德国各年龄组失业动态的区域分解

IF 2.2 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Annals of Regional Science Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI:10.1007/s00168-023-01248-9

Carsten Ochsen

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文利用德国的区域行政数据分析了失业风险和新就业机会的年龄相关差异。我还考虑了不活动(脱离劳动力)和失业之间的流动，以检验劳动力市场流动对不同年龄组失业动态的相对贡献。不活动和活动流动约占失业动态的23%(年轻人占83%)，而分居(11%-50%)和找工作(5%-30%)的贡献因年龄组而异。年轻人占劳动力比例较大的县具有较高的活力和非常低的失业率。相比之下，青年比例较低的地区失业率是后者的两倍。总的来说，研究结果提供了强有力的证据，表明当老年工人的比例增加时，区域劳动力市场的动态会下降。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

Regional decomposition in age-group unemployment dynamics in Germany

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Regional decomposition in age-group unemployment dynamics in Germany

Abstract This article analyzes age-group-related differences in the risk of losing a job and the chance to find new employment using regional administrative data for Germany. I also consider flows between inactivity (out of the labor force) and unemployment to examine the relative contributions of labor market flows to different age-group unemployment dynamics. Inactivity and activity flows account for about 23% (and 83% for the youth) of unemployment dynamics, and contributions of separation (11%-50%) and job finding (5%-30%) vary with age-groups. Counties with a larger share of the labor force youth have high dynamics and very low unemployment rates. In contrast, regions with a smaller percentage of youth experience twice as large unemployment rates. Overall, the results provide strong evidence for decreasing regional labor market dynamics when the share of older workers increases.

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来源期刊

Annals of Regional Science Multiple-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

11.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Annals of Regional Science presents high-quality research in the interdisciplinary field of regional and urban studies. The journal publishes papers which make a new or substantial contribution to the body of knowledge in which the spatial dimension plays a fundamental role, including regional economics, resource management, location theory, urban and regional planning, transportation and communication, population distribution and environmental quality. The Annals of Regional Science is the official journal of the Western Regional Science Association.