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Scottish Journal of Political Economy最新文献

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The U-shape of happiness in Scotland 苏格兰的u型幸福指数
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12283
David N. F. Bell, David G. Blanchflower
{"title":"The U-shape of happiness in Scotland","authors":"David N. F. Bell, David G. Blanchflower","doi":"10.1111/sjpe.12283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12283","url":null,"abstract":"We examine well-being in Scotland using micro data from the Scottish Health Survey and the UK Annual Population Surveys. We find evidence of a midlife nadir or zenith in Scotland in well-being at around age 50 using a variety of measures of both happiness and unhappiness. We confirm that higher consumption of fruit and vegetables is associated with higher levels of happiness in Scotland. We compare this with evidence for England from the Health Survey of England. The decline in well-being between youth and midlife is comparable in size to the loss of a spouse or of a job and around half of the fall in well-being in the COVID-19 lockdown. We also find a midlife peak in suicides in Scotland. Despite higher mortality and suicide rates in Scotland than in England, paradoxically we find that the Scots are happier than the English. Northern Ireland is the happiest of the four home countries. We also find evidence of U-shapes in England, Wales and Northern Ireland in the mid to late forties.","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531113","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Structural change and economic development in the Islamic Middle East 700–1500: Population levels and property rights 700-1500年伊斯兰中东地区的结构变化和经济发展:人口水平和产权
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/SJPE.12277
Maya Shatzmiller
{"title":"Structural change and economic development in the Islamic Middle East 700–1500: Population levels and property rights","authors":"Maya Shatzmiller","doi":"10.1111/SJPE.12277","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SJPE.12277","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SJPE.12277","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47095145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
White elephants on quicksand: Low oil prices and high geopolitical risk 流沙上的白象:低油价和高地缘政治风险
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12279
Hany Abdel-Latif, Mahmoud El-Gamal
{"title":"White elephants on quicksand: Low oil prices and high geopolitical risk","authors":"Hany Abdel-Latif, Mahmoud El-Gamal","doi":"10.1111/sjpe.12279","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12279","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the effects of low oil prices and heightened geopolitical risks on economic growth and investment in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries. We find that negative shocks to oil prices and positive shocks to geopolitical risk have adverse effects on GDP and investment. Moreover, we find that the impact of investment on GDP in MENA countries is muted when oil prices are low and/or geopolitical risk level is high. These findings cast doubts on the prospects of mega-project economic transformation plans as envisioned in 2030 visions for several MENA countries.","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138531114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Public and private pension systems and macroeconomic volatility in OECD countries 经合组织国家的公共和私人养老金制度与宏观经济波动
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-03-30 DOI: 10.1111/SJPE.12278
M. Holzner, Stefan Jestl, David Pichler
{"title":"Public and private pension systems and macroeconomic volatility in OECD countries","authors":"M. Holzner, Stefan Jestl, David Pichler","doi":"10.1111/SJPE.12278","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SJPE.12278","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyses the impact of public pension expenditures and pension funds’ assets as well as their benefits on economic volatility. To do so, we use panel data for 35 OECD countries for the period 1980-2018 and apply a set of state-of-the-art econometric estimators. Our results show weak evidence of a negative impact of public pension expenditures as well as weak evidence of a positive impact of pension funds’ benefits on volatility. Results were, however, found not to be very robust. In contrast, pension funds’ assets do not show any evidence of being associated with economic volatility. Unsystematic fiscal policy, banking crises and political (in)stability, however, are revealed to be somewhat more robust determinants of economic volatility.","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SJPE.12278","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47095179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Is British output growth related to its uncertainty? Evidence using eight centuries of data 英国的产出增长与其不确定性有关吗?证据使用八个世纪的数据
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.1111/SJPE.12270
Don Bredin, Stilianos Fountas, Christos S. Savva
{"title":"Is British output growth related to its uncertainty? Evidence using eight centuries of data","authors":"Don Bredin, Stilianos Fountas, Christos S. Savva","doi":"10.1111/SJPE.12270","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SJPE.12270","url":null,"abstract":"We examine the empirical relationship between output variability and output growth for Britain using data for eight centuries covering the 1270 to 2014 period. Drawing on the economic history literature, we split the full sample period in four subperiods and use GARCH models to measure output growth uncertainty and estimate its e ect on average growth. Within each sub-sample we allow output growth to depend on the state of the system, e.g. 2-regime switching model would switch between high-growth and low-growth regimes. We find that the e ect of uncertainty on growth di ers depending on the existing growth regime. Low-growth regimes are associated with a negative e ect of uncertainty on growth, and medium or high-growth regimes are associated with a positive e ect. These findings are consistent across the four states of economic development. Our results indicate why the empirical literature to date has found mixed results when examining the e ect of uncertainty on growth.","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SJPE.12270","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48998159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations? 央行沟通是否有助于稳定通胀预期？
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-02-22 DOI: 10.1111/SJPE.12276
Alexander Jung, P. Kuehl
{"title":"Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?","authors":"Alexander Jung, P. Kuehl","doi":"10.1111/SJPE.12276","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SJPE.12276","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines whether central bank communication stabilises euro area inflation expectations through the information and news channel. A novelty of the study is its use of data from Google Analytics on ECB website traffic as proxy for visitors’ attention to its communication. We conduct several econometric tests with daily data to measure the impact of ECB communication on the information demand of the public and ultimately on inflation expectations. Overall, this study shows that website attention, as captured by search volumes of visitors, influences euro area inflation expectations. We find that increased website attention contributes to narrowing the gap between market-based forecasts and (the mean of) longer-term professional inflation expectations. Our findings add to the theoretical evidence on the existence of an information and news channel. JEL Codes : C20","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SJPE.12276","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49590058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Rental prices in Germany: A comparison between migrants and natives 德国的租房价格:移民和本地人的比较
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-01-23 DOI: 10.4419/86788856
Lea Eilers, A. Paloyo, Colin Vance
{"title":"Rental prices in Germany: A comparison between migrants and natives","authors":"Lea Eilers, A. Paloyo, Colin Vance","doi":"10.4419/86788856","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4419/86788856","url":null,"abstract":"This paper deals with the question of whether migrants in Germany pay a rent premium for apartments of comparable quality and neighborhood characteristics. We use a twostep selection-correction model augmented by a control function to account for nonrandom neighborhood choice. The estimation sample is a uniquely assembled panel comprising the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), information on household and apartment characteristics, as well as georeferenced data describing neighborhood quality. We find no evidence that having a migrant background is directly associated with higher rent. Migrants may nevertheless face higher rents by settling in neighborhoods populated by a high share of foreigners, which we find has a positive and statistically significant relationship with the rent.","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44215653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Issue Information 问题信息
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2021-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12213
{"title":"Issue Information","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/sjpe.12213","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12213","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/sjpe.12213","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49667683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Arab region: Development without democracy a 阿拉伯区域：没有民主的发展a
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2020-12-17 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12269
Samir A. Makdisi
{"title":"The Arab region: Development without democracy\u0000 a","authors":"Samir A. Makdisi","doi":"10.1111/sjpe.12269","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12269","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2020-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/sjpe.12269","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43881501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Household savings constraints, uncertainty and macroprudential policy 家庭储蓄约束、不确定性与宏观审慎政策
IF 1.1 4区 经济学
Scottish Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2020-12-09 DOI: 10.1111/SJPE.12267
P. Economides, K. McQuinn, C. O’Toole
{"title":"Household savings constraints, uncertainty and macroprudential policy","authors":"P. Economides, K. McQuinn, C. O’Toole","doi":"10.1111/SJPE.12267","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SJPE.12267","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the increasingly wide-spread nature of macroprudential regulations, relatively few studies have assessed the implications of such policies on key household finance decisions. In this paper, we investigate the impact on Irish household perceived savings constraints of macroprudential policy measures introduced by the Central Bank of Ireland in early 2015. These measures, which require larger downpayments than previously was the case, constitute a significant new source of uncertainty for those seeking to engage in homeownership. Using a unique, nationally representative survey of households' savings decisions we find that the measures have had a significant impact on the degree to which Irish households feel constrained in their savings decisions. Credit constraints and consumer inattention are proposed as explanatory channels for this development. Heterogeneous effects across households indicate younger, private renting households, and those with relatively uncertain cash flows show the largest increase in perceived constraints following the introduction of the policy. JEL classification: D14, G28","PeriodicalId":47171,"journal":{"name":"Scottish Journal of Political Economy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2020-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SJPE.12267","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44699865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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