Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, José-Manuel Giménez-Gómez, Maria Llop
{"title":"Defining an ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’ to analyse COVID-19 mortality across European regions","authors":"Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, José-Manuel Giménez-Gómez, Maria Llop","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01250-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01250-1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The spread and severity of COVID-19 within the European regions have been highly heterogeneous, with significant differences in both the number of infected persons and mortality across regions. This paper improves the weak ability of welfare variables, such as the HDI, to explain COVID-19 mortality. We propose a novel ‘Epidemiological Risk Index’, including environmental quality, global interaction, health system infrastructure, and population characteristics, which provides a better explanation of pandemic mortality in European regions. We deal with spatial interdependence in COVID-19 mortality by using spatial lagged covariates and Geographical Weighted Regressions. The findings in this study call attention to the influence of epidemiological factors in addition to purely development factors in explaining the severity of COVID-19.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"19 11","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134992106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Estimation of impacts of volcanic ash fall from Mt. Fuji eruption on freight transport and effects of partial restoration of highways","authors":"Tomoki Ishikura, Shogo Iso","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01251-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01251-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"9 3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135868017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regional decomposition in age-group unemployment dynamics in Germany","authors":"Carsten Ochsen","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01248-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01248-9","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article analyzes age-group-related differences in the risk of losing a job and the chance to find new employment using regional administrative data for Germany. I also consider flows between inactivity (out of the labor force) and unemployment to examine the relative contributions of labor market flows to different age-group unemployment dynamics. Inactivity and activity flows account for about 23% (and 83% for the youth) of unemployment dynamics, and contributions of separation (11%-50%) and job finding (5%-30%) vary with age-groups. Counties with a larger share of the labor force youth have high dynamics and very low unemployment rates. In contrast, regions with a smaller percentage of youth experience twice as large unemployment rates. Overall, the results provide strong evidence for decreasing regional labor market dynamics when the share of older workers increases.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135933492","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Carbon tax vs. emission trading in a monopolistically competitive market with heterogeneous firms","authors":"Kefu Lin, Rui Pan, Dao-Zhi Zeng","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01249-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01249-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"89 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136067615","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of recreational marijuana dispensaries on crime: evidence from a lottery experiment","authors":"Xiuming Dong, Justin Tyndall","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01246-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01246-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136119583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Welcome to the Punch. Local exposure to refugees and hate events in Italy","authors":"Daria Denti, Alessandra Faggian","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01247-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01247-w","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Which are the effects of hosting refugees on hate events, the most extreme acts against minorities? While growing research considers the link between refugees and voting behaviors, little is known about the influence of refugee reception on radicalization of anti-immigrant attitudes. Exploiting a novel database on geotagged hate events in Italy and the geography of refugee hosting centers, this paper provides novel evidence on the effect of exposure to refugees on hate in Italian provinces. Using instrumental variable estimation, we show that provinces with bigger refugee hosting capacity experienced higher incidence of hate.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135539015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What factors contribute to uneven suburbanisation? Predicting the number of migrants from Warsaw to its suburbs with machine learning","authors":"Honorata Bogusz, Szymon Winnicki, Piotr Wójcik","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01245-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01245-y","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article investigates the spatially uneven migration from Warsaw to its suburban municipalities. We report a novel approach to modelling suburbanisation: several linear and nonlinear predictive models are applied, and Explainable Artificial Intelligence methods are used to interpret the shape of relationships between the dependent variable and the most important regressors. The support vector regression algorithm is found to yield the most accurate predictions of the number of migrants to the suburbs of Warsaw. In addition, we find that migrants choose wealthier and more urbanised municipalities that offer better institutional amenities and a shorter driving time to Warsaw’s city centre.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135859641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Anxiety about the pandemic and trust in financial markets","authors":"Roy Cerqueti, Valerio Ficcadenti","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01243-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01243-0","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has generated a novel context of global financial distress. This paper enters the related scientific debate and focuses on the relationship between the anxiety felt by the population of a wide set of countries during the pandemic and the trust in the future performance of financial markets. Precisely, we move from the idea—grounded on some recent literature contributions—that the volume of Google searches about “coronavirus” can be considered as a proxy of anxiety and, jointly with the stock index prices, can be used to produce indicators of the population mood—in terms of pessimism and optimism—at country level. We analyse the “very high human developed countries” according to the Human Development Index plus China and the main stock market indexes associated with them. Namely, we propose both a time-dependent and a global indicator of pessimism and optimism and classify indexes and countries accordingly. The results show the existence of different clusters of countries and markets in terms of pessimism and optimism. Moreover, specific regimes emerge, with optimism increasing around the middle of June 2020. Furthermore, countries with different government responses to the pandemic have experienced different levels of mood indicators, so countries with less stringent lockdown measures had a higher level of optimism.","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135397583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do diverse degree courses matter for university attractiveness?","authors":"B. Biagi, L. Ciucci, Claudio Detotto, M. Pulina","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01240-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01240-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45386489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A new territorial attractiveness index at the international scale: design, application and patterns in Italy","authors":"Dario Musolino, Balázs Kotosz","doi":"10.1007/s00168-023-01239-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01239-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47951,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Regional Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46917253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}