortosa-Ausina

{"title":"Regional income convergence in Colombia: population, space, and long-run dynamics.","authors":"Jesús Peiró-Palomino, William Orlando Prieto-Bustos, Emili Tortosa-Ausina","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01163-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-022-01163-5","url":null,"abstract":"We examine the trajectory of regional income dynamics in Colombia. Using data on all 33 Colombian departments from 2000 to 2016, we employ extensions of (spatial) Markov chains, space-time mobility measures, along with a fully weighted version of the distribution analysis approach. By considering these extensions, our analysis enables us to answer questions such as whether the role of spatial context influences the distributional dynamics of Colombian departments, or the magnitude of the moderating effect of department's population. The inclusion of additional measures such as the asymptotic half-life of convergence provides additional results, informing on how long it would take to reach the hypothetical long-run distribution of per capita income. Results, which are reported for both pre- and post-2008 trends, complement previous literature on regional economic convergence in a relevant South American context, showing stronger convergence patterns when controlling for the population living in each department. The patterns do not particularly intensify when controlling for spatial spillovers, since the role of spatial context was already playing a relevant role from the beginning of the period analyzed. Therefore, although the ergodic distributions show a conditional-convergence pattern, addressing the problems of spatial exclusion fully, persistent polarization among geographical departments and populations, along with the relevant core-periphery gaps, still requires the design and implementation of specific policies.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9365230/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9181973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Spotlight on the region analytical contributions on regional development. 聚焦区域对区域发展的分析性贡献。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01174-2

Peter Nijkamp, Karima Kourtit, Mehmet Güney Celbiş

引用次数: 0

Quality of life, quality of business, and destinations of recent graduates: fields of study matter. 生活质量、商业质量和应届毕业生的目的地:研究领域很重要。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01117-x

Arthur Grimes, Shaan Badenhorst, David C Maré, Jacques Poot, Isabelle Sin

{"title":"Quality of life, quality of business, and destinations of recent graduates: fields of study matter.","authors":"Arthur Grimes, Shaan Badenhorst, David C Maré, Jacques Poot, Isabelle Sin","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01117-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-022-01117-x","url":null,"abstract":"One of the main challenges facing non-metropolitan regions is the attraction and retention of highly-educated young people. A loss of the brightest can lead to reduced business creation, innovation, growth and community well-being in such regions. We use rich longitudinal microdata from New Zealand to analyse the determinants and geography of the choice of destination of recent university and polytechnic graduates 2 years and 4 years after graduation. Rather than considering a range of location-specific consumption and production amenities, we assume spatial equilibrium and calculate, following Chen and Rosenthal (J Urban Econ 64:519-537, 2008), 'quality of life' and 'quality of business' indicators for urban areas that encompass all amenities that are utility and/or productivity enhancing (or reducing, in the case of disamenities). Specifically, we test whether students locate in places that are regarded as good to live or good to do business; and how this differs by field of study. Our estimates are conditional on students' prior school (home) location and the location of their higher education institution. We find that graduates are attracted to locate in urban places that have high quality production amenities. High quality consumption amenities have heterogeneous effects on the location choice of students. Creative arts and commerce graduates are relatively more likely to locate in places that are attractive to business, consistent with a symbiosis between bohemians and business. Decision makers can leverage their existing local strengths, in terms of production and/or consumption amenities, to act as drawcards for, or to retain, recent graduates in specific fields.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8899003/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10580020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Industrial transformations and regional inequalities in Europe. 欧洲的产业转型与地区不平等。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-021-01097-4

Roberta Capello, Silvia Cerisola

引用次数: 6

Will the economic growth benefit public health? Health vulnerability, urbanization and COVID-19 in the USA. 经济增长是否有利于公众健康?美国的健康脆弱性、城市化和COVID-19。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-021-01103-9

Ye Fan, Ming Fang, Xin Zhang, Yongda Yu

{"title":"Will the economic growth benefit public health? Health vulnerability, urbanization and COVID-19 in the USA.","authors":"Ye Fan, Ming Fang, Xin Zhang, Yongda Yu","doi":"10.1007/s00168-021-01103-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-021-01103-9","url":null,"abstract":"Economic growth has a significant impact on health vulnerability primarily through the process of urbanization. This paper conducts a pioneer study by analyzing the impact of regional economic growth and urbanization on the public health vulnerability in the 51 states and territories of the USA from 2011 to 2018 with a fixed-effect panel data regression model. We construct an epidemiological vulnerability index (EVI) using regional smoking, diabetes, obesity, and hypertension, collect CDC social vulnerability index (SVI) as state-level public health vulnerability status, and use COVID-19 to test the actual effect of health vulnerability. The preliminary results show that higher regional economic growth is related to lower EVI and SVI, while urbanization is positively associated with regional health vulnerability and the severity of COVID-19 from case rate and death rate. Robustness check with unemployment shows the same result. We conclude that economic growth is related to lower public health vulnerability, and urbanization has negative public health benefits. Our finding indicates an urgent need to balance the externalities generated by economic development and urbanization trends on public health vulnerability by promoting reasonable medical resource distribution, health practices and safety, improving social and environmental justice, and other health management measures.Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00168-021-01103-9.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8782711/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10586364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Economic vulnerability in US metropolitan areas. 美国大都市地区的经济脆弱性。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01129-7

Gordon F Mulligan

{"title":"Economic vulnerability in US metropolitan areas.","authors":"Gordon F Mulligan","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01129-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-022-01129-7","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines various aspects of recent employment vulnerability in US metropolitan areas. Based on the three decades preceding COVID-19, an estimate is made of the volatility (sensitivity) in each area's unemployment rate, relative to the national rate, and this reflects the area's overall employment vulnerability to external events. Using the Brechling-Thirlwall time-series approach, the monthly change in each area's unemployment rate is first compared to the monthly change in the nation's unemployment rate. Regression analysis is then used to tie the volatility seen in those metropolitan unemployment rates to various initial conditions: degree of specialization in primary (+), manufacturing (+), and government (-) activities; initial unemployment (+); human-created (-) and natural amenities (+); real wages (-); self-employment (-); and the presence of major colleges or universities (-). An alternative specification reassesses these estimates after including the volatility of unemployment rates across the nation's various states. A short discussion then addresses the issue of vulnerability in specific activities. Selecting four industries that were identified \"at risk\" during early COVID events, ranked employment specialization indices (LQs) are correlated with ranked volatility estimates of unemployment rates. In the more advanced economies, metropolitan areas typically specialize in, and trade across, different industries, but this specialization can create overall employment vulnerability.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9184342/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10588934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

How regional economic structure matters in the era of COVID-19: resilience capacity of U.S. states. 新冠肺炎时代地区经济结构的重要性:美国各州的应变能力。

IF 1.7 4区经济学

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01134-w

Ayoung Kim, Jaewon Lim, Aaron Colletta

{"title":"How regional economic structure matters in the era of COVID-19: resilience capacity of U.S. states.","authors":"Ayoung Kim, Jaewon Lim, Aaron Colletta","doi":"10.1007/s00168-022-01134-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-022-01134-w","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 pandemic is an unexpected-extreme event and has considerably impacted the national and regional economies. This paper emphasizes the importance of industrial structure for a region's resistance to the recessionary shock. Two significant factors that may determine the regional industrial structures in this ongoing recession include the relative composition of essential/non-essential sectors and the intensity of face-to-face interactions. Considering these factors, we focus on two groups of industries: essential industry with low interpersonal interactions and non-essential industry with high interpersonal interactions. The specialization in these industries is associated with the regional economic resistance to the COVID-19 induced recession. Estimation results from the ordinal logistic regression models show that essential industries with low interpersonal interactions, especially the retail and service sectors--for instance, non-store retailers and financial and professional service--are significantly related to regional economic resistance, and their relationship intensifies compared to other sectors during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, states specialized in the non-essential industries with high interpersonal interactions are less likely to resist economically during the lockdown-COVID and until the stabilizing-COVID period. In addition, a state that quickly recovered from the 2001 recession is more likely to resist the pandemic shock during early- and lockdown-COVID periods. Findings in this paper indicate the importance of regional industrial structure to determine the level of vulnerability to unexpected recessionary shocks. Additionally, identifying the vital factors to determine the industrial structure based on the type of shock is found to be crucial.Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00168-022-01134-w.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9076500/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9139840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8